Thread by @BaruchKogan

Thread.

What is going on in Israel right now is much deeper than the legal reform and the question of whether the opinion of 15 self appointed judges on whether a law or executive decision is reasonable or not should be the final say in any matter.

https://twitter.com/meiretingr/status/1686623211411091456

What is going on is that the establishment, which has controlled all the institutions that matter and thus set the bounds of permitted discourse for half a century after losing the majority of Jewish voters, is feeling that control crack. The earth is opening up under their feet.

By the way, this doesn't really mean a transfer of power to the elected politicians on the right. They are part of the same establishment, just one it dislikes. Kerensky and Milyukov types.

So far, the establishment's efforts to leverage its available instruments to reestablish control have failed. Astroturf protests and riots had traction but went on too long. Now, Lapidiot office hamsters are tired of their airport being disrupted and their highways shut down...

... and the cops, arsim whose politically ambitious leadership restrained them for months, are starting to have their hands untied. Don't think they don't crave to treat rioting leftists like they did Jewish settlers in Amona.

The IDF, long cloaked in an atmosphere of holiness, respect and immunity to critique which was completely unmerited, has come out of the closet as a deeply politically engaged institution. Rather than shaming and scaring their opponents into shutting up, this has resulted in...

... its officer corps and elite units increasingly being viewed as something like the Histadrut, a corrupt and parasitic body hostile to the people as a whole.

The economy is, of course, in the hands of our establishment, which has hamfistedly attempted to leverage its control for a quick W, threatening to withdraw its money and companies, promising Moody's credit rating downgrades, etc. And, indeed, the shekel is tanking.

And interest rates are going up.

Since Israeli normies are loaded down with debt, a cheaper shekel makes the debt easier to pay off. Higher interest rates mean that savers are rewarded instead of having their saving eaten away. Another L for the establishment.

In aeronautical terms, our establishment is experiencing control reversal, normal inputs producing paradoxical effects.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Control_r…

The main soft power mechanism they rely upon is informal coordination, with nominally independent institutions supporting each other. Intersecting fields of fire.

How this works is that when one establishment body attempts to impose a policy which harms the interests of the Jewish people, other bodies weigh in in favor of the policy.

This works as long as the supporting bodies are viewed as prestigious, independent and objective.

For instance, when Rabin's and Peres' team pushed through the illegal, immoral and evil Oslo Accords against the will of the vast majority of the Jews, they received academic support from people like Haim Assa, an expert on game theory. Did Rabin and Peres, both of whose...

educations stopped at attending agricultural high schools, base their decision-making on Assa's equations? Of course not. He was there to lend credibility as a supposed objective and independent expert.

The ultimate supposedly independent and objective expert body in Israel is the Supreme Court, so the current reform strikes at the very pinnacle of the establishment's interlocking and mutually supporting power and influence bases.

But this strategy fails when the supporting institution is no longer viewed as an objective and prestigious one. And it breaks down completely when the very act of support marks it in the eyes of the audience as engaged and untrustworthy.

One glaring example is the recent statement by an Israeli doctors' association calling on the police to refrain from using tear gas on the leftist rioters blocking the nation's highways and lighting bonfires on them. The tear gas, you see, could damage their delicate lungs.

The delicate lungs of the Haredim and settlers, whose demonstrations and protests the Israeli police has been copiously tear gassing for decades, never concerned the doctors.

Other examples include Big, one of Israel's big retail chains, publicly supporting the protesters, and Strauss, a massive Israeli company, issuing the "ethics and values" letter in the linked thread against the recent voicing of an impermissible opinion on Channel 14.

In all these cases, the desired mutual support effect fails to materialize. What happens is rather contamination, where the lack of credibility of the institution being supported transfers to the supporting institution.

Unfortunately for our establishment, it knows of no other strategy and is too dispersed and freaked out to realize this one no longer works and come up with another on the fly. So they'll keep yanking up on the joystick all the way into a stall. And then...