Share this page!

Enter Twitter Thread URL to Unroll

Needs to be the full URL like: https://twitter.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on Twitter App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
ISW Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Jul 27 • 8 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
NEW: #Ukrainian forces launched a significant mechanized #counteroffensive operation in western #Zaporizhia Oblast on July 26 and appear to have broken through certain pre-prepared Russian defensive positions south of #Orikhiv. 🧵

Latest on #Ukraine: https://t.co/xNRbqelzmtisw.pub/UkrWar072623
Image
2/ Russian sources, including the Russian MoD and several prominent milbloggers, claimed that Ukrainian forces launched an intense frontal assault towards #Robotyne (10km south of #Orikhiv) and broke through Russian defensive positions northeast of the settlement.
3/ Geolocated footage shows UKR forces likely advanced to within 2.5km directly east of #Robotyne during the attack before RU forces employed standard doctrinal elastic defense tactics and pushed UKR troops back somewhat, although not all the way back to their starting positions.
4/ #Russian sources provided a wide range of diverging claims as to the scale of both the attack and resulting #Ukrainian losses, indicating that the actual results and Ukrainian losses remain unclear. isw.pub/UkrWar072623
5/ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that up to three battalions engaged in a “massive assault” near #Orikhiv, but ISW has not yet observed visual evidence to suggest that such a large number of personnel (a full brigade) were involved in the attack.
6/ One prominent Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces used over 80 armored vehicles, and other milbloggers more conservatively claimed that the number was closer to between 30 and 40.
7/ Various RU milbloggers additionally made disparate claims about how many armored vehicles RU forces destroyed. ISW has also not yet observed a large number of heat anomalies in this area of the frontline of the sort that has historically accompanied large, mechanized pushes.
8/ The disagreement amongst several prominent Russian sources indicates that the situation remains less than clear and that Ukrainian forces may have been more successful than assessed by Russian commentators. isw.pub/UkrWar072623

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with ISW

ISW Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Jul 27
The Russian Black Sea Fleet is increasing military posturing in the Black Sea, likely in an attempt to set conditions to forcibly stop & search civilian vessels & exert increased control.
#Russia is unlikely to attempt a full blockade of #Ukraine, however. https://t.co/Fh9Fm2kjdMisw.pub/UkrWar072623
Image
2/ The UKR Military Media Center and @DefenceHQ reported that Russian forces are preparing vessels on the Black Sea to “enforce a blockade on #Ukraine.” The former reported that the Black Sea Fleet is increasing combat training for its surface forces and naval aviation.
3/ The Black Sea Fleet is unlikely to attempt a full blockade of #Ukraine despite increased measures against civilian vessels, however. A full Russian blockade of Ukraine in the Black Sea would mean that Russian forces could fire on all vessels attempting to reach Ukraine.
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jul 27
#Ukraine appears to have rotated fresh forces into this area for the operation whereas Russian forces remain pinned to the line apparently without rotation, relief, or significant reinforcement in this sector.
https://t.co/RfLpkSHLYzisw.pub/UkrWar072623
2/ Russian milbloggers and unnamed Pentagon officials additionally noted that the Ukrainian units that participated in the July 26 attack are reserves that belong to older and more established Ukrainian brigades.
3/ These reports indicate that Ukraine may now be employing fresh and generally more experienced units in the battle...
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jul 26
#Wagner is unlikely to rejoin hostilities in #Ukraine in the foreseeable future because they lack the requisite heavy weaponry.

A Wagner-affiliated source claimed that remaining Wagner forces will leave occupied #Luhansk Oblast by August 1 due to the Russian Ministry of Defense… https://t.co/bzwfp234lRtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2/ Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin claimed in June prior to the rebellion that Wagner forces would return to fight in Ukraine on August 5 following two months of training and rest.
3/ It is unlikely that Wagner forces will rejoin hostilities in Ukraine in the foreseeable future because they lack the requisite heavy weaponry.
Read 6 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jul 26
#Putin and the #Kremlin reportedly failed to respond promptly to the #WagnerGroup’s June 24 rebellion, leaving local Russian officials to make decisions concerning the group’s drive on #Moscow.🧵
https://t.co/bzwfp234lRisw.pub/UkrWar072523
2/ @washingtonpost reported today that Ukrainian & European security officials stated that #Putin didn't issue orders for most of June 24 despite warnings from Russian security services about the likelihood of the rebellion at least 2-3 days beforehand.
washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/…
3/ Russian security services reportedly increased security at several strategic locations, including the Kremlin, in the days before the rebellion but took no other actions.
Read 9 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jul 24
Russian sources may be exaggerating Russian gains and Ukrainian offensive activity along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line to portray ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive operations as a failure. 🧵
https://t.co/Gwr2ucPYURisw.pub/UkrWar072323
2/ ISW has observed recent Russian claims of Russian advances northeast of #Kupyansk, southwest of #Svatove, and west of #Kreminna, although corroborating visual confirmation has not accompanied these claims. isw.pub/UkrWar072323
3/ Russian sources previously amplified older footage on July 8 to claim that Russian forces advanced near Torske, but ISW has not observed any current visual confirmation of these claims.
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jul 24
NEW: #Putin revealed his continuing concern over the potential threats that the #Wagner Group & Yevgeny #Prigozhin may pose to him through symbolism and posturing during a meeting with Belarusian President Alexander #Lukashenko in St. Petersburg, #Russia. https://t.co/neZLAPVkpNisw.pub/UkrWar072323



Image
Image
Image
Image
2/ #Putin made several significant symbolic gestures during his July 23 meeting with #Lukashenko, suggesting that Putin sought to project power and confidence in his own supremacy over the Prigozhin-aligned St. Petersburg-based faction.
3/ #Putin took Lukashenko to visit Kronstadt in St. Petersburg – the historically significant island fortress where Russian soldiers and sailors conducted a famous unsuccessful anti-Bolshevik insurrection in early 1921 that the Soviet government ultimately suppressed.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(