50% of humans live in this circle
But why?
It's not a coincidence
It's because of a single, massive accident
Why?
Let's zoom in:
🇵🇰Pakistan 230M
🇮🇳India 1,400M
🇳🇵Nepal 30M
🇧🇩Bangladesh 170M
🇲🇲Burma 54M
🇹🇭Thailand 71M
🇻🇳Vietnam 97M
🇨🇳China 1,400B
🇹🇼Taiwan 23M
🇮🇩Indonesia 274M
🇲🇾Malaysia 33M
🇵🇭Philippines 114M
🇯🇵Japan 126M
🇰🇵NK 26M
🇰🇷SK 52M
TOTAL > 4B
Did one thing cause most of these?!
Yes
Let's start with India. I covered it here:
Quick summary:
India is hot because of its location & wet because of monsoons
Monsoon waters are stopped by the Himalayas, forming the Ganges River valley, which brings water & fertile sediments➡️food➡️ppl
The Himalayas, of course, are formed by the Indo-Australian tectonic plate hitting the Eurasian plate
The monsoon is caused by Eurasia: its massive landmass warms up the air a lot in summer. It goes up, and pulls in the wet air from the Indian Ocean
This explains India's 1.4B ppl, but also Nepal's 30M: Most of its population is on the southern, flatter Ganges valley
And of course, the same thing is true for Bangladesh's 170M, since the country is just the mouth of the Ganges river (a fertile delta) and its confluence with the Brahmaputra river
The same is true of Pakistan! But with the Indus River Valley vs Ganges
Compare the population density (left) and the satellite image (right). Pakistan's population is mostly in the Indus Valley!
And its waters have the same origin as the Ganges'
(@researchremora map)
Why is the Pakistani pop nearly limited to the Indus while India also has population outside of the Ganges Valley?
Because most of this region is in the very dry horse latitudes (left). The only reason India is wetter is because it gets much more (monsoon) rainfall (right)
So this explains ~1.8B ppl in 🇵🇰🇮🇳🇳🇵🇧🇩
Now let's move to China. Why is it so populated?
I explained it here
Summary: China is the same as India, except it gets the monsoon from the Pacific, not the India Ocean!
And why are there plains in that area? Because the Pacific tectonic plate is going under the Eurasian one, flattening the surface above!
Of course, North & South Koreas follow a similar logic: their flat valleys have dense population because they're very fertile thanks to the monsoons and sediments brought down by the rivers
Now let's go to Indochina:
Same story!
The Himalayas / Tibet form 4 big rivers basins there. Each created a civilization & pop center
Irrawaddy➡️Burma
Chao Phraya➡️Thailand
Mekong➡️Thailand, Cambodia, South Vietnam
Red River➡️North Vietnam
You can see it clearly comparing the topography & river maps (left) with the pop density map (right)
Same concept: monsoons+mountains➡️rivers➡️water+sediments➡️fertile flatlands➡️crops➡️ppl
(@PythonMaps)
OK so that explains ~3.5B ppl on the continent
But what about the islands? We're missing the vast populations of Indonesia, Philippines, Japan & Taiwan. 500M ppl. Surely, they can't have the same explanation, right?
Look at the map
What's special about all these islands?
Notice the big trenches on their coasts?
They're all on tectonic plate borders!
The Indo-Australian & Pacific plates are going under the Eurasian plate just where all these islands are.
Is that a coincidence?
No, of course! It's the subduction of the plates that is forming all these islands!
They are nearly all of volcanic origin. This is why we call all that region the Ring of Fire!
In fact, some islands in the area are not volcanic, like Borneo, and *those islands have a much lower population*!
Why? Because they don't have volcanoes, so their land is not fertile! It's been leached by eons of rains.
Volcanoes replenish nutrients
Volcanoes both create the islands and then fertilize them, which allows for better farming➡️food➡️ppl
The heat & rains in Indonesia / Philippines are caused by the proximity to the equator.
