More Births Profile picture
Jul 15, 2023 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Several futurists have called the low birthrate crisis civilization's greatest threat. One cause is society has moved away from marriage. So, a big way to increase birth rates is by having more marriages and having them at younger ages.
A🧵. [Thanks for RTs and follows!] Image
First off, I don't want to sound pushy. Marriage is a great option for most (but not all) people. On average, married people are happier, healthier, live longer (both men and women), and become wealthier. (And only minority of marriages end in divorce, not most.) 2/9


Image
Image
Image
Image
Why is more and younger marriage so important for raising birth rates? (1) Many women aren't having the children they hoped to have, and age-related fertility decline (both men and women) is a big cause, and (2) People are much more likely to have children if they are married.3/9

Image
Image
Image
So how to achieve more and younger marriages? Several points. First, "courtship"-type dating. What is courtship? It is where both people know from the start that they're exploring marriage. If there is a fit, things move quickly. And if there isn't, you move on quickly too! 4/9
The second point is to hit the milestones of life sooner. Anything that speeds things up can increase family formation including faster education, quicker career tracks, young people leaving the nest sooner, and better options for young homeownership. 5/9 Image
The third point is to see marriage as the beginning of a successful life, not a capstone. A great time to marry might be after graduating from college or getting your first 'real' adult job, not after buying your dream home or finally making partner at a firm. 6/9
More reasons to marry at a younger age: (a) parenting is easier when you are young, (b) grandparents aren't yet too old to help with grandkids, and (c) it's easier to find someone and easier to merge your life with someone else's when you are younger. 7/9
Watch what successful people do, not what they say. And the most successful people usually choose marriage! 8/9
Image
Image
We absolutely don't want to minimize many amazing people who don't fit this model, for whatever reason.
But by shifting culture toward more and earlier marriage, we can solve the birthrate crisis and save our civilization. And make people happier, healthier and wealthier too! 9/9

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with More Births

More Births Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @MoreBirths

Feb 23
Knowing birthrates are driven by a stack of factors lets us figure out what is happening in each country and what its 👶 bottlenecks are.
Things like beliefs about children, marriage, housing conditions, religiosity, work culture and more all have a big impact.
🧵, please share! Image
In Spain (TFR 1.12), big hurdles include a huge fraction of young people living with their parents (driven by relatively poor employment for young people), the high share of housing that is small apartments, and declining faith among the young. 2/13
Poland (TFR 1.11) has a culture that is obsessive about work, with the longest work hours in Europe. After the fall of Communism, almost 70% of young Poles regularly practiced religion; today, less than 25% do. Housing is small and crowded. 3/13
Read 13 tweets
Feb 16
Fertile No More!
For more than a hundred years, Ireland was both the most religious and the most fertile country in Europe.
But in recent years, Ireland experienced rapid secularization, and its fertility fell to just 1.47 in 2024.
What happened to 🇮🇪, and what comes next?
🧵!Image
Image
Image
First, a bit of history.
By the 1800s, Ireland had become almost entirely reliant on just one crop. Potato blight struck in 1845, and soon famine and mass migration cut the Irish population from 8 million down to 4. Ireland's population is still well below its 1845 peak. 2/7 Image
Image
Ireland gained independence in 1921, and Catholicism was central to Irish identity, partly in defiance of protestant England.
For most of the 20th century, 🇮🇪 was deeply religious, with church attendance above 90%.
The Irish idealized large families, and fertility was high! 3/7 Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 9
Getting old without ever getting rich
Thailand, with a TFR of just 0.95 in 2024, never even had a chance to get rich before its birthrate collapsed.
A look at how over-zealous family planning combined with cultural factors to put 🇹🇭 on a demographic downward spiral.
New 🧵!Image
Image
Image
Unlike its neighbors Korea and Taiwan, Thailand with a per-capita GDP of just $7000 never got to get rich before facing ultra-low birthrates.
For Thailand, the biggest cause was family planning run amok.
(Below, a wedding dress in Thailand made of entirely of condoms!) 2/9 Image
The father of Thai birth control is Mechai Viravaidya, an enthusiastic family planner who led round after round of family planning efforts. As its birthrates plunged, Thailand was lauded as a huge success.

But then these efforts blew far past the mark. When Thailand hosted the International Conference on Family Planning in 2022, its fertility was already down to 1.01 and still dropping fast. With January 2025 data already reported, Thai births were down another 8.4% from January 2024.

Here is Viravaidya posing proudly with a tree made out of... Guess what? 3/9Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 24
The fastest fertility collapse in the world
In 2024 Chile recorded a fertility rate of just 0.88 births per woman, a drop of 23% in a year and 51% since 2015. No country has seen fertility fall as fast.
A look at how social changes have overwhelmed 🇨🇱 and threaten its future.
🧵!Image
Image
In recent years, Chile has been wracked with protest. In 2018, there were some 151 feminist protests across the country.
Then from 2019 to 2021, these mixed with large youth-led anti-establishment protests, which turned violent and often resulted in brutal police responses. 2/7 Image
Image
Image
Image
In the aftermath of the protests and the subsequent crackdown, many women have sworn off of childbearing, and anti-natal beliefs have taken hold.
This has analogues to South Korea's gender tension and its notorious 4B movement (women rejecting dating, sex, marriage & kids). 3/7 Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 8
South Dakota has the highest fertility of any US state and is the only state near replacement fertility.
Why is the birthrate so high in South Dakota and what lessons are there for the rest of America and the world?
🧵, please share! Image
Image
First is religiosity. Some 50% of South Dakotans rate religion as very important in their lives, well above the US average of around 37%.
Higher religiosity is associated with higher fertility both in the US and worldwide. 2/10 Image
Image
Image
Second is social values. South Dakota is one of the most conservative states in America, and conservatism is strongly associated with higher fertility in the US, both for states and at the county level. 3/10 Image
Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 30, 2024
How many people really understand the age-fertility curve?
A groundbreaking 2023 paper by Geruso et al. showed that fecundability (the ability of a woman to get pregnant) peaks at age 20 and has already dropped by 2/3 by age 33. This is far younger than almost anyone knew. 1/4Image
Image
Image
The most important way to solve the fertility crisis is to educate young people on how crucial it is to get started early on family. Achieving financial and career success may take a long time, but family can't wait very long! 2/4
Over the past 20 years, childbearing has started later and later, but it winds down at the same ages as ever. As a result, the effective window for having kids is much smaller and is very easy to miss, especially when life circumstances don't align. 3/4
Image
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(