.tern Profile picture
Aug 14 9 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Did you know that when the English government stopped publishing data on how many people died within sixty days of a covid test, the proportion of positive reported tests to 60 day deaths was 9:1?
That for every 9 people who tested positive on a test that was reported, one died within sixty days of the test?
Now you may be saying to yourself, oh, that's completely normal.
But 18 months ago, that proportion was 900:1.
Here it is in a graph: graph dropping rapidly
It's a little hard to think of it that way round, so here it is another way.
This is the data displayed as a percentage.
You can't tell exactly how many people have died within sixty days of their positive test, because the data isn't in that granular detail. graph rising rapidly
You can't link an individual test to an individual death with the publicly available data.
So this graph is just the people who die in one week, compared with the people who test positive that week. graph rising rapidly
For every nine positive reported tests, one of them dies.
Covid isn't over.
Omicron isn't over.

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More from @1goodtern

Aug 14
I was asked yesterday when I was going to stop wearing a mask, and I asked a couple of questions in reply.
I asked whether they had been reading the research that suggests that repeat infections cause more risk of long term health complications.
They said no they hadn't read that.
I asked if they knew anything about how many people in our city had covid at the moment.
They said no.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 3
🔥🔥The South Korean Government are behaving more like a real government should.
Here's a thread of their excellent six point Covid plan, run through google translate...
Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
The government will protect high-risk groups through six response principles and steadily implement preparations to transform COVID-19 into a class 4 infectious disease while stably managing the current quarantine situation.
During the Corona 19 Central Accident Handling Headquarters meeting (202.8.2)
Countermeasures against the increasing number of confirmed COVID-19 cases
We will ensure that daily quarantine rules, such as wearing indoor masks and washing hands, become established in daily life.
Read 12 tweets
Aug 3
Them: "Hardly anyone is dying from Covid now"

Me: "But we're not testing anyone for covid now"

Them: "That's because hardly anyone has Covid now"
Me: "But 20% of reported LFT tests are positive right now"

Them: "That's because testing is targeted"
Me: "For every seven people testing positive on PCR for covid a person dies! That's 14% CFR!"

Them: "That's because we've reduced testing"

Me: "But I thought you said hardly anyone is dying?"

Them: "Yes, that's right"
Read 8 tweets
Aug 2
I am sick of the reporting around child drownings at holiday parks.
It always initially blames the parents and shifts personal responsibility onto them.
Then the investigations and courts always determine that the responsibility was the park's.
🔥Always🔥
This is not me out of my lane, this is me in my lane.
I used to write corporate policy for an international chain of holiday parks to reduce the risk of accident, injury, and death.
Read 53 tweets
Aug 1
Currently the weekly ratio of positive PCR tests to deaths with Covid on the certificate in England is 7 to 1.

For every seven positive PCR tests, there is one death with Covid on the death certificate. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
18 months ago, that ratio was 800 to 1.
If you don't believe me, go and work it out yourself. The numbers are all there.
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/downlo…
Read 11 tweets
Jul 31
This is bad, and will get worse.
And worse.
And worse.

🔥Blood donation service in the UK refusing blood from long covid sufferers

🚨 But my gut tells me that f they're refusing it from people with long covid they should probably be refusing it from everyone who has had a covid… https://t.co/FzmZUmFaYFtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Give blood uk refusing donations from people with long covid
*my concern is that any valid medical reason for refusing the blood of a person with long covid symptoms may equally apply to anyone who has had a covid infection.
You can develop long covid symptoms six months after a covid infection.
Should you not give blood within six months of a covid infection?
Read 7 tweets

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