Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

May 20
For three years Europe armed Ukraine. After Trump cancelled Germany's Tomahawks this month, Ukraine may now arm Europe.

Diplomatic source in Berlin: "Together with Ukraine, a lot is possible with short time frames" — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Joe Biden pledged the Tomahawks to Germany in Jul 2024, range 1,550 miles.

They were closing a fatal gap. Europe has sea-launched Tomahawks but no ground-launched system to hit Russian submarine ports and air bases. 2/
Berlin now faces three options. Buy Tomahawks outright, build with Ukraine, or accelerate Elsa, the European long-range missile project.

Germany is pursuing all three. Boris Pistorius, German defence minister, flies to Washington next week for a four-day charm offensive. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 20
Russia is running out of people for its war in Ukraine — so Putin is handing out passports in Transnistria.

Putin signed a decree allowing residents of Moldova's breakaway region to obtain Russian citizenship without living in Russia or speaking Russian — Politico. 1/ Image
Moldovan President Maia Sandu: "Probably they need more people to send to the war in Ukraine." 2/
Sandu added that since the start of the full-scale war most Transnistria residents have themselves taken Moldovan citizenship because they felt safer holding a Moldovan passport than a Russian one. 3/
Read 5 tweets
May 20
Q: What are the top-3 innovations Germany looks up to in Ukraine?

Pistorius: AI, drones, including UAV, and for us it's very important to develop a long-range missile, an anti-ballistic missile.

We need more European solutions for what we are now forced to buy elsewhere.

1/
Fedorov: Our goal is to intercept 90–95% of missiles and Shaheds.

Ukraine launched the world's first 'Short-Range Air Defense' structure within the Air Force. Interceptor drones now hit 50–75% of Shaheds.

Germany is investing in Ukrainian Air Defense.

2/
Pistorius: I really admire the creativity and power of innovation in Ukraine. Not everything has to be invented in Germany.

We have to see what we can learn, what we can improve — or what we can just copy.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 19
Rachman, FT: "The current wars in Ukraine and Iran underline how foolish it is to assume that a military superpower will always win a war against a smaller country."

China's assumption that Taiwan would be helpless without American support is a dangerous mistake.

1/ Image
Ukraine has no navy — yet forced the Russian navy out of the Black Sea. Iran's navy was reportedly destroyed — yet Tehran keeps the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed with drones, missiles and speedboats.

Naval superpowers are increasingly vulnerable to cheap weapons.

2/
Taiwan's strengths: a top-20 global economy, 90%+ of the world's most advanced semiconductors, its own anti-ship missiles and drones, and the natural protection of being an island.

China would need one of the most ambitious seaborne invasions in history.

3/
Read 7 tweets
May 19
CNN: Russian drones circle targeting vehicles and dropping explosives on troops. You have to keep moving or they may swarm around you.

The battlefield has completely changed in a year. Nobody drives cars or tanks unless they have to. Nets and robots are now key protection. 1/
CNN: Drones also target heavy gunfire. Their friend, a lieutenant, killed when this car was hit just two days ago.

We are nearing their bunker position. There are moments here to rest, to see the trophies of drones that failed. It's a bit tough at this moment. 2/
CNN: The drones never stop, but neither does Ukraine. Ukraine is adapting and engineering new warfare to bridge its manpower crisis. The sense that Ukraine was inevitably losing is gone. Deep strikes are now inflicting pain in the heart of Russia. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 19
Merz: With Europe facing enormous security challenges, close coordination has never been more important.

Europe will not let up in its efforts for a durable and just peace in Ukraine — and Kyiv can rely on Europe’s consistent support. 1/
Merz: Europe will keep increasing pressure on Moscow. Russia must understand that it has to negotiate.

Europe is ready to come to the negotiating table with Ukraine, Russia and the United States. 2/
Merz: Bulgaria is ready to follow this path in European solidarity.

Europe’s new unity and determination — especially since the change in Hungary’s government — will bring us a step closer to peace. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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