Share this page!

Enter Twitter Thread URL to Unroll

Needs to be the full URL like: https://twitter.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on Twitter App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Rich Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Jul 29 • 3 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
One of my chief complaints this cycle is how dishonest other "experts" have been about the state of this race.

Only a few, and @ForecasterEnten is one of them, have been honest about 1) there being no precedent for a comeback of this size and 2) there is no comparable example to… https://t.co/7ctE0wnUYdtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"Even in the early days of the primary system, when things were far more volatile, no candidate has ever blown a national polling lead even a third as large as Trump’s is today"...

And in truth, it's more dire for non-Trump campaigns than even that metric suggests.

There has… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
THREAD UPDATE: As I wrote and said Friday on @NEWSMAX with @SebGorka, as well, @ForecasterEnten is one of the few in this field who has been honest about the state of the 2024 Republican Nomination.

The numerous comparisons to prior cycles are LUDICROUS.

"Trump is not only in a… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Rich Baris "The People's Pundit"

Rich Baris

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Peoples_Pundit

Rich Baris
May 30
Post Script: The scumbag who did that owes us thousands of dollars and is the reason we @BIGDATAPOLL now have a pay first policy.

He's basically a former cop pretending to be a political strategist who folds up shop with each billing cycle, because the law makes it hard to chase… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Laura, when they first pulled that libel, attempted to publish his deadbeat account for all to see, but @elonmusk and his fake crusade against speech suppression kept suppressing it.

In fact, she tried again tonight and it refused to publish, again.

So... I think I'll do it...
Everyone ready for the emails?

This is going to be hilarious!
Read 6 tweets
Rich Baris
May 20
The DeSantis strategy 'he's the anti-lockdown champion' isn't working for a few reasons, the biggest being 1) voters aren't stupid and 2) it's not true.

As @barnes_law correctly pointed out, he was still threatening businesses 2+ months after Trump said, "the cure cannot be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
And let's not get started on masks and the vaccine. He was faster than most governors, but not exactly clean on this issue.

Here he is SUPER stoked to JAB this World War II Veteran with the Pfizer Shot.

He died shortly after.
foxnews.com/health/world-w…
Point being, politics are politics, and that's the nature of the game. But why are these angles not working for DeSantis AND, moreover, why are they dug in like ticks pretending nothing is wrong?

They attack everyone, and conduct ZERO introspection. It's rather pathetic.
Read 4 tweets
Rich Baris
May 19
We have seen (unsurprisingly) a major difference in support by "mode" of collection. Trump always does worse in live interviews (mid-high 40s) and DeSantis does the best (low-mid 30s).

It's the only mode in which Trump never hit 50%.

This is tonight.

It's going in the wrong… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
It means DeSantis has now fallen into the 20s even among live interviews, and if the online and SMS were to even remain the same, he'd fall to about 15% or lower.

It's ugly, folks. Ugly.
Also important to explain those are just "raw" unweighted results we are importing from live interviews. Among those 157 interviews, this is their education, which is clearly very, VERY, educated for a GOP primary.

My followers/viewers knows what this means. But that's not what… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Read 4 tweets
Rich Baris
May 13
Astonishing how few pollsters and pundits are explaining to people the significance of a candidate being at or above 50%.

Yes, even this "early in the process".

We spent a lot of time on it on the show today, i.e. Historical & Polling Stats 101.

Omission is misleading people.
Yes, even this early in the process, at this point:

No candidate has lost the nomination with 60+ endorsements from NTL and Gov elected offices, in the modern era.

No candidate has lost the nomination polling at or above 50%, in the modern era. peoplespundit.locals.com/post/3986033/w…
For the lazy who reply to tweets without having the intellect or attention span to read the article outlining an argument in great detail, let's walk you through what you missed.

1. This is not 2016. The NeverTrump/Anti-Trump vote has never been a "majority". Meaning, the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 7 tweets
Rich Baris
Apr 13
Ron DeSantis, who would have lost in 2018 if not for the president, had absolutely nothing to do with it.

Vote for whom you want, folks. Seriously. But I absolutely can’t tolerate bullshit.

Trump’s policy toward Venezuela and Cuba, coupled with his outreach, bonus… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The “Old Southern White Democrat” registration shift from DEM to REP was over before Barack Obama left office.

State-to-state migration, specifically from NE USA and California, sent Florida a ton of REP voters who settled in the Tampa Area, and South.

During his… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Those of you who have watched Inside The Numbers since before 2020 know full well what I am talking about and know this is a bullshit talking point.

Lastly, gubernatorial elections are the least predictive indicator for future presidential performance.

Everyone serious knows… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 4 tweets
Rich Baris
Mar 28
Exactly right. This is a mental health issue and it's been known for decades how media play a contagion role. It used to be referred to as the "Columbine Effect". Sadly, the media-inspired events to follow are almost always more deadly.

They hate the Second Amendment and simply… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
This might come as a surprise now, but @MotherJones did fabulous work covering the Columbine Effect, specifically @markfollman and @kbeccaandrews.

Absolutely fantastic work.
motherjones.com/politics/2015/…
Follman also has done great work on "How the Media Inspires Mass Shooters".

But unfortunately, as an industry, media care more about the anti-Second Amendment agenda than their own role in inspiring the mentally unstable to commit these acts. motherjones.com/politics/2015/…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(