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Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Aug 26 • 9 tweets • 3 min read Twitter logo

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🧵There are a few major points that never get mentioned in the Spiegel article, which add significant question marks to the Andromeda story.

- The owner of Feeria Lwowa
- Weather conditions
- Minerva Julie

spiegel.de/international/…

The article mentions that the company that paid for the Andromeda charter, Feeria Lwowa, is run by a Ukrainian woman in Kyiv.

There is however no mention of the owner of the company "Diana B."

n-tv.de/politik/Nord-S…

Diana B. was born in Uzbekistan, moved to Kerch in 2001, and has Russian citizenship. She still lives in Kerch and moves around freely inside Russia, posting images of herself on social media.

She has also worked for the Pro-Russian authorities in Crimea.

The timeline put together in the Spiegel article is missing a few key points:

06/09/2022: Rostock
07/09/2022: Wiek
16-18/09/2022: Christiansø
19/09/2022: Kołobrzeg
22/09/2022: Wiek
23/09/2022: Rostock

Spiegel states that the charges had likely been placed before Kołobrzeg

If we look at the weather and specifically the waves for the time period, the only dates with relatively calm water for a dive off the Andromeda are the 9th and 22nd - 24th September.

This graph from ZDF visualizes it nicely:

The 22nd - 24th September can now easily be ruled out as this is after the Andromeda returned to Germany.

This leaves the 9th, which is the exact same time as when the Minerva Julie was directly above the blast sites.

Additionally, the 9th was when there was a joint US/German naval exercise was happening a few miles from the area. The exercise included the German Frigate Schleswig-Holstein and intel ship Oste, as well as the US Wasp-class amphibious assault ship USS Kearsarge.

I feel that these are all things that should probably be mentioned in a several thousand word article claiming that "All evidence points to Kyiv".

"All evidence we decided to include points to Kyiv" might be a better title.

As a side note: How the hell did they find octogen residue all over the toilet?

Did one of the crew decide to open up a shaped charge and rub explosives all over himself while on the toilet?

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More from @OAlexanderDK

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jul 27

Seymour Hersh’s latest dementia rant is out which includes this gem:

He also now claims that his intelligence sources have told him that the initial attack on the Kerch Bridge in October was done using US technology and submersible drones. Something that, like all Hersh’s statements is categorically false.

oalexanderdk.substack.com/p/the-cause-of…

Yes Hersh, this is definitely something a U.S. official told you and not just one of your many fever dreams or your Russian handler.

Read 4 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jul 20

The Russian statement to attack civilian shipping going to any Ukrainian port can be add to the long list of poorly thought out Russian plans.

Ships going to the port of Izmail, Ukraine have to sail up through the Danube River on the border with Romania.

So either Russia starts attacking shipping mixed in with shipping going to Galați, Romania while also risking attacking ships in Romanian waters

Or

They again have to move their “Red Line” and say that it is in fact all Ukrainian ports except Izmail.

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1681683779054714881

As the bad excuse for their statement was that they would consider all ships to be “potential carriers of military cargo”, this means Russia is only scared of military cargo being unloaded specifically at the grain terminal in Odesa and not just down the road in Izmail.

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1681683779054714881

Read 4 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jul 17

Damage to the Kerch bridge looks significantly different to the previous attack on the bridge.

From the initial images, it appears that the blast happened below the span, possibly at one of piers.

Too early to say if it was a USV or missile at this time.

twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

There looks to be limited damage to the actual concrete pier, though massive damage to the underside of the bridge.

The catwalk/wiring tray is completely destroyed near the pier, indicating that the blast origin was directly below that location. https://t.co/Py0Zl5gGNTtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…

A USV (Unmanned Surface Vehicle) looks to be the most likely culprit at this time.

The rail bridge appears to still be fully functional. Unsure whether the attack was only intended to destroy the road bridge or if the USV intended for the rail bridge failed/was destroyed.

Read 5 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jul 3

https://twitter.com/twittersupport/status/1675990712297443330

“In 30 days, users must be Verified to access TweetDeck.”

Forcing people to pay for features that were previously free. People don’t want to pay for Blue unless you create value. Paywalling previously free features isn’t adding value, it will just drive people off the platform

https://twitter.com/twittersupport/status/1675990712297443330

With Meta looking to launch “Threads” shortly, the next few months will be interesting. If Meta can leverage its current Facebook and Instagram userbase onto Project 92, it has the potential to grow extremely fast.

Did Elon buy a ton of Meta stock recently?

Because he seems to be doing every thing in his power to give Meta the best possible chance of succeeding massively with Threads.

Read 4 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jun 21

Our trip to the Southern Nord Stream 2 blast site revealed damage that was quite different to the previous images we had of the Nord Stream 1 site.

nyheder.tv2.dk/krimi/2023-06-…

At Nord Stream 2 there was no large scale destruction with huge sections of pipe that were thrown hundreds of meter from the sites, instead there was a single clean break.

This caused one end of the pipe to bend upwards at an approx. 35 degree angle to a height of about 8m.

The damage seen at Nord Stream 2 was consistent with at most a few kilos of explosives from a shaped charge and not hundreds of kilos.

It also provides some form of baseline for the energy release of the gas from within the pipeline.

Read 8 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jun 9

Hard to say anything positive about this.

After initially losing 4 M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA IFVs, 1 Leopard 2A6 and a BMR-2 armored demining vehicle in one location, 4 more M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA IFVs drove to the exact same position and started taking loses.