Lovely Lad Profile picture
Abusing Open Source
May 17 24 tweets 5 min read

I want to talk about this video from @MilHiVisualized and address certain things using some Velika novosilka engagements.
Thread🧵
Image First, I want to talk about ISR and staging areas.
After the Counter offensive units finished their training in late may, they got deployed into their rear staging areas around Pokrovske specifically chosen because they had Large Towns and forested areas.
1/2 Image
Mar 16 7 tweets 3 min read
My quick comment on the decision to send AASM Guided bombs to Ukraine
Thread🧵

Image the French AASMs will be a direct contributor to the Russian FAB250 with a Conversion kit for guidance.
This cheap conversion has allowed the Russians to fire 10s if not 100s of Bombs a day from 70kms away Image
Feb 10 10 tweets 3 min read
Why Ukraine should withdraw from #Avdiivka, before it gets bad.
explaining the logistics of such a situation
Thread🧵 Image Assuming we have a reinforced brigade inside this town, it would need Small Arms/Mortar ammunition Rations, Petroleum, oil, Lubricants, Water potentially medical equipment of Spare Parts, Engineers would need resources and tools in order to do their jobs etc. Image
Jan 26 11 tweets 5 min read
a little look at the Avdiivka situation just a quick thread
Thread🧵 Image during the last month the Russian after realizing their operations on the flanks had failed, started relocating and reinforcing forces towards more direct avenues to the town although this doesn't that they were interested in being stuck in heavy urban combat for months Image
Jan 18 17 tweets 5 min read
can Ukraine launch another offensive this year if yes how where and could it have Strategic Significance
Thread🧵 Image after the failure of the Ukrainian offensive in 2023 we haven't heard anything about a 2024 offensive this could either be because there is nothing planned or simply to not set any expectations to western allies and to keep it secret from the enemy Image
Dec 31, 2023 25 tweets 8 min read
Understanding the western Logistical Structure and how they influence the battlefield
Thread
Part 1 Image Logistics are probably one of the most important factors in War it can be the difference between a 2 week operation and a 3 year struggle, a Commander's understanding of his own logistical capabilities is vital in an operation of any scale Image
Oct 31, 2023 20 tweets 6 min read
why Ukraine was not able to achieve a breakthrough in their #Counteroffensive in the #Robotyne #Verbove direction the strategic implications of it and what you should expect next in this sector
[Thread]🧵 Image First of all I want to talk about the Russian defense consisting of Entrenched tree line positions the fields leading up to them being covered with minefields being covered by ATGM and AGS teams for anti Infantry and Anti armor capabilities
and with the occasional Tunnels Image
Oct 28, 2023 22 tweets 8 min read
Now with the Infiltrations around #Pidstepne, #Poima and #Krinky it looks more and more likely that Ukraine will launch an offensive in the #Kherson Region across the #Dnipro river
Detailed Analysis Thread🧵 Image First of all I think we should talk about the Dnieper grouping and what it consists of as it is a lot worse quality than it looks like in my map you will see a lot of motorized icons
1/2 Image
Aug 25, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read
(Part 2)
Let's talk about what Happened during the first days of the #counteroffensive in the #Verbove and #Robotyne Area in detail
Its split into 2 threads because I can't put over 25 tweets in a thread, this is Part 2
[Thread] 1/

Image After the failed assault on the eastern side the remaining vehicle relocated to the western side of the treeline
the 46ths convoy hadn't formed up yet
and the 33RD m113s went in alone and got entirely destroyed by artillery
2/
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Aug 25, 2023 26 tweets 12 min read
(Part 1)
Let's talk about what Happened during the first days of the #counteroffensive in the #Verbove and #Robotyne Area in detail
Its split into 2 threads because I can't put over 25 tweets in a thread, this is Part 1
[Thread] 1/ Image There were a lot of convoys that pushed from 5 different brigades
3 Convoys from the 47th mechanized brigade
2 of the 33rd
1 46th
1 from an Unknown unit
and 1 smaller 1 of the 118th
2/ Image
Aug 23, 2023 14 tweets 7 min read
Current situation in #Robotyne
I'm waiting for the village to be re-captured to talk about how the liberation of the settlement happened in detail today I'll be talking about what happened on the eastern Flank during the month of August Image At the start of August the eastern flank was still recovering from the attacks that happened on late July
Ukraine did not manage to secure any ground but the Russians did not re-enter their lost positions creating a big grey zone
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