(This is almost a weeks worth of updates on this map)
Ukrainian progress around Kleshcheevka has created a difficult situation in the town itself for Ru forces, A withdrawal may occur if counterattacks are unsuccessful.
In the Zaporozhye area Ukrainians made decent progress out of Lobkove and expanded their zone of control east of Kamyanske. A Russian counter attack returned some of the most eastward positions.
Another AFU assault around Robitno has again failed to achieve moderate success… https://t.co/8mrNo7IJB3twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The Russians returned a decent piece of territory on the ledge south of Rivnpol.
There was also success north of Marinka where the Russian have captured a fortified area.
Marginal success on the Avdeevka front was also noted.
Thanks @Suriyakmaps for the maps.
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Losses from the recent Ukrainian offensive in Zaporozhye, this is a serious loss in armor for absolutely no gain. All of that western trained manpower and material just gone.
All statements coming out of Kiev right now should be completely dismissed. We’re sitting in the middle of a mass I’ve misinformation campaign designed to conceal the date and location of the offensive.
If they say they don’t have the equipment they do.
If they say they’re delaying it till summer expect it next week
If they talk about Kherson look to the LPR. If they start accumulating in the north look to the south.
My bet is they try to force Russia into declaring war.
To all the Pro-Russian accounts, please watch and study the cope that the Pro-Ukrainian side is displaying right now and try to prevent yourself from coping/Dooming over every little bit of news. It’s quite embarrassing to watch and it would be sad if the script just flipped.
In a month or so the Russians will be in a defensive posture and probably losing some minor territory if the Ukrainians decide to go on the offensive. It’s just the ebb and flow of this conflict. Russias primary interest is reducing an army while the Ukrainians need territory.
There will be hundreds of videos with burnt out equipment and dead AFU/Ru remember that such photos are not indicative of the happenings on the ground and are just a small percentage of the whole picture. For the Ukrainians losses will not be counted and failure isn’t an option.
Ukrainian probing attack in the Zaporozhye region was agian repulsed with losses. On this occasion 4 M113 APCs and infantry were lost in the probing operation. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Some predictions for the next few months of fighting in the Donbass 🧵
Chasov Yar is an obvious place to start as the battle for Artyomovsk begins to winds down just to the east. I see the Russians following their usual MO of surround/cut supply/storm. The high ground to the north and securing a bridgehead over the canal is key to the encirclement.
With the bridgehead south of Chasov Yar developing the Toretsk conglomeration that sits in a low area could be susceptible to an attack from the rear it just depends on the tactical situation in the area.(I have studied this settlement the least but consider it a possibility)