Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Jan 23
Trump appears to have fallen for Ukraine: cooperating with Saudis to drop oil prices and hit Russia, pressing Xi to push Putin, says Zelensky ready to negotiate while Putin resists, NATO countries move to 5% defense spending, and (ouch!) Putin’s election results are frankly absurd. 1/
I'm also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC to bring down the cost of oil. If the price came down, the Russia Ukraine war would end immediately.

Right now, the price is high enough that that war will continue. They're very responsible, actually. Millions of lives are being lost. 2/
I like president Xi very much. We always had a a great relationship.

Hopefully, China can help us stop the war with, in particular, Russia, Ukraine.

They have a great deal of power over that situation. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Jan 21
Zelenskyy: We want a quick peace.

But also fair and secure, Ukrainians returning home, rebuild their lives

He is right, and this can be done, if only political leaders had courage.

1/
Zelensky on Trump: I have a very good relationship with President Trump. He’s made it clear he’ll do everything he can to end the war this year.

It's crucial for us that Europe is heard, with more voices around President Trump, so he understands the details and future risks.

2/
Zelensky on Russian strength: Russia now has over 600,000 troops in Ukraine - three times more than in 2022.

This is three times what they had when they first attacked in 2022.

When people say that we are receiving enough aid, they should compare that with what was happening back then.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jan 21
Zelensky: In the Trump’s world, Europe needs to learn to take care of itself, we must unite defense and security, production and strategy.

Also, Europe can’t expect to continue to buy gas from Russia and get free security from the U.S. 1/
Zelensky: Will president Trump listen to Europe, or will he negotiate with Russia and China without Europe?

Europe needs to learn how to fully take care of itself, that the world can't afford to ignore it. 2/
We need a united European security and defense policy. If it takes 5% of GDP to cover defense, so be it 5%.

There is no need to play with people's emotions that defense should be compensated. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jan 20
Trump’s key message today: I was saved by God to make America great. By force.

But Trump will also declare the national emergency on the southern order and establish the External Revenue Service.

Also, two genders only and get China out of the Panama Canal. 1/
Trump: The golden age of America is starting.

America will flourish and be respected again all over the world. It will be the envy of every nation, and not allow to be taken advantage of any longer. 2/
U.S. sovereignty will be reclaimed, safety will be restored, scales of justice will be rebalanced.

The vicious, violent and unfair weaponization of the Justice Department and government will end. 3/
Read 18 tweets
Jan 19
Kellogg: Russia, despite escalating, is ready to stop after 3 years of war. North Korea doubles troops in Ukraine, Russia-Iran deal is weak, and both fear Trump’s return. Desperation, not strength, defines their axis. 1/
Both Russia and Ukraine likely want resolution after 3 years of war with heavy losses in troops and equipment.

Trump and others are developing a comprehensive strategy quietly that may bring peace soon to the region. 2/
You think that Zelensky is open to a negotiation? I think he's ready for it. I think Russians are too.

They're not talking about it, but I think both sides wanna look in or looking to referee to tap out of a cage fight. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 19
CIA and Ukraine Defense Intelligence

Under Obama, Trump, and Biden, Ukraine trained and shared intelligence with the US in secrecy, from Russia and the world.

"We went from being zero to one of our most important partners, up in the realm of the Brits."

1/ Image
CIA spent millions on dozen secret border bases, training, equipment. Made Ukraine top-level partner by 2016 - rare joint operations approval.

2/
Partnership gave US vital Russian intel window: "Their access was so significant... They knew things we just had no idea of." Russians previously were Ukraine's closest allies.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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