Recently, I mentioned the issue of Russian colonists replacing Ukrainians, who either fell victim to violence, was forcibly displaced, or had to flee. Today, I will provide several examples of tactics used by Russians to reshape the population on occupied territories.
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2/ According to the "Interagency Coordination Headquarters for Humanitarian Response," around 40,000 people remain in camps, including over 10,000 children. Russia claims to provide "social security" payments to over 1.4 million people, indicating a larger number of displaced
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-Between May and June, around 600 individuals were deported from Dokuchaevsk, Starobilsk, and Debaltseve to Rostov Oblast.
- In Zaporizhia Oblast, teachers who refused to comply with new Russian educational programs faced interrogations, intimidations, and deportation.
4/ - Some maternity hospitals in occupied areas have been converted into military facilities, while equipment for maternal purposes was moved to Russia.
- Administrative positions continue to be filled by appointed individuals from russia, displacing Ukrainians from these roles
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Russia also pursues the assimilation and indoctrination of children into Russian ideology, erasing Ukrainian identity. They organize "educational trips" to health resort or "sport" camps. Photos from the mentioned events will be included as evidential reference:
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The educational and field training camp "V Army" at the training center of the Military Academy of NBC Defense hosted over 80 schoolchildren, including students from Luhansk Oblast.
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More than 100 kids from Kalanchak, Kherson Oblast, were sent to the Lesnaya Skazka camp in Saratov for an entertainment and "cultural program."
8/ Approximately 280 children from the Antratsyt region were moved to the "Cossack Cadet Corps" in Kalmykia, with plans to relocate around 500 Ukrainian children by the end of the summer.
9/ In occupied Kherson region, Russian forces conducted shooting training with members of "Youtharmy" on July 18th.
10/ According to statistics provided by occupational authorities, the population of Sevastopol (Russian Black Sea Fleet base) has increased by nearly 40% between 2014 and 2021, suggesting significant resettlement of Russians into Crimea.
11/ There are multiple reports indicating that russia is actively repopulating Mariupol. This is being done by providing housing to teachers, administrative workers, and other occupational staff through settlement into newly built apartments.
12/ This reflects a deliberate strategy employed since the times of the Russian Empire to replace locals with russians. The ultimate goal is to establish a narrative that portrays the region as historically russian, allowing subsequent generations to claim it as their birthright.
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If we focus on the bigger picture today, the overall situation is not that bad. We went from Russia’s 2022 demands: military downsizing, government changes, the secession of multiple regions, and other demands: to a much shorter list of demands today:
2/ Notably, Ukraine has also stepped back from its maximalist demands for a de facto return to its 1991 borders and the full withdrawal of Russian forces. Clearly, its stance against direct negotiations has been abandoned as well.
3/ Whether this will work or not is beyond the scope of this message, but interestingly, if you read some of the more-or-less “semi-independent” Russian “Z” channels, not just those that repeat state propaganda, you can see that this realization is starting to take hold
So far, Russia has failed to achieve any of its stated strategic goals in this war:
Demilitarization – failed.
Regime change in Kyiv – failed.
Full control over Donbas – failed.
Preventing NATO enlargement – failed.
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2/ Demilitarization of Ukraine. The Ukrainian military is now larger, better armed, and far more experienced than before the war. It is more technologically advanced and capable than ever before.
3/ Russia failed to remove Zelenskyy or his government. Kyiv remains fully under Ukrainian control. The chances of a pro-Russian party winning the next election are slim to none
1/ As I noted from the outset, based on the limited information then available, there was no “operational breakthrough”. The penetration was tactical, involving roughly a battalion-sized force. Still, it is too soon for celebration
2/ Initially, the situation was especially risky, as Russian units managed to break east of Dobropillia. I would not describe this as a DRG (sabotage group) operation or a simple raid, since neither term accurately reflects the size of the force or its mission in the context
3/ It is positive that Ukrainian forces contained the threat and prevented it from developing into an operational breakthrough. However, the scale of reinforcements required was significant. According to Deep State, the following units were involved in the reinforcement effort:
Missing Targeting Pods, Inflated Bills: An Exclusive Investigation into the Su-57 Procurement Problems by Frontelligence Insight. 🧵Thread:
1/ Newly obtained classified documents, show that Russia purchased its 5-generation Su-57 fighters for more than 3 billion rubles each;
2/ Data provided by Analytical Company "Dallas" (@dallasparkua) shows that in 2021 & 2022, Su-57 fighter jets were delivered without targeting pods, leaving them short of their advertised capabilities. At the time, the cost of a single Su-57 was roughly $42.1 million in USD terms
3/ The documents show that in 2021, a year before the war, the Russian Defense Ministry formally accepted Su-57 aircraft without the 101KS-N, an electro-optical targeting subsystem. This was allowed under Additional Agreement No. 8.
Debates over losses are always heated, but hard data cuts through the noise. Frontelligence Insight analyzed Russian documents released by the I Want to Live project, giving insight on soldiers of the 8th Army who went missing in action. 🧵Thread:
2/ From January 2024 to June 2025, 6,921 soldiers and officers of the 8th Army were reported missing in action. Part of the Southern Military District, the 8th Army has primarily operated in Donetsk Oblast, with elements recently deployed at Pokrovsk to reinforce the 58th Army.
3/ Looking at the timeline, losses in 2025 have significantly peaked compared with 2024. The number of monthly MIA cases more than doubled and remained consistent throughout 2025, reflecting the period of active offensive operations, particularly in Donetsk.
Commented to the FT on pressure to cede territories:
“The constitution limits his power: he has no legal right to alter Ukraine’s territorial integrity. Even more constraining is pressure from society and, crucially, the military, which opposes giving up unoccupied territory"
“President Zelenskyy is caught between a rock and a hard place,” the article concludes with my comment.
Given the opportunity, I also want to add that if peace is to be negotiated, we cannot start with non-starter demands, which our President won't be able to accept
Diplomacy is the art of compromise and seeking constructive solutions. Ukraine has been constructive, avoiding maximalist demands, but if Moscow imposes such demands, the Trump administration should recognize that Ukraine is not the party which obstructs his vision and peace