Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 1
Chinese FM Wang Yi in Moscow: Friends forever, never enemies. Putin hosts Wang Yi today, while Lavrov lays groundwork for a Russia-China summit set for May, Reuters. 1/
China solidifies its alliance with Russia, yet it quietly expands influence elsewhere.

Bloomberg: Japan and South Korea have reopened free-trade talks with China after a decade-long pause. 2/ Image
In my view, the U.S. is risking to let China build coalitions with the countries the U.S. is pushing away. Trump tariffs create an opportunity for Beijing to engage historical U.S. allies. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 1
Karoline Leavitt: President Trump is frustrated with leaders [Ukraine and Russia]. He wants this war to end. Men are dying on both sides. We are with the Ukrainians. We’re also engaged with the both sides. 1/
Karoline Leavitt: April 2nd will be one of the most important days in modern American history. We’ve had the most open economy and the best consumer base in the world. But foreign countries blocked our exports and gutted our industries. That ends tomorrow. 2/
Karoline Leavitt: No tariffs if companies move production to the U.S. Tomorrow, President Trump will address decades of unfair trade that ripped off our workers, hollowed out the middle class, and destroyed the heartland. He’s bringing manufacturing back. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Apr 1
Ursula von der Leyen defies Trump: Many Europeans feel disheartened by the new U.S. tariffs. Europe didn’t start this. But we have what we need — the biggest single market, the leverage to negotiate, the means to strike back. We’ll defend our interests. 1/
Ursula von der Leyen: The U.S. has announced 25% tariffs on steel, aluminum, cars, and parts. They plan to extend duties to semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and timber. On April 2, 2025, we expect further tariffs on almost all goods, affecting many countries worldwide. 2/
Ursula von der Leyen: In response to U.S. tariffs, we’ll act on three fronts. We’re open to talks — but ready to hit back. We’ll expand trade with other partners. And we’ll strengthen the EU single market — remove barriers, grow our scale, boost competitiveness. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 1
Trump: We made a deal for rare earth with Ukraine. It was all done. And they’re now saying, “Well, I’ll only do that deal if we get into NATO”.

That was never discussed. But it’s probably the reason the war started, actually. 1/
Q: How serious are you about imposing oil sanctions on Russia?

Trump: I want to make sure that he [Putin] follows through. And I think he will.

I don't want to go secondary tariffs on his oil, but it’s something I would do if I thought he wasn’t doing the job. 2/
Trump: The Europeans get paid back the money that they gave, and we don’t. Europe is in for around a hundred billion dollars.

We're in for 350 billion - more than three times as much. Whatever the number, we're in for substantially more than Europe. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 31
WP: Many in Europe doubt that a lasting ceasefire in Ukraine can be achieved in the near future. [I agree! I think it will take several months to get to the Black Sea ceasefire if at all. And who knows how much more for the overall ceasefire.] 1/ Image
And if Trump loses interest in peace in the meantime because it is too hard, the war will continue. 2/
WP: Officials admit that sanctions relief will be part of the negotiations, but a temporary ceasefire must take a first place. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 31
In 2023, China supplied 76% of Russia’s imports of machine tools, thermal imagers, optics, and communications gear used on the battlefield, reports @KSE_Institute. Image
Compare it with 2021, when China exported to Russia 41% of its thermal imagers, optical sights, radios, and CNC machines — all used in weapons production. In the meantime, the EU dropped from 41% to 2% in 2023. 2/ Image
KSE Institute finds that China supplied 90% of Russia’s CHP items imports in 2023 — everything from secure radio modules to CNC machines. Out of these Chinese shipments, 18% were Western goods rerouted through Chinese intermediaries, and 16% were Western goods made in China. 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets

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