Meltem Demirors Profile picture
Jul 18 15 tweets 7 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1/ a short summary of a recent talk on silicon, satoshis, and superpowers

power in our world is changing. a decade ago, oil and gas companies and banks ruled markets. now it's tech companies and financialization runs rampant (>100x P/E ratios etc) Image
2/ as our lives become increasingly digitized, value creation is happening on a new frontier, and a handful of industries and companies are well positioned to capitalize on this shift Image
3/ this is also impacting the geopolitical landscape. we live in a multipolar world, and power has historically been dependent on the ability of a nation to secure access to natural resources, namely oil Image
4/ but there's a new power structure emerging.

numerous corporations book annual revenues > than the GDP of G20 economies. people are spending insane amounts of time and energy in virtual worlds. and public blockchain protocols are growing in power and influence. Image
5/ so as an investor, i ask myself - how should i position my portfolio?

energy, compute, and digital currency will make this digital, multi-polar future possible Image
6/ one idea i keep coming back to is this - producing and processing bits and bytes (in the digital world) still requires atoms (in the physical world)

we don't often talk about these in the same context, but both matter Image
7/ let's start with energy

more technology means generating and consuming more energy. our culture loves vilifying energy consumption, but it is an inescapable reality of human progress.

while renewables generation is growing, fossil fuels still dominate our energy mix Image
8/ but there are new models for energy generation and management, below are some that i'm excited about

- new energy sources are needed - i am a big proponent of nuclear, esp SMRs (small modular reactors) from co's like @oklo and @NuScale_Power
- the growth of peer to peer… https://t.co/ynLvIur4gDtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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@oklo @NuScale_Power 9/ next, compute and connectivity

access to on-demand high performance compute and connectivity is constrained by (a) supply - there simply isn't enough of it, and (b) physics - data isn’t massless (crazy innit) and doesn’t travel in a straight line Image
@oklo @NuScale_Power 10/ but there are exciting new models that could help ease some of these practical constraints

- new types of semiconductors are leveraging innovations in materials science, like graphene, to ease supply chain and production bottlenecks to lower costs and innovating in chip… https://t.co/Yx5HX53z7Otwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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@oklo @NuScale_Power 11/ and so we come to my favorite topic, cryptocurrency. bitcoin is money backed by energy and compute.

an increasingly digital world will require a native currency for transacting between not only billions of humans but the trillions of AI agents and connected devices Image
@oklo @NuScale_Power 12/ aside from fueling the digital economy, there's a much larger opportunity at stake for cryptocurrencies and public blockchain networking to provide the substrate for the trillions of dollars of infrastructure investment needed to usher in the future

whether you call it RWAs… https://t.co/mrUCvIteOStwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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@oklo @NuScale_Power 13/ we are still in the early days of exploring how crypto primitives can change the unit economics of infrastructure investing

many of the early experiments have not succeeded when it comes to adoption and scale, but have demonstrated the potential of shifting from a corporate… https://t.co/nd8WEj2boEtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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@oklo @NuScale_Power 14/ Bitcoin (and PoW Ethereum) have catalyzed billions of dollars of investment in physical infrastructure in the form of ASICs co-located with renewable generational assets (and GPUs) and now support trillions of dollars in annual economic activity with this physical… https://t.co/YUO9aS3pGCtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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@oklo @NuScale_Power 15/ i'm excited to continue exploring this intersection, and looking forward to working with companies and projects in the crypto ecosystem to bend the arc of reality in our digital and physical world alike

it's time to build... power plants and data centers!

