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Jul 5, 2023 8 tweets 9 min read Read on X
MASKIROVKA - the Russian strategic disinformation tactic that you really need to know about, as a social media active person.

This is a long thread that breaks down the concept and evolution of the tactics. Take 5 mins to read this thread, and improve your knowledge to protect yourself from falling victim to disinformation - it is worth investing in your personal knowledge armoury!

The practice of military deception is not new. Sun Tzu’s treatise from the fifth century B.C, The Art of War, avowed a strategy of deception: “I will force the enemy to take our strength for weakness, and our weakness for strength, and thus will turn his strength into weakness.” The practice of military deception is not new. Sun Tzu’s treatise from the fifth century B.C., The Art of War, avowed a strategy of deception: “I will force the enemy to take our strength for weakness, and our weakness for strength, and thus will turn his strength into weakness.”

#Maskirovka, here are a few definitions to consider:

In 1988 Dr Charles Smith defined it as “Maskirovka is simply defined as a set of processes designed to mislead, confuse and interfere with accurate data collection regarding all areas of Soviet plans, objectives, strengths or weaknesses”.

In 2015 Dr Julian Lindley-French published a book called NATO: countering strategic Maskirovka. He defined it as “Maskirovka is in fact war, that is short of war. A purposeful strategy of deception that combines use of force with disinformation and destabilisation to create ambiguity in the minds of Alliance leaders about how best to respond”.

In 2016, Major Morgan Maier published “A little Masquerade”, in which he defined it as “the historical word used to describe deception in Russia. Translated into English it means “little #masquerade”. Like other complex cultural ideas, Russia’s conceptualisation of deception, defies simple definitions”.

The origins of the term maskirovka is disputed. Russian scholars go back to the Battle of Kulikovo, which took place on 8 September 1380. The battlefield, some 120 miles south of Moscow, was the venue where Prince Dmitry Ivanovich Donskoy of Moscow divided his mounted fighters into two groups and thus fooled the Mongol Golden.

Till World War II maskirovka was considered a typical military tool, but that changed during the Cold War when Soviet authorities started employing it as one of many Soviet government activities. In 1966, Russian strategist Major General Vasilii Reznichenko acknowledged that maskirovka was more than simply a military tactic for #deception. He defined maskirovka as a ‘set of measures that consists of such actions as concealing true targets and installing simulated ones to deceive and confuse the enemy, and the use of disinformation.’ It reflects the mechanisms of hiding and showing.

Evgeni #Messner: :Creating manageable chaos”. Messner initially shaped his views during the Russian Civil War, experiencing first-hand combat against an opponent that used irregular methods, terror and #propaganda. Later, during World War II, he witnessed guerrilla tactics used by the Chetniks in the Balkans. Messner compiled his experiences in the concept of myatezh voina, or subversive warfare, therein expressing his belief that future conflicts would no longer be fought on front lines.

Psychological operations were an important element of warfare. Messner emphasized the use of maskirovka in order to destabilize command structures and to create ‘fog of war’. The main purpose was to create a manageable form of chaos. While Messner’s publications had been officially banned in the Soviet Union because of his anti-Communistic views, it came as no surprise that his writings enjoyed a considerable revival during the Putin era.

In 2005, the library of the Russian Military Academy issued a Russian publication, based on the legacy of Messner with the title ‘If you want peace, defeat the rebellion!’ Today Messner’s ideas are taught in Russian officers’ courses.
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The long-standing form of #maskirovka turned out to be an umbrella concept that encompasses many English terms such as camouflage, concealment, deception, imitation, disinformation, secrecy, stratagem, feints, diversion, and simulation. In order to understand the concept of maskirovka it is vital to grasp the entire concept rather than just its components.

The modern version of maskirovka is often applied in the information environment, being part of deceitful strategic communications. The main components of present-day maskirovka are concealment, disguising own activities, and deceit, openly showing off to impress the opponent. The overall aim of maskirovka is to surprise a possible opponent or to create manipulated perceptions. Once maskirovka is applied the challenge is to maintain the opponent’s status of surprise. Maskirovka is therefore very similar to deception in general.

A large part of maskirovka consists of active measures, which was a Soviet term for active intelligence operations with the purpose to influence humans or world events in order to reach one’s own geopolitical aim. It includes propaganda, subversive actions, counterfeiting official documents, the deployment of agents of influence and exerting different forms of religious suppression.

One of the mechanisms used for active measures is reflexive control, particularly used in the information environment to control the decision-making process of an opponent. Reflexive control contains four main elements: putting on power pressure, dezinformation, affecting an opponent’s decision-making algorithm, and creating time pressure. Reflexive control is not a stand-alone mechanism; the Russian Federation will always harmonize its use with other governmental influence activities. It constantly uses reflexive control, and it does not stop applying reflexive control when operations are over.

One of the means belonging to active measures to exercise reflexive control is dezinformatsiya, the Russian version of #disinformation. Dezinformatsiya is the intentional spread of inaccurate or manipulated information by #Russian authorities and media with the purpose to deceive other persons. The Soviets already found out that effective #dezinformatsiya also needs to contain some credible information, otherwise nobody will


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The evolution of the Russian “maskirovka” doctrine:

As early as 1924 the Soviet high command considered deception to be “based upon the principles of activity, naturalness, diversity and continuity. It is to include secrecy, imitation, demonstrative actions and disinformation.”

By 1994 the doctrine was further expanded, within the Soviet Military Encyclopedia: “Strategic maskirovka at national and theater levels will mislead the enemy as to political and military capabilities, intentions and timing of actions.” In another echo of Sun Tzu, it continues: “War is merely an extension of politics, it includes political, economic and diplomatic measures as well as military measures.”

In March 2016 Major Morgan Maier wrote a study at the United States Army Command and General Staff College, entitled: “A Little Masquerade: Russia’s Evolving Employment of Maskirovka.” In it he contended that maskirovka, in Russia, was more than just a military tactic for deception. While it was still an important part of military actions, Maier argues that it represents a complex Russian cultural phenomenon that, we in the West, find difficult to understand. s early as 1924 the Soviet high command considered deception to be “based upon the principles of activity, naturalness, diversity and continuity. It is to include secrecy, imitation, demonstrative actions and disinformation.”

In March 2016 Major Morgan Maier wrote a study at the United States Army Command and General Staff College, entitled: “A Little Masquerade: Russia’s Evolving Employment of Maskirovka.” In it he contended that maskirovka, in Russia, was more than just a military tactic for deception. While it was still an important part of military actions, Maier argues that it represents a complex Russian cultural phenomenon that, we in the West, find difficult to understand.

