Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Jan 21
Putin on Greenland: It does us concern at all what is hapenning there. But we have experience resolving such issues with the US.

In the 19th century, Russia sold Alaska to the US for $7.2 million. Greenland would cost about $200–250 million. 1/
Putin: We could send $1 billion Trump's "Board of Peace” from assets frozen in US under previous administration.

We should use the remaining frozen assets to rebuild territories after Russia and Ukraine sign a peace treaty. 2/
Putin: Denmark has long treated Greenland as a colony, often harshly. But that is a separate issue and not relevant now.

Denmark has experience selling territory to the US. In 1917, it sold the Virgin Islands to the US. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Jan 21
Kellogg: Putin does not want to become Nicholas II, the last Tsar of Russia.

He has sacrificed Russia so much and caused so much pain that he is trying to find a way out. He knows he will not win this war in Ukraine. 1/
Kellogg: Russia is not winning this war.

Putin’s definition of winning is different from mine. He measures progress in meters, not miles. Russia is not in Odesa, not in Kyiv, and has not really moved beyond the Donbas. 2/
Kellogg: This is a harsh winter, especially in Kyiv.

I understand the temperatures and the conditions on the ground. But if Ukraine gets through January and February and reaches March and April, the advantage shifts to Ukraine, not Russia. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 21
For 67 days, Yehor “Kahor” Verbytskyi defended Donetsk Airport — one of the most brutal battlefields of the war.

Across 11 kilometers of a destroyed airport, there were only 128 Ukrainian volunteers holding the line against tanks, mortars, and constant assaults — Hromadske. 1/ Image
Kahor: I do not call myself a Cyborg. I was at the airport, yes. I helped it hold out longer. But I was simply doing my job. It was simple — stay alert and shoot. 2/
In May 2014, 26-year-old Yehor Verbytskyi flew to Donetsk Airport as part of a mortar battery. It was his first flight ever — and it took him straight into war.

He learned he would defend the airport only after landing. At the time, he believed they would not make it out alive. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jan 21
Veronika Melkozerova, Politico’s correspondent wrote about her survival guide to the Kremlin’s winter of terror in Kyiv. Russian attack came in the harshest winter since Feb 2022: drones destroyed power and heating systems, freezing temperatures make damage impossible to fix. 1/ Image
Without electricity for 12 hours a day, the fridge is no longer any use. But it’s a stable minus 10 degrees Celsius on the balcony, so I store my food there. Russia’s latest attack disrupted heating for 5,600 residential buildings in Kyiv, including mine. 2/
At times the temperature drops to -20C and the frost permeates my apartment, its crystals covering the windows and invading the walls. My daily routine now includes walking up and down from the 14th floor of my apartment, carrying liters of water, mostly to my grandmother. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jan 21
AI-powered air defense could counter Moscow’s greatest advantage — mass missile attacks, writes David Ignatius in WP.

Since 2022, Ukraine’s defense manufacturing grew from $1B to $35B. In 2025 alone, it approved 1,300+ new domestic weapons. 1/ Image
Russia’s strategy is physical and simple: bomb power plants, cut heat, freeze cities, and force surrender.

In January, Kyiv faced temperatures below −12°C while Russian strikes damaged electricity and heating infrastructure across the country. 2/
Ukraine’s response is technological.

Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov: Ukraine will deploy a new generation of AI-powered air-defense interceptors that can operate autonomously across the entire country. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 21
Serhii Plokhy: The war in Ukraine may become a catalyst for Russia’s collapse.

The Harvard historian in United24 argues that Russia’s attempt to preserve its empire through war follows a historical pattern that usually ends in exhaustion and disintegration. 1/ Image
Empires rarely collapse overnight. They erode under pressure, miscalculation, and prolonged conflict. In the 20th century, the biggest imperial collapses followed World War I, World War II, and the Cold War.

War speeds up every internal weakness. 2/
Russia still fits the imperial model. It controls vast territory, rules a multiethnic population, concentrates power in Moscow, and allows little real self-government.

These features create constant strain, which war multiplies rather than resolves. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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