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Aug 8 7 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The satellite images I'm presenting offer additional evidence highlighting Ukraine's need for long-range engagement capabilities. This analysis is focused on Luhansk airport, situated over 100 km away from the frontlines, and serving as a base for russian helicopters
🧵Thread: Image
2/ The airport had been inactive since 2014; however, recently, the russians have repurposed it as a helicopter base for operations in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblast. On average, there are approximately 12 to 16 helicopters present at any given time Image
3/ Russians position themselves to remain outside the effective range of HIMARS when on the ground and beyond the reach of MANPADs when in the sky. They mostly engage through the use of indirectly fired unguided rockets. The airfield primarily hosts Ka-52, Mi-8, Mi-28, and Mi-24 Image
4/ The airport's perimeter is heavily guarded by air defense assets, although it is not impervious. Disabling the helicopters would compel them to vacate the airport, thereby slowing down helicopter logistics and response times. Image
5/ The presence and movements of helicopters on the base can be monitored through this timelapse video. It illustrates the active utilization of helicopters
6/ Considering the frequent flights and operations of these helicopters, with many of them return to the base unharmed, it becomes evident that a heightened requirement exists for more air-defense systems as well. This is crucial to enhance the air protection for our troops.
7/ I express my gratitude to all the generous contributors who donated via Buy Me A Coffee service. Your contributions have enabled the acquisition of imagery and the provision of further insights into Russian air capabilities within the region.
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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Aug 6
Amid numerous global events, tracking everything is challenging. Considering globally important developments in Niger - a strategic location with French and US military presence, and potential Wagner involvement, I made a summary with contributions from other OSINTers. 🧵Thread Image
2/ This thread chronologically summarizes events starting from a coup in Niger, escalating to a potentially larger conflict involving multiple countries, and potential growth of Wagner and jihadists in the region. Key points in chronological order by day are as follows:
3/ July 26th

- On July 26th, at 5:30 am local time, the Presidential Palace in Niger's capital, Niamey, was blocked by presidential guard vehicles. This was followed by a public statement announcing the creation of CNSP (junta body) with Tchiani appointed as its leader. Image
Read 18 tweets
Aug 5
In continuation of the conversation regarding the current state of russian bases and available vehicles, today, I will cover one of the bases that belong to the 3rd Motor Rifle Division in Boguchar.

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🧵Thread: Image
2/ The current third division was reformed in 2016, moved to Boguchar and Valuiki under the command of the 20th army. Boguchar base hosts the 252nd Motor Rifle Regiment, 99th SPG Regiment, 337th Separate Engineer Battalion, 911th Separate Supply BN, and 231st Separate Medical BN.
3/ Current satellite analysis shows a decrease in the numbers of vehicles on the base, mostly due to deployments and losses. There might be inaccuracies due to the limitations in image quality, which can hinder precise vehicle recognition. Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 2
This thread analyzes the situation at Berdyans'k airport, focusing on russian helicopters. Amid the ongoing offensive, observers may find it puzzling that these helicopters remain unscathed at their base in Berdyans'k, enabling them to swiftly access the frontlines. Image
2/ The russian air threat persists in this counter-offensive, demanding additional consideration. One strategy involves neutralizing helicopters on the ground before they take flight. While the airfield is within Ukraine's long-range capabilities, the situation is more complex Image
3/ One major challenge is the significant spacing between helicopters, making it difficult to effectively target them with a single missile. Given the limited availability of long-range weapons, using a missile that may or may not destroy some Mi-24s becomes hard to justify. Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 1
Introducing a great interview on Africa's geopolitics, featuring @SimTack an experienced military and intel analyst who covered regional conflicts for prominent firms like Stratfor. We discussed Mali, Wagner, and Niger coup, offering insights into Africa's complexity. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ Q: Recently, multiple events like a coup in Niger and ongoing turmoil in countries like Mali and Burkina Faso have captured global attention. To provide some context, could you please offer a concise overview of the current situation in the region? Image
3/ A: Through recent events, a trend is showing that local democratic traditions and international cooperation are being replaced by authoritarianism and crude uninformed efforts at securitization. Niger is just the last in a series of countries, following Mali and Burkina Faso,
Read 31 tweets
Jul 30
Russian forces have faced notable challenges, dealing with substantial losses, logistical hurdles, morale issues, and equipment deficiencies. To further analyze, I will examine several training grounds to assess whether they have reached critical levels. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ Due to security considerations, detailed information regarding enemy personnel and vehicle concentration across russia shouldn't be disclosed. Instead, I will provide general overview of two training grounds in Rostov and Volgograd oblast
3/ Kadamovskyi military training ground in Rostov Oblast, Russia, serves as one of the several training grounds for the 150th motor rifle division, which falls under the Southern Military District. A substantial number of units from this division are currently deployed in Ukraine Image
Read 13 tweets
Jul 29
🧵Today I would like to present manual that circulates among soldiers from occupied Donetsk and Luhansk. This manual focuses on on-field experience and covers most of the basics for a soldier's training. In this case, focus lies on the section dedicated to defense organization. Image
2/ The manual covers a wide array of topics, including minefields, communications, infantry firearms training, firearm customization, ambushes, assault tactics, open field and building assaults, and the organization of defense positions. Image
3/ General recommendations for platoon strongpoints:
Strongpoints depend on essential fire support from attached forces like mortar, ATGM, heavy machine gun, AGS teams, or artillery. These resources should not be positioned directly within the defensive strongpoint's territory. Image
Read 13 tweets

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