I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.
These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity 2. Empathy holds more power than rationality. 3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience 4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
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5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning 6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm 7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
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Let me expand on each of this points.
1. Unity and ingenuity.
Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.
But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.
So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?
Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.
Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here
GPS jamming has reached space, and from orbit a single source can blank an entire continent at once, far beyond any jammer on the ground.
Scientists traced short GPS outages across Europe, from Iceland to Italy, to three Russian satellites in at least 3 of 75 cases logged since 2019, NYT. 1/
The disruptions are short, lasting under 10 seconds, but they spread across a continent.
They hit the GPS networks of the U.S., China and the EU. Russia's own system stays untouched. 2/
Richard Bowden of Spanish tech firm GMV said the signal is clearly structured and well designed.
It sits next to a widely used GPS frequency but runs strong enough to bleed over and drown it out. 3/
FT: Zelenskyy invited Roman Abramovich to Kyiv on May 21 and asked him to tell Putin he was ready for their first one-on-one summit after more than four years of Russia’s full-scale invasion.
Ukraine tried a direct peace channel. Putin still saw no point in meeting. 1/
Ukraine wanted to prove it takes direct peace talks seriously while the US, which tried to broker a ceasefire, focuses on the Middle East war.
Kyiv also sees leverage in Russia’s slowed offensive, huge casualties, and Ukraine’s deep strikes behind enemy lines. 2/
Kyiv hopes its success in halting Russia’s offensive, now slowed to a crawl, and hitting deep behind enemy lines can push momentum toward an immediate ceasefire.
Putin still believes Russia’s larger resources will eventually wear down Ukraine’s resistance over time. 3/
Snyder: Ukraine is a test of whether people put their country’s interests first or follow the whims of leaders who admire oligarchs and dictators.
People understand that Ukrainians have the right to defend themselves and that they can and should win this war. 1/
Snyder: You're always in history and your choices matter. Not making a choice is also a choice. Trump has weaknesses. He can't win wars, he loses them.
His corruption and greed create vulnerabilities. History won't solve these problems on its own. 2/
Snyder: Trump is trying to blow America’s chance to be a power in the 21st century. The answer is not to reinvent who you are, but to remember who you are and act on it. If enough people do small things together that affirm those values, it will matter. 3/
Putin's chief propagandists can no longer explain what Russia is fighting for.
Aleksandr Dugin spent decades justifying Russia's war against the West. Asked what is worth fighting for today, he failed to give a clear answer, The Atlantic. 1/
Dugin answered with a fantasy of Russians leaving cities for the countryside, living among "neo-ancient ruins" and connecting through an "internet of Russian villages."
Even his interviewer, Sobchak, struggled to keep a straight face. 2/
At the end of May, he wrote that Russia's current elites give the country "critically low" chances of achieving victory.
He also questioned whether those elites could even hold the country together. 3/
Petraeus: The single most catastrophic imaginable event would be conflict between the U.S. and China.
America is spinning more plates than at any time since the Cold War, but the China plate is bigger than all the others combined. It cannot even wobble. 1/
Petraeus: Xi’s goal is Taiwan, reunification is his last bucket-list item. The task is to make sure that every morning in Beijing, when Xi looks at Taiwan, he concludes: not today.
That is the most important mission of the U.S. military. 2/
Petraeus: Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific rests on two things: China’s assessment of U.S. and allied capabilities, and America’s willingness to use them.
The U.S. must transform faster by learning from Ukraine and the Gulf. 3/
Petraeus: The U.S. is in a strategic cul-de-sac with Iran. Any route out has downsides.
Iran has been badly weakened militarily, but it still has drones, missiles, fast boats and the ability to create serious problems in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. 1/
Petraeus: The challenge is restoring freedom of navigation through Hormuz without giving Iran authority to charge tolls or navigation fees.
While still dealing with enriched uranium, sanctions, proxies and the future of Iran’s nuclear program. 2/
Petraeus: Tehran appears to believe Trump has less staying power than Iran does.
Iran does not face midterms, an affordability agenda or fear of losing the House. Trump needs a deal, and the regime seems to understand that leverage. 3X