Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Nov 26
Republicans now fight each other over Trump’s Ukraine deal.

Senator McConnell says the plan “rewards aggression” and hands Putin gains he failed to win in two years of war, writes The New York Times.

1/ Image
Vance fires back. He calls McConnell’s warning a “ridiculous attack” and defends the draft deal that cuts Ukraine’s army and forces Kyiv to give up territory.

2/
Senators say Rubio told them the plan was Russia-led, then reversed himself and claimed it was a U.S. document.

The White House says Kushner and envoy Witkoff wrote it after repeated meetings with Russian officials.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Nov 26
Timothy Snyder explains why Trump’s Ukraine “peace plan” is fatal and cannot produce lasting peace.

He writes six structural problems in the Witkoff–Dmitriev proposal in 1/ Wyborcza.plImage
1. Nuclear risk

If Ukraine is forced to accept territorial losses because Russia has nukes, every state concludes that only nuclear weapons prevent invasion.

That triggers global proliferation and raises the risk of a nuclear world war. 2/
2. Borders

Rewarding Russia for seizing Ukrainian land overturns the core rule of the post-1945 order: borders cannot be changed by force. Turning this into a precedent normalizes invasions and makes future wars more likely. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Nov 26
Putin ordered authorities to “strengthen Russian identity” in occupied Ukrainian regions. 95% of locals must identify as Russian by 2036 — Reuters.

The decree calls it “restoring the unity of historical Russian territories” and countering foreign attempts to create division.

1/ Image
The decree will take effect in January.

It ties cultural and linguistic control directly to Putin’s justification for the 2022 invasion — to “protect Russian-speakers” and “reunify historical lands.”

2/
Ukraine warns that Moscow’s new “identity campaign” coincides with peace talks that could pressure Kyiv into accepting Russian terms, including territorial losses.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Nov 26
“After 100 days on the position — the last 20 of them hell — I finally broke out of the encirclement,” Ukrainian soldier Oleksandr Honcharuk on his FB.

My brothers-in-arms “buried” me twice, because given the conditions I was in, they believed survival was almost impossible. 1/ Image
Oleksandr: Someone shades captured villages in red, I think every day about my comrade who was killed just a few meters from me.

Our group came under mortar fire during movement, and Russian drones surrounded us, leaving almost no chance. 2/
Oleksandr: I ordered 2 fighters to crawl to cover, and stayed to knock down the drones because I no longer had the strength to move.

No heroism — just a real assessment of the odds. Someone had to stay and give the others a chance. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Nov 26
Zelenskyy is entering negotiations at his weakest moment since 2022 — hit by a $100M corruption scandal and facing a U.S.–Russia plan that Ukrainians see as capitulation.

I told the WSJ: “If we surrender to Russia in a meaningful way, more and not fewer people will die.” 1/ Image
Me: “You can deny intelligence, you can deny support, but it won’t matter in the short run. Ukraine’s military is exhausted, but it is not in a mood to surrender.” 2/
Zelenskyy’s political vulnerability — ministerial firings, anti-corruption protests, and pressure on his inner circle — makes him less likely to accept Trump’s 28-point deal drafted by Steve Witkoff and Kremlin adviser Kirill Dmitriev. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Nov 26
Keane: Putin has not made any concessions.

He believes the more the war is protracted and the killing goes on, the more he thinks he can weaken the resolve of the United States and European leaders and pressure Zelenskyy to make concessions. 1/
Keane: Putin has broken every deal he has ever been involved in — in Ukraine and Syria.

Zelenskyy wants security guarantees and forces there to make certain Putin won’t attack again. Some means of deterrence has to be worked on. 2/
Keane: The Ukraine-Russia peace plan certainly got off on the wrong start because the first version seemed so one-sided toward Russia.

When they were stitching together a revised plan, they probably would have liked a do-over on the first one. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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