Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 14
Chinese FM Wang Yi on Ukraine: Europe should not be on the menu, but at the table.

The war is in Europe — Europeans have every right to be at the negotiating table.

Beijing supports Europe talking to Russia.

1/
Wang Yi: I do not believe that the situation in the Asia-Pacific is becoming increasingly tense.

In fact, Asia is probably the only region that maintains overall peace.

2/
Wang Yi: The Japanese PM said a Taiwan contingency could trigger collective self-defense. This is the first time in 80 years that a Japanese leader has made such remarks.

It violates China’s territorial sovereignty and Japan’s commitments to China.

China cannot accept this.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 14
Rubio: We want Europe to be strong. Our destinies are intertwined. The great wars of the last century proved that Europe’s fate is never irrelevant to America’s own.

The fundamental question is: what exactly are we defending? 1/
Rubio: For us Americans, our home may be in the Western Hemisphere. But we will always be a child of Europe.

Together, we rebuilt a shattered continent in the wake of two devastating world wars. The free West linked arms to defeat Soviet communism. 2/
Rubio: The UN has tremendous potential, yet on the most pressing matters it had no answers and played virtually no role.

It could not solve Gaza. It could not solve Ukraine. It took American leadership to free captives and bring adversaries to the table. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Feb 14
In Munich, the US says it abandons the global rule-based order, but will revitalize the Western way of life (by force, if necessary)!

Rubio: The euphoria of triumph in Cold War led us to a dangerous delusion. That the rules-based global order will replace national interests. 1/
Rubio: We can no longer place the so-called global order above the interests of our people and our nations.

We do not need to abandon the system of international cooperation we authored. But these must be reformed and rebuilt. 2/
Rubio: We in America have no interest in being polite and orderly caretakers of the West’s managed decline.

We do not seek to separate, but to revitalize an old friendship and renew the greatest civilization in human history. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 14
Rubio: We don’t know if the Russians are serious about ending the war in Ukraine. They say they are.

We don’t know under what terms they’re willing to do it, or whether terms acceptable to Ukraine would ever be accepted by Russia. But we’re going to continue to test it. 1/
Rubio on Ukraine peace talks: Here’s the good news. The issues that must be confronted to end this war have been narrowed.

The bad news is they’ve been narrowed to the hardest questions to answer. And work remains to be done on that front. 2/
Rubio: It would be geopolitical malpractice not to engage China. Our national interests will often clash.

We expect China to act in its own interest, as we do in ours. The purpose of diplomacy is to manage those conflicts and strive to resolve them peacefully. 3X
Read 6 tweets
Feb 14
FT: Rubio skipped the Berlin Format meeting on Ukraine in Munich on Friday, cancelling at the last minute due to “scheduling conflicts.”

Sen. Peter Welch (D): It’s confirming our allies’ worst fears. They’re on their own. When Trump says Europe is on its own, he means it. 1/ Image
The meeting included leaders from Germany, Poland, Finland and the European Commission.

One European official called Rubio’s cancellation “insane.” Another said the meeting lacked substance without U.S. participation. 2/
FT: Rubio was “engaging on Russia-Ukraine in many of his meetings here in Munich.” Ukraine was the central topic, including negotiations with Russia and continued military aid for Kyiv. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 14
Sikorski: Russia is not capable of conquering Europe.

Since it cannot conquer the Donbas for 4 years.

[Actually, for 12, as for this moment]

1/
Sikorski: Russia had a strategic choice: become an ally of the West or a vassal of China.

Beijing must be pleased.

Russia is burning its national wealth on Chinese goods and growing weaker by the day.

2X
Read 4 tweets

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