Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Mar 14
Iran killed a French soldier with a Shahed drone.

Zelenskyy: The US and Gulf states asked Ukraine for anti-drone systems. We remember how long we waited for help in the first days of the war. Now we help those who helped us first.

1/
Zelenskyy: Sanctions on Russia must remain. If you lift sanctions control, Putin earns money.

He puts this money into Shahed drones and sends them to Iran, and the Iranian regime uses them to strike American bases or airports.

2/
Zelenskyy: Criticism exists, and the fact that you know about it shows democracy is alive in Ukraine

In Russia there is no criticism. One person decides everything and everyone else obeys

3X
Read 4 tweets
Mar 14
Russian Duma adopting law permitting extraterritorial armed forces engagement to free detained Russians.

It would legitimize armed attacks on Western courts and detention centers. Moscow is preparing for systematic body-snatching operations — CEPA. 1/ Image
Putin fears finding himself in The Hague on 2023 ICC warrant.

ICC also seeking former Defense Minister Shoigu and General Staff chief Gerasimov for roles in Ukraine war atrocities. Message underlined by January’s US operation to seize Venezuelan dictator Maduro. 2/
Kremlin used this tactic before. Exactly 20 years ago Putin legalized use of Russian special forces in offensive operations abroad for first time.

Presented as response to attack on Russian diplomats in Baghdad June 2006, but legislation already drafted months earlier. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Mar 14
Netanyahu finally got the war he pushed for, after decades warning about Iran’s nuclear threat.

Two weeks into the conflict, the limits are already clear: the war is unfolding largely on Trump’s terms — NYT. 1/ Image
Netanyahu has already lowered Israel’s war goals.

He launched the conflict promising to remove the “existential threat” posed by Iran’s regime.

Now he says Israel seeks only to degrade Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile threat. 2/
Israeli and U.S. fighters control Iranian airspace, but air power alone cannot achieve regime change.

Israel continues targeting Iran’s internal security forces while hoping the Iranian public eventually removes the government. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
Fiona Hill: What Putin is negotiating now is President Trump handing over Ukraine to him, forcing Ukraine to capitulate, forcing new elections in Ukraine and basically demilitarizing and neutralizing Ukraine so that Ukraine turns into essentially Belarus. 1/
Fiona Hill: Pandering to Putin, trying to bribe Putin, trying to flatter Putin, trying to incentivize Putin with promises of economic largesse, that is just not going to work. 2/
Fiona Hill: Trump is only thinking about his personal relationship with Vladimir Putin, and he feels that he's been thwarted by the media and everybody else's scrutiny on the election. I don't think we ever had any evidence that the election had been tipped by Putin. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Mar 13
Russia built a new secret assassination unit after GRU Unit 29155 was burned across Europe.

Center 795 was designed to be harder to trace, more autonomous, able to do from battlefield sabotage in Ukraine to killing abroad.

It was compromised by Google Translate, The Insider. 1/ Image
Center 795 was created in Dec 2022 by Russia’s General Staff as Military Unit 75127.

Unlike Unit 29155, it reported directly to Valery Gerasimov and was built as a “full-cycle” shadow army handling intelligence, surveillance, sabotage, and assassination. 2/
The unit was embedded inside Kalashnikov Concern at Patriot Park outside Moscow. Officers were put on the Kalashnikov payroll.

Training was disguised as “test shooting” linked to arms production. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Mar 13
Vovchansk today looks worse than Bakhmut in 2023. Russians drop guided bombs daily. I cannot imagine how many millions it would take just to clear the rubble — let alone rebuild, says commander of the 57th Brigade Vitaliy Popovych to Hromadske. 1/ Image
In three months of his command — over 1,000 Russians killed and around 800 wounded. Four battalions destroyed or crippled. The combat core of the brigade will not fight again. 2/
Russians do not advance on armor. They infiltrate — small groups, wading across the Vovcha River. They search for weak points. They accumulate a critical mass in Ukrainian rear and only then reveal themselves. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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