What Some Republicans Get Wrong on Ukraine
The list of things that fringe Republicans believe on Ukraine that are totally wrong. Some are so convinced of their opinion that they often refuse to listen to any facts at all./1
@threadreaderapp unroll
That NATO provoked the Russian invasion: the Kremlin line which makes ZERO sense. Putin gambled that NATO would not respond and counted on Germany and France to keep NATO out of the war. Just as they had blocked Ukraine getting into NATO. FACTS:/2 iir.cz/lies-provocati…
The Kremlin line often unfortunately taken up by people without any effort to check the fact: that the US staged a coup in Ukraine in 2014, There was no coup, only a vote by Parliament to remove the President and hold a new election./3 bitterwinter.org/myth-of-the-am…
"Money laundering"? Actually alleged misusing of the term, but more importantly without any foundation in fact. All aid is audited and verified by 3rd parties./4
"There has likely never been more accountability or transparency measures in place for US foreign assistance than what is available for Ukraine aid."/5 hudson.org/foreign-policy…
Multiple agencies do oversight. The GAO independently has reviewed matters. Congressional oversight committees have held hearings:/6
That Zelensky is a dictator and morally reprehensible. All based on Russian disinformation including fake photos, bogus Russian posts and misrepresenttions, which they do not check or recognize that they are being lied to by a real dictator./7
That Ukraine funding is crippling our economy and defense preparedness. 5% of DOD budget. $120 billion authorized by Congress over seven years, but these folks think it is trillions or a "blank check." Mostly spent in the US to replace & upgrade donated unused equipment./8
Uninformed people have been deliberately misled by trolls, politicians and scammers that the US is paying a disproportionate amount and Europe is neglecting its fair share. Lies./9
If the US stopped aid, the credibility of our deterring future aggression would be pretty much zero, after Afghanistan, US "cut and run" move would jeopardize NATO and risk Putin winning./10 carnegieeurope.eu/strategiceurop…
Skeptics think Ukraine aid has something to do with the Hunter Biden scandal earlier from 2015-2017. Zelensky was elected in 2019 w/ 73% of the vote, beating Poroshenko who had worked with Burisma. 50 nations provide aid: they are not blackmailed!/11
📷 kyivpost.com/ukraine-politi…
The "endless war" mantra is also wrongly applied to this war. Ukraine has performed extremely well & is destroying the Russia army in the first phase of a breakthrough that will be the beginning of the end of their occupation./12
Every criticism of Ukraine aid is a deliberate effort by the Kremlin to get the US to stop aid, which is a key factor in Russian badly losing the war. Other topics: Neo-Nazis, biolabs, etc. are dealt with in this threads:/13 mottsblog.blogspot.com/2023/03/blog-p…
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There are two Russian armies fighting in their invasion of Ukraine. There is the "second army" of the world with massive numbers of tanks and artillery pieces and soldiers that march with precision on Red Square and look like recruiting posters. This army is supported by a massive industrial base making "near peer" equipment at elevated rates.
Then there is another Russian army invading Ukraine. This one has lost 90% of its professional soldiers ("lifers" in US jargon). It is now filled with soldiers with 30 days or less training. Its officer corps depleted to a frction of the pre-war level. Never well-trained in manuever war or combined arms, this army uses clumsy tactics with little or no situational awareness. Vehicle drivers run over their own troops or into their own minefields. This army's generals order small unit attacks over and over again on the same avenues of approach that were dominated by the enemy the day before.
This second Russian army has blown through a massive amount of its first-line equipment. Older T62s from decades ago are seen in its formations and loss columns, because the first line T80/T72 modern versions are becoming scarce. This army's air defesne has proven far less capable than its published specifcations and has been pciked apart by droens and anti-radiation missiles. Self-propelled artillery seen in vast numbers on paper before the invasion are now repalced with ancvient D30 towed guins, vulnerable to counter-battery fire and drones.
