Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Sep 18
Russian economy is slowly and quietly collapsing.

Russian stores cut product assortment by 2.3% for food, 5.1% for children's goods, 5.6% for alcohol, 7.3% for face care.

Russian companies slashed 2025 investments by 733B rbls compared to 2024, Moscow Times reports. 1/ Image
Russian stores cut product assortment by 2.3% for food and 1.8% for non-food items in July compared to last year.

Alcohol, children's goods, and face care products dropped 5.6%, 5.1%, and 7.3%, respectively. 2/
X5 Group reduced assortment by 15-20% since the war started.

They launched smaller "Perekrestok Select" stores (400 m²), while "Magnit" opened 100 m² “Zaryad” ultra-convenience format stores. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Sep 17
For the first time ever, Trump administration approved Ukraine arms packages under the new PURL program, Reuters.

Undersec. Elbridge Colby cleared up to two $500M shipments from U.S. stocks. Ukrainian allies pay, Ukraine gets kit. Target: up to $10B in allied-funded weapons. 1/ Image
What’s in it: air-defense systems and other gear Ukraine asked for, as Russia ramps drone and missile strikes.

Trump frustrated by Moscow’s attacks despite talks, greenlit the PURL push. 2/
This is the 1st new weapons flow beyond Biden-era donations or direct sales.

Under PURL, NATO countries buy from U.S. stocks, Washington ships fast. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Sep 17
Putin spent 250,000 soldiers’ lives, his best brigades and hundreds of billions to seize a few towns in Donbas - The Atlantic.

Now he faces a hostile Ukraine armed by the West, a wrecked economy and reliance on China. His war to restore power turned Russia into a graveyard. 1/ Image
Whatever happens on the front, Ukraine remains an armed enemy on Russia’s border. Europe cut Gazprom, embargoed trade, and rearmed.

NATO grew to include Finland and Sweden. Putin sacrificed his soldiers so Europe could build air defenses. 2/
Russia’s army burned through its best cadres and equipment. Rebuilding will take years and billions.

By then, today’s drones and tactics will be outdated, leaving Moscow with fewer men, fewer machines, and nothing new to offer. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Sep 17
That’s horrible to death. Two 13-year-old brothers weighing only 8.5 kg each were found bedridden in frontline Pokrovsk.

They survived over a year under the care of their 10-year-old brother, Platón, after their grandmother's death, Ukrainska Pravda reports. 1/ Image
The boys have severe genetic condition lissencephaly type 1, causing neurological disorders, epilepsy, and protein-energy deficiency - they cannot move and need constant care. 2/
10-year-old Platón fed, watered, lifted his brothers, cleaned around them, and carried them to basement during shelling for over a year without adult supervision. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Sep 17
Lavrov: The Americans came to understand that the people who, in protest against the oppressive Nazi regime, voted in referendums to join — to return to — the Russian Federation will never again live under the yoke of the current Kyiv authorities.

1/
Lavrov: The Russian army never targets civilian infrastructure or the population. For every accusation, we ask: where is the proof, where are the facts? As for fakes accusing our army of crimes, they later turned out to be committed by the Ukrainian regime. 2/
Lavrov: When blatant violations of international humanitarian law can’t be denied, the UN Secretariat timidly issues impersonal calls for restraint — to both sides. We saw the same reaction when it was clear how inhumanly the “Nazi formations” of Kyiv acted.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Sep 17
Snyder: What happens in Ukraine will affect whether Russia, the EU, the US endures. We are not spectators. History shows no state is alone; a smaller power can prevail. Russia could win, Ukrainian victory must be thought of with that in mind. 1/
Snyder: Trump’s superpower is to disappoint. His tweets prepare for disappointment. Europeans must act, not use US policy as excuse. Wars end for economic reasons, but power matters only if turned into political-military force. Europe has power to help Ukraine win. 2/
Snyder: A necessary condition for victory is sovereignty. The ability to set domestic and foreign policy, write a constitution. Without this, it won't feel like victory. The subjective sense of sovereignty is tied to Ukrainians making decisions and integration with the EU. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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