50% of humans live in this circle
But why?
It's not a coincidence
It's because of a single, massive accident
Why?
Let's zoom in:
🇵🇰Pakistan 230M
🇮🇳India 1,400M
🇳🇵Nepal 30M
🇧🇩Bangladesh 170M
🇲🇲Burma 54M
🇹🇭Thailand 71M
🇻🇳Vietnam 97M
🇨🇳China 1,400B
🇹🇼Taiwan 23M
🇮🇩Indonesia 274M
🇲🇾Malaysia 33M
🇵🇭Philippines 114M
🇯🇵Japan 126M
🇰🇵NK 26M
🇰🇷SK 52M
TOTAL > 4B
Did one thing cause most of these?!
Yes
Let's start with India. I covered it here:
Quick summary:
India is hot because of its location & wet because of monsoons
Monsoon waters are stopped by the Himalayas, forming the Ganges River valley, which brings water & fertile sediments➡️food➡️ppl
The Himalayas, of course, are formed by the Indo-Australian tectonic plate hitting the Eurasian plate
The monsoon is caused by Eurasia: its massive landmass warms up the air a lot in summer. It goes up, and pulls in the wet air from the Indian Ocean
This explains India's 1.4B ppl, but also Nepal's 30M: Most of its population is on the southern, flatter Ganges valley
And of course, the same thing is true for Bangladesh's 170M, since the country is just the mouth of the Ganges river (a fertile delta) and its confluence with the Brahmaputra river
The same is true of Pakistan! But with the Indus River Valley vs Ganges
Compare the population density (left) and the satellite image (right). Pakistan's population is mostly in the Indus Valley!
And its waters have the same origin as the Ganges'
(@researchremora map)
Why is the Pakistani pop nearly limited to the Indus while India also has population outside of the Ganges Valley?
Because most of this region is in the very dry horse latitudes (left). The only reason India is wetter is because it gets much more (monsoon) rainfall (right)
So this explains ~1.8B ppl in 🇵🇰🇮🇳🇳🇵🇧🇩
Now let's move to China. Why is it so populated?
I explained it here
Summary: China is the same as India, except it gets the monsoon from the Pacific, not the India Ocean!
And why are there plains in that area? Because the Pacific tectonic plate is going under the Eurasian one, flattening the surface above!
Of course, North & South Koreas follow a similar logic: their flat valleys have dense population because they're very fertile thanks to the monsoons and sediments brought down by the rivers
Now let's go to Indochina:
Same story!
The Himalayas / Tibet form 4 big rivers basins there. Each created a civilization & pop center
Irrawaddy➡️Burma
Chao Phraya➡️Thailand
Mekong➡️Thailand, Cambodia, South Vietnam
Red River➡️North Vietnam
You can see it clearly comparing the topography & river maps (left) with the pop density map (right)
Same concept: monsoons+mountains➡️rivers➡️water+sediments➡️fertile flatlands➡️crops➡️ppl
(@PythonMaps)
OK so that explains ~3.5B ppl on the continent
But what about the islands? We're missing the vast populations of Indonesia, Philippines, Japan & Taiwan. 500M ppl. Surely, they can't have the same explanation, right?
Look at the map
What's special about all these islands?
Notice the big trenches on their coasts?
They're all on tectonic plate borders!
The Indo-Australian & Pacific plates are going under the Eurasian plate just where all these islands are.
Is that a coincidence?
No, of course! It's the subduction of the plates that is forming all these islands!
They are nearly all of volcanic origin. This is why we call all that region the Ring of Fire!
In fact, some islands in the area are not volcanic, like Borneo, and *those islands have a much lower population*!
Why? Because they don't have volcanoes, so their land is not fertile! It's been leached by eons of rains.
Volcanoes replenish nutrients
Volcanoes both create the islands and then fertilize them, which allows for better farming➡️food➡️ppl
The heat & rains in Indonesia / Philippines are caused by the proximity to the equator.
Taiwan & Japan catch the Asian Gulf Stream (Kuroshio Current) for heat and the same monsoon as China for water
OK, so what's the big accident that is causing the massive population of this circle?
