Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 1
Laura Loomer: I met Ukraine’s chief rabbi, whose son was killed in the war.

I joked: what rabbi would allow his son to serve in a Nazi army? We laughed because it was ridiculous. 1/
Loomer: I said terrible things about Zelenskyy and Ukraine, but I do not feel that my life is threatened here.

Ukraine is a fairly free country. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 31
China may be the reason the Iran war did not send oil to $150 or $200 a barrel.

After Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz, China cut oil purchases by about half, keeping prices near $100 instead — The Atlantic. 1/ Image
The Strait of Hormuz used to carry 20mn barrels of oil a day, about one-fifth of global supply.

China stopped buying about 5mn barrels a day, equal to all of India’s imports and about a quarter of the supply lost when the strait closed. 2/
China has not shown evidence of a huge drop in energy use.

Traffic has barely changed. A rapid clean-energy shift cannot explain it. Extra Russian oil on this scale is also unlikely, because giant tanker deliveries to Chinese ports would be visible. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 31
Kyiv may replace Lenin’s empty plinth with Ivan Mazepa.

The plinth has stood empty since Maidan crowds toppled Lenin in 2013. Zelenskyy proposed Mazepa, a Cossack leader who broke with Moscow and fought for Ukrainian independence, The Guardian. 1/ Image
Russia depicted Mazepa as a traitor for centuries.

Zelenskyy: Where Lenin fell, Mazepa will stand firm. The goal was to make Ukrainians view their own history through the eyes of others. 2/
Kryvda [Kyiv culture-history professor]: Ukraine is going through unfinished decolonization.

The USSR absorbed national cultures and tried to make one Soviet nation. Russia still says Ukrainians and Russians are one people.

It isn’t true. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 31
Browder: Putin does not care much about what Russians think.

He has sent 1.5 million men to death or disability and destroyed the economy. The Kremlin’s claim that Russia is fighting the entire West is aimed more at Western countries than at Russians. 1/
Browder: Putin has reached a stalemate in Ukraine. Russia is no longer making progress.

Ukraine is inflicting real economic pain by striking oil refineries, military depots, shadow-fleet ships and other targets. 2/
Browder: My fear is that Putin will test NATO to see whether it actually works, possibly expecting the US not to honor Article 5.

Without the US, the response would come from a coalition of willing countries rather than NATO as a whole. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 31
Russia is losing this war, and still refuses to end it. Every plan Putin built to win has collapsed, yet he keeps fighting.

The 2026 deficit blew past $73 billion in six months, overshooting the Kremlin's full-year plan — Gabuev, Prokopenko and Stanovaya, Foreign Affairs. 1/ Image
Putin set three paths to win. Plan A used Trump to force a deal on Kyiv, Plan B waited for Trump to drop Ukraine, and Plan C won on the battlefield.

In his June interview Putin no longer mentioned Trump, whom he once counted on after their warm Alaska summit. Plan A is dead. 2/
Trump did cut Ukraine off. He stopped free US weapons in March 2025 and zeroed out financial aid by July.

Europe replaced the money and kept Ukraine making drones and missiles on EU soil. Washington still shares intelligence and blacklisted Rosneft and Lukoil. Plan B failed. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Jul 31
Historian Sarah Paine: This is the Russian business model. Say your business is doing well. One of Putin's security-service enforcers comes to your house and says: I want a monthly payment from you.

That's a mafia shakedown, going back in Russian history forever. 1/
Paine: Putin's own circle owns the refineries Ukraine keeps striking, destroying Russian wealth. Putin wants Donbas, he wants Crimea. For what?

Russians need a legal system that lets them build wealth and live decent lives at home, not more territory. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets

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