$88.36. Breakout on the weekly and monthly charts /5
And where is the euro trading this morning? 1.073?
/6
Who’s inflation is this a problem for?
Everyone’s, but for the US the least as the Fed keeps draining the world of dollars.
Labor Day was yesterday. That means summer in the Hamptons is officially over. Welcome back bond vigilantes. We missed you, and Baller Jay has your backs.
Tick,tick,tick
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
As ICEs are being legislated out of the market, unsafe EVs will come with higher insurance costs all through their lifecycle.
Your True Cost of Ownership will rise as the depreciation curve steepens and initial cost rises thanks to complexity.
Simple, straightforward trucks are leaving the market.
RIP the Nissan Titan whose footprint is too small to stay in the market, like the Ram 1500 Classic. All full-sized trucks shorter than 146" wheelbase can't be sold at scale without huge CAFE fines. carscoops.com/2023/08/nissan…
So, let's talk Yellen wanting Blackrock to be regulated as a SIFI. Moving Non-banks into this pile, which now gives them access they didn't have before.
BLK doesn't want to be a SIFI. But, now that they are in trouble, thanks to Powell they do? /1
So, what's changed? Clearly that BLK didn't 'use leverage' but invested everyone's pension funds in stocks and Sovereign Debt at insane prices... 10 year German bunds at -0.8%... mmmmm... tasty!
Quick thread on the strategic importance of Credit Suisse and why the Fed's support of it is so important.
Famously, the SNB holds a big equity portfolio, at last count ~$139B. These are mostly US large caps. /1 whalewisdom.com/filer/swiss-na…
Last Summer I took heat from the skeptical on Fintwit for my 'thesis' of a war between Davos and the Fed because the Fed sent billions in a lifeline to the SNB who helped out $CS. /2
This happened at the same time as Blackrock's assault on the Bank of England, bringing down PM Liz Truss, installing Davos boy Rishi Sunak.
At the time I noted the two banking jurisdictions in Europe not under ECB control were assaulted simultaneously. No coincidences /3
In 2008/09 all the FCID bank closures happened after the market closed on Fridays to limit the damage. Today we are treated to a vandalistic "Biden" regime making a big deal out of this DURING trading hours. /2
From a purely political and qualitative standpoint I'd say a number of things are at play here.
For a major SV bank to fail this spectacularly in 24 hours, 72 after the FOMC Chair went full "Resting Hawk Face" smells of a setup to force a "pivot" this weekend./3
More meltdown in the Eurodollar markets this morning on US inflation data.
These markets and the long-end of the US yield curve are hideously mispriced 1/
@SecYellen is selling 2/3's and buying 10/20's
Why? To make the 2/10 spread worse than it should be but also to help @ECB protect US/German credit spreads.
Really?
Who do you think she really works for?
The Fed could provide the market 10's if Yellen would back off.
/2
This is to support the fiction that the US is headed for a 'historic default' if we don't raise the debt ceiling.
We'll raise the debt ceiling. This is just more Treasury Dept. blackmail of the Fed. Yellen is flying into coffin corner here. /3