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Dave Morrison Profile picture
@_davemorrison
Jul 20 • 5 tweets • 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Footage published 19 July depicts the floating tail of the Su-25 involved in a fatal crash near Yeysk on 17 July. The yellow '08' suggests the aircraft was likely RF-94685 '08 Yellow' of 266th ShAP, seen operating from Yeysk in a Zvezda clip from 06 June. 1/

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Another 266th ShAP Su-25, operating from Kursk-Khalino, suffered a fatal crash attributed to 'technical failure' in February. 2/
In March the Russian MoD published footage of a 266th ShAP Su-25 operating despite damage to the wing root, possibly caused by a bird strike to a vent. I'm unable to assess the seriousness of this, but it suggests a higher risk of foreign object entry. 3/
Su-25s operate in a challenging environment. The laser rangefinder of '20 Yellow' of 266th ShAP was damaged before October 2022, likely due to a birdstrike. Seen operating from Yeysk in a June Russian MoD clip with the laser deleted, replaced by a blanking plate. 4/
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Source of the floating wreckage clip: 5/5t.me/s/baraholka_ye…

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More from @_davemorrison

Dave Morrison Profile picture
May 25
Reports today of 2 Russian Su-25s lost to MANPADS near Zaporizhzhia, one crashing immediately and the other making an emergency landing in Melitopol.

Possible that the Su-25s flew from Gvardeskoye, where 37 SAP / 368 ShAP are known to operate. Map is entirely speculative. 1/ ImageImage
I'm not an expert. Speculation:

Russian Su-25s generally operate as a pair. It would be unusual for both aircraft in a pair to be lost, but the trailing aircraft are observed to often follow the same flight path. If the leader enters MANPADS range, generally both are at risk. 2/
Speculation:

There have been no obvious changes to the way Russian Su-25s operate over the last year. The target route is possibly set before the flight as a series of fixed waypoints entered into the onboard navigation systems and/or off-the-shelf GNSS (GPS) systems. 3/ Image
Read 5 tweets
Dave Morrison Profile picture
May 23
Russian MoD clip published 21 May.
Su-25 operations, Millerovo, Rostov Oblast

The clip depicts an attack by a pair of Su-25s: A Su-25SM (2000-era upgrades) of 18 ShAP leading a Su-25 (no upgrades) of 999 AvB, each equipped with S-8 unguided rockets. 1/
@RedIntelPanda geolocated several points including the firing point: 2/

Cockpit footage is filmed from '11 Blue' of 999 AvB.

Possibly due to bird strikes, the nose laser rangefinder window of '11 Blue' is cracked and there are dents along the leading edges and engine inlet.

999 AvB aircraft have 'Center Group' markings (circle within triangle). 3/ ImageImageImage
Read 9 tweets
Dave Morrison Profile picture
May 22
Russian MoD clip published 18 May.
Su-25 operations, Yeysk, Krasnodar Krai.

External footage features Su-25s without upgrades, of 266 ShAP.
Cockpit footage features Su-25SMs of 18 ShAP.
1/
@RedIntelPanda geolocated the attack location, noting that it appears to be a similar location and timeframe to another recent Russian MoD clip. 2/
'08 Yellow' of 266 ShAP is seen in Yeysk for the first time. 08 Yellow was last seen in Taganrog in a 17 February Russian MoD clip.

'08 Yellow' shows a repair to the inside of the right engine inlet (Pic 1). Damage occurred some point after last August (Pic 2). 3/ ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Dave Morrison Profile picture
May 1
Footage published 20 April shows a Russian Su-25 in a banked turn near Belgorod, illuminated by radar. The aircraft is carrying no external ordnance, but carries four external fuel tanks (the maximum), suggesting a non-combat flight. 1/6
Location: At the start of the footage the aircraft is at approx 4000m altitude, banking to the left, just south-west of Pogorolevka. This is about 45km north-east of Belgorod in Russia. 2/6

Location: 50.8032, 7.1319 ImageImage
The pilot's moving map navigation software is seen ('ProNebo' software running on an Android smartphone). Non-geographical features are visible. These appear to be the aircraft's track, showing the aircraft has repeatedly flown over this area during the flight. 3/6 ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Dave Morrison Profile picture
Mar 27
Russian MoD clip published today.
Kursk-Khalino, Kursk Oblast
Su-25 '10 Yellow', RF-95181, 266 ShAP
Su-25 '26 Red', RF-95140, (18 ShAP)
()=Possible
My clip is de-edited into two sorties.
1: '26 Red' following '10 Yellow'.
2: a/c unidentified. 1/

Source: mil.ru/video/%D0%91%D…
'10 Yellow' apparently operates with a hole in the wing root. There is always a vent here, but non-repair may suggest preventative maintenance is low priority.

266 ShAP suffered a non-combat loss of '37 Yellow' to a technical fault, unclear if this footage predates that loss. 2/
'10 Yellow' has 24 white stars, possibly indicating 240 combat sorties. It may have flown from the outset of the war.

In a March 3rd clip '26 Red' was seen with 11 red stars (110 sorties).

Speculate that '26 Red' may be a replacement for an 18 ShAP airframe loss. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Dave Morrison Profile picture
Mar 25
@MT_Anderson recently posted satellite images of 🇷🇺 airbase Severomorsk-3, showing carrier-capable aircraft:

MiG-29KR/KUBR aircraft of 100 KIAP
Su-33 aircraft of 279 KIAP

A brief video thread of past Russian MoD videos depicting operations of those regiments.
1/4
In a September 2021 Russian MoD video, MiG-29KR and MiG-29KUBR aircraft of 100 KIAP are seen operating from Severomorsk-3.
2/4
Source: mil.ru/video/2021-09-…
In a March 2017 Russian MoD clip, Su-33 aircraft of 279 KIAP are seen operating from Severomorsk-3.
3/4

Source: mil.ru/video/24.03.20…
Read 4 tweets

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