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More from @Melt_Dem

Jun 26
1/ last week's @BlackRock spot Bitcoin ETF filing was big news!

but, it's not the only story. many of the largest financial institutions in the US are actively working to provide access to Bitcoin and more.

a quick glance - $27 trillion of client assets here!
2/ this is by no means a complete overview of all the offerings available, but its always helpful to zoom out and look at the bigger picture

while "the institutions are coming" has been more of a trickle than a wave, we're seeing the bridges being built in real time
3/ it's also helpful to analyze whether firms are choosing to build, buy, or partner

so far, we've seen a lot of "partner" but some are choosing "build"

we haven't seen much "buy" - established crypto firms are expensive acquisition targets w/ $B+ valuations and + EBITDA
Read 7 tweets
Sep 27, 2022
1/ stuff i'm thinking about right now (hence quiet and mostly off social) - a brain dump with links
2/ web3 infra business models very analogous to web2, hence business metrics end up converging over time

limited examples of scalable token-driven models that work, most successful co's are web2 / centralized models

tomtunguz.com/spot-the-diffe…
3/ most profitable businesses in crypto, outside of interchange, is selling services to venture funded crypto co's

hosting and web3 infra will be a huge category, but custom SaaS growing rapidly esp in cybersecurity, compliance, and legal tech Image
Read 16 tweets
Aug 9, 2022
1/ thanks to @farokh and the @RugRadio community for having me on the show today! i enjoyed discussing NFT market structure and why i don't care for utility or roadmaps with my JPEGs 🙅‍♀️

links to things discussed below 👇
2/ blog post on NFT market microstructure and how it may evolve over time - don't worry, u will be able to explain market microstructure if u just skim it lightly

bonus: you can collect the post as an NFT if you are so inclined, thanks to @viamirror

meltem.mirror.xyz/Qc2jR5ggGznGrU…
3/ some of the NFT trading tools we discussed:
data - @UpshotHQ mystic.com @context @Flip_xyz
marketplaces - @geniexyz @sudoswap @LooksRare @opensea
lending - @NFTfi @AstariaXYZ

remember - "if it's not a grail, it's a floor" wisdom by @nick_emmons @GeorgiaOEth
Read 5 tweets
Jul 11, 2022
1/ i prep talking points to help me gather + aggregate data, organize my thinking, and develop a cogent, fact-based narrative

here is a dive into this week's notes, with sources, for those of you who find it interesting or are working on doing this for yourself👇
2/ first i focus on market data by segment - i split it into retail, institutions & funds, and traders & market makers

for retail, @skewdotcom publishes social sentiment data

@glassnode breaks down bitcoin holder cohorts - shrimps (<1 BTC) accumulating aggressively rn!
3/ for institutions & funds, structured products are a good proxy for exposure. i use our @CoinSharesCo fund flows report, published weekly here
blog.coinshares.com/digitalassetfu…

after massive outflows in late June, we've flipped back to modest inflows, last week was flat (4th of july)
Read 18 tweets
Jun 16, 2022
1/ crypto market cap data is confusing

let's simplify by grouping things together

bitcoin, ethereum, and fully collateralized, dollar asset backed stablecoins (effectively the on-chain banking sector) make up the majority of the market today
2/ more interesting in looking at velocity, or trading volumes as a % of market cap, to understand where the turnover is in current markets

stablecoins have by far the highest velocity (we'll break this down further), followed by Tron (why?), Solana, and Ethereum
3/ stablecoins data is also fascinating

despite calls for its demise from both industry insiders and outsiders, tether is the backbone of crypto markets

despite commanding less than half the stablecoin market cap, the USDT trade pair comprises over 80% of daily trading volume
Read 6 tweets
Jun 15, 2022
1/ an explainer on asset liability mismatch and why crypto firms are especially susceptible to this phenomenon due to issues around duration matching and risk management

tl;dr the finänce explanation for celsius, 3AC, and many others struggling

this is a balance sheet ⚖️
2/ unlike tradfi, in crypto, most debt doesn't have a fixed term and requires over-collateralization (you have to post more collateral than the value of your borrowing)

in the last month, a lot of long term debt suddenly became short term debt or even worse, got called
3/ so all of a sudden, millions or in some cases, billions of dollars of long term debt suddenly became short term debt

this changes the *duration* of your liabilities dramatically

let's look at the structure of the assets side of the balance sheet
Read 11 tweets

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