I am not surprised by what happened yesterday. Immediately after the failure of the Wagner PMC's mutiny, I wrote that Prigozhin was a dead man walking.
Elimination of political opponents is what Putin has always done.
Why was the option of execution on board the plane chosen, rather than poisoning or bullets for Prigozhin, Utkin, and other mercenaries?
The arguments in favor of elimination in the air are simple and clear. Novichok agents, after the failure of Navalny's poisoning, proved to be an unreliable means. Prigozhin has always been surrounded by dozens of loyal and experienced bodyguards.
They wanted to eliminate not only Prigozhin but also his closest associates. To decapitate and completely defeat the entire Wagner PMC in one blow.
The airplane became a convenient and symbolic place for a group execution. From there, it was a mere formality.
There are three possibilities for what happened:
1️⃣ Planting an explosive device.
2️⃣ Creating a fatal technical malfunction.
3️⃣ Shooting down with an air defense system.
According to Russian Telegram channels, Prigozhin's plane had recently undergone maintenance and was therefore accessible to Putin's special services. There were no difficulties in planting and disguising an explosive device on board. There were no problems to create technical difficulties in the operation of important plane control systems, which, ground-controlled, could be launched at the agreed time.
▪️ I consider the possibility that Prigozhin's plane was shot down by an air defense system to be the most unlikely because in that case, it would be too difficult to deny Putin's involvement. No one would believe that the plane of Putin's biggest enemy was shot down by accident by Russian air defense that can't even stop drones on their way to Moscow.
But a bomb detonation or a deliberate technical malfunction opens up wide opportunities for Russian propaganda to lie that the bomb was planted on the plane by Western or Ukrainian special services.
▪️ In any case, it is obvious that the "Prigozhin era" that began just over a year ago is over. Putin's regime has transformed into a totalitarian dictatorship, ready to destroy anyone in its way.
In this regard, I think the terrorist Girkin-Strelkov may also die "unexpectedly".
This is also a signal to all those in Russia who have ambitions and have their own private armies to think about. Kadyrov, for example, as well as other "elites" who are planning their game.
Elimination of political opponents is what Putin has always done.
Why was the option of execution on board the plane chosen, rather than poisoning or bullets for Prigozhin, Utkin, and other mercenaries?
The arguments in favor of elimination in the air are simple and clear. Novichok agents, after the failure of Navalny's poisoning, proved to be an unreliable means. Prigozhin has always been surrounded by dozens of loyal and experienced bodyguards.
They wanted to eliminate not only Prigozhin but also his closest associates. To decapitate and completely defeat the entire Wagner PMC in one blow.
The airplane became a convenient and symbolic place for a group execution. From there, it was a mere formality.
There are three possibilities for what happened:
1️⃣ Planting an explosive device.
2️⃣ Creating a fatal technical malfunction.
3️⃣ Shooting down with an air defense system.
According to Russian Telegram channels, Prigozhin's plane had recently undergone maintenance and was therefore accessible to Putin's special services. There were no difficulties in planting and disguising an explosive device on board. There were no problems to create technical difficulties in the operation of important plane control systems, which, ground-controlled, could be launched at the agreed time.
▪️ I consider the possibility that Prigozhin's plane was shot down by an air defense system to be the most unlikely because in that case, it would be too difficult to deny Putin's involvement. No one would believe that the plane of Putin's biggest enemy was shot down by accident by Russian air defense that can't even stop drones on their way to Moscow.
But a bomb detonation or a deliberate technical malfunction opens up wide opportunities for Russian propaganda to lie that the bomb was planted on the plane by Western or Ukrainian special services.
▪️ In any case, it is obvious that the "Prigozhin era" that began just over a year ago is over. Putin's regime has transformed into a totalitarian dictatorship, ready to destroy anyone in its way.
In this regard, I think the terrorist Girkin-Strelkov may also die "unexpectedly".
This is also a signal to all those in Russia who have ambitions and have their own private armies to think about. Kadyrov, for example, as well as other "elites" who are planning their game.
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