Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Nov 14
The best explanation for Trump’s nominations of Matt Gaetz and Tulsi Gabbard comes from Konstantin Sonin @k_sonin : they won’t be confirmed, but it’s Trump’s way of rewarding loyalty.

I quote: 1/ Image
Image
Tulsi Gabbard, former congresswoman (back then a Democrat) and veteran, is proposed for National Security Coordinator. Matt Gaetz, congressman, is nominated for Attorney General 2/
The reaction — shock and outrage, as these nominations are, to say the least, highly controversial. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Nov 13
NYTimes on the new department for government efficiency under Musk @elonmusk and Ramaswamy @VivekGRamaswamy

Their job is to get $2 trillion in federal budget cuts by July 4, 2026

They are also thinking about shutting down Education dept, FBI, IRS 1/

#DOGE Image
Musk's has a major conflict: SpaceX has $10 billion in federal contracts, faces 20 investigations/lawsuits from agencies he'd oversee. Also, department to provide "advice from outside government." 2/
Ramaswamy proposes eliminating Education Department, FBI, IRS by executive order, cutting federal workforce by 75%, slashing foreign aid to Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan.

Good luck with that! There is no way they will be able to do it and they are up for a surprise 3/
Read 9 tweets
Nov 13
Trump pick for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth:

“You know what ceasefires are for him [Putin]? An opportunity to reload”

“[We should be] equipping and supplying Ukraine with what it needs

The Biden administration has not been doing it fast enough” 1/

But more recently, he expressed skepticism about U.S. involvement in Ukraine. Pete suggested that the conflict “pales in comparison” to domestic issues affecting Americans’ quality of life 2/mediamatters.org/russias-invasi…
Pete has characterized Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine as “Putin’s give-me-my-shit-back war”

Many view this as an implicit acceptance of the idea of the spheres of influence 3/

reuters.com/world/us/trump…
Read 7 tweets
Nov 12
Ten days before the election, Michael Waltz launched a scathing critique of Biden’s weak foreign policy, exposing his hardline stance on China, Russia, and Ukraine. Now set to become Trump’s national security advisor, Waltz is likely to push further than Biden ever dared. 1/ Image
Waltz echoes what Ukrainians have long argued: Biden’s “support as long as it takes” lacks strategy and invites failure. Instead, he calls for economic pressure on Russia through oil, gas, sanctions —or, if that fails, to arm Ukraine well with few restrictions. 2/ Image
Michael argues that peace now, with a West-aligned Ukraine, marks a strategic defeat for Putin—and Beijing also knows it. Biden’s approach, he adds, will achieve the same outcome but at a greater cost in lives and funds 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 12
Elon drags out the discredited Jeffrey Sachs, who shamelessly blames the U.S. for the war in Ukraine

Jeff’s every claim is wrong, but what truly pisses me off is his sheer delusional arrogance that it is Washington that handpicks Ukraine’s leaders

Yet, he has to be refuted 1/
Jeff's claim: This [invasion] is not an attack by Putin on Ukraine, [but a reaction to NATO expansion]

Reality: It is literally an attack on Ukraine. Whatever motives Jeff tries to pin on Putin, this remains an invasion—the largest war Europe has faced since 1945 2/
Also, NATO hadn’t expanded before the invasion—it only did so after. Putin issued his ultimatum not in response to any NATO action, but to craft a pretext for his invasion—a narrative Jeff eagerly parrots 3/
Read 16 tweets
Nov 12
Trump is expected to choose Marco Rubio Secretary of State and Michael Waltz as his National Security Advisor

Both are good news for Ukraine 1/
Rubio is a foreign policy hawk who is tough on China and Iran. And hawkish is good when dealing with Russia and thus is good for Ukraine. But he is also a realist. 2/

thehill.com/homenews/49852…
In September 2024, Rubio discussed the necessity of a negotiated settlement in the Russia-Ukraine war: “I’m not on Russia’s side — but unfortunately the reality of it is that the way the war in Ukraine is going to end is with a negotiated settlement.” 3/

politico.com/news/2024/09/2…
Read 7 tweets

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