Matthew Cochrane Profile picture
Aug 13, 2023 20 tweets 9 min read Read on X
This is one of my favorite rags-to-riches stories:

Just months before the onset of the Great Depression, a 3rd -grade educated entrepreneur opened a general store in rural Kentucky.

Today, that single location has grown into a 19K-store retail empire. Image
Luther Turner opened his first store just before the Great Depression. Even though he had a 3rd grade education and could barely read, Luther's store was still successful, mostly by acknowledging he wasn't smart and could learn something from everyone. Image
As stores started closing during the Great Depression, Luther and his son, Cal Sr, knew they could buy merchandise from closing stores at dirt cheap prices.

The father-son team also learned another valuable lesson: In hard times, customers wanted value above all else. Image
The "aha!" moment came when the Turners were operating 30+ stores in KY and TN. Cal Sr was enamored w/ how $1 sales brought in crowds at big stores and decided to make everything $1. Pros included making the value obvious to customers and a simplified checkout experience. Image
The Turners started by experimenting with the "everything is $1" concept at one store, but the idea was obviously a huge success, and Dollar General was off to the races.

This is also when the stores were rebranded w/ the Dollar General name. Image
Turner's Department store in Springfield, KY, was converted into the first Dollar General with no item over $1. Soon, Dollar General Stores started sprouting up in southern Kentucky, like this store in Campbellsville, KY Image
The $1 price point changed customers' thinking and state of mind while they shopped. There's lots of reasons for $DG's early success, but the psychology that went into this seemingly simple concept surely drove a lot of it.

They'd be thinking, "Look what I can get for a dollar." Image
It didn't take long for $DG to add higher price points, but they tried to keep a simple system in place (e.g. 2 for $5) that made it easy for customers to track and made clear the value they were receiving. Image
When scouting out new locations for stores, they didn't worry about the location or building. They weren't even concerned about all the stores having the same look at first. Cheap was what they were after. Image
Amazing how when they first started they used as something as simple as these rough metrics to operate the entire retail chain. These simple methods would catch up to $DG as it grew, but the napkin math accounting worked for years. Image
This is still well before the company was public, but this level of eye-balling it and guess-timating important numbers makes my stomach churn. And again, this all caught up with $DG eventually, but the company was marvelously successful for years with these crude methods. Image
The company's entire culture emphasized keeping things simple. Yet behind the simplicity were straightforward principles for incentivizing managers (w/ a profit sharing program) and a streamlined code of ethics for store managers and employees. Image
When $DG went public in the late 60s, the added scrutiny came quick and furious. At early meetings w/ analysts, Cal Jr (3rd generation) didn't know the answers to some questions, so he would make them up!
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Still, some things never change, as even back then growth covered a multitude of sins. The incredible growth $DG would show lasted for decades!

In 1964, sales and income doubled.

Decades later, in 2000, its quarterly growth streak was only matched by $CSCO.
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For decades $DG operated out of Scottsville, KY, where the first store was opened in 1929.

Eventually $DG moved to "big city" of Nashville, but the Turners tried to keep their small town roots. Image
Throughout $DG's growth, it discovered it needed a mission statement and then, over decades, consistently found it needed to refine its mission.

This was a painful process, but DG realized it was needed in order to thrive.

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In 1979, Dollar General made its second big pivot: From selling higher-margin items that weren't repeat purchases, to lower-margin merchandise that needed to be bought repeatedly.

Despite the lower gross margins, sales exploded and $DG thrived.
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After a lot of trials and errors, advertising was found to be a superfluous expense that actually contributed to as many problems as it solved (e.g. if a store was out of an advertised product, customers would leave mad).
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Most of the notes in this thread are from Cal Turner Jr's book, My Father's Business.

A lot of it reminded me of Sam Walton's Made in America, as an aspiring entrepreneur experimented with sales tactics and merchandising, learning and succeeding as he went. Image
That's a wrap!

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More from @TheMattCochrane

Apr 20, 2024
When to sell is one of the most difficult questions investors have to face.

The best answer I've found comes from a chapter in a book that Warren Buffett called one of the best books on investing.

Here's when Philip Fisher tells investors to sell ... and when not to. Image
Fisher says there are 3 reasons for investors to sell a stock and 3 reasons not to sell.

If these reasons are to be believed, then often when we should SELL we HOLD and when we should HOLD we SELL.

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Reason #1 to Sell:

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In his book, Nothing But Net, he shares these 10 tech investment lessons he's learned after 25 years of making calls. Image
Lesson 1: There will be blood when you pick bad stocks

"There will be blood" is a simple way of saying that you will lose money when you invest in the market, especially when you buy bad companies.

As Mahaney puts it, "Investing requires grit."

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Oct 1, 2023
Mark Mahaney has covered Internet stocks on Wall Street since 1998.

He is in the top 1% of all professional analysts, w/ an avg annual return of 26.9%.

In his book, Nothing But Net, he shares these 10 tech investment lessons he's learned after 25 years of making calls. Image
I'm currently reading through Mahaney's book for the second time since getting it last year. I whole-heartedly recommend the book.

Most of these 10 lessons apply to investing in general, not just the tech sector.
Lesson 1: There will be blood when you pick bad stocks

"There will be blood" is a simple way of saying that you will lose money when you invest in the market, especially when you buy bad companies.

As Mahaney puts it, "Investing requires grit."

Stocks discussed: $APRN $GRPN Image
Read 14 tweets
Sep 24, 2023
As an investor, I want to buy and hold companies that will be around for a long time to come.

If you want proof that a company might have staying power, look to see how long it has already been around.

Let's discuss the Lindy Effect and examine why this is true.
The Lindy Effect is a theory that states the future life expectancy of certain things (e.g. ideas, technology, etc.) is proportional to its current age.

In other words, the longer something has been around the longer it will probably be around in the future.
The implication of the Lindy Effect is that longevity suggests a resistance to change, obsolescence, or being disrupted by competition.

Nassim Taleb helped popularize this concept in his book, Antifragile. Image
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Sep 17, 2023
When to sell is one of the most difficult questions investors have to face.

The best answer I've found comes from a chapter in a book that Warren Buffett called one of the best books on investing.

Here's when Philip Fisher tells investors to sell ... and when not to. Image
Fisher says there are 3 reasons for investors to sell a stock and 3 reasons not to sell.

If these reasons are to be believed, then often when we should SELL we HOLD and when we should HOLD we SELL.

Few things are more important for investors to get right!
Reason #1 to Sell:

Making a mistake on your original thesis.

This can mean getting the valuation wrong, overestimating growth opportunities, or thinking its moat is wider than it actually is. Image
Read 14 tweets
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Let's discuss one of the most underrated entrepreneurs in history.

He launched not 1, not 2, but 3 multi-billion dollar public companies.

Here's how he did it: Image
Being a South Florida native, I don't think Wayne Huizenga gets the credit he deserves.

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Most of these notes are from: Image
Wayne Huizenga started with one garbage truck in the early 1960s in Fort Lauderdale. Within 6 yrs, he grew his operation to >40 trucks and several major garbage removal contracts across South FL. Image
Read 18 tweets

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