During night 3 civilian ships seem to have successfully challenged Russian threats to Black Sea navigation.

Ams1, Sahin 2 & Yilmaz Kaptan sailed direct routes, openly advertising destination Ukraine over AIS.

Their origins: Israel, Greece and Turkey/Georgia. Image
The origins are interesting in that they are all potential sources of weapons.
Yet, these ships seems to navigate freely over Black Sea, in contempt of the alleged threat that Russia will treat any ship, civilian or not, heading for Ukraine as potential targets.
Usual AIS-caveats apply. AIS-data is possible to manipulate. Further, there might be more ships that I have not found. I will try to find more during day. If anyone cares to, it might be possible to corroborate tracks on Sentinel-passes, strengthening this case. @MT_Anderson ?
AIS-tracks corroborated. Positions broadcasted matches with sat pics.

Ams1 can be found on a Sentinel1 pass north of Bosporus.
Yilmaz Kaptan is seen on both S1 and S2 passes in anchorage outside Sinop, Turkey.
Sahin 2 is caught by S1 in Istanbul anchorage.

Screenshots below
Ams1 north of Bosporus 230729 04:15U Sentinel 1
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Image
Yilmaz Kaptan, Sinop anchorage, Turkey. 230727 08:36U Sentinel 2 and 15:36U Sentinel 1


Image
Image
Image
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Sahin 2, Istanbul anchorage, Turkey. 230729 04:15U Sentinel 1 Image
High military aviation activity on Black Sea coast. High for a Sunday, including AWACS.

Ams1 changed her AIS-destination for Romania a few hours before arriving to the Danube anchorage. She broadcasted Ukraine the 4 days before that. Yilmaz Kaptan, similar.
Image
Image
Looking at other traffic inbound today for Ukraine ports we have Tanzania-flagged Sofilarex and Ukraine-flagged Orel 3 and Orel 5. They have all hugged the coast, staying inside NATO territorial waters on their way to Ukraine (Orel 3 maybe Bulgaria?) Image
There are numerous other vessels inbound for Ukraine ports. They use various methods to mitigate the Russian threat and I will respect these mariners wishes to stay hidden.

Once safe in port I will try and show without endangering them, it is a testament to the ongoing crimes.
Cute! One little Ukraine-bound ship has a very sharp-eyed eagle looking out for them.

But, Yilmaz Kaptan seems to have started broadcasting another name??? She now shows up as ”Kudret Gezer” on all AIS-services I use. Strange, will follow.
Image
Image

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More from @auonsson

Jun 30
Lots of activity in the Baltics last 24-72h. Both flying and floating assets of both NATO and Russia active.
A US navy ship is leaving Baltics via Store Bælt at 20 knots. Using an obfuscating MMSI of 999999999 it is hard to say for certain what kind.

Older photos on Marinetraffic indicate an Arleigh Burke guided missile destroyer.

At the same time, a US navy replenishment vessel is patrolling this area of the Baltics since 21st. Indicating other US assets still present, or, just servicing the numerous NATO warships operating.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 19
Some RU trenches seems to operate with weapons kept in a central location, field pyramids.

Ie, the soldiers are unarmed til commanders orders battle. At least according to machine translated post below.

This fits with todays viral video of trench clearing. Thread, nsfw.
In the video there are four enemy soldiers clearly seen. UAF off, POV, RUAF def.

No 1 & 2 are unarmed, no 3 maybe armed, no 4 arriving from another direction is armed.

Video here. Stills in following post. NSFW/NSFL, unblurred video of humans dying:
Soldier no 1 Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 18
Latest nav status of CVN 78 / USS Gerald R Ford (aircraft carrier, strike group in vicinity)

Position 37.662°, 10.507
Course 112°
Speed 16 knt
20230618 07:23U

30 nmi NE of Cap Zebib, Tunisia heading east in Med (to Adriatics?) Image
Navigational data inferred from transponder of Sea/Blackhawk helicopter getting ready for takeoff. Image
Flaunting my incompetence as a navy sailor now, but there is a surprising amount of normal shipping in close vicinity of the aircraft carrier. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 17
The Kerch bridge is under repairs or inspection again.

The road part was opened Feb 23rd and the train part May 5th.

Yet 40% of the time since May 1 there is a barge doing something where the explosion hit. (sample size 15 days of 50 days).
The repairs/inspections has been ongoing the last three days, the longest period visible in sat data.

@Rb3qzWR5AK5nooA was the first to post indications of this today to my knowledge. That account is a golden chest filled to the brim with exciting satellite finds from Ukraine.
My guesstimate of barge activity is from timelapses of Sentinel 1 +2 data.
It appears that a barge has been operating more frequently these last weeks.
From the opening in February to Apr 28 I have found only one day, Apr 4, with a barge present.
Read 8 tweets
Jun 17
People central to Nord Stream affair in Sweden are seeing a steady flow of badly machine translated emails aiming to put blame on the US for the sabotage.

Mails are directed at senior SE military researcher Hans Liwång, state prosecutor Ljungqvist and to some extent SE media. Image
They started coming Dec 2022, are from generic emails, seemingly translated from a radically different language than Swedish. All of them put blame on the United States.
Most of them are adressed to Hans Liwång, associate professor at SE Defence University, specialized in maritime safety and security.

But also state prosecutor Ljungqvist are receiving them and he believes that they have political aims.
Read 16 tweets
Jun 14
Swedish prosecutor on Nord Stream:

"We know quite well what happened, how it was done, what equipment and type of large ship that presupposes. Explosives are unique. We can close some leads and confirm other leads. Hypothesis on state actor involvement is strengthening." Image
When asked about the Andromeda-lead (pro-Ukrainian group in sailboat) prosecutor Ljungquist gets very vague, confirms cooperation in some parts with German investigation but declines further comment.
State prosecutor Mats Ljungqvist said this in todays episode of "Gräns", radio show on national security on Swedish public service radio.

Full transcript in last tweets.

Full audio here.
sverigesradio.se/avsnitt/spelet…
Read 32 tweets

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