🧵 So, it's time for me to join the conspiracy parade. I hope you don't mind.

China bans #Bitcoin  mining on May 2021 (red arrow). BTC gets cut by more than half as a result, falling from $64k in May to $29k by July 2021. Remember this date.
reuters.com/world/china/ch…
July 2021, Black Rock's Larry Fink, steps up his media exposure to begin a #Bitcoin  smear campaign. Why this month? To take advantage of BTC's weakness and negative sentiment to try to crash it to the 200ma, which they know has always supported the price (blue arrow).
Note that the price of the 200ma at that time was $15k. We will circle back to this. So, how does Larry Fink try to crash #BTC  further? By claiming there is absolutely no institutional interest for #Bitcoin  whatsoever. He knew that theme was the BTC price driver. See below.
Now, once again, note that the date of this article perfectly coincides with the blue arrow on the chart at $29k. coindesk.com/podcasts/the-b…
3) Clearly, this strategy failed to work, as $29k at that moment in time was #Bitcoin 's low. BTC would go on to produce all-time new highs in October of 2021. What's more, the network's hashrate would recover like a champ. See big dip and recovery just before 2022.
4) This I believe further impressed Black Rock and convinced them of BTC's inevitabiliy and indestructability, but also disappointed them that they were unable to influence BTC to fall back to the most value-based price area, the almighty 200ma. White arrow = Oct ' 21 new high.
5) Now, this is where things get really interesting. Black Rock had to do something. This thing (#btc ) was running away from them. So what do they do? They pull their SEC (Securities & Exchange Commission) card. After all, they advise the SEC in all matters financial.
6) In October 2021, exactly when #Bitcoin  is sitting at all-time new highs, the SEC approves the very first #BTC Futures ETF. I believe this was at the behest of Black Rock. A futures vehicle is somewhat effective at influencing the underlying asset. https://t.co/bwHlJ0l9qAbis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_…
7) This seems to do the trick. Record amounts of money to buy pour into this new futures ETF (BITO). You need big money in first before the maneuvering can start. $1 billion poured in inside of two days. Now the work begins. #Bitcoin begins its descent with a hawkish fed to help.
Fast forward to June 2022. #Bitcoin  has crashed, mercilessly, thanks to rising interests which exposed all those in the industry swimming naked: 3AC, Celsius, Luna, UST, BlockFi, Voyager. Whew! My fingers are tired. But why is June so important? SEC approves BTC short ETF. 🤯
At all-time highs, the SEC approves a long futures ETF (BITO) that sucks billions into it right at the tippy top, sucker punching a big part of the world. Then, to add insult to injury, they approve the first short futures ETF (BITI) after #BTC  collapses. See Green arrow.
You can't write this. No one would believe it or take it seriously. This was announced right at the green arrow on the above chart. This would encourage millions to short BTC after a crash, at the lows, during a period of extreme negative sentiment.
theverge.com/2022/6/20/2317…
Now forward to July/August of 2022. Why? Isn't it obvious? #Bitcoin   has stabilized at the value zone. This is what they wanted in the first place, the 200ma. So on 8/21, they launched a private spot #Bitcoin  trust for their insiders 👇🏾. "Now" they are bullish on #BTC
This trust is launched for the wealthiest in the world right at #Bitcoin   's 200ma. See yellow arrow in the following section. .cnbc.com/2022/08/11/bla…
Yellow arrow = Black Rock's launch of its private spot #Bitcoin  trust. Black Rock has plans to launch a spot BTC ETF to the world, but not before they and their wealthy friends get in "privatly" first. They would use this vehicle to begin their quiet but massive accumulation.
Now, I was an institution trader for years. I know how to accumulate and know how to spot their accumulation. It's always on the way down. Up is ok, but the big accumulation occurs on the way down. So how, from Aug '22, at a BTC price of $21k, do they get #BTC down? 🤔
The media: 1) #BTC  energy fud; 2) BTC miner bankruptcy fud; 3) Micro Strategy liquidation fud; 4) Mt. GOX fud; 5) GBTC liquidation fud; 5) NYS mining ban fud; 6) President mining tax fud; 7) Texas miners hurting the grid fud; 8) E. Warren running on a ban cryto campaign fud.🤦🏾‍♂️
There is nothing else under the sun that could have been hurled at #Bitcoin to incite the hardcore hodlers to give up and dump, nothing else except: That's right. You guessed it. FTX and corrupt Sam Bankman Fried was one of the last straws to be drawn in this grand scheme.
Rug pulling FTXand exposing SBF for what he was being manipulated for was the big one, the ace in the deck, as it were. And it worked. But only for one week. See orange arrow. "What????" I can imagine the Black Rock private trust traders shouting. "WTF? That's it? When BTC 10k?"
Black Rock did get their original wish, the $15k price area. Remember the position of the 200ma in 2021? But that would be it. The hard stacking plebs that don't give a f*ck became the only players left. Everyone else was gone, beaten, destoyed. The plebs just kept buying, DCA!
Have the games continued? Of course they have. As #Bitcoin  continues to prove resilient by rocketing over nearly 100% from the 2022 lows, it was considered a bit too fast. So, I believe two more major hits were planned. If you stay up to date you know what these are:
1) GBTC #Bitcoin Trust attack: As.the biggest holder of #btc in the world, how do you not try to get them to fold?! After all, their hands are far from clean in all this mess. Some might even say they are major contributors to it. But this is not going so well for the SEC.
2) Major Exchanges Attack: Hitting Coinbase and Binance was inevitable. These guys were basically running casinos, serving as exit iquidity for the wealthy VCs, wash trading to cause their sh*tcoins to rise, creating banking products outside of regulations, etc., etc.
There was no way this was not going to eventually be attacked. So BOOM! SEC lawsuits and Wells Notices were handed out like free cars during an Oprah show!
But this still did not have a huge negative impact on the price. Some dip occurred from just under $31k to the $25k area, but just like the FTX drop, I'm sure Black Rock was like, "WTF!!!!!!!!?????" See blue arrow.

