Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 9
Russia shut down part of the secret surveillance system guarding Putin and his inner circle.

Engineers switched it back on only after sealing it off from the internet.

Russia acted after Israel used AI on Iranian cameras to find and kill Khamenei — FT. 1/ Image
Israeli intelligence harvested footage from thousands of Iranian traffic cameras to pin down a February 28 meeting of Ayatollah Khamenei and his closest aides. Several top security officials died in the opening strike of the US-Israel war.
AI parsed millions of hours of video to isolate the targets from the crowd. 2/
Alexander Bortnikov, FSB director, told regional security chiefs on May 26 that Russia's own surveillance apparatus had turned into a weakness its enemies could exploit.
Bortnikov: The victims' locations were identified, in part, through software backdoors in Tehran's video surveillance systems. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jun 9
The tank is no longer the king of the battlefield.

In Finland, 18 miles from Russia, NATO watched Leopard 2 tanks get “destroyed” by anti-tank teams, drones and artillery in a simulated war game.

This is Ukraine’s lesson becoming NATO doctrine — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Russia has lost 11,974 tanks and almost 25,000 armored vehicles. Ukraine has lost around 5,700 tanks and armored vehicles to drones, mines and missiles.
Armor still matters, but alone it dies fast. 2/
In Ukraine, drones reportedly account for more than 90% of battlefield casualties, mostly tanks and armored vehicles.
A cheap drone can now find, track and help destroy a platform worth millions. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jun 8
Kasparov: On Bulgakov, my advice to Russian liberal society is simple: keep quiet.

While Russian missiles keep hitting Kyiv, Russians have no moral right to criticize Ukrainians for removing monuments tied to Russian culture, however much we value the literature. 1/
Kasparov: Every Russian missile that kills Ukrainian civilians widens the abyss between Ukraine and the Russian world.

It will take years before new generations can separate Pushkin, Bulgakov or Dostoevsky from the imperial culture now bombing them. 2/
Kasparov: Any participation in political procedures run by a fascist dictatorship helps legitimize it.

If the regime is illegitimate, how can you discuss the legitimacy of its elections? Even standing near the polling station means joining their staged process. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Kasparov: Europe cannot enter talks with Putin as both mediator and participant.

If Europe acts as mediator, it starts trading Ukrainian territory. But if Ukraine stops fighting, Europe will have to fight Putin itself. Europe must be part of Ukraine’s coalition. 1/
Kasparov: Russia violates every treaty, bombs everything, kills civilians and still enjoys legal protections, lawyers, procedures and sovereign-money arguments.

But a missile flies faster than a court process. Europe still has not matched law to reality. 2/
Kasparov: Ukraine showed it can paralyze Russia’s second-largest city.

During the St. Petersburg forum, Kyiv demonstrated it can hit military targets with remarkable precision. If Ukraine sends ten times more drones, St. Petersburg will feel it very hard. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Former President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko: Ukraine launched 140 drones at St. Petersburg. Capacity is up to 1,000. Russia has no air defense against it.

That's drone diplomacy — and Putin can no longer ignore Ukrainian insistence.

1/
Poroshenko: Every day the price of aggression grows. Putin's window of opportunity is now.

Unconditional, comprehensive ceasefire — stop the war, freeze the conflict, sit at the table. US and EU at the table. Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.

2/
Poroshenko: Time stopped working for Putin. Every month he pays more. Ukraine will never surrender — we have no choice.

The sooner Putin understands that, the sooner he moves toward ceasefire. And ceasefire doesn't save Ukraine — it saves Russia.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 8
Kuleba: Every meter of Ukrainian land along the border with Belarus and Russia is already, in fact or potentially, frontline territory.

Lukashenko’s actions today are different from what we have seen since 2022. I am not saying an attack is tomorrow, but this is different. 1/
Kuleba: Lukashenko is either preparing for war or demonstrating that he is preparing.

Does he want war? Definitely not. But he is not a free man. What he is told to do, he will eventually have to do. He is maneuvering, but something is happening in Belarus. 2/
Kuleba: Do not think linearly. It could be a local operation against an EU country and, at the same time, a massive attack on Ukraine — or the reverse.

Russia is in a negative dynamic in the war, and Putin needs to do something differently. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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