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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Jul 7 • 6 tweets • 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
My experience in stumbling over a far larger and far more cut and dried (in terms of evidence that this was what it was) mass grave in Alamata in 2022 was simple,

It needed a large scale forensic police investigations - to investigate it properly.

I had the same conclusion on… https://t.co/Blb3XbSjqFtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
But, to my knowledge none of these graves have had forensic teams investigate them. The FDRE Police teams are way too busy investigating recent murders and have limited capacity to under take such work.

HRW and Amnesty International are similarly not resourced for such work.… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
^^ that link above is to my report on the Alamata Mass Grave which I visited in early November 2022 in the immediate aftermath of the Nairobi COHA ceasefire agreement. Unlike the site which Washington Post is reporting on my visit took place before fighting had finished and… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Forensic inquiries into the events in multiple localities in northern Ethiopia are needed/required for the sake of the victims and for the sake of the truth.

There is little trust however at present in Ethiopia in Western agencies - whose record in such matters during the war… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
In the meantime a warning.

All reports from Tigray claiming to have found mass graves containing evidence of massacres and human rights violations need to be read in the light of the fact that there is very clear evidence in Alamata of an active effort by the TPLF to create… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 6
As expected high levels of Atmospheric Energy / Water Vapour in the Northern Hemisphere are deliveringsignificant impact over Europe in the form of storms - not withstanding the El-Nino shift.

24 hour animation @zoom_earth
#ExtremeWeather THREAD https://t.co/an1SIWdFem
Here's the 16 day atmospheric wv deterministic model for Europe. The atmosphere is set to remain unstable throughout this period - likely resulting in thunderstorm and extreme weather events.
The associated rainfall solution to this indicates widespread rainfall, however this is unlikely to be evenly spread.
Read 6 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jun 29
In the West Pacific this is the corresponding raw atmospheric energy picture and the current forecast has previously mentioned is pretty dire for Japan which is currently forecast to receive a series of large atmospheric rivers run up the island group.
This is the resulting rainfall result for Japan which is cyclonic in Scale in the South West, the same area hammered by several cyclones last year.
Here's the West Pacific IWVT model result which shows the levels of energy present very starkly like that over the North Atlantic. The simulations do show a pause in the transmission of water westwards which corresponds to the pause in the flow of water vabour which is seen in… https://t.co/BR80AEFxlztwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 15 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jun 29
#ExtremeWeather Global outlook thread.

Top line finding the next 16 days shows a significant atmospheric atmospheric wafter vapour / energy increase over the entire Northern Hemisphere indicating conditions for potential extreme weather rainfall events in many places.… https://t.co/NKFYYsmrRNtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
This is a new chart which shows accumulating low pressure systems over the Western Pacific - which is growing increasingly active.

Japan seems to be primarily in the firing line as you can see top left.
This is also striking. The Tropical Atlantic energy balance shows a significant upward tick over the 10-16 day period covered in these globlal weather model animations. Here the measure is energy transport energy.
Read 13 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jun 24
I’m attending another early summer fete in Tremeur a nearby petit ville. This fete is a RACE!!!





The there are two prizes for fastest and prettiest. Mon Ami Saul Gagne last year. But he’s not in the running for prettiest imo.











Read 29 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jun 24
This exchange between @WilliamsRuto @KGeorgieva @EmmanuelMacron and a fourth person on a global financial tax, and reform of Bretton Woods institutions is very very interesting.
The exchange seems genuine to me. And also astonishing. The Global North South Financial Pact Summit held over the past few days has significantly expanded the Overton Window when it comes to international finance in a truly remarkable manner. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_w…
One of the many extraordinary things about this meeting, beyond the issue of who attended it and what they said (which was remarkable) is the fact that it was live streamed in public to the world.
Read 9 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jun 22
French President @EmmanuelMacron's "Global North South Financial Pact" summit in Paris is now underway.
This is a significant moment in global history as reform of the the Bretton Woods institutions which have defined the post WWII financial order are effectively up for… https://t.co/2XLsJyoyD0twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
@EmmanuelMacron There have been a bunch of excellent publications on the summit in the past few days, however they present a mixed picture and include:
- significant prevarication and caution from the planet's economic super powers r.e. ambition
- this takes the form of rich northern nations not… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
@EmmanuelMacron This however is a bit disingenous imo.

Capitalisation of the World Bank and MDBs to increase their capacity to provide "First Loss Capital" to help leverage and de-risk investment in global south countries is where the rubber meets the road here.

Notably the reports I have… https://t.co/3wO3redfcTtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 8 tweets

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