4) Today most polls have Trump up between 30 and 45 points over DeSoros.
5) Worse for him, he has plunged faster than White Lizzo into a Chinese buffet since March, when he was at 30%. Now, multiple polls have him under 10%.
6) I've watched politics for 40 years. This is one of the fastest, if not THE fastest, collapse I've ever seen rivaling Howard "Yeaaaaggghh" Dean, Steve (Cardboard) Forbes, and Phil (All-money-no-voters) Gramm.
7) Moreover, the polling started to show President Trump BEATING Rutabaga pretty consistently about three months ago. Most have the two tied or Trump slightly up.
8) So obviously right there Trump can win.
9) "But," you counter, "What about fraud?" I agree it's an issue now.
Let's reverse your question: "What has DeSoros and/or the national GOP under McRomBush done about fraud?"
10) So if Trump loses to Fraud, DeSoros loses worse.
11) But the polling began to show something else that the DeSorosoids still haven't grasped:
Trump was doing MUCH better with groups he lost in 2020, esp Millennials, working class of ALL races, and married women.
12) In fact, the very best group Trump was winning---by 20 points more than Rutabaga---was UNregistered voters.
"Why is that important? They can't vote."
YET.
13) This is a massive, gettable group that is just waiting to be mobilized.
14) Recent voter registration changes in AZ and PA suggest some of these people are being registered.
15) Next the DeSorosoids went to "Trump didn't do enough. His policies were right, but he didn't follow through.
That's a tough position to hold. Trump was faithful to MORE of his campaign promises than Ronald Reagan, Richard Nixon, or either Bush.
16) He almost singlehandedly built 500 mi. of Wall, pulled us out of TPP and Paris, stacked the courts with 120 good judges including saving the USSC, and until the China Virus gave us the best economy since 1983. I could list many more.
17) When that didn't work, they retreated to the vax. Well, I got news for you. Whatever your position on the vax is (I didn't take it), Trump not only did NOT mandate the vax, but he urged HCQ and ivermecting against a horrendous Hoax News media campaign against him.
18) Moreover, just cuz you or I don't like the vax, the simple fact is that 82% of Americans took at least one, and, according to CDC figures, ,more than 50% took a booster.
That is NOT a winning issue. Trump recently has dropped it. DeSoros scored no points there.
19) Next was the ridiculous attempt to attack the weaponization of government (true) w/o mentioning the ONE PERSON against whom it is weaponized, Trump.
That's like criticizing crucifixion without mentioning Jesus (and don't be spooge heads & think I compare Trump to JC.)
20) That fell flat, especially when DeSoros used phrases like "hold those accountable" rather than the phrases we need to hear, "raze the FBI, CIA and DoJ to the ground. If necessary, rebuild with tiny replicas."
21) In other words, it was clear DeSoros's idea of stopping the "weaponization" was to slap some directors or asst directors on the hands.
22) When these failed, the DeSoros camp fired all their A-team influencers and brought in the B-team, who immediately called Trump fat.
23) They claimed he had "health problems' and no stamina (for a guy that still can do three rallies a day of 15,000 each). That looked petty and was factually wrong.
24) Now, over the weekend, they went Full Cankles.
Ya never go Full Cankles.
25) They pulled the old "deplorables" line by calling Trump supporters "listless vessels."
26) Have they ever looked at a tape of a Trump event? Those people are anything but "listless."
27) I expect Vivek Ramaswamy to win the debate, White Lizzo to look like a neocon cheddar toilet, and DeSoros to be forced to either defend Trump aggressively or to utter another Cankles-like comment, without the cackle. He'll be at 7% within 2 weeks.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
2) In 2015-16, Trump jumped out to an EARLY (April/May) lead, which continued to grow.
3) Only one time, a week in Oct. 2015, did ANY candidate come close (Carson).
4) His better funded rivals, Yeb & Cruz, were crushed.
5) Cruz actually won IA and a few delegates, but anyone with the calculating skills of an orangutan could calculate that Trump would win enough delegates but also roughly WHEN.
6) In How Trump Won I recount how I figured out in early Feb. which primary would give Trump the
7) The key is a leader who never vacillates in the polls vs. someone who has wild swings (Carson in 16). In the latter case, yeah, it's possible someone could jump ahead. But the pol who is rock solid in support like Trump is NOT going to lose supporters, esp not now.
1) Peter Zeihan @PeterZeihan has a new book "The End of the world is Just the Beginning." As with most of his works, he has excellent review & analysis of geographical realities & countries' strengths and weaknesses.
Where he gets in trouble is when he goes too far with prophecy
@PeterZeihan 2) He begins with the obvious: the old international structure under the Bretton Woods system is unraveling. There will be winners and losers.
3) Other obvious points: regardless of who is in the Oval Office, including the Usurper, the pudding-brained fartcomet, Rutabaga. . .
@PeterZeihan 2) contd . . . America has some massive, almost insurmountable inherent strengths.
3) We have more navigable waterways than the next three countries combined. If you include our island dotted coasts as "internal water ways, we probably have more than the next five countries.
1) Now, given this recent stat that Trump has gained THIRTY POINTS among non-white working class,
I spoke yesterday to our Hispanic landscaper. I did not check his citizenship status.
He's worked for me for years. Incredibly reliable.
2) When he finished the days work, I said, "Could I ask you a personal question?" He said "OK." I said, "What do you think of President Trump." At first he was hesitant, then he said, "He's very good for business. Biden?" He shook his head emphatically.
3) I asked, "Would you and your family vote for him next time?"
Him: "Oh yes!" emphatically.
4) Then he grew puzzled, like he messed up:
"What do you think of Trump?"
Please take this in the lighthearted manner it is intended. Not condemnatory. Just, er, "reminding" like a prophet of old . . .
1) We all do it. "Oh, God is in control. God has a plan. God has this."
2) Trump is indicted.
3) "Dammit! Why isn't God handling this?"
4) I believe--he who has ears, let him hear---God planted and formed this country. We re the ONLY nation in the history of the world bigger than a city that had as its foundation a mostly Christian/Protestant religion & common law.
5) To paraphrase Jefferson Starship, "He built this City on a HIll on Himself."
6) There are at least 50m believing, practicing, faithful Christians in the US today. The number could be MUCH more.
He isn't giving up on all of us.
1) I am reading a fascinating book, about 8 years old---just getting to it---by Charles Calormiris and Stephen Haber. No, probably not night time reading unless you're into banking as I am.
2) It's called "Fragile by Design."
3) First, they make an easily proven observation. Bank crises are not random. Some nations have more--some FAR more--than others.
4) Argentina & Congo are at the bottom but the U.S. is on the "crisis-prone" list.
5) Out of 117 countries, only 34 were crisis free from 1970-2010.
6) Every country in the world had some form of national bank. So it's not that.
7) Our northern neighbor Canada has had virtually no crises. Private lending there averaged 95% of GDP. Mexico? Private lending there was only 19% GDP, meaning . . .