Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

May 30
Kasparov: Europe is still not ready to say the magic formula: Russia must lose, Ukraine must win.

But the war cannot end while Putin is in power, because under Putin war has become the way the entire Russian state apparatus exists. 1/
Kasparov: Negotiations with Putin mean selling part of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territory to buy time for calm preparation before Putin’s next aggression.

Nothing else is happening here. Russia’s whole system is aimed at continuing the war. 2/
Kasparov: Trump has already done everything he could for Putin.

Cut aid to Ukraine, stopped giving weapons, even stopped selling them to Europeans, raised oil prices with the Iran war, quarreled with Europe, and practically buried NATO. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 29
Browder: I became Russia’s largest foreign investor, with $4.5B under management.

Then I found the companies I owned were being robbed blind by oligarchs. We exposed it through the FT and WSJ and became a major headache for Putin’s regime. 1/
Browder: After Russia expelled me, we sold everything and paid $230M in taxes.

Criminals and officials then stole that money from the Russian state. Sergei Magnitsky discovered it, exposed it, was arrested, tortured for 358 days and killed at 37. 2/
Browder: Sergei refused to leave Russia. He said: I did nothing wrong, this is not Stalin’s 1938 Russia, the law will protect me.

He was killed for believing in a Russia that did not exist, a better Russia than the one actually there. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 29
Russia's May 24 strike drained Ukrainian Patriot stocks. Zelenskyy went straight to Trump and Congress for resupply. A US senator flew to Kyiv and said yes.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal: It is literally about saving lives, — United24. 1/ Image
Blumenthal framed the response as continuity. The US has armed Ukraine for three years of full-scale war, and a Patriot resupply fits the same pattern.
Blumenthal: "I hope and expect America will respond positively. We have already done it before. We must do it again." 2/
Zelenskyy asked for Patriot PAC-3 interceptors and additional air defense gear. PAC-3 is the only Ukrainian-fielded missile that reliably stops Russian Iskander-M and Kinzhal ballistic strikes.

Without resupply, Ukrainian cities lose top ballistic protection within weeks. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 29
Chief of Estonian Intelligence, Kaupo Rosin: Pressure is mounting inside Russia.

There is no real battlefield success despite the extremely high cost, economic and financial problems are mounting, and the internal mood is changing. 1/
Rosin: Time is absolutely not on Putin’s side, if the West keeps the current trajectory on sanctions and support for Ukraine.

The West must keep giving Ukraine everything needed, and Ukraine should continue long-range strikes on Russian oil infrastructure. 2/
Rosin: If Ukraine gave up the Donbas territory Russia demands, I see no guarantee Moscow would stop.

Russia would probably come with new demands and start negotiations again from zero. I would not fall into that trap. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 29
Sen. Blumenthal: America is not leaving Ukraine. Our diplomats are here to stay, and we stand behind Ukraine as we have from the outset.

We will not be cowed by Russian threats or bullying — and neither should the people of Ukraine in any way. 1/
Blumenthal: Russia is not winning. Ukraine will prevail if it has the means to finish the job: long-range attack, artillery, HIMARS, ATACMS, tanks, F-16s and munitions.

Most urgent now is air defense, because Putin’s cruelty keeps escalating. 2/
Blumenthal: Putin’s escalating cruelty is in the attacks on apartment houses, malls, hospitals and schools.

This criminal conduct ought to outrage the world — and so should the kidnapping of Ukrainian children, who will be the face and voice of Ukraine’s freedom fight. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 28
Bolton: Ukraine now has the best army in Europe, better than any NATO member there except the U.S.

It has enormous combat experience and has developed drone and counter-drone technology that America should use, learn from, and take advantage of. 1/
Bolton: Ukrainians have brought Russia to a halt. Putin does not get serious about negotiations until Russian forces are really moving backward.

If you want to defeat aggression and tell others it is not in their interest, Ukraine is the model. 2/
Bolton: Ukrainians are a moral example for the world.

A free people, largely abandoned, confronted one of the world’s largest armies and refused to give in. Congress should be unabashedly pro-Ukraine — it is a tragedy America is not doing more. 3X
Read 5 tweets

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