The second army is the real one. The first army is the myth that Putin may still nourish, but - more importantly- the delusion that drives Western media to claim the war is a "stalemate" or that Russia can fight a long-war as it grows "stronger" deploying non-existent modern equipment and trained troops. The first zdrmy only appears in RedSquare films. The second one shows up in daily clips from the battlefield. THese clips seldom reported or published in Westgern popular media.
The same media - ignorant of the battlefield reality- dutifully reports the lines on the map and concludes there is a stalemate. It feeds a narrative that more "resistance is futile" (Russians are the Borg).
The scenario for the first army described is that Russia will never give up its occupied territories without a fight to the bitter end. The second army has lost effective control of Sevastapol and is losing its land bridge to Crimea due to long-range artillery fire and partisan warfare. In this real world scenario, Russia has lost much of its basic war objectives and is relying entirely on a political effort to break Western will to supply Ukraine.
The Russian losses, verified by third-parties, in the real world are staggering and accelrating. These have consumed the best Russian equipment and their best troops.
The comments below have links to multiple sources and information describing this "second Russian army" - the real one. It is clear that Russia's only hope is to break Western will, which cannot be allowed to happen. Ukraine does not need a piece of paper that crates "peace" (they alreayd got one of those in Budapest). Ukraine just needs ammo, as Presdient Zellensky famously said. #RussiaLosingBadly
#UkraineMustWin
Why are Republicans holding out for border securty before agreeing to fund Ukraine? This post will not try to justify that position, but will explain it. 1. GOP members of Congress have voted by wide margins for Ukraine aid in all "stand alone" votes. thehill.com/policy/defense…
2. Republican chairmen and ranking members of the key committees have urged faster and more effective aid as well as a clear policy goal of Ukraine winning. foxnews.com/politics/inter…
3. On the other hand, even with majorities in the past, they have not done enough to secure the border. Since President Biden entered the White House approximately 9.5 million migrants have illegally entered the United States.
Russian in Losing Badly Part 3
This is an update on all of the evience that Russian is losing badly right now.
Frantic efforts to try to get a ceasefire. The Russians are pushing for it, not Ukraine. /1 x.com/EmekaGift100/s…
Major advances pose breakthrough opportunity in the south. Russia loses operational effectiveness of Sevastapol. Russian artillery takes a poounding and is keeps getting worse./2 x.com/Tendar/status/…
NATO equipment crushes Russians. Bradleys. Go to minute 1:30/3
The DESCENT of Heritage Foundation To Become Russian Propaganda
Founded in the Reagan era, Heritage Foundation has been a major voice for his foreign policy and defense principles. This continued in the Ukraine war, until it changed dramatically./1
“Timidity, fear, & hesitancy incentivize aggression and worsen the consequences of war……half measures and tepid, delayed assistance lengthen the duration of conflict, increase the amount of destruction, add to suffering, & make war harder to end.” HF website, March 15, 2023./2
Heritage Foundation, website, February 14, 2023:/3
How the Heritage Foundation became a pro-Russian force.
You may have seen their TV ad that supports cutting off US aid to Ukraine, a major objective of Putin and the only possible way Russia can even get a "draw" out of the war. So let's start with how phony the ad is./1
The aid starts the full 7 yr authorization figure for Ukraine to create a big number that is makes absurd comparisons to Hawaii initital FEMA aid. The annual number is small & declining each yr. It is mostly spent in US, creating jobs to replace & update the donated eqpt./2
Heritage shifted to a claim that the aid is not accounted for. A blatant lie which plays on low information voters' fears and bias. Totally crap and Heritage must know it!/3
Colonel Douglas MacGregor: spreading lies on social media for people too lazy or biased to check.
He appears everywhere especially since his Tucker Carlson appearance. Everyone should know some facts before they get too excited about what he says./1
@DouglasMacGregor
His casualty numbers come straight from the Kremlin. They have been debunked by all NATO intelligence services. If his numbers were accurate, Ukrainians would not be so dedicated to continue fighting./2
Here is the major effort by third-parties to verify losses on both sides ion the war. It is quite different that MacGregor's Kremlin nonsense./3 lookerstudio.google.com/reporting/dfbc…