Taiwan & Japan catch the Asian Gulf Stream (Kuroshio Current) for heat and the same monsoon as China for water
OK, so what's the big accident that is causing the massive population of this circle?
The collision between the Eurasian, Pacific, and Indo-Australian plates!
1. Massive Eurasian plate➡️pulls in monsoons from surrounding oceans 2. Plate Collision➡️Himalayas/Tibet form➡️catch the monsoon waters➡️massive, fertile river valleys 3. The collisions also form volcanoes➡️ring of islands+natural fertilizer 4. All of this in a hot area
Never bet against the US:
Ppl think its biggest strength is its institutions, the dollar, entrepreneurship... But one of its biggest assets is its geography 🧵
1. Size
The US is the 4th largest country. It spans an entire continent, reaches two oceans, and is big enough to be a geographic heavyweight in the world
2. The Mississippi Basin
It's the 4th largest drainage basin in the world and occupies 40% of the contiguous 48 US states, touching 32 of the US’s 50 states. 11 US states directly take their name from it.
Climate caused the US Civil War, because: 1. Slavery was the main cause of the war 2. Different crops were the main cause of slavery 3. Climate caused different crops in the North vs South
This is terribly important to understand the US today and how to heal it
🧵
1. Slavery was the main cause of the war: the Abolitionist North & the Slavery South were competing to expand westward to increase their political influence
But the North grew & expanded faster, to a point where it could force abolition on the South, which then seceded
In 1790, the Free & Slave states had the same population, and there were many more Slave States (8 vs 5), so Slave States controlled the Senate.
By the eve of the war in 1860, the North had 50% more population and 4 more states, giving them control of both the House & Senate
Moscow is one of the weirdest capitals:
• Biggest European city
• Extremely cold
• Little farmland
• To Russia's extreme west
• Not on a coast or main river
How did it create the biggest country on Earth?
It involves horse archers, human harvesting & tiny animals 🧵
The first shocking fact is that Russia is so far north it's at the edge of arable land. How can you create a capital with so little food? Why not in the middle of the most fertile area on Earth?
This far north is extremely cold
Moscow is the 3rd coldest capital in the world and by far the biggest: with 20M ppl, its metro population is 8x bigger than the 2nd biggest cold capital, Stockholm!
This map tells you how a seemingly innocent difference, like wheat vs rice eating, can have dramatic political, economic, and cultural ramifications:
🧵
The areas that harvest wheat vs rice are different. Why?
Because of climate
Rice needs heat and lots of water. Ideally, flooding the fields to also kill weeds. Rice dies with frost.
Wheat resists it well, prefers cooler temperatures, but dies when it's flooded
Did you know the West's trade deficits to China are not recent, but started 2000 years ago? This is the story of how silk, porcelain, tea, opium, and silver have determined the history of the world 🧵
The Romans already complained about deficits to China! Mainly because of silk
Back then the Chinese already preferred manufacturing and selling products than consuming foreign products. Chronicler Solinus ~200 AD: The Chinese "prefer only to sell their products, but do not like to buy our goods."
Why did 🇮🇱Israel strike 🇮🇷Iran now, and not months or years ago or in the future?
A unique combination of a dozen factors converged to make the moment unique for 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵 1. No Hamas to its southwest 2. No Hezbollah to its north 3. No Assad threat to the northeast
4...
4. No more Syrian army to attack 🇮🇱Israel's planes: As the new forces of HTS took over Syria, Israel bombed all the existing Syrian military. No more fighter jets or surface-to-air missiles to threaten 🇮🇱Israel
5. Ability to fly over Syria to refuel
This is critical, because 🇮🇷Iran is ~600-1000 miles away from 🇮🇱Israel, so 1200-2000 miles round trip
The range of Israel’s stealth F35 is only about 1,350 mi
To operate inside 🇮🇷Iran, 🇮🇱Israel needed refueling over Syria