Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Feb 2
Oleh flew across Europe for a living. At 51, a Russian missile took his sight. Two years later, he changed Ukrainian law for wounded civilians.

This is the story of Oleh Miroshnychenko, — Ukrainska Pravda.

1/ Image
Miroshnychenko spent most of his life in the cockpit.

Passenger flights. Then business jets. A European EASA license after a year of study in the UK and 14 exams. He planned to fly until 65.

2/
On September 29, 2022, he walked home in Dnipro, near Troitskyi Market.

A Russian missile struck nearby. “I was walking. Then darkness.” The blast damaged the part of his brain responsible for vision.

3/
Read 14 tweets
Feb 2
Kallas: In the last 100 years, Russia has attacked at least 19 countries — some repeatedly. None attacked Russia.

To stop this war from spreading, concessions must come from Russia: limits on its military and accountability for its crimes.

1/
Kallas: Right now there’s heavy pressure on Ukrainians to make very difficult concessions. They’re willing to do it because they truly want this war to stop.

2/
Kallas: Some say the rules-based order was an illusion — the strong take what they want. But even in the jungle, animals cooperate.

We must build international law with countries that want rules. The UN Charter has principles — but it lacks accountability.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 1
Russia’s war budget is tightening as peace talks restart — and the math is getting worse.

Ahead of US-Russia talks in Miami, the Kremlin is scrambling to plug a 1.2tn ruble ($16bn) budget hole if war spending rises again, Bloomberg. 1/ Image
That gap equals about 0.5% of GDP on top of the planned 1.6% deficit.

Energy revenues are falling, the ruble is unexpectedly strong, and Moscow is already preparing for spending to overshoot targets — again. 2/
The 2026 budget assumes Urals at $59 and 92 rubles per dollar. Reality: Urals $55, 75 rubles.

At current levels, oil and gas revenue drops to 6.75tn rubles vs 8.9tn rubles planned — a 2.2tn ruble shortfall. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 1
Jack Lopresti, UK volunteer for Ukraine: What Ukrainians are living through is in our DNA. Britain remembers 1940 — being bombed, fighting alone for survival.

What Russia is doing now is simply evil: nightly air attacks, murdered civilians, war crimes, kidnapped children.

1/
Lopresti: Appeasement doesn’t work. Invasions can’t be negotiated away. Dictators must be deterred and defeated.

Peace by surrender is easy.

A just peace means Ukraine controls its own future, its alliances, its army, and its path to NATO and the EU.

2/
“Bard”, US volunteer: Some Americans understand what’s at stake in Ukraine. Some don’t. If we claim to be bastions of freedom, we should act like it.

My message to those who don’t get it: open a history book.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Feb 1
West is finally squeezing Russia’s shadow fleet — and oil revenues with it.

On Jan 22, French commandos seized the tanker Grinch off Spain: false flag, under sanctions, carrying 730,000 barrels of Russian oil. It’s one of at least 5 tankers captured this month, The Economist. 1/ Image
Nearly 700 mostly aging tankers now move embargoed oil for Russia and Iran — up to 1,500 if counting occasional users.

In Dec, they carried 5M barrels per day, about 11% of global seaborne oil. One in 5 tankers now sails “dark.” 2/
In 2025 alone, 623 tankers were newly sanctioned, vs 225 in 2024.

About 40% of ships moving Russian oil last year are now blacklisted, for Iran, 2/3. Tankers hauling 80% of Russian oil now face potential sanctions. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 1
Belgian PM De Wever: When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, I thought we were back in the 1980s — a tyrant attacking a democracy.

I expected an American leader to say, “Mr. Putin, get out of Ukraine.” Instead, Washington says it takes no side between Putin and Zelenskyy.

1/
De Wever: When tyranny invades democracy and the U.S. says it won’t take sides, you know it’s not the 1980s — it’s the 1880s.

This is a new age of imperial thinking and gunboat diplomacy. It may fade after Trump — or get worse.

2/
De Wever: Trump is hostile to the European Union.

When he says he loves Europe, he means 27 separate states living in vassalage. The only economy big enough to stand up to him is the EU — and that’s exactly what he doesn’t like.

3/
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(