To be continued on an upcoming Twitter Spaces. Stay tuned!

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More from @olvelez007

Jun 30
🧵 Many people refer to Satoshi Nakamoto as the creator of #Bitcoin. I don't see it that way. For me, Satoshi Nakamoto-san was the discoverer of Bitcoin, or digital scarcity, to be more precise. Let me explain.

The discovery of fire changed the entire course of the human race.
Fire helped reduce deaths by protecting humans against the cold. It extended the lifespan of humans by allowing for cooked food, which helped unlock a higher level of energy from the food. Fire helped save lives by being a deterent to wild beasts and it gave us light in darkness.
Fire was one of the greatest discoveries of the human race, but just because for thousands of years, the human race didn't have fire, doesn't mean it didn't exist. Just because you can't see a thing or touch it doesn't necessarily mean it's not present.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 28
🧵 Because of my trading background, some bitcoiners have asked me "why is it that every firm seems to have their #Bitcoin  for sale at different prices at the same moment in time?" In most cases, this question stems from a misunderstanding of what "price" is. I'll explain.
Price is not a single unit, as most believe, but rather an aggregate of many prices from the buyers and the sellers. The best price from all those who currently want to buy (bids) and the best price from all those who currently want to sell (asks), becomes the "price."

1/21
So price, in it's cleanest form is always made up of two units, the inside (best) bid ad the inside (best) ask. Now, because of the decentralized nature of #Bitcoin, inside bids and asks can vary widely from one exchange to another and even wider from one country to another. 2/21
Read 22 tweets
Jun 27
🧵 Here is a quick lesson on scarcity, which brings about increased value and unlimited supply, which kills value.

When many of you and I were younger, music in general was at a higher caliber than what it is today. Talent is not even required anymore, like it used to be.

1/7
The messaging in most music used to center around love, happiness and inspiration, while today it's all about shock value. The more gross and crude you are, the bigger the fan base. The more disrectful you can be with your music, the more streams you get. Why happened?

2/7
Scarcity in music disappeared, and we moved into the age of unlimited music via streaming. It used to take a year or so for a good artist to put out an album. This time restraint created limited supply. Over that year, the artists would pour his soul into the project.

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Jun 27
Many people don't understand how #Bitcoin  uses time to protect itself. Let me explain. #BTC  produces a new block, which contains a block reward of 6.25 BTC, every 10 minutes on average. To attack BTC, you've only got 10 minutes before it repopulates with a new block. 1/4
This means that you'd have to 1) somehow get all the computing power on Earth, including your and my computers and laptops too; 2) garner all the energy in the universe; 3) point all of that at the network to create a double spend; 4) all inside of 10 minutes. Impossible! 2/4
But let's say somehow that could be done, even though it can't. If the attack was successful, it would be a one transaction event, one double spend. That's it. 🤷🏽‍♂️ Billions wasted for one bad transation that the network would get rid of by forking itself. Dumb! Now get this. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Apr 29
Things I wish. 🙏🏽 Part 1🧵:

I wish people would stop saying #Bitcoin  has an inflation rate. It doesn't. BTC is finite. A finite item can't have an inflation rate. This mistake stems from the fact that we have never had a finite item in the universe before Bitcoin. 👇🏽
Everything else is infinite in supply, meaning the ultimate number is never known, so it makes sense to calculate the rate at which new units come into existence (inflation). However, when you know the final supply up front, you don't have inflation. You have "issuance." 👇🏽
I'll explain: Let's say your mom baked 21 chocolate chip cookies. She sold 19 of them to the neighbors. She has 2 left. Did her supply of 21 cookies inflate? No. She issued 19 of the 21, but she did not inflate her supply. Inflation doesn't make sense when you know the supply. 👇🏽
Read 6 tweets
Apr 28
🧵I've been in the field of finance for over 40 years. Ray Dalio was one of three heroes I had during my journey. He wrote a powerful book titled The Changing World Order. It focuses on how the old powers are historically overcome by the new. Ironically, his book speaks to him.👇🏽
Ray Dalio, with all due respect, can not seem to see the coming change via #Bitcoin  for the same reasons he's outlined in his book about superpowers: 1) They become so successful within their own echo chamber they can no longer see anything of value outside of it; 👇🏽
2) Their apex predator starts off so small that they ignore the possibility of adopting it and harnessing it for survival. Then it's too late. In other words, they get drunk on what made them successful and can't see beyond that. Anything that's outside of that is hard to see. 👇🏽
Read 7 tweets

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