the same cowardice animates the refusal of american cities to punish crime
"if I do not punish this man for his violations of the law, surely I cannot be held in the wrong"
no, actually, you can be blamed for abdicating your duty to pass required judgment
no one should be eager to pass judgment because the righteousness or injustice of one's decisions *should* weigh heavily
responsibility for judgment is a burden
wearing it lightly is one error; refusing to take it up at all is another
undergirding this trend, which i see as broader than these examples, is a contemporary lack of moral grounding
one must have _some_ ethical frame of reference in which to make a judgment if they are to be at all confident in their decision; one must have a sense of how to judge
our old systems of morality were dissolved in the churn of the twentieth century and the successors are of no use
contemporary hamartiology ascribes evil to systems and abstractions and in doing so removes man as a moral actor
so of course: how could we judge another?
well. i hope some are able to find the courage of their convictions, and sooner rather than later.
@RolandWank i've also opposed every war that my country's been involved in since my majority on the grounds that they were incredibly stupid, if that's what you're asking about.
@MagusGenji and to be clear i mean the story i think is bad is "i wouldnt do anything bc violence is always wrong"
@sterespect anyway im not meaning to criticize pacifism-as-self defense here, rather the more radical variety
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israel is NOT an ally of america. theyre aggressively trying to capture our strategic ashkenazi resources. is that how an ally behaves?
a true America First policy would be ANTIZIONIST
jews dont belong in israel. they belong in new york and its time to come home
the eigenrobot administration is prepared to agree to a population swap of 100 american muslims repatriated to arabia for each israeli returned to us
im also prepared to accept a "Two State' solution wherein palestinians from gaza and the west bank will be resettled in michigan territory redesignated "new palestine" and expelled from the union. in exchange the US will accept all current Israeli territory as a new 50th state
but yes im sorry the credibility revolution was a mistake and economics has long since abandoned careful empirical work for atheoretical regression slop that it massively overinterprets to mindlessly support political claims
my advice to you is if you ever want to ruin a party full of applied econometricians talking about the effect of immigration on native employment, bring up the mariel boatlift after everyone is several drinks in
you may find result enlightening and you'll certainly have some fun
fun inside story
when seattle implemented a $15/hr minimum wage they asked some ppl at UW to do a study of the employment effects
the big paper dropped in 2017 and found huge disemployment effects
so the city immediately disavowed it and ran to amherst for a rebuttal
we can easily exploit this with secondary markets in H1B workers. all we need to do is buy up 63 H1Bs for a guaranteed successful IPO. vcs are leaving trillion dollar bills on the ground here
its a reasonable microeconomics paper with a plausible identification method and lots of regressions that are highly suggestive if you dont think about them too much
(are patents actually predictive of ipo success? are the h1bs producing these patents themselves? lol who knows)
the literature review provides some complementary evidence, some of which is interesting context and some of which flatly contradicts the claim tabarrok would like to make
This dynamic is _not_ obviously gainfully-modeled as IPD. Instead of acting simultaneously, one agent (here representing something like a D/R coalition) decides to act in each round.
Who acts next round is nondeterministic and may be affected by actions this round.
More things to consider in this model:
1. If party institutions are ahistorically weak, which I think they are now, discounting of future rounds ought to be treated as relatively intense, which makes commitment more difficult
the vital urge to say "ok, how is this wrong" starts to fade as you get older, because you've played that game so many times that it gets tiresome and you start to think you know what that room holds
usually you're right, but it's an easy way to get stuck
second issue is the cost of doing this sort of inquiry gets higher as you accumulate more committed beliefs or expectations
once more, you're usually more likely to be "correct" at any given moment, but updating gets very costly as your world model is built out and solidified
its been a long week so tonight please relax as i relate to you the tale of a great episode in american autism
our third president, thomas jefferson, was immensely autistic
he spent much of his time inventing questionably useful devices, getting hung up on and beefing over irrelevant abstractions, pursuing unwise relationships w subordinates, and recording data for no particular reason
he combined several of these hobbies in an extended incident in the court of france where he was serving as america's ambassador ("minister plenipotentiary") in the mid 1780s, succeeding a real scientist and charmer, benjamin franklin