Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 8, 2023 21 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine.

I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.

These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
2/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
3/
Let me expand on each of this points.

1. Unity and ingenuity.

Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.

But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.

This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience

The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems

This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning

Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.

So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm

Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?

Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.

That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.

Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here

Thank you so much for your solidarity!foundation.kse.ua

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 13
Zelenskyy: We launched a new anti-ballistic program, Freya, to mass-produce anti-ballistic weapons, systems, and missiles.

Today, the anti-ballistic coalition held its first founding meeting.

1/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine has a missile, but it is only part of the system.

Together, in the next 12 months, we can build Freya: an affordable anti-ballistic system that closes the gap and gives Europe enough new protection.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 13
Volker: Zelenskyy has learned how to deal with Trump. This time [in Ankara] he was disciplined.

He didn't want to talk too much in public. He wanted their private meeting to have a positive tone. He joked a little.

That's the right way to handle things. 1/
Volker: Zelenskyy has an advantage over Russia in drones, counter-drones, electronic warfare, defense tech, innovation and logistics.

Many things that Putin is not able to do. Long-range strikes are hitting Russia's source of money: its oil and gas industry. 2/
Volker: Putin wants another shot at the winter.

He wants to keep fighting and try again to shut off Ukraine's electricity. Ukraine is in a stronger position than last winter, but Putin probably wants to try again. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 13
Ex-CIA officer Wiswesser: Under Putin, Russian intelligence can do no wrong without accountability.

Blow up a DHL plane in Lithuania, set a shopping center on fire in Warsaw or try to kill Rheinmetall's CEO in Germany. That makes it a formidable adversary. 1/
Wiswesser: Russian intelligence understands very little about how the United States works.

It projects its own corruption and political system onto the West. If Putin had understood the West, he should never have invaded Ukraine. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 13
Kuleba: Putin is living through his Stalin moment. When everything falls apart around you, you do not give in.

You tighten the screws and double down: nothing can break me. Putin is waiting for winter to crush Ukraine’s energy system and its people’s resilience.

1/
Kuleba: Ukraine asked to build Patriot missiles at home in December 2023. The West takes too long to make obvious decisions.

War is becoming more aerial, and Ukraine will never have enough Patriots to intercept all ballistic missiles.

2/
Kuleba: Trump’s first year hit Ukraine hard. No one expected an easy relationship, but no one imagined it would get this bad.

Things look better now, but no one can guarantee it will hold.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 13
Applebaum: Russians say they have no fuel, can’t do their jobs, and don’t know what comes next. But ordinary Russians have little impact on the Kremlin.

Don’t view Russia through a democratic lens. Propaganda says Russia is winning; reality says Russians are worse off.

1/
Applebaum: Putin mentioned a town that doesn’t exist and described a settlement as surrounded, with no evidence.

Either he makes things up, or someone misinforms him about the battlefield. He may be delusional, or his circle feeds him what he wants to hear.

2/
Applebaum: Putin may try mobilization, but I think it would fail. Russians would resist joining the army as they learn that the front line is a death sentence.

That could drag out the war for months, but I don’t see Russia winning or turning the tide this year.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 13
At a secret factory in southern Germany, Helsing SE mass-produces AI attack drones for Ukraine.

The HX-2 weighs 26 pounds, can cost as little as €17,500, needs barely a week of training and has been deployed by the thousands, NYT. 1/ Image
Helsing is Europe’s most valuable AI defense start-up.

Founded in 2021, it set out to mass-produce cheap war machines as Western defense moves beyond multiyear contracts for tanks, jets and submarines toward cheaper, nimbler systems. 2/
The factory operates under tight secrecy.

Helsing’s name appears nowhere, other tenants do not know it exists, and the site can be dismantled and relocated within a day because the company fears sabotage or attack. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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