I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war.
These are the lessons I learned. 1/
1. We owe our survival to unity and ingenuity 2. Empathy holds more power than rationality. 3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience 4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
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5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning 6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm 7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
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Let me expand on each of this points.
1. Unity and ingenuity.
Russia was hoping that a politically polarized Ukrainian society won't be able to provide a quick and unified response to the invasion. They expected that Ukrainians will be slow to react. 4/
And surrender its state and government. After all, in the Russia view, people don't have agency. Russian people are no one for the Kremlin, why should Ukrainians be any different.
But we are. The war has shown unprecedented unity, willpower, and innovation by the Ukrainians 5/
2. Empathy holds more power than rationality.
This one is difficult to explain. Because it is irrational. People sacrifice their lives so that others can survive. On the individual level, to a rational person, educated in the West, or living in Russia, it might not make sense 6/
But when you are in the war, you are not doing careful rational calculus. You are often driven by emotions, a much more powerful motivator. In the case of Ukraine, these are primal emotions. Ukraine has been attacked, people are tortured and killed. 7/
This is the biggest injustice there could be in the world, and it must be corrected. This is what drives people. While it might not be rational, it saves Ukraine and it will ensure our independence and safety from Russia in the future. At the unbelievable high cost of lives 8/
Now I understand that it must be how nations are created and that not any tribe or people could be a nation. Independence and freedom are not free. I just wish fewer people would have to die. 9/
3. Understanding is out of reach without personal experience
The war is covered in fog. Literally and through disinformation. Also, most of our cognitive and learning frameworks that we are humans and societies have developed - fail. They are not adequate for this environment.10
So, unless you see and experience it, you don't really know what to believe. This is why it is critically important to visit the front lines, to speak with the soldiers, to interact with the survivors of occupation, and visit all kinds of places in Ukraine. 11/
Ukraine is large and the war is diverse. Sometimes two villages a couple of miles apart have had very different experiences and now have different attitudes and culture. So, I have learned to be humble and try to learn first from eyewitness to form my own opinion. 12/
4. War can forge you into a better person, tuned into the world's real problems
This one is simple. War makes you a better person because it cleans you of all secondary thoughts and ambitions. The human life, dignity, freedom become key for me. 12/
Now I truly understand the meaning of the human rights. They are not an abstraction for me anymore. Yes, they can be taken away. They can disappear from your life without warning. You can wake up occupied. But human rights must be defended at all costs. 13/
5. Our Ukrainian success hinges on knowledge and continual learning
Russia is powerful, bigger, has a lot of weapons and people willing to fight or too afraid to desert.
So, we need to be smarter, better educated, more tech savvy. We have to deploy technology to win. 14/
And we have to be educated to continue to run our society and economy, during and post war. 15/
6. The harshness and monotony of war quickly become the norm
Before the war I was afraid of the war. I was not sure whether I would behave in a decent way. Would I run away from Ukraine? Would I be afraid to be at the frontlines?
Clearly, people are differently programmed 16/
But what I learned about the fear of war is that it also comes from ignorance, from the loss of control over your life. Over time one get used to the war, one learns how to live through. Humans are amazing at adapting. The war shows it to you. 17/
7. Life's singular purpose is to persist and advance towards victory for Ukraine; all else is secondary.
That's for me. And for most Ukrainians. We want to survive. So, while I miss my academic career in the US and regret that I might not be a good economist as a result of 18/
coming back to Ukraine before the war, I think I have made the right choices as a human. I have one life and I want to liver it true. So, Ukraine must win, and the rest can wait.
Thank you for reading this. I feel we are not alone in this. It will be over one day. X
My main purpose in life is to build KSE university! This is especially important during the war. If you want to support KSE, you can do it here
A surrounded Ukrainian infantryman amputated his comrade's gangrenous arm with a knife and survived for months on raw pheasants cooked over trench candles.
“Boomer” marked enemy kills with notches on his rifle and stopped counting once he passed a hundred, Ukrainska Pravda.
