“The only way to stop this,” Ukraine's military intelligence told us, “is the immediate withdrawal of Russian occupation troops from Ukraine.” Our latest visual investigation into Kyiv's growing fleet of homegrown kamikaze drones that have hit Moscow: nyti.ms/455tphc
Public glimpses of Ukraine's long-range kamikaze drone program are rare. The first came in December, when influencer @igorlachenkov got an unexpected phone call from GUR, Ukraine's military intelligence. They needed money, and fast, for a “drone that can fly very far.”
@igorlachenkov Lachenkov, who had been raising money for the war effort, asked his million followers on Telegram for donations. 20 million hryvnia, or about half a million dollars, was needed to fund five Bobers — Ukraine's equivalent of the Iranian-made Shaheds used by Russia.
Five months later, and just a week after the brazen May 3 drone attack on the Kremlin, @igorlachenkov thanked his followers and posted three photos of the previously unseen Bober which, he said, “already conflicted heavy losses” on Russia.
In a fourth photo, @igorlachenkov is standing with Kyrylo Budanov, head of GUR. In his hands, a gift from Budanov: a painted artillery shell showing a drone dropping two bombs of the Kremlin (with striking resemblance to the infamous images from the May 3 attack).
Since the Kremlin attack, there have been 6 more drone strikes on Moscow alone. The total of kamikaze drones flown into Russia between May-July was double the total for all of 2022. At least three different Ukrainian-made drones have been used: Bober, UJ-22 and an unnamed model.
Here's the Bober in flight above Ilyinski, near Moscow, on May 30. It's a bit boxier (less fancy aesthetics, basically). To the naked eye, it seems to be flying backward due to its “push” airframe: canard in the front and propellor in the back.
This type of design could provide certain benefits for long-range attacks, @sambendett told us. The push design may make for better sensor packages, while also reducing drag — making it easier to fly against resistance like wind.
Last week, @Denys_Shmyhal announced Ukraine would increase its investment in drone technology tenfold — from $108 million last year to over $1 billion this year. There was no mention of long-range UAVs, but promotional images showed the Bober without naming the kamikaze drone.
@Denys_Shmyhal Besides the Bober and the more well-known UJ-22, this video shows the catapult launch of a third, unnamed Ukrainian-made kamikaze drone. We matched this UAV to visuals of wreckages at at least four attack locations inside Russia, including Moscow.
Video was posted by @serhiyprytula, who says his foundation has raised around $6.8 million dollars to fund longer-range kamikaze drones. You can see resemblance of the photo he posted with wreckage found in Russia. https://t.co/HNQXZZGF9T
Ukraine's goal in urban areas, so far, appears more about instilling fear than causing bloodshed or large-scale destruction. This is footage of the most recent drone attack on Moscow, yesterday. We believe at least one Bober was used in this attack.
In the aftermath of the attack, Prytula taunted Muscovites: shudder from the air raid alarm, go to the bomb shelters, etc. Attached, several images of Bober drones at an undisclosed location in Ukraine. Written on one: “From Ukraine without love.”
While several buildings, including at least one related to Russia's military apparatus, have been damaged in Moscow, several other attacks have hit strategic locations such as oil depots.
Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian soil, including Moscow, are likely to continue. And they're likely to increase in frequency, too. Read our full article, “Ukraine’s Other Counteroffensive: Drone Attacks on Russian Soil,” here (gift link, no paywall): nyti.ms/47fENc8
We'll continue to the war in Ukraine, and as always, feel free to reach out with question, tips, suggestions, etc. This article was, as always, a team effort, with @heytherehaley, @LisaKovtun94, @markscheffler, @hanaansarhan, @ajcardia and @riley_mellen.
This is great work by @PAXforpeace. For those following the (kamikaze) drone industry closely, our reporting suggests that the per-unit price of a Bober is around 20 million hryvnia (~$100K).
