Glad @jengleruk & @MartinNeil9 highlighted my *favorite* study out of NYC. (This is also one I showed to @jjcouey in our interview last weekend.)
The basics are very indicting. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32640030/
The basics are very indicting. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32640030/
https://twitter.com/MartinNeil9/status/1687401043036901376
Study is out of Northwell Health Labs in metro NYC.
Northwell tested 46,793 people for SARS-CoV-2 between March 8 and April 10, 2020.
That's a lot of freaking tests, folks.
Northwell tested 46,793 people for SARS-CoV-2 between March 8 and April 10, 2020.
That's a lot of freaking tests, folks.
"New York didn't have tests!" is false. They had tests.
There was testing in hospitals, of course, but in other settings too.
There was testing in hospitals, of course, but in other settings too.
The positivity rates by test-setting type are astounding.
Rates by county same.
Cumulative rates by gender and race same
Most of the positive tests were urgent care or ambulatory practice sites - NOT hospitals.
How many people already in the hospital in March were tested - just because?
We don't know.
How many people already in the hospital in March were tested - just because?
We don't know.
We DO know that one of the authors on the study, James Crawford, characterized the positivity rate as "staggering" in a April 6, 2002 presentation to the CDC.
(Same call where Crawford said they had reduced RVP testing for Covid testing...)
(Same call where Crawford said they had reduced RVP testing for Covid testing...)
https://twitter.com/EWoodhouse7/status/1635856574374608896?s=20
The study includes this handy timelapse video.
Y'all, this is SPREAD OF TESTING, not SUDDEN SPREAD OF VIRUS.
Whatever that test was picking up was already everywhere.
Y'all, this is SPREAD OF TESTING, not SUDDEN SPREAD OF VIRUS.
Whatever that test was picking up was already everywhere.
Authors: “Our data reveal that SARS-CoV-2 incidence emerged rapidly and almost simultaneously across a broad demographic population in the region. These findings support the premise that SARS-CoV-2 infection was widely distributed prior to virus testing availability.”
Yup.
Yup.
Alas, it was too late.
Positive tests had already been mistaken as evidence of people being sick with a deadly disease for which they must be "treated".
Nevermind the laundry list of "symptoms" that were ALREADY being treated just fine until mass testing & began.
Positive tests had already been mistaken as evidence of people being sick with a deadly disease for which they must be "treated".
Nevermind the laundry list of "symptoms" that were ALREADY being treated just fine until mass testing & began.
Reminder that the incredible positivity rate was true of testing citywide, not just in the Northwell system
I don't care how new or old this "coronavirus" was - or if it from a lab in China, the U.S., Ukraine, or anyplace else.
It didn't do what it's alleged to have done - i.e., kill almost 20K people in 11 weeks in America's largest city.
It didn't do what it's alleged to have done - i.e., kill almost 20K people in 11 weeks in America's largest city.
Most of the deaths were in HOSPITALS.
Not Nursing Homes.
HOSPITALS.
No 3rd party witnesses to whatever the heck was going on.
And still no proof from the city that all of these deaths actually occurred.
Not Nursing Homes.
HOSPITALS.
No 3rd party witnesses to whatever the heck was going on.
And still no proof from the city that all of these deaths actually occurred.
This was not a “disease outbreak”
And the protocols/policies implemented were NOT about disease control
They were the stuff of a war zone or large-scale anthrax release, implemented IN ANTICIPATION OF - not IN RESPONSE TO - an actual emergency.
And the protocols/policies implemented were NOT about disease control
They were the stuff of a war zone or large-scale anthrax release, implemented IN ANTICIPATION OF - not IN RESPONSE TO - an actual emergency.
You can hear me talk more about the absurdities of New York City spring 2020 here
There was no sudden community outbreak of a novel deadly respiratory pathogen.
And certainly no basis for a pandemic declaration or anything that came afterward.woodhouse76.com/p/me-and-jj-co…
There was no sudden community outbreak of a novel deadly respiratory pathogen.
And certainly no basis for a pandemic declaration or anything that came afterward.woodhouse76.com/p/me-and-jj-co…
P.S. These were the three tests used in the Northwell system during the study period
@Lucy26398575 @MartinNeil9 @jengleruk
@Lucy26398575 @MartinNeil9 @jengleruk
Oh look.
