Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 19
Today, Putin admits that Russian economy is in trouble, the losses are not sustainable, but he won't negotiate with Zelensky, only with Trump. Why? Zelensky won't surrender Ukraine, he hopes Trump might

Here is what he says and what he means: 1/
Putin says: Inflation is a worrying signal, standing at 9.2%-9.3%, but real wages have grown faster than inflation. Therefore, the overall situation is stable

He means: The economy is unraveling, and even I can no longer sustain the illusion 2/
Putin says: Our soldiers are reclaiming territory by the square kilometer every day

He means: Our soldiers are dying by the thousands for my personal agenda 3/

Read 13 tweets
Dec 19
An Oscar winning Ukrainian, Mstyslav Chernov, is an extraordinary human! The best we produce as a human race. 1/ Image
In January Mstyslav Chernov will present his new film, 2000 Meters to Andriivka, at the Sundance Film Festival. It is a documentary about Ukrainian platoon fighting to liberate a strategic village during a (failed) counteroffensive last year. 2/
In 2020, Chernov filmed Belarus’s presidential elections, got thrown into a police van, and lost consciousness after a beating. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 19
Some Ukrainian students will never hold their diplomas because they were killed by Russia. They never got to finish their studies, to start their careers, to live their lives.

This is Polina Zheldak, who was killed in Chernihiv on March 3, 2022, and was a student at the Nizhyn Pedagogical University. 1/Image
At the University of Massachusetts (UMass), an exhibit called "Unawarded Diplomas" honors 22 of these students. Artem Havryliuk, a KSE exchange student, helped bring this exhibit to life.

This is Kyrylo Osipenko, who was killed in Kharkiv on March 1, 2022, and was a student at Kharkiv Polytechnic University. 2/Image
Artem believes the worst fate is to be forgotten, and this exhibit ensures stories of those students live on. The exhibit highlights their dreams, achievements, and how they were killed.

This is Tatiana Kotlubey, who was killed in Mariupol on March 11, 2022, and was a student at the Priazovsky State Technical University. 3/Image
Read 6 tweets
Dec 18
That’s a great meme - nuclear powers can and do lose wars when faced with determined, asymmetric opponents.

Last year, @TimothyDSnyder made a strong case that Russia’s nuclear arsenal is irrelevant in Ukraine, except as a tool of intimidation. 1/
I often say that Russia threatens to nuke Ukraine, and the West indulges this talk. A flawed idea paralyzes people’s minds - a nuclear power can’t loose a war. But it can and often does 2/
A year ago, Timothy Snyder @TimothyDSnyder put forward some convincing and reassuring arguments why Russia will never use nukes, so we can call relax, arm Ukraine, and let it beat Russia

These arguments are true today 3/ Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 17
Top Russian general killed in bomb blast in Moscow. Ukraine says it’s behind it.

This a new chilling stage in this war - urban assassinations by explosives reaching capitals

Russia started this weeks ago. Now, it appears to me Ukraine retaliated 1/

This is not that much in the news, but Russia has been recently targeting military officers by booby traps and explosions in cities across Ukraine.

One recent case was reported a couple of days ago. An explosion that killed several military officers at a mobilization center 2/
Now, both sides are employing tactics, which was long expected by war analysts (think Hamas in Israel) 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 16
Yesterday, two Russian tankers carrying 8,600 tonnes of fuel oil faced catastrophic accidents in the Black Sea. One split in half, with casualties, while the other ran aground

These dilapidated tankers, built in 1969 and 1982, are the symbol of the “strong Russian economy” 1/ Image
They are also illustrating the Russian strategy of by passing sanctions - using a shadow fleet of ran down, uninsured tankers that violate every imaginable regulation

Russia says “f..ck you” to the rules of the world, per usual 2/
Politico makes an intriguing point that the Russia shadow fleet is now 17% of the total global. So, it is humongous and, thus, can be used to channel arms around without detection

That is a scary thought and another reason to enforce sanctions against the shadow fleet 3/
Read 10 tweets

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