Armchair Warlord Profile picture
Jul 25 21 tweets 9 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Military ethics, for when soldiers are asked to do something legal under the Law of Armed Conflict but morally disastrous.

They don't really exist - they're certainly not codified and enforced properly in any force I know of - but they should.

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But Major Warlord, you say - the US military has ethical requirements!

Yes, it does. They're the same government-employee ethics any civilian bureaucrat has to adhere to. Don't accept lavish gifts, don't make your subordinates run errands, don't commute in government vehicles.
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I'm talking about actual professional ethics for soldiers, which I have been told ad nauseum is a real profession but which lacks a key characteristic of such - an ethical code dealing with the profession's actual duties.

Lawyers, doctors and engineers all have ethical codes.

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This is distinct from a soldier's legal responsibilities, as is the case with any profession. Military law and the law of armed conflict are well-developed fields.

However, it doesn't take much imagination to see that many things that are legal can be deeply unethical. Image
The Geneva and Hague Conventions were designed to prevent savagery - not stupidity or venality. They are also focused on what is permissible to do to the enemy rather than how a military should be running its own business.

So allow me to propose three ethical rules to start. Image
Rule 1. Do not fight pointlessly, whether in victory or defeat. You're getting people killed for no reason.

History is filled with last stands that were ordered out of pride (see the graphic), but I have an entirely different example in mind. Image
After the Armistice of Compiègne was signed in the early morning of November 11th, 1918, ending the First World War, it was set to come into effect at 1100 hours that day - approximately six hours later.

News of this was quickly communicated to the armies in the field. Image
Most commanders told their men to stand down.

John J. Pershing, commander of the American Expeditionary Force, ordered the offensive to continue until the clock struck eleven. There were some 3500 American casualties AFTER the armistice was signed.

Clearly this was unethical. Image
2. Do not fight a battle - or refrain from fighting one - for purely domestic political reasons.

This is the corollary of civilian control over the military - sometimes civilian politicians will abuse that authority and issue arbitrary orders that cost lives. Image
The most salient example that springs to mind is the fact there were two Battles of Fallujah.

After four American PMCs were ambushed, tortured, and burned alive in the city of Fallujah in March 2004, the US Marines were sent in to secure the city and capture those responsible. Image
George W. Bush was, however, running for reelection then, and a key part of that reelection campaign was maintaining the illusion to voters at home that the Iraq War was over and the situation was under control.

A large battle with many American casualties would shatter it. Image
So three weeks later, with American losses mounting, an order appears to have been issued from the top. Shut down the battle.

American commanders pulled back the Marines and sent in a local force, the "Fallujah Brigade," to "keep order." They of course defected immediately. Image
American troops simply cordoned off Fallujah and let the insurgents dig in for the next six months until - less than a week after Dubya won reelection that November - they went back in to do the job properly.

Dozens of Americans were killed and hundreds wounded in the fighting. Image
Clearly this was unethical - if the etremely suspcious timeline is anything to go by, George W. Bush was directing US forces in Iraq not based on any real military considerations but to bolster his reelection bid.

The generals went along with it. Image
3. The lives of your allies should be as important to you as your own soldiers.

This can be seen in the rather blasé manner American commanders have treated casualties among "local" allies over the years. Let's look at the example of the Afghan National Security Forces. Image
The Afghan government's security forces - the army and police - were not remotely trained, equipped, or led in such a manner as to remotely be comparable to NATO forces, despite the fact we had a generation to build capacity.

They were expected to compensate with their lives. Image
It was well known for years after the war was "Afghanized" with the withdrawal of most NATO forces that the Afghan forces that were supposed to have "stepped up" to maintain security were taking unsustainable casualties trying to do so.

(Taliban troops pictured) Image
For every Coalition soldier killed in action, twenty Afghan government soldiers died.

TWENTY.

And nobody advising this force - or even commenting on the matter - seems to have had the slightest concern for this beyond noting that attrition was an obstacle to force growth. Image
Clearly this was unethical, we were treating our local allies as expendable.

Of course not every partner force is going to be particularly capable, but the answer should never be to simply accept casualties, particularly among people who placed their faith and trust in the US. Image
I could go on - a friend suggested looking past allied criminality, something that also corrupted the Afghan war effort. You do, however, get my point - none of this was illegal, but none of it should have been tolerated.