March 10, 2020: The Seattle Flu Project agreed
“It must have been here this entire time,” Dr. Chu recalled thinking with dread. “It’s just everywhere already.”
No kidding. #CoOpted
March 10, 2020: The Seattle Flu Project agreed
“It must have been here this entire time,” Dr. Chu recalled thinking with dread. “It’s just everywhere already.”
No kidding. #CoOpted
Back to the Northwell study. I'm just now noticing the language here:
"Among the 26, 735 positive patients from 4 March to 10 April, 5576 (20.9%) test samples were obtained during an emergency department evaluation; 6584 (24.6%) as part of an admission-to-hospital order set, including admission to an intensive care unit; 7493 (28.0%) from urgent care centers (mostly Northwell Health GoHealth facilities); 5473 (20.5%) from other ambulatory practice locations; 1292 (4.8%) from skilled-nursing and assisted-living facilities; and 317 (1.2%) from Northwell Health Employee Health Services. The daily distribution of testing location is shown in Figure 8. At first, predominantly hospitalized patients were tested (inpatient floor or intensive care unit). As case incidence and familiarity with SARS-CoV-2 clinical presentation increased, the fraction of testing dedicated to hospitalized patients decreased to approximately 20%, while testing in emergency departments, urgent care centers, and other outpatient settings increased."
and
T"hese results indicate that SARS-CoV-2 infection was already geographically widespread in the greater New York City region when testing began in early March 2020 [5], a premise supported by sequencing of viral genomes obtained from the New York area [6] and by modeling of the pandemic outbreak [7]. Given literature estimates of serial intervals between infections (4 to 6 days [1, 8]) and R0 values of 2.6 to 3.2 🤔 during the exponential period of disease outbreak [9], it is unlikely that 6 hospitalized cases from 5 geographically dispersed zip codes over the next 2 days could be explained by secondary infections from the first 4th March case, or from exposure to the first documented case in the New York City area on 1 March in Westchester County [10]. It is more likely that the initially observed cases in our study originate from multiple infection sources already present across the geographical area when testing began [7].
While the initial patients tested by NHL had already been admitted to the hospital for respiratory illness, the rapid increase in SARS-CoV-2 testing from emergency departments, urgent care centers, and ambulatory practice sites reflects the realization that patients presenting with respiratory illness were likely to have this illness [11]." 🤔🚩
"Among the 26, 735 positive patients from 4 March to 10 April, 5576 (20.9%) test samples were obtained during an emergency department evaluation; 6584 (24.6%) as part of an admission-to-hospital order set, including admission to an intensive care unit; 7493 (28.0%) from urgent care centers (mostly Northwell Health GoHealth facilities); 5473 (20.5%) from other ambulatory practice locations; 1292 (4.8%) from skilled-nursing and assisted-living facilities; and 317 (1.2%) from Northwell Health Employee Health Services. The daily distribution of testing location is shown in Figure 8. At first, predominantly hospitalized patients were tested (inpatient floor or intensive care unit). As case incidence and familiarity with SARS-CoV-2 clinical presentation increased, the fraction of testing dedicated to hospitalized patients decreased to approximately 20%, while testing in emergency departments, urgent care centers, and other outpatient settings increased."
and
T"hese results indicate that SARS-CoV-2 infection was already geographically widespread in the greater New York City region when testing began in early March 2020 [5], a premise supported by sequencing of viral genomes obtained from the New York area [6] and by modeling of the pandemic outbreak [7]. Given literature estimates of serial intervals between infections (4 to 6 days [1, 8]) and R0 values of 2.6 to 3.2 🤔 during the exponential period of disease outbreak [9], it is unlikely that 6 hospitalized cases from 5 geographically dispersed zip codes over the next 2 days could be explained by secondary infections from the first 4th March case, or from exposure to the first documented case in the New York City area on 1 March in Westchester County [10]. It is more likely that the initially observed cases in our study originate from multiple infection sources already present across the geographical area when testing began [7].
While the initial patients tested by NHL had already been admitted to the hospital for respiratory illness, the rapid increase in SARS-CoV-2 testing from emergency departments, urgent care centers, and ambulatory practice sites reflects the realization that patients presenting with respiratory illness were likely to have this illness [11]." 🤔🚩
@threadreaderapp unroll
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
