Bulletproof Beancounter Profile picture
Aug 31, 2023 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
One of the best ways to win fantasy football championships is by rostering the RB that breaks out out of nowhere

This is a hard feat to pull off as there are approximately 3700 options

I would like to introduce you to one of the bets that you simply have to make

Sean Tucker. Image
From a size and athleticism perspective Sean Tucker looks the part. Per @rotounderworld in the screen shot above Tucker measured in at a fairly robust 5-9 and 207 pounds while running a 90th-percentile 4.44 40.

We like that very much.
@rotounderworld Was Sean Tucker a one-dimensional runningback in college or was he trusted in all aspects of the game?

As evidenced by his 75th-percentile college dominator and his 95th-percentile target share, it is pretty clear that the offence in Syracuse ran through Sean Tucker.
@rotounderworld One of the most telling aspects of projecting fantasy runningbacks to me is the passing game because so few are actually featured in the passing game.

Sean Tucker was dominant all three years he played in college in the passing game.
@rotounderworld By age, he posted the following market share of receiving yards:

Age 18 - 5.9%
Age 19 - 13.9%
Age 20 - 8.4%

Each year cleared the benchmark I am looking for.
@rotounderworld Unlike most career paths, being a college dropout is a bonus when you are in the profession of carrying footballs.

Sean Tucker in fact did dropout early in order to join the ranks of the NFL and even better, he did it as a 21 year old.
@rotounderworld From here we want to know how he looked on the projector and it was… *cue the gif.
@rotounderworld Lance Zierlein of NFL,com gave him a grade of 5.94 which is really quite bad.
@rotounderworld Despite the poor showing in Lance’s grading system, had Tucker gotten drafted on day 2 or earlier he still would have qualified for bulletproof

Alas, he fell not just out of day 2, but all the way out of the draft…. thus, we have had to strip him of his badge.
@rotounderworld But, as a result of that draft day slide, so too slid his adp and he is currently a round 18 startup pick.

Here are the two most recent notes about him in my rankings: Image
@rotounderworld You will notice that we've been buying for months at this point in part because he is pretty good comparatively at his ADP, but also because Rachaad White is decidedly not a strong bet.

And now it has been reported that Tucker is already RB2 on the squad.
@rotounderworld and from here, we simply must double down.
@rotounderworld If this kind of thread is your jam, please hit the like and retweet and follow me, and check out my youtube channel and our podcast and patreon and all of the things that I good little content creator would tell you to do.

🤣😂

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More from @DFBeanCounter

Dec 13, 2023
I am firmly in the spin the wheel category at the QB position, meaning if you do not have a franchise QB, you simply move mountains trying to get one.

This is why.

This is each teams number of playoff appearances over the past 10 years. Image
There have only been 6 teams that have been to the playoffs in 60% of the past 10 seasons.

That is an alarmingly low number. That could be noisy simply because of the sample selected being the past 10 years.
However of note, of those 6 teams, their quarterbacks for large portions of that stretch were:

Patrick Mahomes
Russell Wilson
Tom Brady
Aaron Rodgers
Ben Roethlisberger
And some combo of Carson Wentz and Jalen Hurts.
Read 19 tweets
Dec 5, 2023
Some transparency for y'all.

These are my sophomore comps from my January 10th, 2023 thread on my Patreon regarding the 2022 WR class.

Drake London Image
Garrett Wilson Image
Chris Olave Image
Read 19 tweets
Aug 24, 2023
Much has been said regarding Quentin Johnston's prospect profile and I've been dying to find the time to dive in with y'all.

So lets do the thing where we in fact, dive in. Image
At 6-3 and 208 pounds Johnston comes in as a prototype.

You might be thinking, 'what on earth is a prototype' and I am here to tell you that you should probably draft prototypes when given the opportunity.

To qualify as a prototype a player must be >195 lbs >5-10 and >26.0 BMI
I won't bore you with the details in this thread, but here is a link to a thread from three years ago outlining some aspects of it.

Read 28 tweets
Aug 21, 2022
If y'all want me to say, "Voldemort has peripheral metrics that suggest that he might be better than the 10% target share and 8 fantasy ppg player that he's been" then Ill admit it.

I am in fact expecting him to have greater than 10% targets and 8 fantasy ppg this season.
There are two things at play here.

#1 - The binary notion of is he "good or evil" at football.

#2 - Regardless of #1, is he a good pick in any format?

So let's take a look at #2.
According to @fantasypros his ADP is 73.

I have skewed this image to show more players below him than above him.
Read 74 tweets
Aug 20, 2022
Drake London.

To bulletproof, or not to bulletproof? That is the question.

Let's Dive In.
We will be putting Drake London through the Bulletproof process to see exactly how good... or bad, of a prospect he really is.
Courtesy of @rotounderworld ultraslick player page we can glean alot about his profile.

First things first. The dude is 6-4 and 213 pounds.

He is a mountain of a man and that qualifies him as a "prototype" in my process.
Read 50 tweets
Aug 8, 2022
Y'all hate Marcus Mariota simply because the Titans didnt pass the football.

Let's dive in.
If you think he's a bad quarterback, its probably because of the Titans pass attempts...

2015 - 34.4 (21st)
2016 - 31.5 (28th)
2017 - 31.3 (28th)
2018 - 27.2 (31st)
2019 - 26.9 (32nd)
Marcus Mariota's Yards/Attempt (Y/A) by year with minimum 250 attempts.

2015 - 7.6 (9th)
2016 - 7.6 (9th)
2017 - 7.1 (17th)
2018 - 7.6 (13th)
2019 - 7.5 (14th)
Read 22 tweets

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