Fast forward to the illegal and murderous invasion of #Ukraine in February 2022 - maskirovka has matured into a full fledged disinformation arm of the Russian state, using the likes of Wagner PMC to create and craft online troll farms to publish disinformation and misinformation, as a tool of war to interfere in foreign state elections and to disrupt economies and destabilise governments with a range of tools from disinformation to ransomware and denial of service attacks on countries infrastructure. Even Pregozhins mini-mutiny has been subjected to maskirovka - with the truths hidden and untruths amplified to control the narrative and create uncertainty in the West.

Lesson to be learned:

Maskirovka is a tactic used on the battlefield from false flag operations, to bogus troop victories and defeats. It is also used in the information warfare landscape - and Twitter is part of the lands a cape.

Be very, very wary and sceptical about information you read on social media platforms. Much of it, if not the majority of it is not what it seems - and you the reader are the pawn in a much bigger military strategy of disinformation. Check your sources, verify claims and don’t retweet posts unless you are sure you are not feeding into the strategy of Russian #maskirovka

If you found this post interesting, please share for others to take this into consideration when posting “news and events” in the War on Ukraine.
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More from @Beefeater_Fella

May 14
Georgian MPs approved controversial plans to brand hundreds of NGOs and media outlets as foreign agents on May 14th, 2024, paving the way for the bill to become law despite growing domestic dissent and condemnation from the U.S. and EU.

This is all happening because of a Vatnik Oligarch called Bidzina Ivanishvili, who created and finances the Pro-Russian Georgian Dream Party.

Tens of thousands of Georgians have taken to the streets in recent weeks to protest against the bill, which campaigners have branded the “Russian law” given its similarity to rules used by Moscow to shutter civil society groups and suppress critics. Riot police used tear gas, shields and batons to disperse the crowds who gathered outside parliament

In a vote, parliamentarians supported the proposals brought forward by the governing Georgian Dream party by 84 votes in favor and 30 against, after weeks of contentious debate that saw several brawls break out in the assembly chamber and one senior lawmaker assaulted. Crowds gathered outside the graffiti-daubed parliament building with whistles, vuvuzelas and even hitting pots and pans in a bid to make themselves heard by the lawmakers inside.

Under the new rules, civil society groups receiving more than 20 percent of their income from abroad will be required to register as “organizations serving the interests of a foreign power,” a label that critics fear will be used to silence anti-corruption campaigners and others critical of the government.

European Parliament, MEPs representing the EPP, S&D, Greens and Renew groupings have written to Borrell urging him to prepare “targeted” sanctions against Georgian Dream politicians who pushed the foreign agents law — including Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze — as well as the MPs who voted for it.

Not long ago, any comparison of the Georgian regime’s trajectory with that of Belarus was alien to expert thinking and public imagination. However, the current state of affairs in Georgia is so dire and is deteriorating so fast, that this course of events remains imaginable and rationally possible. All authoritarian regimes were, at some point, unfathomable before their consolidation. The art of authoritarian regime-making lies in realizing what was previously deemed unthinkable.

It is likely that Ivanishvili always held deeply anti-Western views and believed in wild conspiracies hatched in Russian propaganda factories. But he and his party had to camouflage as pro-Western and reluctantly follow the path of Georgia’s European integration – because this was a firm choice of the majority of Georgians.

This is no longer relevant. Ivanishvili and key figures of his party and government (which increasingly became one) communicated a manifest intention to peel off the remnants of a crumbling facade. Ivanishvili’s anti-Western manifesto of April 29 foreshadowed the rapid consolidation of a substantively anti-western authoritarian regime.

That manifesto defined all political opponents and civil society as hostile foreign agents and contained the direct announcement of repressions against them, a clear indication of his use of authoritarian methods to maintain power.

Once the decision is taken to abandon the pretense of requiring popular legitimacy, there is nothing irrational in the choice of mass violent repression as the primary tool to achieve the objective.

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Ivanishvili’s anti-Western manifesto of April 29 foreshadowed the rapid consolidation of a substantively anti-western authoritarian regime.

That manifesto defined all political opponents and civil society as hostile foreign agents and contained the direct announcement of repressions against them, a clear indication of his use of authoritarian methods to maintain power. Once the decision is taken to abandon the pretense of requiring popular legitimacy, there is nothing irrational in the choice of mass violent repression as the primary tool to achieve the objective.

Throughout the last 18 months, representatives of Georgian Dream and the government have increasingly begun to make hostile statements about their Western partners. News organisation OC Media reports that, between February and July 2022, Georgian Dream chair Irakli Kobakhidze made only nine comments critical of Russia but a total of 57 negative remarks about the West and 26 about Ukraine.

Georgian Dream leaders have often presented their criticism of the US and the EU in the last year as warnings against foreign interference in Georgian domestic politics.

Yet the fact that they have done so in ways seemingly designed to offend suggests that they want to push representatives of Western powers to leave Georgia.
It is clear that something has altered in the firmament of Georgia’s governing elite in very recent times. To understand what might have changed, it is important to consider the background and career of Ivanishvili, whose presence has dominated the country’s political scene for a decade.

As one Georgian Dream MP recently confirmed, Ivanishvili is “the key decision-maker in Georgia, especially about sensitive questions such as Russia.” Ivanishvili is not just any oligarch but one of a small group who in 1996 became part of the Semibankirschina. This group of ‘seven bankers’ – which was, in reality, made up of more than seven people, not all of whom were bankers – financed the re-election of Boris Yeltsin as Russian president.

At the time, Yeltsin’s approval rating stood at just 3 per cent, and the Communists looked set to return to power. Ivanishvili’s mission in this group was to finance the electoral campaign of Alexander Lebed, a kind of artificial candidate positioned to split the vote for Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov.

Ivanishvili was born in 1956 in the remote village of Chorvila, near the Russian border. Despite his modest background, he graduated in 1980 from Tbilisi State University’s Faculty of Engineering and Economics.

He would later move to Moscow, where he met Vitaly Malkin – a Russian businessman and politician with whom he would, during perestroika, set up a successful business selling computers and other electronic devices. The fortune they made in this trade allowed them to later enter the lucrative metals and banking sectors.

Ivanishvili and Malkin founded Rossiysky Kredit, a bank that would rapidly grow to become the heart of their business empire. Ivanishvili took a cautious approach to the chaotic Russia of the 1990s, avoiding profitable but politically dangerous sectors such as hydrocarbons.

He set his sights on mineral extraction and processing complexes, which he bought up at low cost to later sell at a huge profit. Ivanishvili progressively diversified his business activities in Russia to areas such as real estate, pharmaceuticals, and agriculture, before transferring some of his wealth abroad.

It is surprising that Ivanishvili was invited to join the Semibankirschina (along with Malkin), given that he was less wealthy and influential than other members, such as Boris Berezovsky, Mikhail Khodorkovsky, Mikhail Fridman, Vladimir Gusinsky, Vladimir Potanin, Alexander Smolensky, and Vladimir Vinogradov. But, regardless of why Ivanishvili made the cut, he moved to the centre of Russia’s ruling elite.