Hence the need for real military professional ethics. Image
As a final note, I used high-level examples intentionally. I didn't want to tell stories out of my own personal experience dealing with much more banal versions of these dilemmas. Principles 1 and 3 can be readily adapted at any level, as can Principle 2 in some circumstances. Image

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More from @ArmchairW

Jul 27
Somebody at the State Department probably thought they'd come up with a banger when they put out this talking point: "If Russia stops fighting and withdraws, the war ends. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine ends."

Too bad it's nonsense. ⬇️

(comments by Jens Stoltenberg of NATO) Image
Ukraine could end the war tomorrow ("stop fighting") by agreeing to Russia's four demands, which have been constant since the start of the "Special Military Operation." They are:
1. Demilitarization
2. Denazification
3. Neutralization
4. Recognition of Russian annexations Image
Demilitarization would not be the end of the Ukrainian state or nation. Many countries cope quite well with treaty restriction on their militaries, and in any event in April 2022 the Russians proposed a "demilitarized" Ukraine with a larger army than Germany. Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 26
The Russian Army just blasted open a 12-kilometer hole in the Ukrainian front line and captured more terrain in a week than Ukraine has in the last two months of their counteroffensive.

Let's talk about it. ⬇️ Image
This is part of a general Russian push in Lugansk north of the Seversky Donets river that has been going on for about the last two weeks. Smaller gains have been reported in the far north near Kupyansk as well as in the Serebryanski Forest along the river to the south. Image
It's noteworthy that "O Group" - the same Central Military District grouping that seized the Liman area last spring - has suddenly resurfaced in reporting from the front.

They're probably quite familiar with the terrain. Image
Read 14 tweets
Jul 21
The Ukrainian War isn't going to be "the" war of the 21st century. It's probably going to be remembered as the minor war before WWIII that everyone observed very closely and then proceeded to draw wildly incorrect conclusions from.

Much like the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-5. ⬇️ Image
The Russo-Japanese War showed exactly how combat was in the early 20th century and presaged the character of the First World War - both the Western Front's static fighting around Port Arthur and the Eastern Front's blood-soaked mobile warfare in Manchuria. Image
Machine guns, barbed wire, extensive trench works, hellish concentrations of artillery (including the "tactical" use of siege cannons) - and apocalyptic casualties - all featured during the extended Siege of Port Arthur.

Each side lost over 50,000 soldiers in five months. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jul 20
The Black Sea Grain Deal is dead. The astonishing thing is that it lasted as long as it did... which was in no small part due to Antonio Guterres, Secretary General of the United Nations, playing games with the Russians.

Put another log on the bonfire of the institutions. ⬇️ Image
The Black Sea Initiative was negotiated in June 2022 ostensibly to ensure that vulnerable populations in Africa didn't starve for lack of Ukrainian food exports with the war on and the Ukrainian Black Sea ports (through which most of those exports passed) shut down. Image
It actually consisted of two separate agreements: one between the UN, Turkey, and Ukraine on implementing exports, and one between the UN, Turkey, and Russia to establish a "safe corridor" to Odessa to allow freighters to come and go without threat of attack. Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 16
Info came out recently about US training courses for Ukrainian soldiers in Germany, which revealed the US Army has done little to internalize the lessons of the war.

Part of this was discounting drone recon in favor of old-fashioned patrolling.

But is this really a bad idea? ⬇️ Image
To preface this discussion, it's clear that the US military is very far behind the times in integrating UAVs at the small unit level. These things are transforming the battlefield.
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However, it seems apparent to me that Ukrainian forces lack some basic infantry skills. They rarely ever seem to patrol on foot or have any particular grasp of stealthy, dismounted movement and infiltration.

These skills are instead the preserve of (rare) foreign fighters. Image
Read 10 tweets
Jul 13
Every since D-Day on February 24th, 2022, Ukraine has been fighting a total war against Russia.

One of the most ghoulish talking points I see out of Ukrainian shills and Russian doomers is that Ukraine can and will simply take millions of casualties to win.

Can they really?⬇️
History shows that things are far more complicated, and societies fighting existential total wars will run out of acceptable manpower and collapse militarily long before they physically run out of people to conscript into the ranks.

Let's examine such a society: Nazi Germany.
Nazi Germany went into WWII with a population of some eighty million and lost - either killed in action or as POWs - a little over five million soldiers during the course of the war in Europe.
Read 13 tweets

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