Most Bitcoiners know about The 4th Turning, but did you know Howe's NEW BOOK is being released today?📚💥

''The Fourth Turning Has Arrived'' promises to be just as prophetic as Howe's two 1990s books.🔮

🧵Time for a thread on the 4th Turning & how Bitcoin fits into it!👇

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In 1991, Neil Howe’s book ''Generations'' predicted that there'd be a major crisis in the US by 2020. 👀

This same author’s 1997 book, ''The Fourth Turning,'' was even more prophetic.🔮

Regarding the period spanning 2007-2030, The 4th Turning predicted the US would see:👇

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✅Rising populism & division
✅War & conflict
✅Economic collapse

Since these predictions, we’ve seen events such as 9/11, 2008 GFC, Trump’s election, and the widening division between the left and right in the US.🔮

How did they predict this & why's it so relevant TODAY?🤔

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The books uncanny predictive accuracy comes from a belief in cycles, repeating every 80-100 yrs.🎱

Howe highlighted how the US goes through a 20-year period of crisis, every 80-90 years.🤨

Howe named these periods “4th turnings'' & broke his 80-90 year cycle in 4 parts.👇

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1st turning= High(1946-1964)
2nd turning= Awakening(1965-1984)
3rd turning= Unraveling(1985-2007)
4th turning= Crisis(1929-1945) AND (2007-2030)

But why do these 4 stages seem to continuously repeat EVERY 90 years, and always end in a crisis?🔄

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As strange as it sounds, the authors believed that WE are the ones who create these continuous cycles of freedom, oppression, & revolution.🔄

Now, why are these patterns so cyclical?🤔

Money & time are the 2 things that seem to reinforce these cycles.👇

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When the rich get richer, the poor want change!🛑

Wealth concentration hits extremes every 90 yrs, or in 4th turnings...📈

Howe's generational framework is more focused on how the ''time'' we were raised, influences each generation's mood & how we later react to a crisis.👇

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Each stage, or turning is around 22 years in length, and corresponds to what Howe calls a generational archetype:

Hero, Prophet, Nomad & Artist.🔄

Naturally, the time that we grow up & live in influences how we are raised, and how we will react to crises later in life...👇

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The 1st turning is known as the ''High,'' which is a time of peace & social unity.(1946-1964)☮

The ''prophet archetype''(Baby Boomers) are born during a High & they came of age during an Awakening, only knowing ''good times.''🏰

The best part of the cycle comes next...

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The Awakening, or the 2nd turning, is a time when institutions are questioned in the name of individual and spiritual freedom.(1965-1984)✌

🏰The Nomad (Gen X) are born during an awakening, coming of age during an Unraveling.

What happens when the nomads grow complacent?🌅

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Then comes the Unraveling, as societal order decays, individualism is strong, and institutions are getting weak.(1985-2007)

The hero archetype are born in the unraveling & come of age in the ''hard times.''⚔

Now, what happens when things start to fall apart?

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A big catalyst hits, causing the demand for order to skyrocket!🚀

How society reacts to a catalyst signals whether we've entered a 4th turning or not.

The authors say we entered this 4th Turning with the GFC.(1929-1945) AND (2007-2030)💥

How will we reshape our world? 💣

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The authors conclude society will once again collectivize to remake institutions in today's 4th turning.

Is history really a repetitive loop? 🔄

This is where I believe technology has changed the game, in particular Bitcoin & another 1990s book about the future of tech..👇

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We'll answer those Qs in more detail below in a moment, however, in the meantime...

🚨If you've enjoyed this🧵so far, we'd appreciate it if you:🙌

1. RT the original tweet👇 to share this🧵
2. Follow me for more🧵s

Now, let's dive deeper...🐇🕳👇



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There is no alternative in the digital age if we want to remain free.⛓

If we once again “collectivize’’ to resolve our current 4th turning, we risk slipping into Orwell's 1984 nightmare!🚨

Technology HAS changed & we've reached a crossroads with CBDCs fast approaching.🌍

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1 road leads to a Bitcoin standard & the other to a technocratic dystopia.🌍

Will BTC be the ultimate factor in ending this cycle of turnings in the age of nation-state empires?

Is tech creating the ability to create a ''FOREVER cycle?''🤔

As I wrote in 2021, I think so👇

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I want to leave you with my MOST important message:

The 4th turning tells us clown world will end, have HOPE. It's up to us to shape what comes next!🤡

Will you be a Hero, Prophet, Nomad, or Artist in this cycle?🌎

I explored this thesis in more detail in TWO places.👇

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For those who prefer video, I covered this topic in detail on the Money Matters YT channel:👇

For those who can't stand dodgy Australian accents and prefer to read my ramblings, scroll on my friend...:👇

18/

For those who want to read more on this topic, we explore these topics in great depth in our free newsletter that's dropping tomorrow morning:👇

📧Find our newsletter here:👇


🟣You can also catch me on NOSTR🟣… https://t.co/jPT5NUtIYb https://t.co/boN0ZF9Udmlinktr.ee/coinbeast
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More from @LukeMikic21

Jun 19, 2024
In the 5,343 days that have passed since Bitcoin was launched in 2009, ≈40M have adopted Bitcoin.