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Russians dropped FPV drones with water bottles wrapped in green tape and notes: "Surrender! You're surrounded. Lay down your weapons, walk out with a white flag." Nobody took the offer.
Boomer: "Captivity is simply not an option for me."
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Boomer amputated his comrade's gangrenous arm with a knife on the spot.
Boomer: "He couldn't release the tourniquet. The arm was already in such a state we had to cut it off at the elbow joint.”
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Kasparov on Putin's biggest miscalculation: He was certain that linguistic commonality would outweigh everything and all his advisors believed Russian-speaking Ukrainians would side with Russia
Linguistic commonality proved far less important than people's sense of freedom 1/
Kasparov: Ukraine and Russia diverged in 1994. Russia chose the Chechen war to prolong power. Ukraine had a peaceful transfer, Kravchuk lost the election and left
That moment was critical. People voted and the president left. Ukrainians understood, power comes from the people 2/
Kasparov: A person born in Kharkiv, what made them different from someone born in Belgorod, 200 km away? Same Soviet Union, same language, same newspapers.
But Ukrainians became free people. Russia went the opposite direction. And that is why Putin could not take Novorossiya. 3X
Kasparov: My triad since day one of the full-scale war — Ukraine's victory, Russia's defeat, collapse of the empire. That is the only outcome this war can have.
Only the liquidation of Putin. No other options exist. While Putin is there, it is war. Only his liquidation. 1/
Kasparov: An empire cannot retreat. The moment an empire begins retreating — that is its end. This was true for Rome. It was true for every empire. Nothing new here.
It started with Crimea in 2014. It will end with Crimea. Putin and the Russian Empire have merged into one. 2/
Kasparov: Every lost war in Russia led to change. This war is lost — and worse than others because it's visible. The Crimean War was far away. Russo-Japanese was 8,000 km away.
In 1917, they hadn't even lost yet. A stalemate came and everything shattered into pieces. 3X
Syrskyi: Our main objective is to ensure that the enemy loses more than 1,000 personnel killed or wounded every day.
Ukraine’s war aims: hold territory, kill Russians faster than they can be replaced, destroy logistics with mid-range drones, and bleed Russia’s economy with long-range strikes. 1/
Syrskyi: Russia has lost 183,500 killed or badly wounded troops since January 1.
That number exceeds the 180,500 soldiers Russia is believed to have recruited in the same period. 2/
Syrskyi: I can’t say outright that the war is approaching a turning point.
Ukraine hopes Russia will mobilize all its forces and resources, exhaust itself, and then reach the point where the war can turn. 3/
Ex-CIA officer, West: There is no chance of a coup against Putin. Russia is a security state built over 26 years with one purpose, keeping him and his strongmen in power.
300,000 Rosgvardia troops loyal to him. 30,000 elite protective service. All beholden to Putin. 1/
West: Prigozhin was never close. Had he reached Moscow, he'd have hit crack Rosgvardia units whose entire existence — pay, palaces, benefits — depends on Putin.
People say 2023 showed Putin was vulnerable. No, he wasn't. Prigozhin knew he had no chance of overturning him. 2/
West: Why did Putin insist on getting his assassin Krasikov swapped in 2024? Why did he greet him on the tarmac with a bear hug?
He wanted his entire inner circle to know — if you kill for me, I will take care of you. I will get you out. That's the loyalty he builds. 3X
Former NATO Military Committee Chair Bauer: I tried four times to reach out to Gerasimov [Russia’s top general] through letters. He said he was busy with the “special military operation.”
Later he said: you are part of NATO, NATO is part of the problem, I can’t talk to you.
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Bauer: We saw the Russian buildup for invasion of Ukraine start in spring 2021. They left vehicles and ammunition behind. In the end, 195,000 troops were around Ukraine.
We saw vehicles, hospitals, ammunition — then came the blood. I knew within 3 hours when the invasion would start.
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Bauer: NATO is not at war with Russia. There is no Article 5 situation.
But in cyber, one could say we are at war. In the information domain, we are at war. In space, we are at or very close to war. We are no longer at peace, but still in a gray zone.