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👉 Ivanishvili’s links to Russia:

After making his corrupt fortune in tumultuous post-Soviet Russia, Ivanishvili, 56, returned to Georgia shortly before the peaceful 2003 Rose Revolution catapulted Saakashvili to power. Upon returning to Georgia in 2003, he rebuilt his native hilltop village of Chorvilla into a personal fiefdom, giving fellow villagers generous monthly allowances and equipping each household with a stove.

For years after he quietly financed Saakashvili. But his friendship with Saakashivli soured after the U.S.-educated president cracked down on dissent, imposed controls over the media and led his nation into the 2008 war with Russia.

Saakashvili stripped Ivanishvili of his Georgian citizenship on the grounds he was still French — and Georgia doesn't allow dual nationality. Parliament swiftly passed a law allowing Ivanishvili to run as an EU citizen.

A new report by the Transparency International (TI) Georgia, a local corruption watchdog, said that the ruling Georgian Dream party founder and billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili is the beneficial owner of at least one company in Russia, while his inner circle continues to do business with a U.S.-sanctioned former KGB general.

Ivanishvili owns the firm in question, Aqua-Space Ltd., through his offshore company Vanity Overseas Ltd., TI Georgia said. The Aqua-Space is currently active and operates in the commercial property, buying and selling, as well as renting and managing non-residential buildings, according to the report.

The document noted that Olga Borovikova has served as the General Director of the company. She also serves as the director of Dolgovoe Agentstvo, a legal successor of Unicor, a company founded by Ivanishvili to manage his assets in Russia, the watchdog added.

The study findings said that in 2013 when Ivanishvili served as the Georgian Prime Minister, his Aqua-Space Ltd. took merged with two other Russian companies — Enterprise Service Ltd. and Prestige Market Ltd. Later in 2014, the company also merged with Transforming Group Ltd., another Russian firm.

Besides operating in Russia, the offshore-based Vanity Overseas Ltd. owns Aqua Center Ltd. in Georgia, run by GD founder’s nephew Kakha Kobiashvili, the watchdog noted. As per the report, Kobiashvili officially represents Ivanishvili’s offshore companies in Georgia.

Despite making a promise to dispose of his Russian assets upon entering politics in 2011, the Georgian billionaire remained a beneficial owner of at least 10 companies — branching out into a wider network of subsidiaries — in Russia through offshore firms between 2012 and 2019, per the report.

The report said that until 2015, Ivanishvili held through offshore company Wellminstone S.A., a Russian firm called Industrial TechGlobal Ltd. This company had previously merged with other Russian firms of the offshore holding — with ResourceFutures Ltd., in 2014 and TransFinanceActive Ltd., Securities Market Financial-Analytical Group Ltd., MetProm Holding Ltd., Telecomnetwork ltd.., SpecPromTrans Ltd., and ServiceTechAlliance Ltd. in 2008.

TI Georgia reported that Ivanishvili’s other offshore company Wenigen Management Ltd. also owned multiple firms in Russia during different periods — Firm AVEK Ltd. until 2019, TERS Ltd. until November 2015, KMA-HoldingTrans Ltd. until June 2015, and MK-Holding Ltd. until November 2013.

When Ivanishvili entered Georgian politics in 2011, he presented himself as a patriot who, having made his fortune, could now use his experience in the service of his homeland. He really believes in a regional or even world order, shaped more by Russia than by the West.

In an interview in April 2013, he claimed to have sold his assets in Russia in just a few months at market price. At the time, Ivanishvili strove to put some distance between himself and the Kremlin. This helped him on his way politically, and he became prime minister, serving between October 2012 and November 2013.

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Read 10 tweets
May 13
Who is Nikolai Patrushev (Snr)?
A deep dive and potted history..

Nikolai Patrushev, a Kremlin hawk, career intelligence officer and close associate of the Russian president. Patrushev belongs to the siloviki of Putin's inner circle. Patrushev, is the "most dangerous man in Russia" because of his "paranoid conspiracy-driven mindset."

He is one of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s closest advisers and wields considerable influence on government policy as the head of the powerful Security Council of Russia.

The council is where Russia’s security policy is formulated, and it is the center where intelligence from Russian sources and networks from abroad are received.

Patrushev is the one who interprets that intelligence. Patrushev often gives interviews to state-owned media about his conspiratorial views of the West and what the Kremlin describes as Russia’s “special military operation” in Ukraine.

👉 His views on colour revolutions, threats that worry Moscow the most and UKRAINE.

Per the Guardian interview in 2015:

“Colour revolutions are another form of destabilisation that represent an equally serious threat – the latest iteration of which occurred in Ukraine.

It is clear that behind the campaign to destabilise Ukraine lies an attempt to manufacture an instrument with which to weaken Russia dramatically. It was with this aim in mind that the preconditions were created in Ukraine for maintaining constant tension, further developing extreme forms of nationalism and sabotaging the Minsk agreements. At the same time, the task of keeping EU member states on a short leash was fulfilled: anti-Russian sanctions and positions are imposed upon them in disregard of their [own] opinions and national interests.

“You have to look at events objectively. The US are trying to prove that Russia is party to the conflict in Ukraine, but that is not the case. Moreover, the US themselves started the conflict in Ukraine.”

In August 2021, during the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan, Patrushev told Izvestia newspaper that the United States had abandoned its Afghan allies, and that the reason was the incompetent work of the intelligence services of the United States, Britain and other NATO countries and the misplaced belief of the West in the correctness of its decisions. He predicted that the United States would also abandon its allies in Ukraine:
"...Kyiv is obsequiously serving the interests of its overseas patrons, striving to get into NATO. But was the ousted pro-American regime in Kabul saved by the fact that Afghanistan had the status of a principal U.S. ally outside NATO? (No). A similar situation awaits supporters of the American choice in Ukraine."

In early November 2021, CIA Director William Burns and U.S. Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan met in Moscow with Patrushev and informed him that they knew about Russia's invasion plans. Burns warned that if Putin proceeded down this path, the West would respond with severe consequences for Russia. Sullivan recounted that Patrushev was undeterred and "supremely confident" that the invasion was going to succeed. However, in late January 2022, just before the invasion, Patrushev publicly denied that Russia was prepared to attack Ukraine.

On April 26, 2022, Patrushev gave an interview to the state Russian newspaper “Rossiskaya gazeta. He began with his favorite topic – the evil intentions of the West in general and the United States in particular. Patrushev said that while other countries are intimidated by the U.S. and "can’t even raise their heads,” Russia has “not only dared, but publicly declared that it would not play by the imposed rules” of the U.S.

