Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Jan 29
American historian of the USSR and Russia Kotkin: Russia became a kind of subordinate or even vassal state to China.

They refuse to be a vassal state to the West and embraced being a vassal state to China. China could at any moment abandon Russia to its fate. 1/
Kotkin: The theory was that even your worst enemies can flip and join your alliance system.

You can defeat your enemies and co-opt them, change their behavior and make them your allies. West Germany and Japan were transformed into democracies, partners of the U.S. 2/
Kotkin: Europe is still today spending more money on Russian hydrocarbons than it is spending on supporting Ukraine in the war, still to this day, almost four years into this war. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Jan 29
65% of Trump voters back military action in at least one foreign country.

Iran tops the list: 50% of Trump voters support military intervention there, rising to 61% among self-identified "MAGA Republicans."

The new POLITICO poll shows how MAGA has changed. 1/ Image
32% of Trump voters support military action in Mexico, 30% in Colombia, 28% in Cuba — all targets Trump has publicly threatened as part of his Western Hemisphere dominance strategy. 2/
Only 18% of Harris voters support Iran intervention vs 50% of Trump voters. Just 10-11% of Harris voters back action in Mexico, Colombia, or Cuba. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 29
In a single month now, Russia suffers as many casualties as the USSR lost in 10 years in Afghanistan. Russia loses 900-1,000 soldiers daily in Ukraine.

The scale is unprecedented — yet Russian society stays silent, United24. 1/ Image
December 2025 alone: 35,000 Russian troops killed, most by drones. The final quarter of 2025: 100,000 total losses.

The full year: over 400,000. Nearly 4 years of war: 1.2 million casualties. 2/
The Afghan war comparison is stark: the USSR lost 14,500-15,000 killed over a decade — roughly what Russia now loses every single month.

Annual losses are 10x higher; total losses 30x greater. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jan 29
After 80 years of close ties, Germany faces a deepening rift with the United States.

For many Germans, especially older generations, America was an ally, a liberator and protector after WWII — Washington Post. 1/ Image
In West Berlin, U.S. troops were symbols of survival and freedom, from the Berlin Airlift to everyday life under American protection during the Cold War. Cultural influence followed, with music, jeans, and a model of openness. 2/
Now, that legacy is clashing with Trump’s disdain for Europe. His threats regarding Greenland, tariffs on allies, and rhetoric questioning European values and security are seen by many Germans as a fundamental break. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 29
The best kind of reading is watching Russia struggle to export oil — and struggle to fund its war.

Bloomberg: Russia is stuck with 140 million barrels of unsold oil at sea after India cut imports to the lowest level in three years.

1/ Image
In December 2025, India imported about 1.2 million barrels/day of Russian crude.

In January 2026, imports fell further to 1.12 million barrels/day — the weakest level since early 2023.

2/
As a result, dozens of tankers are idling offshore near India and Oman.

According to Bloomberg, only one tanker has managed to unload its cargo in recent weeks.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 29
“I am from Crimea. I don’t want anyone else to live under occupation. Russia is absolute evil.

And the best thing a person can do in life is to resist that evil,” — Kafa, 24, who returned from Germany to defend Ukraine with a weapon in her hands. 1/ Image
UNITED24 tells the story of Ukrainians who never planned to fight, but became part of the resistance to Russian aggression because the alternative was occupation. 2/
Svitlana Halych, 61, is an obstetrician with nearly 40 years of experience. Over her career, she helped deliver around 4,000 babies. During the war, she spent more than three years in mobile field hospitals. 3/ Image
Read 12 tweets

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