Crémieux Profile picture
Aug 23, 2023 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
One of the best pieces every published in The Atlantic is this 97-year-old piece by "A Woman Resident in Russia".

In it, she described the chaos that resulted when Communists destroyed the institution of marriage.

Let's read about what happened when Soviets ruined marriage🧵
"To clear the family out of the accumulated dust of the ages we had to give it a good shakeup, and we did."

Russia boasted it had no illegitimate children. True. They eliminated the "illegitimate" category. Image
"Men took to changing wives" and 300,000 abandoned children resulted. Image
"It was not... unusual... for a boy of twenty to have had three or four wives, or for a girl of the same age to have had three or four abortions." Image
"I recall another victim of the breakdown of families ties.... She was divorced by her husband after their first child was born. He then married another woman, had a child by her, deserted both, and returned to his first wife, by whom he had a second child." Image
Not all women suffered from the breakdown. Some exploited it.

"Women of light behavior" would blackmail men into paying alimony. Image
Some men found ways to profit from this as well.

They would trick a woman into marriage, use her as an employee on the farm, and then divorce her when the season was through. Image
It wasn't just rural areas that buckled under the effects of marriage dissolution.

One group of students became indignant at accusations of licentiousness and declared that having sex was the only real amusement left, so they deserved free abortions. Image
Some chapters of the League of Communist Youth decried people who wouldn't do hook-ups and even organized circles to encourage free loving. Image
The Communists were ideologically committed to the idea that the state should rear the children.

This proved too expensive, so this "annoying test of Communist theories" could be given a failing grade. Image
The debates over a new, free-love abiding law took place in the Tsar's throneroom, with its gilded walls and vaulted ceilings, and the throne, replaced with a simple wooden platform. Image
The opposition to the law suggested it would abolish marriage, destroy the family, legalize polygamy, and ruin the peasantry.

Trotsky and Soltz offered contradictory explanations for their positions. Image
Smidovich and Kollontai provided their own opinions as well.

Kollontai wanted a social insurance scheme, like a sovereign fund for abandoned kids. Incidentally, she was the ambassador to Norway. Image
"If opinion on the proposed law is divided in the cities, the feeling in the villages, where eighty per cent of the Russians live, is overwhelmingly against it."

Here's what one peasant spokesman had to say: Image
"The... circulation of revolutionary ideas on the desirability of abolishing the family has not... eliminated old-fashioned passions of love and jealousy."

"Even Communist women have been known to commit suicide because their husbands' attentions were diverted elsewhere." Image
The Soviets eventually did crack down. Free love could not last, and this brief experiment in it led them to abandon attempts to bring it about.

The Communists simply couldn't uproot human nature.

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Jun 4
This 91 vs 103 thing is either ignorance or chicanery.

The issue has been explained to him multiple times, but TL;DR:

(1) The standardized difference is still the same 1 SD its always been, (2) IQ does not have a ratio scale, (3) the population hasn't gotten smarter. Image
If you want to understand this error, I have material aplenty for you.

First, on the issue of rescaling differences, here's a post:
Second, on the issue of the scale of the gap, as of 2023, it had not shrunken from where it stood in World War I: cremieux.xyz/p/the-state-of…
Read 8 tweets
Jun 4
The Wall Street Journal just published the FDA's Opinion piece-length rationale for banning talc.

I was happy to see they were citing studies, but after I read the studies, I was dismayed:

The FDA fell victim to bad science, and they might ban talcum powder because of it!

🧵 Image
The evidence cited in the article is

- A 2019 meta-analysis
- A review by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)
- A 2019 cohort study from Taiwan

Let's go through each of these and see if the FDA's evidence holds water. Image
The first piece of evidence they cite is a meta-analysis, and it's a doozy.

The study includes 27 estimates of the observational association between talc use and ovarian cancer rates.

Three estimates come from cohort studies. Those are fine. The problem is the 24 other studies.
Read 42 tweets
Jun 3
Let's make this even clearer.

The severity of COVID vaccine-related myocarditis was far lower than the severity of COVID-related myocarditis, which instead looked like regular viral myocarditis.

You can see this in many cohorts. For example, this was seen in France: Image
This result replicates everywhere it's tested.

We knew this from the initial small studies... Image
Image
And we knew this based on somewhat larger Scandinavian register-based work as well

Do note, however, that the Scandinavian work had a poor case definition for infection-driven myocarditis compared to other cohorts. As the long-term study linked in the QT shows, they missed most Image
Read 22 tweets
Jun 2
A friend of mine won a bet about myocarditis and the COVID vaccines a few years ago.

He bet that the myocarditis side effect was real and sizable for young men.

While COVID was more likely to cause myocarditis in general, among the young, the Moderna vaccine was a bit worse. Image
This still wasn't really something to worry about.

Look at the rates. They're incredibly small, at just about 15 per 1,000,000 under 40 years of age for the second dose of the Moderna vaccine and 3 per 1,000,000 for the Pfizer one.

Compare to whole-population COVID-myocarditis.
The vaccines were safe and effective, but this side effect was not all hype, as some health authorities jumped to claim.

Oh well, lessons learned. Hopefully.

Worth noting, though, that the vaccines still saved more lives than were harmed. ~15-20m lives by late 2022, in fact. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 2
With so many people identifying themselves as having disorders that they're not diagnosed with, the U.K. will certainly have a glut of diagnoses in the near future.

People think it, and then make it so, and if the state honors those diagnoses, they'll end up paying out the nose. Image
Similarly, in Minnesota, the state recognizes clearly fraudulent autism diagnoses.

Who's doing them? Normal parents, but also certain communities.

For example, Somali immigrants have figured out how to get more welfare funds by getting their kids fake diagnoses. Image
As a result, fraud cases have opened up and the FBI has begun to investigate the Somali communities where autism funds are getting disproportionately directed.

In 2009, Minnesota Somalis had an autism rate about 7x the non-Somali average. Today, it's still high, at just over 3x.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 2
Obesity has immense costs, and not just direct, medical ones.

Obesity makes people miss work and increases the odds they're on disability. It also increases presenteeism and workers' compensation costs.

The total cost is in the hundred of billions to over a trillion per year. Image
The costs of overweight and obesity are so extreme that making reducing the obesity rate can pay for itself if it can be done at prices achievable today.

And this number doesn't even consider all the costs. There are high costs from cardiovascular issues and cancer, too. Image
The most extreme estimate I'm aware of put the cost of obesity in 2016 at $1.7 trillion per year, due to $1.2 trillion in indirect costs.

But this study calculated costs based on all treated comorbidities associated with obesity/overweight, so might've been skewed.Image
Read 5 tweets

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