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Next 👉 Wild theories on human organ trade in Ukraine..Image
Indeed, the Russian government has been true to its word as evidenced by the brutal war it is waging against Ukraine and its people, which is in flagrant violation of all conventions of war. During the interview, Patrushev talks about a made up “criminal community who fled Ukraine” and “who are now engaged in the widespread business of the sale of orphans taken out of Ukraine.”

Meanwhile, the West, Patrushev asserts, “has already revived the shadow market for the purchase of human organs from the socially vulnerable segments of the Ukrainian population for clandestine transplant operations for European patients.” The West, Patrushev continues, “is giving support to Ukrainian neo-Nazis, by continuing to supply Ukraine with weapons.”

Patrushev then quotes Putin, who called the West an “empire of lies” once sanctions had been imposed. In Patrushev’s world view, the West seeks to reduce the “world’s population in various ways.” One of which is the creation of “an empire of lies, involving the humiliation and destruction of Russia and other objectionable states.”

In October 2022, Patrushev accused the United States and its allies of wanting to "fight to the last Ukrainian". He said that Anglo-Saxons "are exploiting Ukraine as an instrument of struggle with our country ... The goal is to suppress Russia, retain their imaginary supremacy, keep their unipolar world, ensure themselves the opportunity to live at the expense of others.

In November 2022, Patrushev accused the West of inciting Ukraine to attacks on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant and of assisting in the production of a "dirty bomb". He also accused the United States of wanting to recruit terrorists from Afghanistan and use them in the fight against Russia in Ukraine. He claimed that the West wants to destabilize the world to maintain its global dominance, saying that the "reckless policy of Washington, London, and their allies resulted in bloody adventures in the Balkans, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Afghanistan and Ukraine, which have already claimed the lives of hundreds of thousands of people."

In January 2023, he claimed that Russia was fighting NATO in Ukraine and that the West was trying to destroy Russia.

In February 2023, during a meeting with CCP Politburo member Wang Yi in Moscow, Patrushev claimed that "the bloody events in Ukraine staged by the West" are just one example of the West's attempts to maintain its global dominance.

In May 2023, Patrushev blamed the United States and Ukraine for the number of attacks in western Russia and said that "the terrorist attacks committed in Russia are accompanied by an information campaign prepared in advance in Washington and London, designed to destabilise the socio-political situation, and to undermine the constitutional foundations and sovereignty of Russia."

On 15 September 2023, Patrushev claimed that Russia had identified and "neutralized" hundreds of foreign spies in recent years. In September 2023, he met the Chinese foreign minister in Moscow for the annual security talks.[54] On 10 October 2023, he arrived in Baku, Azerbaijan, where he met with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev.

On 22 December 2023, The Wall Street Journal cited sources within the Western and Russian intelligence agencies as saying that the Wagner Group plane crash was orchestrated by Patrushev. The paper alleged that Patrushev presented to Putin a plan to assassinate Yevgeny Prigozhin in August 2023, which led to intelligence officials inserting a bomb under the wing of Prigozhin's plane during pre-departure safety checks.[57]
In March 2024, Patrushev claimed that Ukraine was behind the Crocus City Hall attack in Moscow.

On 12 May 2024, Putin nominated outgoing Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to replace Patrushev as the Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, effective as of 14 May 2024.

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👉 His known beliefs..

Patrushev considers the 2014 Revolution of Dignity in Ukraine to have been started by the United States and believes that the United States "would much prefer that Russia did not exist at all."

The Guardian ran an article about his views in July 2015, saying his country is under threat – from terrorists, from colour revolutions and, particularly, from America. Ahead of a recent conference to discuss global instability, Patrushev spoke to Kommersant about civil liberties, Syria, and western aggression. He says that global instability is growing precisely because the west continually seeks to solve its problems at the expense of others. This has led to sovereignty and territorial integrity being undermined in a series of Middle Eastern and North African countries. That, in turn, gave extremists and terrorists the opportunity to gather their forces and entrench their positions.

The consequences of the spread of chaos across the world are now entering a new phase. We have witnessed a highly dangerous development whereby extremist cells operating in different regions of the world unite under the auspices of the so-called Islamic State (Isis), which is in fact a terrorist organisation created from one of the branches of al-Qaida.

This pseudo-government has secured the allegiance of such odious groups as Boko Haram in Nigeria, al-Shabaab in Somalia and part of the Taliban movement in Pakistan. A whole string of terrorist organisations in central Asia and the north Caucasus have also sworn loyalty to Isis, including the Turkistan Islamic Party and Caucasus Emirate.

👉 He opined “anti-terrorist coalitions forged by the US are essentially being used to intervene militarily in the affairs of sovereign states.

You can see this in Syria where the attempt to depose the lawful president, Bashar al-Assad, resulted in support being leant to opposition forces. That explains why airstrikes on Isis positions occur only intermittently. It just so happens that if the terrorists are fighting against Assad, they can be considered legitimate, whereas if they harm American interests, as, for instance, in Iraq, they must be annihilated. [The Americans] define which terrorists you can parlay or have dealings with, and which not, solely on the basis of their own interests.

I would like to underline the fact that fighting international terrorism as a single country or narrow coalition is ineffective by definition. Terrorism cannot be defeated alone or by separate groups because it doesn’t obey neatly defined geographical boundaries and can strike these groups without warning. In this regard, Russia is prepared to cooperate with the security services of any country on any continent, including the US.

Countering terrorism is a task for the whole international community without exception. For any state today to believe that it can remain on the sidelines, unaffected by this threat, is naïve. Russia insists on principle that the UN and its security council should take on the role of chief coordinator in resisting terrorism.

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Next 👉 His views on “terrorism” in Russia and neighboursImage
Read 17 tweets
May 5
If you follow my threads, you will know that I regularly assert that the principle of “bad data in = bad data out”, is the key basis for NOT believing any economic data and information put out through “official channels” in both Russia and China.

After almost every reputable news outfit in the West has parroted GDP and trade figures from both China and Russia, they have failed to question and challenge this information as the basis for economic trends and forecasting.

Putin and Jinping are thugs in charge of brutal and dictatorial regimes, that mislead, misdirect, misinform and they have both weaponised economic data for their own ends, to push out overly optimistic economic messages in their failing regimes - to maks their weaknesses.

Now Forbes has run an analysis piece - saying that China’s official messaging over the past two years on it’s economic performance, does not match up with reality, and is now at odds with other forecasting from the IMF.

The IMF itself is an active distributor of unverified and unreliable economic information, Russia stopped reporting economic data to them back in December 2022. They have since relied on thumb sucking guess on the Russian economy, yet still parrot fabulously optimistic and nonsense claims on the Russian economy.

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China:

The case of economic propaganda painting a picture of GPD growth, when in fact it has seen a decline over the past two years, since it covered up the extent, origins and impact of COVID-19, and since it began supporting Russia in it’s illegal invasion of Ukraine.

