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🧵Sometimes it’s worth restating the obvious, so that the “pivot to Asia/China first” crowd hopefully finally gets the message. So here it is: #Russia is allied with #China against the U.S. Hence, #Ukraine’s victory is a defeat for Moscow, but also a defeat for Beijing. 1/7
So those who are calling for cutting off aid to #Ukraine are demonstrating strategic myopia of the first order. The Ukrainians are not only sequencing the two-frontier threats we face. They are buying the West time to rearm. They are grinding down the #Russian land forces. 2/7
As we enter the primaries in the US, partisanship is beginning to supplant sound judgment, without nary a thought given to the loss of US credibility in Asia should we abandon #Ukraine, and the impact #Russia’s victory would have on our alliances in Europe and globally. 3/7
Protecting America’s security is not a kiddie soccer game where you run from one end of the field to the other at will. The US is a quintessentially naval power and to ensure its security and prosperity we need to be forward deployed in both the Atlantic and the Pacific. 4/7
This geopolitical reality is as simple and straightforward as it gets, unless one believes that the US is in terminal decline—and judging by all key indices of power we are not. Does the US need to rebuild its manufacturing base and its defense industry? Yes, absolutely. 5/7
But the reason our Joint Force is too small for two major theaters is not a resource issue—it is so because of policy decisions by a number of administrations over the past three decades. There is no free lunch: We must refocus on rebuilding real exercised mil. capabilities. 6/7
What the “pivot to Asia” school should address is rebuilding our defense industrial base, building up stocks of weapons and munitions. Cutting aid to #Ukraine will not solve this problem, but it will be seen in Moscow and Beijing as America’s defeat. We can’t allow that. 7/End
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