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Aug 31 15 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1/ Yevgeny Prigozhin's death may have cleared the way for Russia to send a 20,000-strong army corps to Africa. Other Russian mercenary groups also plan to go there. One mercenary leader promises that "the era of bare-assed Zulus with a Kalashnikov assault rifle is over". ⬇️ Image
2/ Recent reports indicate that Prigozhin's death and the Russian Ministry of Defence's efforts to squeeze out Wagner have likely unleashed a wave of competition between Russian armed organisations to take over the remains of Wagner's African empire.
3/ So far, the organisations reportedly looking at Africa include the Russian Ministry of Defence, the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia, which reports directly to Putin), the GRU, and the Convoy and Redut private military companies, which are both closely linked to the MOD.
4/ VChK-OGPU reports that the deputy head of Russia's GRU and head of its Special Activities Service, Colonel-General Andrei Averyanov, plans to completely replace the Wagner Group's presence in Africa with a newly created and trained Russian army corps of 20,000 men.
5/ According to VChK-OGPU, "Prigozhin was extremely opposed to this and made every effort to prevent it." His opposition is said to have been the reason for his final journey to Moscow, where he was presumably lobbying against Averyanov's plans.
6/ As VChK-OGPU notes, "Andrei Averyanov is known for such GRU operations as the poisoning of Sergei and Yulia Skripal in Salisbury, the explosion at a warehouse in Vrbetice in the Czech Republic, the poisoning of Bulgarian arms dealer Emelian Gebrev." Image
7/ Le Monde also notes that Averyanov is suspected by Western sources of having been involved in the crash of Prigozhin's plane. He would likely have good motives for wanting Prigozhin dead.
lemonde.fr/en/internation…
8/ Meanwhile, Important Stories (iStories) reports that the Convoy private military company, founded by the head of the Russian administration in Crimea, Sergei Aksyonov, also plans to enter Africa. Convoy is closely associated with the Russian Ministry of Defence. Image
9/ iStories reports: "On 21 August, the unit's Telegram channel posted a message about the recruitment of pilot navigators to fly Orion and Sirius strike UAVs in Africa. An Important Stories correspondent, disguised as a volunteer, contacted Convoy's recruiter.
10/ The recruiter said that the group to be sent to Africa has already been recruited, it is proposed that the contract will be signed both with PMCs and the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation.
11/ At the same time, Convoy refused to directly answer the question of whether the fighters of this unit will have to work together with PMC Wagner in Africa."
12/ Convoy's head, Konstantin Mazai Pikalov, is a former senior Wagner commander. He says that Convoy will operated in eight unspecified African countries and told iStories: “Russia is opening a second front in order to deprive the West of resources."
13/ "Unprecedented measures have been developed to liberate African countries from colonial dependence. The era of bare-assed Zulus with a Kalashnikov assault rifle is over. We will give African soldiers new weapons and teach them how to use them."
14/ iStories also reports that the Redut mercenary group, linked to the oligarch Gennady Timchenko and Gazprom, has also been promoting recruitment opportunities in Africa with posts on social media.
15/ For instance, one Redut post says: "Wagner is in the past. If you're really interested in real work in Africa, then the Ministry of Defence and PMC Redut is your choice!" /end

Sources:
🔹
🔹 t.me/vchkogpu/41179
storage.googleapis.com/istories/news/…

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Aug 31
1/ Wagner Group fighters face hard times due to being expelled from Ukraine and squeezed out of Africa and the Middle East. A leaked audio message advises them to find alternative work in the face of 'competition' from the Russian MOD and National Guard. ⬇️
2/ Following Yevgeny Prigozhin's mutiny, thousands of Wagner fighters were sent on a paid 'vacation' in Belarus; many subsequently returned to Russia. Now their 'vacations' are coming to an end, leaving many Wagner fighters at a loose end.
3/ In the recording, which the Russian media outlet Important Stories has authenticated, a Wagner representative says:

"Our employees often ask what to do next. Their holidays are coming to an end. They have to work. Guys, understand that the situation is extremely difficult.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 30
1/ Yevgeny Prigozhin's funeral was reportedly kept secret even from the Russian authorities, who appear to have been fooled by a dummy cortege. Now the entire cemetery is locked down by heavily armed police, who have installed metal detectors at its gates. ⬇️
2/ Commentators have noted that an elaborate "special funeral operation" was held for Prigozhin, in which journalists and the police were directed towards St Petersburg's Serafimovskoye cemetery. Meanwhile, Prigozhin was actually buried at the Porokhovskoye cemetery. Image
3/ According to the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel, the coffin carried by a hearse to Serafimovskoe was empty. Meanwhile, his remains were taken to Porokhovskoye. Although it's formally closed, it can still be used for subburials in family plots. His father is buried there. Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 30
1/ Mobilised Russians who joined the 'Wolves' mercenary group say they are being threatened with execution if they don't go to the front line, despite being untrained. They have not been rotated for months due to manpower shortages caused by huge casualties. ⬇️ Image
2/ In April 2023, some mobiks were reportedly ordered at gunpoint to sign contracts transferring them from the Russian Army's 352nd Motorised Rifle Regiment to the Wolves private military company. Others seem to have been recruited directly from training.
3/ Since then, ASTRA reports, the men have been sitting in positions in Ukraine for six months without a break, due to a lack of manpower to rotate them. The Wolves are known to have been positioned around Bakhmut.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 28
1/ Yevgeny Prigozhin reportedly designated a Wagner fighter called 'Lotus' as his successor if the entire Wagner leadership was lost. However, this is now in doubt, as are further Wagner deployments to Africa, and remaining fighters will likely sign Russian MOD contracts. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel, a source says that Prigozhin left intructions on how the Wagner Group was to react in various scenarios, including his own elimination and that of his lieutenants Valery Chekalov and Dmitry Utkin.
3/ If the entire leadership was killed, after their deaths were confirmed the leadership of Wagner was to pass to a fighter with the callsign Lotus. He was to become the new commander immediately after Prigozhin's funeral.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27
1/ More cases are being reported of wounded Russian and 'DNR' soldiers being imprisoned rather than receiving medical treatment. In some instances this is apparently happening as part of a military-run extortion racket. ⬇️
Image
Image
2/ The DNR Mobilisation Live Telegram channel reports on the case of a young man (pictured above) serving in the People's Militia of the 'Donetsk People's Republic'. He was wounded after his service contract expired and he went home to recuperate.
3/ According to the man's relatives: "Unknown people came to his home and said that he had been transferred to the 273rd battalion for pre-treatment. They promised that they would help him with paperwork and payment for the injured.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 27
1/ The Russian Ministry of Defence was reportedly "rather briskly wiping Wagner out" of its projects in Africa and Syria in order to "strangle" it, prior to Yevgeny Prigozhin's death. This prompted his final and ultimately fatal visit to Moscow. ⬇️ Wagner Group mercenary in the Central African Republic
2/ The Russian investigative journalist Andrey Zakharov, who has reported previously on the Wagner Group's affairs, says that sources have told him that its overseas operations were rapidly being liquidated by the Russian government despite assurances from Putin.
3/ According to Zakharov, "Before his death, Prigozhin was allegedly told to get out of Syria together with Wagner.
Read 27 tweets

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