Cuba finally cracks - situation on ground was a shitshow. Begs the question, if you want to decisively end a regime is it better to bomb it or slowly wind it down with incremental political and economic reforms? You could get Cuban Communism with Chinese Communism characteristics
Even the Chinese Communist Party says “time to wind it down.” Was genuinely taken aback at the dysfunction when I visited, impressed in a way too that it was still going
One problem is there are Cubans who are still fairly dedicated to communism. Cuban culture mythologises communism - it is linked to national identity for many. Not enough that most wouldn’t prefer some change but enough these sentiments will still hang around politics and culture
The aesthetic for Andy’s Labour to win is ‘The North with Oasis Characteristics’ + ‘Pink Pantheress Britain’. This is rhetorically ‘Lovely’ enough to hold off populism. Then don’t go crazy with migration, drop any ‘woke’ still left and do 90s nostalgia with multicultural elements
Andy Burnham should hold a 10 year anniversary of the Manchester bombing memorial concert ‘Against Hate’ and invite the best of ‘The North’ + ‘Pink Pantheress Britain’. Oasis, New Order, Arctic Monkeys, Pink Pantheress, Dua Lipa, Skepta etc. ‘Loveliness’ would be off the charts
This is much more appealing than hysterical screaming ‘Gay Race Communist’. Whether they have enough self control to do this is different question. Would be a killshot if they could while ‘the right’ continues on its current trajectory of self-implosion and becominglame-ification
Britain has a ‘loveliness’ bias; a kind of normalcy bias where anything outside a stereotypical ‘lovely’ consensus faces an uphill battle for acceptance - don’t assume you’ll win bc your cause is ‘urgent’. Andy tapped into ‘loveliness with northern characteristics’ to win easily
The ‘energy’ here is sort of the northern equivalent of people from villages in the south that haven’t had any immigration who vote for the Lib Dems
‘Labour with lovely Northern characteristics’ is more electorally viable than ‘Labour with lovely North London characteristics’ so if Andy becomes PM he may do okay in new election if either he holds it soon with goodwill he has or if the populist moment has faded a bit by 2029
Britain is more culturally ‘right’ so-called than it used to be but nowhere near ‘right’ enough yet to take for granted populist parties winning. Andy running for PM ofc but still important (for anyone) to not be so online you assume your voter base is bigger than it actually is
Even if Restore didn’t exist can’t guarantee Reform would win. Another three years of ‘slopulism’ so-called it’s possible you’ll get enough people either inured to or bored by the migration issue plus / or with vote splitting between Cons, Reform and Restore, Reform may not win
Lots of countries like Canada, Sweden, Switzerland, Portugal, Hungary, Netherlands, New Zealand etc saw their populisms fade a bit over past year or so. Can’t always assume energy is sustainable. Even being directionally against migration is not same as ‘voting to fix migration’
Andy Burnham’s ideology - if he has one - is something like ‘Keir Starmer but more Northern’. Remains to be seen if he is more pro-immigration but early signs suggest so. To Burnham’s credit the ‘Northern’ aesthetic is probably still an electorally viable aesthetic for Labour
Fair to say political culture portrayed eg Arthur, chivalry as more foundational to English-ness in the medieval period but there was continuity with Saxons vis-à-vis liberties, customary rights etc that found greater expression in the hybridised Norman feudal system vs elsewhere
Though, Norman monarchs would also stress continuity with figures like Edward the Confessor - eg William I, Henry I claimed to uphold Edward’s laws. Also, idea of the Norman Yoke was already being employed by eg the Peasant’s Revolt. Saxon Saint veneration remained common too
This is not fully historically true but it is spiritually true in the sense of ‘Der Anglo’ is probably slightly more disposed towards liberalism than other groups