China’s economy is showing multiple signs of weakness. Actual growth seems below the official figures; there is substantial deflation; the housing market has yet to stabilize; and the domestic stock markets have fallen significantly. Domestic confidence is flagging, and foreign investment in 2023 was at a three-decade low. Are we witnessing the early days of an emerging full-blown economic crisis, is this just a deeper than unusual cyclical downturn, or are the worries vastly overblown?

According to the dictatorial communist regime led by Xi Jinping, the Chinese economy grew about 5% annually in 2022 and 2023, measured in local currency.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) adjusts for the fact that the renminbi lost 12-14% of its value over that period, and comes up with a different picture. Real GDP actually declined from 2021 to 2023. (Other Western sources, including the World Bank and the Federal Reserve cite similar numbers.)

Western economists tend to focus on the usual economic drivers, the indicators and trends that regularly factor into their models – trade figures (mixed signals), debt loads (high), price trends (deflationary), consumer demand (weak), consumer savings (excessive), industrial capacity (overbuilt), fiscal stimulus (inadequate), monetary policy (incoherent).

Some see a parallel to the long period of economic stagnation that Japan experienced following its economic crisis in the late 1980s. References to the “Japanification” of China have begun to proliferate.

All that may be true. But – there is another factor driving the Chinese downturn, which is not part of the Japanification scenario. It is missing from most economists’ explanations because lies outside the parameters of economic science as such.

The Chinese economy is suffering from the continuing impact of Covid-19.

Chinese public health policies were severe. For almost three years following the outbreak of the pandemic, China pursued a “zero-Covid” policy aimed at “maximum suppression” – which meant aggressive contact tracing, frequent mass testing, border shutdowns, large-scale internal quarantine programs, and ultimately lockdowns of entire cities.

Factories and businesses struggled to maintain operations. Consumption patterns were disrupted as consumers were restricted from many of their normal activities. Supply chains serving Western customers broke down.

What is becoming clear is that the scope of Covid’s impact on the Chinese economy has been much more severe than the official data describe. At first reflexively, then as a matter of proactive design, the Chinese government set out to conceal the reality of the pandemic from its own citizens and from the outside world.

The motive was an instinctive need to defend the Communist Party’s reputation for competency, upon which its practical legitimacy is based. In the end, they deceived themselves as well.

👉 Read George Calhoun’s analysis in the Forbes publication (May 2024), the links are as always, provided in the references tweet below.

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Next 👉 Read my previous threads on Economic disinformation from dictators and indicted war criminals.Image
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My previous threads on dismissing any economic data washed through dictator or war criminal propaganda outlets:
Read 6 tweets
May 3
For decades, Cyprus has attracted Russians, Russian Intelligence and corrupt Russian wealth - stolen or embezzled out of Russia by thieves and Oligarchs (…well they are really one and the same).

Now approximately 120 thousand Russians live on the island, both from Russia and from the countries of the former USSR, half of whom have already received Cypriot citizenship.

👉 This is 10% of the country's population - a significant political force capable of significantly influencing the situation in the state. She is also extremely wealthy and often favorably disposed towards the Russian authorities.

This is primarily due to the fact that the “golden passport” program, in effect from 2002 to 2020, allowed hundreds of Putin officials, businessmen and, quite possibly, Russian intelligence agents to enter Europe. In total, about 2,900 Russians received such passports .

In addition, Cyprus was a convenient place to store capital for Russian businessmen, including those close to the Kremlin: in 2018 alone, the outflow of investments from Russia to Cyprus amounted to almost $21 billion.

This opens up opportunities to influence the politics of Cyprus and, as a result, the general policy of EU countries: it was the Cypriot authorities who were the first in Europe - back in 2016 - to talk about lifting sanctions on Russia for the annexation of Crimea and involvement in the war in eastern Ukraine.

This picture is confirmed by a recent investigation by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists into the leak of documents from several Cypriot financial campaigns.

👉 In addition, Cyprus is a popular place of residence for Russian intelligence officers who have gone into business or retired: take, for example, former Prime Minister and ex-head of the SVR Evgeniy Primakov, who spent a lot of time on the island in the last years of his life.

It is not surprising that with such initial data, Cyprus firmly entered the sphere of interests of the Kremlin and became an important springboard for the work of intelligence services against the backdrop of a full-fledged conflict between Russia and Western countries.

While other European countries are expelling Russian diplomats in batches and cutting off contacts with Russia, Cyprus remains on the sidelines. In words, he follows the course of Brussels and bans RT; in fact, any of the more than 120 thousand Russians in Cyprus can watch Russian channels here .

The island state not only has not expelled a single diplomat since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, but also received a new ambassador with security experience - Murat Zyazikov.

In small Cyprus , the Kremlin’s influence is clearly visible. As in other countries, it finds itself under the cover of various pseudo-public organizations under the auspices of Rossotrudnichestvo and other Kremlin departments .

This includes the Russian-language press , which either openly works in partnership with the embassy or is secretly controlled from Moscow, but invariably supports the pro-Kremlin narrative.

At the beginning of 2024, a new party, Elpis, appeared in Cyprus, which immediately set a course for friendship with Moscow. It’s not surprising: one of its founders, Marios Fotiou, not only has ties to Russia - he traveled to Donbass in 2017 with a load of optical sights for local militants together with Vitaly Milonov.

Another attempt to create a pro-Russian party was exposed when it turned out that its leaders openly said at meetings that they coordinated all their steps with the Russian Embassy.

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After the outbreak of a full-scale war in Ukraine, EU countries expelled hundreds of Russian diplomats, banned Russian propaganda channels, and introduced visa restrictions and sanctions. It may seem that the path to Europe is now closed to Russian intelligence services - but this is not so.

An important outpost of the Kremlin in the European Union remains Cyprus, a state with a reputation as an offshore zone and more than a hundred thousand Russians and immigrants from Russia and the countries of the former USSR.

👉 Not a single diplomat has been expelled from the island, unlike most other EU countries, since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, and in 2022 the Russian embassy was headed by an FSB lieutenant general. The Dossier Center tells how Russian influence works in Cyprus.

In October 2023, Rossiyskaya Gazeta correspondent Alexander Gasyuk was arrested in Cyprus on suspicion of espionage. Gasyuk was caught red-handed while spying on a certain object and was subsequently sent to Russia.

When he was detained, the journalist was not alone - he was covered by an employee of the Russian embassy, ​​Danil Doinikov, who even tried to fight him off from the Cypriot police officers; he was also detained. Gasyuk appeared in Cyprus in the spring of 2022, shortly after the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, and before Cyprus he worked in the United States and Greece.

It was the American intelligence services that conveyed information to their Cypriot colleagues about the journalist’s undercover work for Russian intelligence.

