Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 2
Putin: If Europe starts a war, then soon Moscow will have no one to negotiate with

Russia has no intention of going to war with Europe. But if Europe starts a war, Russia is ready right now.

[Russia is exhausted after three years of war in Ukraine and not ready to face NATO] 1/
Putin: Europe has removed itself from the Ukrainian settlement.

The Europeans have no peaceful agenda and are now hindering US efforts to resolve the situation.

They are living under the illusion of their original goal of inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia.

2/
Putin: Attacks on tankers in the Black Sea are piracy.

In response to the attacks on tankers, Russia will expand its strikes on Ukrainian ports and ships entering those ports.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 2
37-year-old Mykola Zakhozhyi left home on his motorcycle to check Russian positions near his Kyiv suburb. He never returned.

Russian soldiers seized him in the woods, kicked his head until he blacked out and poured diesel on him, threatening to burn him and others – NYT. 1/ Image
Russian troops moved Mykola through camps and jails. Guards lined prisoners up and made them run a gauntlet of kicks and punches.

They slammed men into metal door frames and jumped on their backs as they lay on the ground. 2/
In Kursk, guards hit prisoners on the way to the showers and to the yard, shocked them with electric devices and beat them while they waited for interrogations.

Former detainees said this was standard routine. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 2
Kasparov: Recall ambassadors, low down diplomatic ties, but Europe is doing business as usual. More than 500K visas were issued for Russians last year. Putin's laughing at you.

You want to be serious? Send French military jets to Ukraine. Show you’re willing to take a hit. 1/
Kasparov: We pray for Ukrainian heroism, but you can't do it forever. Europe preparing for war — behind this is one thought: how can we look so strong for Putin to be afraid to attack us?

They can't comprehend that European soldiers will be dying. I find it unacceptable. 2/
Kasparov: Politically, Europe just can't accept this responsibility. The Western democracies look weak. And we know what does always excite the predator in animal world?

Weakness and blood. That's exactly what's happening with Putin. He smells blood in Ukraine like a shark. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 1
Hodges: Europe and Ukraine know the U.S. has a primary interest, which is business with Russia. Europe sees it cannot count on the U.S.

Unsatisfactory outcome for Ukraine could send millions more Ukrainian refugees into Central and Western Europe. 1/
Hodges: The administration's approach has always been doomed from the start because they didn't care about the origin, history or geography, and approached it as a massive real estate deal.

Rubio said in the beginning, Ukraine, you're gonna have to give up some territory. 2/
Hodges: US made a decision in prioritization of Western hemisphere, Indo Pacific, Middle East, then Europe is №4. The US really sees Europe as inconsequential, except maybe for some business purposes.

Ukraine and Europe together do have the capability to stop Russia. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 1
Q: Is the U.S. cutting Europe out of the talks and will Witkoff push Ukraine into concessions?

Kallas: I’m worried the pressure will fall on the victim — Ukraine. Russia started this war, continues it and hits civilians daily. Any deal must keep that reality front and center. 1/
Q: Does the EU reparations loan hurt peace talks?

Kallas: No. It strengthens Europe’s leverage over Moscow. Russia owes Ukraine damages.

Using frozen Russian state assets is the right base for reparations. I understand Belgium’s concerns, but we need to move forward. 2/
Q: Your message to EU states lagging on Ukraine aid?

Kallas: Support is uneven. States doing less must step up. Helping Ukraine now costs far less than a longer war.

If all EU members push Russia together, the war ends sooner and the financial burden drops for everyone.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 1
Belarusian opposition leader, Tsikhanouskaya: Helping Ukraine is a priority.

Its victory is crucial for many countries, especially Belarus. As long as Lukashenko serves Putin, he remains a threat to Ukraine, the EU, and keeps Belarus under Russia’s pressure. 1/
Tsikhanouskaya: The ideal scenario is Ukraine getting all support to secure a just peace. Russia turns inward and stops backing Lukashenko.

A democratic transition begins in Belarus, free from Moscow’s pressure and no longer propped up by the Kremlin. 2/
Tsikhanouskaya: This scenario begins with Ukraine’s support and victory.

The U.S. has its plan, Ukraine and Europe have theirs, and peace must start on Ukraine’s terms. Otherwise, Europe will live under constant tension. 3/
Read 5 tweets

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