Thomas C. Theiner Profile picture
Aug 9 7 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The 111 known Ukrainian combat brigades are:

Army:
• 34x Mechanized
• 5x Tank
• 5x Motorized
• 4x Rifle
• 2x Jaeger
• 2x Mountain
• 2x Assault
• 1x Special Purpose
• 1x Presidential

Air Assault Forces:
• 4x Air Assault
• 3x Airmobile
• 1x Airborne
• 1x Jaeger
1/6 Image
Marine Corps:
• 4x Marine

Air Force:
• 1x Rifle

Territorial Defense:
• 31x Defense

National Guard:
• 7x Offensive Guard

National Police:
• 1x Offensive Guard

Border Guards:
• 1x Offensive Guard

General Staff:
• 1x Guards

And there might be more.
2/6 Image
As for support brigades and regiments:

• 3x Special Forces regiments
• 16x Artillery brigades
• 1x Rocket Artillery regiment
• 2x Engineer brigades
• 5x Engineer regiments
• 3x Pontoon Bridge regiments
• 7x Tactical Aviation brigades
• 4x Army Aviation brigades
3/6 Image
• 1x Naval Aviation brigade
• 5x Anti-Aircraft Missile brigades
• 12x Anti-Aircraft Missile regiments

And there are at least 143 independent light infantry, reconnaissance, special forces, volunteer, tank, territorial defense, and rifle battalions.
4/6
These combat and combat support forces number at least 600,000 troops. All the signals, radar, radio-technical, electronic warfare, drone, logistics, maintenance, transport, medical, PSYOPS, naval, rear area security, training, military police, staff, etc. units add at least
5/6
an additional 500,000 troops to the current strength of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Currently 32 combat brigades are in the rear training and waiting for the call to enter the fight in the next phases of the Ukrainian offensive. And (!) Ukraine keeps forming new brigades.
6/6
So, please don't listen to people saying Ukraine is running out of units. russia is running out of units; Ukraine isn't.
And thanks to increased Western and Ukrainian artillery ammo production Ukrainian artillery units now regularly outshoot the russian artillery.

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More from @noclador

Aug 7
This is how they lost the last war, this is how they are gonna lose everything...

Insisting that there never must be peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan, means that the war never ends and means that Azerbaijan is legally entitled to use force to disarm the Armenian military
1/5
formations inside Azerbaijan. No peace also means that Armenia refuses to accept the border with Azerbaijan... but that means that Azerbaijan can grab pieces of the border lands at will and Armenia has no chance to get international support, as Armenia refused to demarcate
2/5
the border.

Armenia's Prime Minister Pashinyan has understood this and is trying his best to sign a peace treaty with Azerbaijan, and also end the stupid cold war with Turkey. It's the only way to safeguard the future of Armenians in Karabakh and bring prosperity to Armenia.
3/5
Read 5 tweets
Aug 1
As there is a bit of a kerfuffle again in the South Caucasus... a quick explainer:

• russian "peacekeepers" and Karabakh Armenians used the Lachin road, which passes through Azerbaijan, to smuggle weapons and ammunition from Armenia to Karabakh.
• to stop this Azerbaijan
1/12 Image
built a border post on the Lachin road and insists on inspecting all trucks.
• the Karabakh Armenians insist that Azerbaijan has no right to inspect what is being transported through Azerbaijan into Azerbaijan.
• in Brussel Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to open the Aghdam
2/12 Image
road from Azerbaijan to Karabakh, and agreed that on this road there would be no inspections at all.
• but the Karabakh Armenians blocked that road and
• now the Karabakh Armenians insist that they are starving...

The problem is that Armenia wants peace, Azerbaijan wants
3/12 Image
Read 12 tweets
Jul 20
A new Pentagon budget realignment file dropped (thank you @osmnactej for finding it).

Again it has a lot of interesting info about what weapons have been sent to Ukraine... and what the Pentagon is ordering more than $2 billion from the US industry to replace it.
1/22 Image
• $105.5m Javelin Anti-tank guided missiles
• $3.35m M67 Hand grenades

It seems a lot of smoke grenades have been given to Ukraine (which are used by infantry as here in Iraq):
• $2.78m M18 Smoke grenades (Red)
• $0.59m M18 Smoke grenades (Yellow)
• $1.55m M8 Smoke Pots
2/n Image
• $38.4m M7A4 Bradley Fire Support Team (BFIST) artillery forward observer vehicles
• $15.6m 25mm ammo for the Bradleys' M242 chain gun
• $1.14m Bradley spares
• $0.2m Bradley Operator Tablets

3/n Image
Read 19 tweets
Jul 8
All the people arguing against cluster munitions are clueless.

Nothing annihilates enemy formations faster than US made DPICM cluster rounds. EVERY soldier and general wants their own artillery to fire lots of DPICM rounds onto enemy formations.

Using DPICM rounds
1/4
massively reduces casualties on the side WITH the DPICM rounds.

All the European countries that signed up to the cluster ammo treaty did so against the will of their officers and soldiers, AND ALL of these European countries made it clear that Article 21 4-d allows them to
2/4
request an ally (= the US) to fire cluster munitions on their behalf, IF these countries don't explicitly request the use of cluster munitions.

And worst of all: this treaty was cooked up because of the Soviet Union's and russia's indiscriminate use of cluster munitions
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jul 5
In FY 2024 the US Army will spend $1,057 million to preposition equipment for the following units in Europe:
• 2x Armored Brigades
• 2x Field Artillery Brigades
• air defense, engineer, movement control, sustainment, and medical battalions

Together with the units already
1/4
stationed in Europe:
• 2nd Cavalry Regiment
• 12th Combat Aviation Brigade
• 41st Field Artillery Brigade
• 52nd Air Defense Artillery Brigade
• 173rd Airborne Brigade

and rotated to Europe:
• 2x Armored Brigades
• 1x Infantry Brigade
• 1x Combat Aviation Brigade
2/4
this force will be the most powerful armor formation in Europe.
But it would even be better if at least one of the rotating armored brigades would be based permanently in Poland; and if the US Air Force Europe would grow from seven fighter squadrons to ten (at the end of the
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jul 4
In Germany @derspiegel, @welt, @ntvde and in Austria @derStandardat write that "the Ukrainian Offensive has failed"... ...

That is wild nonsense.

This nonsense happens, because all of them interviewed the same expert, who doesn't understand Ukraine's Offensive phases, of
1/25
which there are at least 5, and we're barely in the middle of Phase 1 - Attrition & Interdiction.

I wouldn't have to do this thread, if i.e. @derStandardat wouldn't confuse the Ukrainian Army's Assault brigades, with the National Guard's Offensive Guard brigades, but...
2/n
The reason people don't consider Ukraine's Phase 1 a success comes from people being used to US/NATO wars, in which Phase 1 is purely air power.

Phase 1 is meant to attrition enemy forces and interdict/disrupt their lines of communication. The West uses fighters and bombers,
3/n
Read 25 tweets

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