Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 25
Russia will fund children conceived from the very soldiers it already sent to die in Ukraine.

The State Duma passed a bill giving their widows fully state-funded IVF and artificial insemination, drawn from the biomaterial these men banked before they deployed — United24. 1/ Image
A widow can claim the state benefit for five years after her husband dies, and she keeps it only if she does not remarry.

She also needs a notarized consent form for the storage and use of his biomaterial, one the soldier had to sign in person while he was still alive. 2/
Russia will deliver the procedures under its program of state guarantees for free medical care, and its Health Ministry will write the detailed rules.

The bill funds both IVF and artificial insemination for these widows, but it still draws the line at surrogate motherhood. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jul 25
CNN: Russian hackers spent a year targeting nuclear scientists, defense firms, governments, police, schools and energy.

They tested tools on Ukrainians first, then used them against NATO to seek Western military, logistics and policy intelligence. 1/ Image
The campaign focused on email servers used by nuclear installations and the U.S. defense industrial base. Researchers say the hackers appeared interested in nuclear fusion and intelligence useful to Russia’s war against Ukraine. 2/
The exploit was unusually dangerous because victims did not need to click a link. Opening an email on a vulnerable system could let hackers steal three months of communications and an organization’s full email directory. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jul 25
Laura Loomer: I said I didn’t care if Putin conquered Ukraine, had no problem with Putin, and mocked Zelenskyy for not wearing a suit.

People urged me to delete those posts, but I left them online so people could see what I said before and how I feel now. 1/
Loomer: We joked that after receiving billions, Zelenskyy could buy the most expensive Italian suit. I later realized it was much more serious than joking around.

I had been consuming a lot of Russian media and was influenced by Russian propaganda. 2/
Loomer: After the 2020 election, many conservatives were banned from social media and shut out of US news outlets.

RT [Russian state media] offered me a platform. It felt like I finally had a voice again. I took no money, but I regret accepting the offer. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 25
Laura Loomer: I apologize to Ukrainians for what I said about their country. People here were kind to me.

I doubt Putin would sit down with me or Moscow would welcome me if I criticized its government. Zelenskyy answered every question I asked. 1/
Loomer: I expected Kyiv to have far more destruction and rubble.

Instead, people were living their lives. Nobody was hiding. They were smiling, walking their dogs, and the city looked far more put together than I expected. 2/
Loomer: During the 15-hour train ride, I saw areas that had been destroyed.

The conductor told us Russia tries to bomb train stations to disrupt people’s ability to travel freely. What surprised me most was how resilient Ukrainians are. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 25
Volker: There will never be a real peace agreement with Putin. That requires him to accept Ukraine as sovereign, Zelenskyy as its legitimate leader, and a real border.

He'll never agree to that. The best we'll get is a ceasefire, made as durable as we can. 1/
Volker: Putin isn't motivated by peace, lifted sanctions, or money.

He's motivated by rebuilding the Russian empire and subjugating Ukraine. Trump didn't fully grasp that at first, but the more he's dealt with Putin, the more he's realized Putin is lying to him. 2/
Volker: Putin doesn't want an off-ramp, and he's willing to inflict enormous suffering on Russia's own people to keep chasing his goal.

But oil and gas money will eventually stop covering the war, and he can't replace the roughly 30,000 soldiers he's losing a month. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 25
Former Ukrainian FM Kuleba: We're heading toward drone and ballistic-missile parity with Russia, but neither side will have enough air defense.

2026 and 2027's decisive battles get fought in the air, not on the ground. 1/
Kuleba: There are no Patriot interceptors, and there won't be enough soon. I've heard an optimistic end-2026 date for our own licensed production, but I don't believe it — even running, we're missing components.

We'd be an assembly shop, not a real manufacturer. 2/
Kuleba: The idea that de-escalation works if we just stop striking back is wrong. Putin isn't in a negotiating mindset — he'll end up wrecking Russia before he backs down from Ukraine.

That's good news, but a very long-term process with very long-term consequences. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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