Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 31
White House believes European leaders publicly back Trump's Ukraine peace efforts while secretly undermining progress made since the Alaska summit.

Trump aides claim they push Ukraine toward unrealistic territorial concessions and expecting America to bear costs, Axios. 1/ Image
Treasury Department tasked with compiling European sanctions list against Russia, including complete oil/gas purchase cessation and secondary tariffs on India and China. 2/
Senior White House official warns: "If Europe wants to escalate this war, that will be up to them... they will be hopelessly snatching defeat from the jaws of victory." 3/
Read 9 tweets
Aug 31
Ukraine once again imposed sanctions on Russia's oil refineries.

Ukraine struck the Krasnodar refinery, which accounts for 1.1% of Russia's total oil production, the Syzran refinery, which accounts for 3%, and the Aleksinsky chemical plant with drones. 1/
Krasnodar oil refinery accounts for 1.1% of Russia's total oil production.

Ukraine hit it for the 1st time since the war began. There were at least 3 strikes, according to eyewitnesses. 2/ Image
Syzran oil refinery accounts for 3% of Russia's total oil production.

Ukraine hit it 3 times this month and 5 times since the war began. Last time, it suffered serious damage: 2 units and a pumping station. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 31
Russian forces made a major advance near Pokrovsk, moving about 10 km.

Ukrainian troops, including snipers from the 93rd Mechanized Brigade, were deployed to stop them and successfully recaptured several settlements, FT. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy rejected ceding Donbas, Trump said a peace deal might include "territory swaps."

Fighting intensified as Russian forces advanced north of Slovyansk, neared Kostyantynivka, and tried to gain a foothold in previously uncontested Dnipro oblast. 2/
Ukrainian soldiers reject ceding Donbas, with one sniper saying, "There won't be such an order."

Donetsk’s 45 km line, including Kostyantynivka, is the last major defence. The road to Kramatorsk is perilous, littered with burned vehicles and hit by frequent drone strikes. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Aug 31
Ursula: The predator [Russia] has to pay for what he did.

Also Ursula: Putin will not stop, 800B euro in the EU defense industrial plan, our 3 levels of defense: Ukraine’s army, Coalition of the Willing, European defense posture. 1/
We see Russia's brutal war against Ukraine. It’s very obvious Putin will not stop.

We will continue to provide political, economic, and military support to Ukraine.

We’re tightening the sanctions against Russia, specifically on the shadow fleet. 2/
Ursula: We have to strengthen Ukraine's defense and take greater responsibility for our own defense posture.

This is the logic behind the 800B euro defense industrial plan that we have launched. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Aug 30
WP: Trump didn’t have the authority to impose most of his tariffs, a U.S. appeals court says. They are illegal under the IEEPA.

The tariffs will stay in place for now while the U.S. Supreme Court decides whether to hear the case.

1/ Image
The ruling weakens Trump’s economic policy but allows the government to explore other ways to impose tariffs.

It follows months of tariffs on over 60 countries, leading to higher costs and inflation in the U.S. economy.

2/
Trump's legal team intends to appeal, asserting that the tariffs were necessary to address unfair trade practices and reduce the U.S. trade deficit.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Aug 30
Bloomberg: Merz and Macron push for secondary sanctions against companies from third countries supporting Russia’s war.

The goal is to restrict Moscow’s ability to raise funds from oil sales, with a focus on third-country companies aiding Russia.

1/ Image
European leaders plan to speak with Trump to pressure him into implementing further sanctions and forcing Russia into negotiations.

The EU is discussing secondary sanctions, particularly targeting Russia’s energy sector, to prevent circumvention of penalties.

2/
France and Germany agree to provide Ukraine with "credible security guarantees," including unlimited military support.

They plan closer defense cooperation, standardizing military equipment, and discussing France’s nuclear weapons in Europe’s security framework.

3/
Read 5 tweets

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