Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 6
Zelenskyy: We proposed to Russia a ceasefire for Easter. But for them all times are the same.

There is nothing sacred to them. If Russia can afford this war and finance it, it will not move toward peace on its own. That is why pressure on the aggressor cannot drop. 1/
Zelenskyy: Our long-range sanctions are working. They are cutting Russian revenues, above all oil revenues.

Only serious financial losses force Russia to think about an exit from the war. Everything Russia earns from shock oil prices, it will pour back into war. 2/
Zelenskyy: If Russia is ready to stop strikes on our energy system, we are ready to respond in kind.

That proposal has already been passed to the Russian side through the Americans. Security guarantees are the key to ending the war, to peace, and to trust in the process. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Apr 6
Trump spent his first year back in office imposing tariffs on Europe, threatening to withdraw US troops, and flirting with NATO exit. Europe wants to reduce its dependence on Washington.

But the US accounts for over 20% of European exports — Jacob Kirkegaard, Foreign Affairs. 1/ Image
Two-thirds of Europe's cloud market runs on Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Three quarters of European firms run on US software.

Visa and Mastercard handle roughly two-thirds of card transactions in the euro area. 2/
US LNG imports quadrupled between 2022 and 2025 to replace Russian gas.

The EU has committed to ending all Russian gas imports by 2027. If Iran's strikes on Qatar's LNG facilities cause lasting damage, most of Europe's LNG will need to come from the US. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 6
DW: Ukrainians bring a lot of expertise in UK. They are showing the British how they operate drones.

"Our partners have a certain understanding of drones, but they have not encountered them. They don't fully understand how drones affect the battlefield, how intense it is.” 1/
Ukrainian serviceman: A Ukrainian warrior is an intellectual warrior. He knows why he's going to the front. He knows what he has to do at the front. This is in contrast to the Russian soldier who doesn't know why he's there, who gets sent there by Putin. 2/
DW: Ukraine is a role model for the British. The Irish Guards spent a year training with Ukrainian soldiers.

“What you've seen today is the result of that advice and experience, from small uncrewed aerial systems to drone nets and dropper drones.” 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 6
Syrskyi: Russia gets about $700M a day from oil, and that money finances the war.

Our strikes on refineries, Ust-Luga, Primorsk, and missile plants are strategic actions. They cut export capacity, hit military production, and reduce the aggressor’s offensive potential. 1/
Syrskyi: There is no instant straight line from a strike on Ust-Luga to a trench in the east.

But the effect builds over time: fuel delays, disrupted deliveries, tanks that do not arrive, missiles that do not fly, and a smaller stockpile for Russia’s war machine. 2/
Syrskyi: Russia planned to make 404 Shaheds a day in 2025 and wanted 1,000 a day in 2026. Those plans are unrealistic.

The strikes also squeeze budgets, delay payments, and fuel discontent inside Russia and among its troops. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 6
Syrskyi: Since Jan. 29, we have been conducting an offensive operation on the Oleksandrivsk direction.

As of today, we have liberated more than 480 sq. km. Those actions forced Russia to change plans and shift part of its forces from the Pokrovsk direction. 1/
Syrskyi: Russia advertised a “spring offensive.” In reality, it never stopped attacking. But its plans were disrupted. Pokrovsk still stands.

Every day the enemy attacks, takes losses, rolls back, and ends with dead and wounded — but no success. 2/
Syrskyi: Our goal this year is strategic defense: contain the enemy, prevent the loss of territory, exhaust its forces and means, build reserves, and create conditions for large-scale offensives.

At the same time, we conduct offensive actions where the enemy is weak. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 5
Russia is moving missile production facilities deeper into its territory.

Ukraine's drone and missile campaign forces the Kremlin to retreat from strike range

Kyiv's long-range strategy is working, — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Roscosmos, Russia's space agency heavily involved in missile production, will relocate facilities from Moscow region to Omsk in Siberia and Perm near the Urals — both far beyond Ukraine's current strike range. 2/
The Khrunichev centre, which produces systems including the nuclear-capable RS-28 Sarmat ICBM, will move from Khimki to Omsk. Officials cite "prohibitive overhead costs" — but the timing tells a different story. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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