Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Mar 3
Kasparov: Trump is a bulldozer — he clears the rubble but can't build anything.

Obama could have acted in 2009. People were in the streets and elites were split.

Instead he chose cowardice. Iran got stronger and Putin entered the Middle East.

1/
Kasparov: The West has stopped worshipping the fetish of international law.

Putin and Khamenei destroyed it. They used international institutions to cover their crimes.

Now it's coming back at them. If there's no law, we find out who is stronger. And everyone knows the answer.

2/
Kasparov: Ukraine has profit from Iran.

Putin is weaker, and that alone matters.

Iran was helping Russia with drones. That help is now gone.

And finally — demand for Ukrainian drone defense technology will surge, in countries that actually have money to pay for it.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Mar 3
Valerii Puzik spent 40 days in a dirt hole with no food, no water, no signal.

He serves on the Zaporizhzhia front. He calls it “infantry hell” and his second birthday. — Ukrainska Pravda 1/ Image
Puzik: “We were five in the hole — three Ukrainians and two Colombians.”

When supplies ran out, they split one can and a 14-cm piece of ham with a tape measure. Millimeters per person. 2/
Puzik: “Hunger strips you bare. You stop playing roles.”

It peels off manners, status, fear — until only one thing remains: survive. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Mar 3
Rubio: The hardest hits on Iran are yet to come. The next phase will be even more punishing.

We have clear objectives and will act as long as it takes to achieve them. When this operation is over, the world will be a safer place.

1/
Rubio: In a year or so, Iran would cross a line of immunity — with so many missiles and drones no one could stop them. This operation had to happen.

Look at the damage they cause now, weakened. Imagine them a year from now.

2/
Rubio: The United States would not deliberately target a school.

Our focus is on missiles and drones — their production and launch sites — not civilian infrastructure. Iran, on the other hand, is hitting hotels, embassies, airports, and oil facilities.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Mar 3
Operation Epic Fury is now in Day 4.

Iranian Shahed suicide drones are swarming Gulf airspace. They're targeting military bases and infrastructure.

Russia has been using Shaheds against Ukraine for 3,5 years.

And Ukraine knows how to deal with Shaheds cheaply. 1/ Image
A Shahed-136 costs roughly $20k–$50k.
A Patriot PAC-3 interceptor costs about $4–6 million.
THAAD can exceed $10 million per shot.

This is asymmetric warfare by design — forcing defenders to burn gold on aluminum. 2/
In parts of the Middle East, Patriots are intercepting slow propeller drones because there is no cheaper defensive tier available.

Every $5M missile fired at a $30k drone weakens ballistic missile coverage. That is the strategic trap. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 2
Rutte: Europeans are stepping up [in backing US strikes on Iran].

Merz backed taking out Iran’s nuclear and ballistic capability. The UK committed defensive assets. Europe supports degrading a threat to Europe, Israel and the region. 1/
Q: Will NATO be involved in Iran?

Rutte: No. The Americans and the Israelis are leading this campaign.

Allies enable it where they can, especially as Iran lashes out at Dubai, Bahrain, Oman and others, hitting civilians and hotels. 2/
Rutte: I am glad Iran’s nuclear and ballistic capabilities are being degraded.

I hope the Iranian people will have a vote in their future government.

I expect Iran to stop exporting chaos to the region, to Europe and to Ukraine by enabling Russia’s war. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Mar 2
How to hide from missiles? People keep asking me.

They are now a threat not only in Ukraine, but also over Israel, Saudi Arabia, Cyprus, Bahrain and the UAE.

Here’s what Ukrainians learned under constant Shahed and missile attacks.

1/
Rule #1: Go underground.

Best option — a proper shelter or deep metro station.

If not: underground parking or a solid basement (better with 2 exits).

Most people die from shrapnel, not direct hits.

2/
No shelter nearby?

Use the “two walls” rule. Stay inside, away from windows. Put two solid walls between you and the street.

Sit low. Cover your head. Avoid balconies, glass facades, top floors.

3/
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(