That means 7,486 new people adopt Bitcoin everyday since 2009.🤯

🧵Let's explore what exponential growth & adoption will look like as we transition to a Bitcoin standard.👇

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The biggest contention critics will have with this data will come down to how we agree to measure adoption.

This is important to discuss because Bitcoin has different adoption curves.

MOE curve ≠ SOV curve

Furthermore, people disagree about how to even measure adoption.

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Some like @Croesus_BTC will claim adoption is sub 0.01% if you measure those with more than $10,000 in Bitcoin.

Others like @BlockwareTeam claim adoption is around 0.5% based on on-chain data.

More bullish surveys looking at exchange users claim adoption = +580M, or 6%.

3/
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Read 8 tweets
Feb 21, 2024
The Bitcoin ETF was just approved & many people believe Bitcoin can repeat what gold did between 2004 & 2012.

After the gold ETF was approved, it rallied by more than 600% in 8 years.📈

🧵Here are the 3 reasons why Bitcoin WILL NOT repeat what gold did in the 2010s.👇

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The 1st reason has to do with time and technology.⏰

Think back to 2004 when the gold ETF was launched & ask yourself what network effects did gold have?

None, there was no interest in investing in sound money during this era as property & stocks were the hot investments.

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Gold is simply not an emergent technology that's being adopted by people all around the world.

Bitcoin is currently being adopted faster than the internet was being adopted in the 1990s.📈

The internet was mass-adopted in under 30 years, will Bitcoin do the same?🚀

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Read 10 tweets
Feb 15, 2024
📚Michael Saylor is copying the secret, 1924 playbook of Germany´s richest man.

🇩🇪Germany's richest man engaged in a speculative attack against the currency, just like Saylor is doing today...

🧵Let's expose this secret playbook & how you can use it to do the same...👇

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So, who was Germany's richest man in 1924, Hugo Stinnes?

Most people in Germany lost everything in the 1920s, but not this modestly wealthy business owner, Hugo Stinnes.

He became Germany's richest man by ignoring Dave Ramsay & doing 1 thing to surf the wave of inflation...

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He took out debt against his business to buy more businesses, real estate & gold.

When the currency lost all of its value, Hugo paid back his debt in the worthless Mark.

After paying back his debt he was left holding over 15% of ALL the companies in Germany by 1924.🤯

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Read 8 tweets
Dec 30, 2023
While everyone is focused on how the FASB accounting changes affect corporate #Bitcoin adoption, they missed something...

🚨What about the Bitcoin miners who hold over 1M coins?

🧵If you thought the MSTR playbook was big, wait until you see the #Bitcoin miners playbook.👇

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Everybody is hyperfocused on Michael Saylor especially as he approaches the 210,000 Bitcoin milestone.

With the recent FASB changes, everybody is trying to predict who will be the next Michael Saylor...

🚨However, we all forgot about the miners who hold over 1.8M coins!

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Nobody is prepared for what happens if the #Bitcoin miners begin to take advantage of the positive FASB changes.

If they replicate Saylor's MSTR strategy, this will only add to the supply suffocation.

Is this the perfect recipe for a ''Bitcoin Double Halving?''👇

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Read 7 tweets
Dec 4, 2023
Bitcoin has seen diminishing returns in each bull market after its halving events in:

🔥2012
🔥2016
🔥2020

🚨What if the 2024 halving is different?

🧵It's time I explain what the ''Bitcoin Double Halving'' is & why the Billionaires & ETF will break all of your models.👇

1/
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Before you call me crazy, many commonly held assumptions are breaking today:

🔥''Countries will never adopt Bitcoin.''
🔥''A libertarian president will never be elected.''
🔥''BTC will never crash below its prior ATH.'

''Diminishing returns'' is the next narrative to break.

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What are diminishing returns?

Croesus has put together this table; showing the decrease in growth Bitcoin has returned every 4-year cycle bull market:

🔥2013: 100X
🔥2017: 30X
🔥2021: 8X

Many believe this trend is set to continue and Bitcoin will:

''Top at $150k in 2025''

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Read 17 tweets
Oct 18, 2023
🚨SBF used his $26B empire to suppress the price of Bitcoin attempting to keep it under $20k....

This wasn't the only attack on Bitcoin since 2020:

🛑2020- ESG attack
🛑2021- China 2021 ban
🛑2023- Op. Chokepoint 2.0

🧵The 1800s & 1900s tell us what comes next.👇

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Every incumbent monopoly resists new, disruptive change.💥

🚗Automobile #
1910: 1 million 1% market share
1930: 27 million 99% share

🐎Horse #
1910: 25 million 56% share
1930: 20 million & 44% share

As automobiles replaced horses, some weren't happy about this...🚗

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Anti-automobile propaganda was spread by horse breeders who were losing business to the automobile industry.📢

Doesn't this sound familiar to the ESG propaganda waged at Bitcoin today in the 2020s?

Something similar also happened in the 1800s...👇

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Read 6 tweets

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