(Part 1)
Let's talk about what Happened during the first days of the #counteroffensive in the #Verbove and #Robotyne Area in detail
Its split into 2 threads because I can't put over 25 tweets in a thread, this is Part 1
[Thread] 1/
There were a lot of convoys that pushed from 5 different brigades
3 Convoys from the 47th mechanized brigade
2 of the 33rd
1 46th
1 from an Unknown unit
and 1 smaller 1 of the 118th 2/
Before it started Artillery and FPV Drones started striking Trucks and shelling Russian positions
you would of expected more from artillery during this crucial moment which is 1 of the reasons the first attacks failed 3/
From here We'll touch on every convoy one by one
from west to east
5/
The most Western Convoy:
the first loss of this convoy happened before it even started moving
a Russian drone spotted 2 leo2a6s sitting just south of #Novodanylivka and an FPV drone hit 1 of them
the tank most likely got evacuated safely
Immediately after the convoy got out of #Novodanylivka it got hit with artillery 1 bradley was damaged and a recovery attempt was made but its result is unclear
the convoy consisted of
2 Leo2a6s
2 Leo2Rs
half a cmp of bradleys (8) 7/
As they entered the minefield they lost even more vehicles
half of the mechanized force was gone but a path through the minefield was made and the convoy moved in and dismounted the infantry 8/
Russian Artillery was hitting this convoy hard and when the demining vehicles were disabled the leo2a6s moved back to cover the withdrawal of the bradleys but that didn't happen and all vehicles got disabled or destroyed 9/
after that Russian Artillery started hitting the treeline to dislodge the infantry the result is unclear
10/
Ukrainian vehicles were sent back in to try to recover 1 of the Leo2Rs and Create another path around them the attempt led to 1 more Leo2r that got destroyed 1 bergepanzer getting disabled and 1 MaxxPro with Sappers getting taken out but 1 bradley got recovered 11/
Second 47th convoy
1 reinforced mech Cmp with 2 Leo2a6s and Soviet advancing this is where the Russians put their biggest focus on because of its scale
this is the only convoy where aviation was used against 12/
when the convoy reached the Highway 1 of its Platoons with 1 demining vehicle split of and went to push from the western part of the field
where it got bogged down 13/
WARNING. GRAPHIC FOOTAGE:
what happened with the big convoy is a bit more complicated it took me around 6 hours to figure it out and I'm still not 100% sure but my theory is the following: 14/
5 M2A2 Bradleys and 1 demining vehicle managed to pass and move to their obj but
1 leo2a6 and 4 bradleys got stuck because of the Ka-52s after that
a bmr-2 tried to make a path around them so the rest of the convoy could pass but ended up getting stuck with them 15/
The tanks that got stranded north created a new path through the minefield with their mine clearing vehicle and retreated leaving the Bradley Pile behind 16/ again this is very confusing but it looks the most possible to me
the most eastern convoy of the 47th mechanized looks like it might have arrived at a later date from the others but I cannot confirm 17/
this column looks like it was a reinforced mech cmp with 1 Plt of leo2a6s and 2 demining vehicles also it looks like it was 4 smaller columns instead of 1 big one 18/
the column managed to create a path way through the minefield and push up to the treeline successfully but when they tried to push beyond the minefield a plt was lost from FPV strikes realizing further pushes would be costly they decided to call it a day and withdrew the armor
19
Half of the force was hit some of the vehicles might have made it out but not confirmation 20/
Now we move on to the 33rd/46ths's convoys here it gets really complicated because this area was the most unorganized of them all a lot of smaller convoys merged into bigger convoys with equipment from different brigades
I'm gonna do my best to explain it 21/
these are the convoys that moved in
1 from the 46th with:
1 VAB
1 MaxxPro
1 Husky TSV
2 M-ATVs
1 T80BV
1 T80BV with mine roller
1 convoy from the 33rd:
4 Leopard 2A4s
3 M113s 22/
Another convoy from the 33rd:
1 Leopard 2A4
6 M113s
and 1 small truck convoy with:
3 6x6 trucks(1 got destroyed in route)
1 4x4 truck
merged with the eastern 33rd convoy
ok this is how it looks after they mixed up clearing the first Russian positions
1 Leopard 2a4 got hit with an FPV in route but kept going 23/
the first assault was conducted by the eastern 33rd convoy all vehicles that launched the assault got destroyed except 1 Leopard 2A4 that got out before the artillery caught up
it got confused and moved down the highway and it later got destroyed by artillery 24/
25/ the remaining 2 leo2a4s decided to withdraw since 1 was already damaged by an FPV Strike
The Ukrainian Logistical and Engineering assets, their limitations and capabilities in Kursk
Logistical Analysis
Thread🧵
Logistics are a major factor in all operations and always have an effect in the outcome of an operation.
Certain units have been independently confirmed to be deployed but there are other units that work in the rear that wouldn't get many MIAs but still would most definitely be deployed in support of the Operation.
Why the Russian defense in Kursk Failed.
A talk about Conscripts, Defensive Works, readiness, minefields and more.
Thread🧵
On august 6th two Ukrainian Battalions crossed the border with practically no resistance, where was the Russian defense and what was it doing.
The FSB's Department of the Border Protection office "Suzhda" was in charge of protecting the border in that sector and on paper they had a very good defensive network to work with.
There won't be daily threads anymore, people who are following the situation can get what I provide pretty easily now that most of the chaos is gone but I do have some comments about the last couple days.
Quick Thread🧵
Over the last couple days reinforcements have moved into the Suzhda sector, most units of which have not been identified.
We only know that the subgroup of the 80th air assault is bigger including elements from the 82nd, 80th, 95th and 46th brigades.
The 82nd Brigade itself has been very quite and we believe the 24th Aidar Battalion has taken over most its operations.
Still other units have been spotted with Varta MRAPs, T72AVs, Otokar Cobras, M113s etc
We currently have no idea what they could be.
The 7th day(August 12th) of the Operation
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
Addressing some ORBAT changes first, we believe the 82nd has not been involved in fighting since Day 5
Instead the 24th Aidar Battalion is believed to have conducted the operation towards Korenevo but for now we'll leave it on the map until further information comes out.
As it's customary we need to start from Martynovka which was secured by the Ukrainians the previous day.
On day 7 the Russian 810th Marine brigade was completely dislodged from the area including the village of Mykhailovka essentially ending the battle for Martynovka.
The 6th Day of the Kursk Incursion according to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
As Russian reserves are arriving advancing becomes significantly harder, The fighting around Martynovka has been the hardest over the last few days with the village having changed hands multiple times.
So to start with Martynovka I have to address the ORBAT mistake I made yesterday the Marines that assaulted Martynovka are not from the 155th Brigade but from the 810th, more specifically one battalion of them has been deployed in Kursk
The 5th day of the Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
August 10th or Day 5 of the operation was a relatively quite day where both sides managed to achieve some tactical gains
Overnight a Ukrainian element of the 80th Air assault brigade conducted a raid towards Anastasevka through the countryside, after being struck the group apparently retreated.