Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 22
Former Ukraine PM Yatsenyuk: If we get a ceasefire, Ukrainians will cast ballots and elect the president. But that’s not on the radar right now.

Russians are playing this game, believing they can embroil Ukraine in domestic infight. The Ukrainian president is legitimate. 1/
Yatsenyuk: I do not see any intention on the side of Putin to cut any kind of peace deal with Ukraine. These so-called talks are a sham, with the idea to drag its feet and to outlast us. 2/
Yatsenyuk: There is no other scenario rather than to fight and to prevail. Putin's goal is to take over an entire Ukraine and annihilate Ukraine as a sovereign and independent nation. Putin is never straight. Putin is a professional KGB liar. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
Sullivan: The Chinese leadership says the East is rising, the West is declining. They believe the US is in decline and that democracy can’t succeed in XXI century.

Xi thinks China holds the high cards and America has vulnerabilities. There is real confidence from Beijing. 1/
Sullivan on Iran: If you got a deal, you put the nuclear program in a box, you get verification, and you’re not constantly lining up to take out enriched material or centrifuges or missiles.

I hope Trump would look seriously at the diplomatic option, but it’s likely there’ll be strikes. 2/
Sullivan on Venezuela: This is not a long-term sustainable strategy, but it has worked for a few weeks.

We asked for one big thing, let American oil companies exploit Venezuela’s oil resources. The question is whether there will be a democratic transition or just the status quo. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
2025 is the first year of the war in which Russian army losses exceeded recruitment. 418,000 killed or wounded vs 406,000 mobilized.

Ukraine continues to resist Russia’s main offensives — Ukraine’s commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskyi for Le Monde. 1/ Image
Syrskyi says Russia planned a large-scale 2025 offensive to seize all of Donbas, parts of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk and Kherson, and create a buffer zone in Kharkiv and Sumy regions — but “it failed.” 2/
He credits two cross-border Ukrainian offensives in Belgorod (March–April) and Kursk (May–June) for forcing Russia to redeploy forces, preventing the planned spring offensive. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 22
Four Russian FPV drones hunted down a married couple as they tried to flee occupation near Sumy.

The man pulled his wounded wife on a sledge across no man’s land. A second strike tore her apart. A fourth killed him as he knelt beside her – The Times. 1/ Image
The couple, Valentyna and Valerii Klochkov, had hidden in their cellar for six weeks after Russian troops captured their village before Christmas.

Hunger and cold forced them out. Their bodies still lie in the snow — no one can retrieve them under drone fire. 2/
In Kyiv, Oksana says anxiety pushes her to take tranquillisers, yet she keeps the dose low.

“I want to feel this. I don’t want to go through it as a vegetable,” she says, while her sister’s body lies unrecovered in the snow in Sumy region. 3/ Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 22
An IT mistake exposed a $90bn Russian oil network funding the war in Ukraine.

FT traced 48 traders using one private email server to mask Rosneft crude after US sanctions in Oct. 2025. It is the largest sanctions-evasion scheme uncovered so far and may trigger new sanctions. 1/ Image
FT identified 442 web domains whose public registrations show they all use the same private email server, .

It matched those domains with Russian and Indian customs filings linking the network to more than $90bn in oil exports. 2/mx.phoenixtrading.ltd
In November 2024, more than 80% of Rosneft’s ship-borne oil exports moved through the apparent network. Customs records show many of the companies are active for around six months before being replaced. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 22
“I left my Manhattan apartment for Ukraine’s front lines. Now I’m fighting drones.”

Viktoriia Honcharuk quit her dream job at Morgan Stanley in 2022 to become a combat medic. She evacuated up to 100 wounded soldiers a week from one of the war’s deadliest fronts, The Times. 1/ Image
Viktoriia left Ukraine at 15 on a U.S. scholarship.

She studied at Minerva University in California, sent out 80 job applications, interned at Citibank and landed a role at Morgan Stanley in New York.

On Feb 24, 2022, she woke up to Russia’s invasion. 2/
Her parents joined Ukraine’s Territorial Army. At first she sent money and gear.

“I thought I was helping. But I couldn’t look myself in the mirror”, she says. In September 2022 she returned home and decided to stay on the ground. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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