Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 14
Stubb: We’re closer to a Ukraine's peace agreement than ever before. Now we're working on 3 documents:

One is a framework document of a 20-point peace plan.

The second one is security guarantees for Ukraine.

The third one is the reconstruction of Ukraine.

1/
Q: Why this moment [that we are close to a peace deal] is different?

Stubb: We have momentum, and it counts in diplomatic negotiations. And we have something on paper.

We rejected 28-point plan. But after the US and Ukraine worked on terms to protect Ukraine’s sovereignty.

2/
Stubb on MAGA and America First: We in Europe should take a deep breath and understand the realities

America First provides a ranking of the U.S. policy interests:

№ 1 is North-South-Latin America

№ 2 is Indo-Pacific

№ 3 is Europe

№ 4 is the Middle East

№ 5 is Africa

3/
Read 7 tweets
Dec 14
Q: Has Russia made any concessions?

Ukrainian ambassador to the US, Olga Stefanishyna for Fox News: No. Talks mention freezing front lines, but Russia keeps attacking civilians.

Odesa, has no water or electricity for five days. There’s no peace here. That’s a war. 1/
Q: How likely is a peace agreement from these talks?

Stefanishyna: The talks are about ending war in Ukraine, not signing a document

Ukraine, Europe, and the US are pushing for a real peace deal that stops the fighting and prevents new attacks. The only one stalling is Putin 2/
Q: How would security guarantees work if Ukraine gives up NATO aspirations?

Stefanishyna: The guarantees must be legally binding and irreversible. The form is still open. One option is approval by the US Congress and signing it into law. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Dec 14
A Russian soldier smashed 75 y.o. Ludmyla’s face with a rifle, slashed her stomach, and raped her.

Diplomats discuss “blanket amnesty” in the new peace plan.

To them it's a compromise. To Ukraine, it means pardoning the man who sliced open a grandmother — The Times. 1/ Image
Filmmaker Alisa Kovalenko sees Ludmyla’s broken face reading the new “peace plan.” Alisa knows this hell. In 2014, a Russian officer forced her to strip and bathe.

He cleaned his gun, watched her naked fear, then raped her. “They didn’t kill me, but they broke me.” 2/
Iryna Dovhan, 63, was tied to a post in a town square, wrapped in a Ukrainian flag. Passers-by beat her and spat on her.
But the second blow came from the justice system.

A prosecutor refused to record her rape. He told her: "Your dignity has been compromised." 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 14
Putin has lost over 1 million soldiers killed or wounded in Ukraine, but is winning something bigger.
FP columnist Michael Hirsh argues that after nearly four years of war, Putin has succeeded in his core goal: exposing deep fractures inside what used to be called “the West.” 1/ Image
Militarily, Russia failed.

After nearly four years of war, Putin controls only 20% of Ukrainian territory, failed to erase Ukrainian statehood and triggered NATO’s expansion with Finland and Sweden joining the alliance.

This is not a battlefield victory. 2/
But Putin’s strategic objective was broader.

From the start, he bet that NATO unity would fracture under pressure.

Today, the U.S. and Europe openly clash over Ukraine, peace terms, Russia’s role, and even the meaning of “the West.” 3/
Read 12 tweets
Dec 14
Zelenskyy: Russia says either Ukraine leaves Donbas, or Russia will occupy it anyway.

The US proposed a compromise: our troops withdraw and Russian ones don’t enter, but we won’t accept this without mutual withdrawal - Babel. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy: If Ukrainian troops withdraw 5-10 km, why shouldn’t Russian troops withdraw the same distance? There’s no answer yet, and it’s very sensitive. 2/
Zelenskyy: I’ve told American partners many times: don’t believe everything Russia says. Russia is trying to occupy our land not by force, but politically and diplomatically. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Dec 13
Russia failed to take Ukrainian land by force and now pressures US to make Kyiv give it up politically.

Syrskyi: Russian manuals call 1.5-3 km per day a breakthrough, but troops move 1.5-4.5 km per month. At this pace, Russia needs years to take the land it wants, Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Putin is trying to sell a narrative to Trump's circle that Ukraine is losing, using small territorial gains to force a settlement.

He seeks a deal that weakens Ukraine militarily and leaves the option to resume the invasion later. 2/
Syrskyi rejects Russian claims of taking Pokrovsk. Russia sent 170,000 troops and fought for more than a year but seized only part of the city.

Ukrainian forces control 13 of 29 km² and maintain their position. Russian units failed to encircle the garrison or cut logistics. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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