This deportation is perhaps the only noticeable attempt by the Cypriot authorities to interfere with Russian intelligence services on the island. For example, the current head of the TASS representative office in Cyprus, Andrei Surzhansky, who came here with Gasyuk, is mentioned in the press as an employee of the Foreign Intelligence Service.

While other EU countries were expelling dozens of Russian diplomats for spying, Cyprus, although following the EU foreign policy course regarding war and supporting sanctions, did not interfere with the activities of Russian diplomats and propaganda: the authorities limited RT cable broadcasting, but Russian channels are still available on the Internet.

Not a single Russian diplomat was deported. In total, there are about 300 employees in the Russian embassy and the “Russian House” in little Cyprus, several sources familiar with the activities of the diplomatic mission told the Dossier Center. They note that since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, the number of diplomats has only grown. The number of various antennas on the roof of the embassy and the residential building belonging to it has also increased sharply.

Even the Russian ambassador to Cyprus is a security officer without any diplomatic experience.

In September 2022, the Russian embassy was headed by FSB Lieutenant General Murat Zyazikov. He went into civilian life in 2002, when he changed the post of deputy director of the FSB for the Astrakhan region to deputy plenipotentiary representative of the Russian President in the Southern Federal District, and two months later, in extremely dubious elections, he was elected president of Ingushetia and served in this post until 2008 .

Later, Zyazikov held various government positions - he was an adviser to Dmitry Medvedev when he was president, he joined the embassy in the Central Federal District, but had nothing to do with diplomacy.

Probably, when Zyazikov was appointed, his connections with the security forces were much more important than his diplomatic career, especially in conditions when diplomatic contacts in Europe are kept to a minimum. Already in December 2023, Putin awarded Zyazikov the Order of Honor “For his great contribution to the implementation of the foreign policy of the Russian Federation and many years of conscientious work.”

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Next 👉 Russian Embassy in Cyprus, den of corruptionImage
One can draw a conclusion about Zyazikov’s work in Cyprus based on several factors. For the first time in history, the Russian embassy opened a representative office in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, unrecognized by anyone except Turkey.

The second, much more noticeable factor is the flourishing of various cultural and patriotic events under the auspices of the Russian diplomatic mission. While many other EU countries are fighting against such propaganda, Russian diplomats are coming up with more and more unexpected reasons for them.

Traditional Soviet-Russian celebrations like May 9 were supplemented, for example, by an event in honor of the lifting of the Leningrad blockade on January 26. Moreover, on September 30, 2023, a celebration was held in front of the Russia House in Nicosia in honor of the “annexation” of the annexed regions of Ukraine to the Russian Federation.

The grand opening of the Ayia Napa - Gelendzhik view park in November 2023 can be considered an unconditional diplomatic success for Zyazikov and his subordinates: the Cypriot and Krasnodar resorts are linked by twinning.

The event was attended by the mayor of Ayia Napa, Christos Zanettou, and other local officials. This ordinary event for the pre-war situation could hardly be carried out without serious work with Cypriot officials, whose participation in such a celebration was clearly compromised: by May 2022, more than 150 cities around the world had already severed their sister-city relations with Russian cities.

Judging by the rank of guests among Cypriot officials at embassy events, the embassy's recruitment activities have now reoriented from the highest political elite, which due to circumstances have become especially cautious, to local municipal authorities, and the celebration in Ayia Napa may be one example of such recruitment.
Russian Cyprus

The management of the intelligence activities of various Russian departments (FSB, SVR, GRU) is concentrated in the diplomatic missions of the Russian Federation - embassies and consulates. The main work with agents of influence among emigrants is carried out by a special department - Rossotrudnichestvo, which is the successor to the Soviet All-Union Society for Cultural Relations with Foreign Countries (VOKS).

Rossotrudnichestvo has 85 foreign representative offices, and 72 Russian centers of science and culture, the so-called “Russian Houses,” operate in 62 countries. Unlike embassies, “Russian Houses” are open to everyone and are extremely convenient for contacts with agents of influence and the recruitment of new agents during all kinds of cultural events, and among their leaders you can find people with a biography that speaks of a possible connection with the intelligence services.

In many countries (for example, in Germany ) all sorts of pseudo-public organizations are concentrated around Russian embassies and “Russian houses”. They are created on the initiative of Moscow, and their activities are controlled, planned and financed either by Moscow directly or by the embassy and the Russian Houses.

Each such organization works with its own target group, and in general they strive to cover all social, age, ethnic and religious groups of “compatriots” in the country. In little Cyprus, their activities are visible, and they themselves and their members play a much more significant role in the social life of Russian migrants than, for example, in Germany.

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May 1
A detailed thread setting out the new OFAC sanctions published 01 May 2024:

Intro:

U.S. Continues to Degrade Russia’s Military-Industrial Base and Target Third-Country Support with Nearly 300 New Sanctions

Per the FT and OFAC press statements today:

The targets of the sanctions announced on Wednesday include two Chinese groups that provided Moscow with nitrocellulose, an ingredient for gunpowder and rocket propellant, as well as Russian importers of the chemicals.

The Chinese targets include groups that allegedly supplied Russia with drones, weapons and ammunition, in addition to chips, sensors and other military-related technology.

The Treasury placed sanctions on two Chinese groups — Wuhan Global Sensor Technology and Wuhan Tongsheng Technology — that officials recently told reporters were helping Russia. Wuhan Global produced infrared detectors for a Russian manufacturer of military optics.

It also targeted Juhang Aviation, a Shenzhen-based company that produces drone-related equipment, including propellers, signal jammers, sensors and engines.

The US also designated shipping operators that have continued to support the development of Russia’s Arctic LNG 2 project after it was sanctioned last year. Among them is Red Box Energy Services, a Singapore-based company founded by US-born shipping executive Philip Adkins.

The journey of Red Box-operated vessels, the Audax and Pugnax, through the ice-bound Northern Sea Route to deliver equipment to Arctic LNG 2 was documented in a Financial Times investigation in February. Adkins has not been designated by the US. He did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The US Department of State said: “Today’s actions demonstrate the United States’ continued resolve to constrain the Arctic LNG 2 project’s production and export capacity and limit third-party support to the project.” The US has sought other ways to curb cash flows to Vladimir Putin’s regime, including a measure that passed the Senate on Tuesday to ban imports of enriched uranium from Russia.

The White House has indicated it supports the move. The bill will also release $2.7bn in government funding to build domestic uranium processing within the US. Almost a fifth of the nuclear fuel used by the US nuclear reactor fleet is supplied through enrichment contracts with Russian suppliers, which is estimated to be worth about $1bn a year.

The legislation contains temporary waivers until the start of 2028, during which US customers can continue importing Russian uranium if no alternative supplies are available.

