Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Nov 27
Trump’s Ukraine “peace” push swings like a pendulum, writes The Atlantic.

This month it swung hard to Moscow: a 28-point plan packed with Kremlin demands and Ukraine got 5 days to accept it.

1/ Image
Army Sec. Dan Driscoll brought the ultimatum to Kyiv just as it leaked.

Streets swore, headlines screamed “capitulation”, but Zelenskyy did not slam the door. He agreed to talk and the U.S. quietly dropped the Thanksgiving deadline.

2/
In Geneva, negotiators cut the plan from 28 to 19 points.

They removed the worst parts: the war-crimes amnesty, the harshest limits on Ukraine’s army, and the clearest grabs for Russian frozen assets.

Trump now sends another envoy to Moscow.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Nov 27
Fanpage asked me whether Ukraine is desperate enough to accept anything.

Me: We want to end the war — but not surrender Ukraine. We won’t say yes to everything. Even after the corruption scandal, Zelenskyy can clean house and widen his coalition to resist pressure. 1/ Image
Me: Russia’s participation in any security-guarantee system is out of the question.

This was a red line since Istanbul 2022 — and still is. Dignity, sovereignty, and Ukraine’s identity are not negotiable. 2/
The 28-point Dmitriev-Witkoff plan is seen in Kyiv as an ultimatum, not diplomacy — demanding troop cuts, banning NATO, and embedding Russia inside Ukraine’s security architecture.

It legitimizes Moscow’s war goals and asks Kyiv to surrender before ceasefire talks even begin. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Nov 27
Kasparov: NATO is weak, NATO does not exist, it is just four letters: “n”, “a”, ‘t’, “o”.

The reason you are still sitting here celebrating is that Ukraine is dying every minute.

If Ukraine weren't standing up, Russian tanks would already be in Poland!

1/
Kasparov: How anyone can seriously discuss a deal concocted by Trump's business partner?

This is a real estate deal to enrich the Trump family and sell Ukraine!

How can anyone seriously discuss that Ukraine will have to give up the fortifications that are saving Europe!?

2/
Kasparov: Thanks to Ukraine, Russia has not yet fulfilled Putin's dream of restoring the Russian Empire.

But if Ukraine is forced to accept this deal, then it is absolutely clear that Putin will realize his dream.

And you guys are next. But you won't dare to fight.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Nov 27
Ursula Fon Der Leyen: Sovereignty means choosing your own future.

Ukraine chose a European path, already integrating into the EU market and defense base.

Europe’s future is tied to Ukraine’s, and Ukraine’s future is in the EU — a core part of any real security guarantee.

1/
Ursula: Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine, nothing about Europe without Europe, nothing about NATO without NATO.

A future peace deal will rely on the EU and NATO to handle security guarantees, sanctions, reconstruction funding, and EU membership. 2/
Ursula: Our priority is the return of every Ukrainian child abducted by Russia. Tens of thousands remain missing, trapped in Russia.

Families have never stopped searching or fighting for them — and Europe will not forget them or stop working to bring them home

3X
Read 4 tweets
Nov 27
Rubio told European allies that the U.S. wants Ukraine to sign a peace deal before Washington agrees to any security guarantees — a major shift that has alarmed Europe, Politico reports. 1/ Image
On a Tuesday call, Rubio said Trump will negotiate “long-term guarantees,” but only after Kyiv signs a deal with Moscow. Trump also refuses to invite Zelensky to the White House until the deal is done. 2/
European diplomats say messages from Washington keep changing.

Rubio raised guarantees in Geneva last weekend, but didn’t repeat them on calls with Britain and France.

One diplomat said the U.S. position is becoming “a new European security architecture full of holes.” 3/
Read 7 tweets
Nov 26
Trump pushes for peace in Ukraine — even if it means giving Russia land.

His team’s new 19-point plan would freeze the war but risks rewarding the invasion — Politico, WP.

Trump’s main goal, officials say, is to “stop the killing — whatever it takes.”

1/ Image
The U.S. proposal, cut from 28 to 19 points, still includes major concessions: Donbas, Luhansk, Crimea, and a pledge Ukraine won’t join NATO.

2/
White House envoy Marco Rubio leads talks in Geneva.

Trump says there are “only a few remaining disagreements” — but Moscow demands more land and a NATO veto.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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