Weaboo, author and battle theorist. Interactions are not endorsements.
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There has been a problem in estimating Russian vehicle losses since the first hours of the war - Ukrainian propagandists have flooded the internet with dodgy pictures of destroyed Soviet-era vehicles, claimed as Russian. I got started debunking them.
Israeli troops have begun to converge on the area and counterattack, so I do not expect the zone of Palestinian control to expand significantly, and absent external intervention they will likely be driven back into Gaza proper soon. However, that isn't the whole story.
First of all the bottom line - Mediazona has confirmed a mere 133 Russian military deaths in the first three weeks of August (their data only goes to August 23rd right now). This is on top of a long-term downward trend in Russian casualties since the winter. 
Switchblade 600 has a number of features that make it a good choice for this kind of operation - easy and fast setup, adequate range and speed, relatively small size with limited RCS, thermal, optical and audio signatures, and onboard optics allowing precision targeting and BDA. 
Militarily significant terrain features can be so subtle that you don't even notice them in daily life.
Ukraine has relied on mass conscription since Day 1 of this war, and in fact did a large-scale reserve callup beforehand, in an attempt to offset Russian firepower with sheer numbers.
Russia has a back door into the Black Sea via their internal network of rivers and canals, which they not only use routinely to move cargo around the country but also have done some planning to use to shift warships around between the Black, Baltic, Caspian and Northern Fleets. 
Ukraine could end the war tomorrow ("stop fighting") by agreeing to Russia's four demands, which have been constant since the start of the "Special Military Operation." They are:
This is part of a general Russian push in Lugansk north of the Seversky Donets river that has been going on for about the last two weeks. Smaller gains have been reported in the far north near Kupyansk as well as in the Serebryanski Forest along the river to the south. 
But Major Warlord, you say - the US military has ethical requirements!
The Russo-Japanese War showed exactly how combat was in the early 20th century and presaged the character of the First World War - both the Western Front's static fighting around Port Arthur and the Eastern Front's blood-soaked mobile warfare in Manchuria. 
The Black Sea Initiative was negotiated in June 2022 ostensibly to ensure that vulnerable populations in Africa didn't starve for lack of Ukrainian food exports with the war on and the Ukrainian Black Sea ports (through which most of those exports passed) shut down. 
To preface this discussion, it's clear that the US military is very far behind the times in integrating UAVs at the small unit level. These things are transforming the battlefield. 
History shows that things are far more complicated, and societies fighting existential total wars will run out of acceptable manpower and collapse militarily long before they physically run out of people to conscript into the ranks.
Non-refoulment of refugees is a core principle of international law, arguably a ius cogens norm on par with things like the prohibitions on torture and slavery.
1. Consolidation of power. Most of the Russian political class vocally lined up in support of Putin during the incident. Those who did not have doubtless been noted and can expect unusual but plausibly-deniable deaths in the near to medium term.
I've been a critic of Oryx for a long time. In fact, what put me on the map as a commentator was an audit of their work that I put together in March 2022. Even as bare-bones as it was it still seems to be the standard debunk, which is amazing to me.
This is very apropos today because Putin revealed details of the April 2022 Russo-Ukrainian peace treaty to the African peace delegation today.