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Today, (01 may 2024), the Department of the Treasury is taking action to further degrade Russia’s ability to sustain its war machine, continuing a multilateral campaign to limit the Kremlin’s revenue and access to the materiel it needs to prosecute its illegal war against Ukraine.

Today’s actions target Russia’s military-industrial base and chemical and biological weapons programs as well as companies and individuals in third countries that help Russia acquire key inputs for weapons or defense-related production.

The United States, along with many international partners, is particularly concerned about entities based in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and other third countries that provide critical inputs to Russia’s military-industrial base.

This support enables Russia to continue its war against Ukraine and poses a significant threat to international security. The almost 300 targets being sanctioned by both Treasury and the Department of State include sanctions on dozens of actors that have enabled Russia to acquire desperately needed technology and equipment from abroad.

“Treasury has consistently warned that companies will face significant consequences for providing material support for Russia’s war, and the U.S. is imposing them today on almost 300 targets,” said Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen.

“Today’s actions will further disrupt and degrade Russia’s war efforts by going after its military industrial base and the evasion networks that help supply it. Even as we’re throwing sand in the gears of Russia’s war machine, President Biden’s recently-passed National Security Supplemental is providing badly-needed military, economic, and humanitarian support to bolster Ukraine’s courageous resistance. Combined, our support for Ukraine and our relentless targeting of Russia’s military capacity is giving Ukraine a critical leg-up on the battlefield.”

In addition to the nearly 200 targets sanctioned by the Department of the Treasury, the Department of State is imposing sanctions on over 80 entities and individuals that are engaged in sanctions evasion and circumvention or are related to Russia’s chemical and biological weapons programs and defense industrial base.

The Department of State is also targeting Russia’s revenue generation through its future energy, metals, and mining production and sanctioning additional individuals in connection with the death of opposition leader and anticorruption activist Aleksey Navalny. For more information on State actions, see the Department of State Fact Sheet.

The U.S. Department of Justice also filed a forfeiture complaint today against a set of aircraft landing gear for a Boeing 737-800 that was detained in September 2023 at Miami International Airport by U.S. Customs and Border Patrol.

The gear was purchased for $1.55 million for the benefit of a Kyrgyz Republic-based transhipper of dual-use items servicing the Russian Federation, in violation of U.S. sanctions on LLC RM Design and Development, which was designated by OFAC in July 2022.

👉 SANCTIONS EVASION, CIRCUMVENTION, AND BACKFILL

Treasury is committed to disrupting individuals and entities who help facilitate Russia’s acquisition of technology and equipment for its war machine.

Treasury and other U.S. government partners have issued extensive guidance and conducted outreach around the world to educate and inform about the risks of doing business with Russia, and Treasury will continue to take unilateral action when necessary to disrupt Russia’s military-industrial supply chains, no matter where they are located.

Today’s action includes nearly 60 targets located in Azerbaijan, Belgium, the PRC, Russia, Slovakia, Türkiye, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), that enable Russia to acquire desperately-needed technology and equipment from abroad.

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👉 RUSSIA’S MILITARY-INDUSTRIAL BASE

Russia’s military-industrial base relies on a vast ecosystem of entities that enable and support the production, maintenance, transportation, and sustainment of materiel used by Russia’s military. Today’s action takes aim at more than 100 entities operating or that have operated in the technology, defense and related materiel, manufacturing, or transportation sectors of the Russian Federation economy.

For more information on these targets, please see Annex 2.

Foreign financial institutions that conduct or facilitate significant transactions, or provide any service, involving Russia’s military-industrial base—including any person designated pursuant to E.O. 14024 for operating or having operated in the technology, defense and related materiel, construction, aerospace, or manufacturing sectors of the Russian Federation economy—run the risk of being sanctioned by OFAC. Russia’s military-industrial base may also include individuals and entities that support the sale, supply, or transfer of certain items or classes of items.

OFAC has issued Guidance for Foreign Financial Institutions on OFAC Sanctions Authorities Targeting Support to Russia’s Military-Industrial Base.

👉 RUSSIA’S ACQUISITION OF EXPLOSIVES PRECURSORS

Russia relies on external suppliers for cotton cellulose and its highly flammable byproduct, nitrocellulose, which are key explosives precursors that Russia needs to keep producing gunpowder, rocket propellants, and other explosives.

Today’s action targets major Russian importers of cotton cellulose, nitrocellulose, and key inputs to nitrocellulose such as cotton pulp, as well as two PRC-based suppliers sending these substances to Russia.

👉 RUSSIA’S CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS PROGRAM PROCUREMENT

Treasury is also targeting three Russia-based entities and two individuals involved in procuring items for military institutes involved in Russia’s chemical and biological weapons programs. In coordination, the Department of State is separately designating three Russian government entities associated with Russia’s chemical and biological weapons programs and four Russian companies contributing to such entities.

These actions are being taken concurrent with the Department of State’s imposition of Chemical and Biological Weapons Control and Warfare Elimination Act of 1991 (the CBW Act) sanctions on Russia over its use of the chemical weapon chloropicrin against Ukrainian troops.

👉 EXPANSION OF RUSSIA’S NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE

Guided by commitments made in February by President Biden and G7 leaders to take steps to limit Russia’s future energy revenues and impede Russia’s development of future energy projects, today Treasury is targeting two Russia-based entities involved in natural gas-related construction projects, Neftegazstroy and Aktsionernoe Obshchestvo Vnipigazdobycha.

These entities were designated pursuant to E.O. 14024 for operating or having operated in the construction sector of the Russian Federation economy.

Russian Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Procurement Network
Tulun International Holding Limited (Tulun International) is a Hong Kong-based procurement intermediary that represented itself as the end-user of, but ultimately resold, Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) boards that were installed in Russian one-way attack unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) used by Russian military forces to attack Ukrainian targets, and shortly thereafter recovered in October and November 2023.

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Read 14 tweets
Apr 28
GPS navigation interference is being weaponised globally.

This thread offers information about GPS and other systems that are being interfered with and or spoofed to provide misleading tracking information.

Instances of GPS interference is becoming a regular occurrence - threatening navigation of ships and aircraft. On March 29, 2024 - it was reported that GPS jamming attack affects 1600 aircraft over Europe. A 63-hour-long marathon of GPS jamming attacks disrupted global satellite navigation systems for hundreds of aircraft flying through the Baltic region – and Russia is thought to be responsible. This is a problem that needs amplifying and action from the G7 coalition, before a catastrophe occurs!

Smex provides some insight on the background of GPS interference.

How GPS works, different types of interference, and how they could be detected.

👉 What is GPS?

The Global Positioning System (GPS) is one of the most crucial systems in our modern infrastructure. Almost every piece of technology around us uses GPS, from cash machines and smartwatches to phones, cars, and aircraft.

