An overview of the Ukrainian frontline changes for the last week.
Legend
Old UA line, is the estimated UA forward line on 2023-09-02
Interactive map can be found here: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Kupyansk - Svatove
No noticeable changes, but it's clear RuAF are trying to advance west of Svatove, but without any major success.
There has been no significant changes on the Svatove-Kreminna section. But it seems to me like activity have picked up a bit from the UA side around Kreminna. Possibly due to RU rotations.
Siversk - Bakhmut
No changes except for some minor tweaking just north of Bakhmut
South of Bakhmut there has been some UA success in Klishchiivka. I believe UA forces at the moment are focusing on attrition rather than advancing in this area.
In the area around Donetsk I've made changes around Avdviivka and Novomykhailivka. There are also unconfirmed rumors about UA advances at Opytne.
In the Avdiivka area, UA forces seems to have crossed the highway, this is actually not a new change but it have just slipped past me.
AFU have advanced slightly NE and SE of Novomykhailivka based on geolocated videos.
In the Velyka Novosilka direction, AFU have been advancing in to Novomaiors'ke and according to rumors been able to gain foothold in the north part of the settlement. There has also been a minor advance west of Novodonets'ke.
Robotyne is by far the most active part of the frontline. The last week or so we have seen AFU expand their salient and advance in all directions.
The AFU have made slight advances south of the "river" in the Kam'yans'ke area.
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?