Just moments ago, reports of yet another drone attack in Moscow (early hours of August 1), making it the fourth attack in the span of just one week. Threading details as they emerge below:
This video shows smoke rising at a skyscraper in Moscow City, a symbol of Russia's economic resurgency under Putin. The area was also hit by a suspected Ukrainian-made Bober drone on July 30. https://t.co/4fdGOS8yDnt.me/ENews112/14811
According to Tass, the Russian state news agency citing “emergency services”, one drone was shot down in the Moscow Region while another one hit, indeed, one of the Moscow City skyscrapers.
https://t.co/fl9oG1SUB7t.me/tass_agency/20… t.me/tass_agency/20…
We tracked how several tankers, all acquired by shell companies after Russia invaded Ukraine, secretly moved at least half a billion dollars worth of Russian oil — an apparent effort to deceive their U.S.-based insurer. Our latest visual investigation: nyti.ms/43DQxTn
All the ships were “spoofing” their location: They sent out signals that showed they were in one location, while really they were somewhere else. Our investigation relied heavily on openly available sources and tools, some below are some insights into our reporting process.
Since the U.S., European Union and G7 countries imposed a price cap on Russian oil, there's been quite some chatter about Russia amassing a “dark,” “shadow” or “ghost fleet” — but little specifics. So we decided to take a closer look at what we could find. (Many dead ends, too.)
We've identified the leader of the Discord group where top secret U.S. documents were leaked — it's a 21-year-old member of the Massachusetts Air National Guard, specifically its intelligence wing. Gift link, no paywall: nytimes.com/2023/04/13/wor…
Law enforcement outside the home of the Airman's mother. Photo by @heytherehaley. A U.S. official has confirmed that federal authorities have begun the search the home.
Last week, during a raid in the occupied West Bank, Israeli forces shot and killed at least 4 unarmed Palestinians in Nablus that didn’t appear to pose any threat, our new visual investigation shows (paywall-free link): nytimes.com/2023/03/01/wor…
In total, 11 people were killed and over 100 wounded, per the Palestinian Health Ministry. The Israel Defense Forces reported no injuries. Palestinian officials said this was the deadliest start to a year in the occupied territory since 2000, the start of the First Intifada.
We obtained security camera footage, witness video and testimony from multiple locations in Nablus, and reviewed Telegram posts and Facebook live streams to understand how the raid unfolded and establish where, when and under what circumstances the Palestinians were killed.
A cemetery used by Wagner to bury its fighters killed in Ukraine has increased nearly seven times over the past two months, @Maxar satellite imagery shows. W/ @dim109, @bottidavid. More: nytimes.com/2023/01/24/wor…
The cemetery's location might have remained unknown if it wasn't for Vitaly Wotanovsky, an activist and former Russian Air Force officer who visits graves in Krasnodar to document Russians killed in Ukraine. This is him on his 50th birthday, arrested.
In late December, locals pointed Wotanovsky to an area used to bury the unclaimed bodies of Wagner fighters. During several visits, he photographed a growing number of grave markers and uploaded them to his Telegram channel, Titutshki in Krasnodar. t.me/majdankrd/13167
@Geoconfirmed: geolocation of damage, most likely from a Jan. 2 Ukrainian strike, in Tokmak (Токмак), Russian-occupied Zaporizhia Oblast in Ukraine: 47.258646, 35.708089. Sign says it's a veterans association, and is annexed to a hospital complex. t.me/voynareal/47250
RIA Novosti had a report from the site, showing this taller building — just opposite of the building with the veterans association sign. The brick damage shown may be a bit misleading, since this older photo on Yandex shows it already looked like that: yandex.com/maps/28480/tok…
Also, Wagner-affiliated Telegram channel Grey Zone claimed the Dec. 31 Ukrainian strike on Chulakovka hit this farming complex: 46.365429, 32.308831 (cc @Geoconfirmed). I checked @planet satellite imagery, but did not detect any large damage at the location.