GPS is a satellite-based navigation system that helps determine the precise geographic location of devices (and those using them) anywhere on the planet. It is owned by the United States government and operated by the United States Space Force. This technology is considered essential for aerial and maritime transport.

👉 How it works:

Many GPS satellites are orbiting the Earth, with 30 currently active. These satellites continuously broadcast signals containing information about their current location. Smartphones and navigation systems have GPS receivers that pick up signals from multiple GPS satellites. The GPS receiver calculates the distance to each satellite based on the time it takes for signals to reach devices.

The receiver can determine its own 2D location (latitude and longitude) by calculating the distance from at least three satellites. Adding a fourth satellite allows for a 3D location based on altitude calculation. These are the minimum requirements to accurately determine a GPS receiver’s position on Earth.

However, accuracy can be improved by connecting to more satellites. The more satellites the receiver can connect to, the better it can pinpoint its location. GPS and satellite constellations are designed so that at least four satellites are usually in view and can be accessed by the receiver from any point on Earth.

The signals used by GPS infrastructure are very weak at ground level, and they can be easily overpowered by unwanted transmissions. This kind of interference may happen by accident or due to a malfunction leading to signal conflict with other GPS transmissions. To prevent these interferences, governments around the world cooperate under the International Telecommunication Union (ITU). Founded in 1865, it regulates communication mediums, from the telegraph to the modern world of satellites, mobile phones, and the internet.

However, interferences can also be intentional, aimed at damaging or preventing communication. They are most commonly used in government buildings housing sensitive state-related data or areas with additional security. Interferences are also used in war and sabotage efforts led by another state.

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Next 👉 GPS InterferenceImage
👉 GPS interference:

GPS jamming and spoofing are two ways for disrupting or deceiving GPS signals. This is achieved by sending out the same radio frequency signals used by GPS satellites but at a much higher power. This overpowers the weaker GPS signals, leading to their blocking or jamming.

“Imagine trying to have a conversation in an overcrowded room where everyone is shouting loudly, making it impossible to hear another person,” explained the Tech Unit at SMEX. In warfare, jamming GPS signals can prevent enemy forces from accurately navigating using GPS-guided systems such as missiles, drones, or vehicles.”

Alternatively, GPS spoofing is a more complex technique that generates fake GPS signals to trick receivers into thinking they are at a different location or trajectory. “It’s like giving someone false road signs to mislead them about their route,” added the team. “In combat, GPS spoofing is used to misdirect enemy soldiers or assets by convincing them that they are in a different place, driving them off course or into a trap.”

Both tactics can be used strategically to gain an advantage over the enemy by interfering with their ability to travel effectively or misdirecting them about their location or intended path. It’s worth mentioning that jamming and spoofing GPS signals are practices normally deemed illegal.

👉 Relentless use of GPS spoofing and jamming:

Gpsjam is a website created by John Wiseman that maps out GPS interferences around the world with regional updates on a daily basis. The website uses data provided by ADS-B Exchange to generate maps showing GPS interference based on navigational system accuracy from aircraft reporting.

According to the website, many aircraft broadcast digital radio messages (ADS-B) that contain information about their GPS accuracy. ADS-B Exchange is a network composed of signal enthusiasts who make it possible to map out real-time data that recorded low GPS accuracy.

While these reports do not say why GPS accuracy is low, they correlate well with the areas where jamming or spoofing occurs. Even though South Lebanon does not consistently show low GPS accuracy, further website data analysis suggests that Beirut constantly shows the highest concentration of GPS inaccuracies, endangering navigation systems in close proximity.

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Next 👉 How to detect the source of interferenceImage
👉 How to detect the source of interference:

Detecting interference can be challenging because GPS signals can be blocked by objects or walls inside buildings. If signal reception is lost from a device that usually works well, signal interference is likely. GPS satellites are too reliable for multiple receivers to lose reception simultaneously. Critical infrastructures are equipped with systems that rely on GPS services to monitor signal availability and sound the alarm during signal disruption. Multiple systems losing GPS signals simultaneously indicates that there may be GPS signal interference.

According to the EU Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), jamming and spoofing incidents have increasingly threatened the integrity of location services across Eastern Europe and the Middle East in recent years. In Europe, Russia was accused of being the source of many of these incidents, including GPS jamming reported by Bulgarian pilots in the Black Sea region last year and by aircraft using routes in Poland or the Baltic area, with similar incidents reported by Romania as war broke out in Ukraine.

GPS spoofing was also reported in the WANA region, originating from unknown transmitters around the Iran-Iraq border and the Lebanese-Israeli one detected by the United States Maritime Administration.

GPS spoofing in Lebanon was also reported by organizations tracking its airspace. OPSGROUP and OLBB FIR (Lebanon’s flight information service) reported several cases of critical navigation failures on aircraft that departed from Tel Aviv and were led to fly toward Lebanon.

According to the EASA’s acting executive director, Luc Tytgat, the rise in these attacks makes air travel less safe. He emphasized the need to improve equipment and aircraft systems to ensure resistance to spoofing and jamming cases.

Shipping reports of GPS interference:

👉 Reports are often made to the Navigation Center of the United States Coast Guard (U.S. Department of Homeland Security). See the references for the link.

An example of a shipping report made on April 18, 2024:

“CALLER REPORTED A POSSIBLE CYBER SECURITY ATTACK ON THE VESSEL APL EAGLE AT THE INCIDENT LOCATION. THE CALLER STATED THEY EXPERIENCED AN ERRATIC TRACK LINE ON THE VESSELS CHART DISPLAY, THAT SEEMED TO TRY AND TAKE THE VESSEL OFF OF THEIR COURSE. THIS INTERFERENCE TOOK PLACE FOR A FEW MINUTES, AND THEN WENT BACK TO NORMAL. THIS VESSEL EXPERIENCED THIS A FEW MONTHS AGO WHILE IN THE SAME AREA. THE VESSEL IS A US FLAGGED SHIP WHO'S PORT OF REGISTRY IS WILMINGTON, DELAWARE. THE VESSEL HAS NEVER BEEN TO THE UNITED STATES, AND OPERATES IN JEBEL ALI, DUBAI. THE U.S. COAST GUARD ACTIVITIES EUROPE DOES THERE INSPECTIONS. WILMINGTON, DELAWARE WAS USED AS THE INCIDENT LOCATION, BUT THE INCIDENT ACTUALLY OCCURED AT THE COORDINATES PROVIDED IN THE PERSIAN GULF.

NAVCEN RESPONSE: The GPS Operations Center reviewed the GPS Constellation and Control Segment, there are no known anomalies that might affect GPS signal integrity at the time and vicinity of the reported problem. Space weather was reviewed and found unlikely to have impacted GPS performance. There were no authorized GPS tests in the area. No correlating reports from inter-agency partners. No additional information.”

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