Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 24
Ukraine is producing drone unicorns worth over $1 bn The founders will be extraordinarily wealthy. The soldiers who fought for those companies to exist may return to bombed factories and destroyed housing.

After WWII the US faced the same problem — Mitzie Purdue in KyivPost. 1/ Image
Dmytro Kavun, president of Dignitas Ukraine, has spent two decades in cybersecurity and works closely with Ukraine’s defense-tech ecosystem.

He says several Ukrainian drone companies are on track to reach billion-dollar valuations. US investors are eager to buy. 2/
These companies built something remarkable. Engineers and startup founders with no military background coordinated with soldiers on the battlefield daily, sometimes hourly.

New technologies deployed in weeks, not the years it takes in the West. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 24
Pentagon circulated options to punish NATO allies over the Iran war — including suspending Spain from the alliance and reconsidering US support for UK control of the Falkland Islands.

The proposals are already discussed at senior levels, Reuters. 1/ Image
The trigger: allies refused basing, overflight, and access rights for US operations.

Spain blocked use of its bases and airspace. US officials call this the “absolute baseline” obligation inside NATO. 2/
Suspending Spain would be mostly symbolic but politically significant.

The memo suggests removing “difficult” countries from key NATO roles to signal that alliance commitments are not optional. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 24
Igor Bagnyuk works at Russia's General Staff. He programs ballistic missile trajectories. On Easter Monday his calculations killed two-year-old Hanna and her mother Daria Sapun in Odesa. Putin awarded him a medal, writes Andrew Chahоyan for Hromadske. 1/ Image
Sixty years ago Hannah Arendt covered the trial of Adolf Eichmann — a Nazi official who organized deportations of Jews to death camps without killing anyone himself — and introduced the concept of the "banality of evil." 2/
The ordinariness of Eichmanns and Bagnyuks is terrifying. But more terrifying is the culture of impunity and collective irresponsibility that produces them. A state system that normalizes violence is more dangerous than any single villain. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Apr 24
Tykhyi, spokesman of Ukraine's FM: Orban's defeat is a signal to other parties and movements that anti-Ukrainian rhetoric does not work.

We showed the whole world that Ukraine is not an obstacle to negotiations, — Suspilne. 1/ Image
Tykhyi: Russia continues to insist, in ultimatum form, on maximalist and unrealistic demands, such as unilateral withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Donetsk region.

For this language to change, much more pressure is needed — both economic and on the battlefield. 2/
Tykhyi: Every partner decision to increase pressure on Russia, to support Ukraine, every additional investment in our defense industry, every Ukrainian long-range strike on Ust-Luga, Primorsk and other Russian pain points strengthens our negotiating position. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 24
On his first-ever combat mission, a Ukrainian scout captured five Russian soldiers. He used the first POW to convince the other four to surrender from inside the bunker.

Scout callsign Vzhyk, had been a barista in Kyiv less than six months earlier — ArmyInform.

1/ Image
Vzhyk: There was no fear. We planned everything. I knew if I gave in to emotions, mistakes would follow.

The first POW "Sem" climbed back into the bunker on Vzhyk's suggestion. Five minutes later all four came out. Sem handed over a Russian radio set.

2/
On the way to evacuation: a Russian FPV drone attacked the group. Then artillery. Then several glide bombs landed nearby.

The POWs told the scouts they weren't surprised — their own side had been firing at them.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 24
EU leaders signaled Ukraine can start the first stage of membership negotiations in the coming weeks.

But full membership remains years away. Croatia, the last country to join, took a decade, Bloomberg.

1/ Image
The push gained momentum after Hungary lifted its veto on the €90 billion loan to Ukraine. Orban's election loss removed the main blocker.

Peter Magyar is expected to be sworn in as Hungary's new PM in early May.

2/
Zelenskyy rejected proposals for "associate membership" — a faster path with fewer rights pushed by France and Germany.

"Ukraine does not need symbolic membership in the EU. Ukraine is defending itself — and undoubtedly defending Europe as well."

3/
Read 6 tweets

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