The collision between the Eurasian, Pacific, and Indo-Australian plates!
1. Massive Eurasian plate➡️pulls in monsoons from surrounding oceans 2. Plate Collision➡️Himalayas/Tibet form➡️catch the monsoon waters➡️massive, fertile river valleys 3. The collisions also form volcanoes➡️ring of islands+natural fertilizer 4. All of this in a hot area
Did you know the West's trade deficits to China are not recent, but started 2000 years ago? This is the story of how silk, porcelain, tea, opium, and silver have determined the history of the world 🧵
The Romans already complained about deficits to China! Mainly because of silk
Back then the Chinese already preferred manufacturing and selling products than consuming foreign products. Chronicler Solinus ~200 AD: The Chinese "prefer only to sell their products, but do not like to buy our goods."
Why did 🇮🇱Israel strike 🇮🇷Iran now, and not months or years ago or in the future?
A unique combination of a dozen factors converged to make the moment unique for 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵 1. No Hamas to its southwest 2. No Hezbollah to its north 3. No Assad threat to the northeast
4...
4. No more Syrian army to attack 🇮🇱Israel's planes: As the new forces of HTS took over Syria, Israel bombed all the existing Syrian military. No more fighter jets or surface-to-air missiles to threaten 🇮🇱Israel
5. Ability to fly over Syria to refuel
This is critical, because 🇮🇷Iran is ~600-1000 miles away from 🇮🇱Israel, so 1200-2000 miles round trip
The range of Israel’s stealth F35 is only about 1,350 mi
To operate inside 🇮🇷Iran, 🇮🇱Israel needed refueling over Syria
1. From Feb 2025 to Jun 2025, it increased its amount of enriched uranium by 50% 2. It now had 400kg of highly enriched uranium, enough for 9-10 bombs 3. This is 60% enriched uranium. Fuel only requires 5% enrichment.
4... 🧵
4. It's easy to go from 60% to 90% (weapons grade), it only takes weeks 5. The only country on Earth with such enriched uranium and without a bomb is 🇮🇷Iran 6. The IAEA (nuclear watchdog) found 3 secret nuclear sites
7. When 🇮🇷Iran didn't respond to this accusation, the IAEA censured it 8. 🇮🇷Iran responded to the censoring by saying it would open a 3rd enrichment site in a secret spot
Now that the 🇺🇸US has bombed 3 of 🇮🇷Iran's nuclear sites, where will the war go from here?
It depends on 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵
🇮🇷Iran never wanted the war, and its forces are being decimated. Its ability to send missiles to 🇮🇱Israel is being degraded every day. If it could sign a ceasefire while saving face, it would
Meanwhile, 🇮🇱Israel has kept striking Iran non stop. Its daily airstrikes didn't go down substantially in the first few days. Its ability to keep striking 🇮🇷Iran remains unabated
Can there be an invasion of Iran? Hardly. Two maps explain why, and also why Iran is the way it is today, whether its regime will fall, what other superpowers will do, and in general why Iran is the way it is today
The only truly exposed area is the southwestern corner of Khuzestan, which is a swamp
The biggest superpowers lie to the west, and there the very broad Zagros make it really hard to conquer Iran. The mountain range is tall and wide, making logistics similar to Afghanistan. Very hard.
Iraq learned it the hard way when it tried to attack there in 1980
Listening to the debate, it looks like 🇮🇱Israel & the 🇺🇸US intelligence community disagreed, but that's not really the case!
Both thought Iran was weeks to months away from being able to develop the bomb
So what's the disagreement?
Here are more facts:
• Tehran had just announced a 3rd enrichment site in an undisclosed place
• The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) had recently produced a report censoring Iran for the 1st time in 20y
• It accused Iran of 3 undisclosed nuclear sites
• It claimed Iran had enough enriched uranium for 9-10 nuclear bombs
• All the other countries in the world who have enriched uranium at the same level also have nuclear weapons. Iran is the only country that doesn't have these weapons yet enriches uranium as much