Jeff Gilchrist Profile picture
Sep 10, 2023 40 tweets 10 min read Read on X
#Novavax vs mRNA vaccine

This thread explains how @Novavax is different from the #Moderna and #Pfizer #mRNA #vaccines and describes some of the benefits such as broadened #variant recognition, more durable #immunity, and fewer side effects. 🧵1/ Image of COVID-19 virus, mRNA strand, Novavax vaccine spike nanoparticles and a syringe. Image made from content at : https://www.genomicseducation.hee.nhs.uk/blog/why-mrna-vaccines-arent-gene-therapies/ and https://www.novavax.com/science-technology/recombinant-protein-based-nanoparticle-vaccine-technology
An unrolled one-page web view for this long thread that may be easier to read or share can be found here ( ). 2/
Novavax is a protein based vaccine (similar designs have also been used for many years for tetanus, diphtheria and hepatitis B). Novavax presents the full COVID-19 Spike protein in nanoparticles designed to mimic the structure of the virus itself ( ). 3/ novavax.com/science-techno…
Image showing COVID-19 virus with spike protein and Novavax Spike protein trimer attached to a nanoparticle core to mimic the structure of the virus. Image from: https://novavax.com/science-technology/recombinant-protein-based-nanoparticle-vaccine-technology
mRNA vaccines on the other hand get your immune cells to produce copies of the full Spike protein as single Spikes on their own which may interact differently with the immune system than Novavax's multi-Spike arrangement around a core. 4/ Image showing COVID-19 spike protein created from mRNA inside an immune dendritic cell, on its own. Image from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nD6Q9X0SFw
This video shows you how the mRNA Spikes are produced in your body ( ). 5/
Another big difference between Novavax and the mRNA vaccines is that Novavax uses an adjuvant called Matrix-M made from the soapbark tree to enhance the immune response to the vaccine. 6/
This adjuvant induces early activation of innate immune cells at the injection site and in the draining lymph nodes ( ). H/T: @paulseaman31 7/ tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
Diagram showing what happens to the vaccine and adjuvant molecules after being injected into the muscle and after being taken up by antigen presenting cells. Image from: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/21645515.2023.2189885
You can read the study to to get much more details about the mechanisms of action with Matrix-M, including interesting facts such as within 24 hours both the Spike antigens and adjuvant are undetectable at the injection site... 8/
...since they have already been processed and transported to the draining lymph nodes by immune cells. I wonder if that is one of the reasons why many people feel much less pain in their arms after injection compared to mRNA shots? 9/
Using Matrix-M translates into an improved magnitude and quality of the antibody response to the Spike protein (antigen) and importantly broadened recognition of locations on the Spike (epitopes). 10/
This improvement was actually seen in the real world with the BA.1 and BA.5 variants and the original Novavax vaccine formula. 11/
Both Pfizer and Moderna released bivalent BA.1/BA.5 vaccines in fall 2022 since the antibodies generated from their original mRNA vaccines could no longer neutralize these newer Omicron variants. 12/
Novavax however did not release a bivalent vaccine because their original vaccine formula with Matrix-M still worked with the BA.1 and BA.5 variants. 13/
The Matrix-M adjuvant elicited antibodies from a broader set of locations on the Spike protein (epitopes) so even when some of the locations mutated with BA.1 and BA.5, the conserved locations could still be recognized by the immune system. ( ). 14/ medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Graphs showing Immunogenicity of NVX-CoV2373 against ancestral and variant strains of SARS-CoV-2, by dose (n=34). (A) Anti-rS IgG titers by dose for the ancestral (n=34) and BA.1 variant (n=31). Data were not available for the BA.1 variant for 3 of 34 participants. Dotted line represents approximate correlates of protection titers as derived for the ancestral strain.22 (B) Neutralizing (ID50) antibody titers by dose for the ancestral, BA.1, and BA.4/BA.5 variants. Dotted line represents approximate correlates of protection titers as derived for the ancestral strain.22 (C) Antigenic cartogra...
There have also been suggestions to improve mRNA vaccine potency, durability, safety and T-cell response by using adjuvants ( ). 15/nature.com/articles/s4155…
In mice they found the adjuvant in mRNA vaccines increased antibody levels 10x and produced Fc-binding antibodies which showed better control over viral replication and help predict resolution of severed COVID-19 ( ). 16/
Many people have anecdotally discovered and reported that Novavax doses had much lower side effects than when they received an mRNA shot. 17/
Multiple studies have now shown this to be the case as well. One preprint study (supported by Novavax) that compares the reactogenicity (frequency of side effects) of Novavax and mRNA vaccines ( ). H/T: @michaelzlin 18/medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
They found a notable difference in the percentage of reported side effect symptoms with Novavax being lower in each category:
* 30.8% lower muscle pain
* 30.4% lower injection site pain
* 25.7% lower fatigue
* 25.4% lower injection site tenderness
* 24.9% lower malaise

19/ Graph of Percentage of Booster Dose Participants Reporting Local and Systemic Adverse Events. Solicited local and systemic adverse events among participants receiving an mRNA booster (blue) or an NVX-CoV2373 booster (orange) which are plotted. Unadjusted results are based on participant diaries collected over 6 days post-vaccination. Image from: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.05.31.23290594v1.full
* 22.4% lower swelling
* 18.3% lower headache
* 17.5% lower joint pain
* 13% lower redness
* 12% lower fever
* 3.5% lower nausea/vomiting

20/
What about people who had mRNA doses previously but want to consider Novavax? There have been several studies now that found mixing the two, getting mRNA and then Novavax actually gave better results than just mRNA on its own. 21/
One study found that getting Novavax as a booster after mRNA "may enhance the persistence and durability of vaccine-mediated immunity compared to mRNA options"... 22/
...with slower decay rate compared to an mRNA booster dose and less side effects than mRNA boosters ( ). H/T: @Daniel_E_Park 23/tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
A randomized controlled trial found that getting a Novavax dose after Pfizer mRNA elicited the highest humoral and peak cellular immune responses ( ). H/T: @michaelzlin 24/journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-…
The mRNA + Novavax combination also had the lowest rate of breakthrough infections and the study also found fewer moderate and severe systemic adverse effects for Novavax than Pfizer mRNA. 25/ Graph of Kaplan–Meier curves for risk of self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infections during follow-up. B: seronegative participants randomised before 29th November 2021; Image from: https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(23)00330-4/fulltext
Neutralising antibodies against Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 were higher with Novavax after mRNA compared to two mRNA doses. 26/
Now you have more details as to how Novavax is different and some of the nice benefits including for people who had mRNA shots previously. 27/
I'm hoping that the Matrix-M adjuvant will again show its ability to broaden the immune system's ability to choose epitopes so that it might continue to work better for upcoming variants as it did when BA.1 and BA.5 emerged. 28/
FYI, I do not work for Novavax or have any investments or make any money from Novavax selling products. 29/
I am a little confused as to why @Novavax just recently filed their regulatory approval paperwork with Health Canada as many people are waiting for the fall boosters so it would be a shame if they were not available soon like the mRNA fall boosters are expected to be. 30/
While vaccines are important, they should be the last layer of protection to rely on in case all the other layers fail and you get exposed. Vaccines should not be the one and only layer governments all seem to be currently relying on. 31/ Click "Show replies" 👇 to continue.
ASHRAE Standard 241, Control of Infectious Aerosols ( ) was released in July 2023 so this should now be adopted and required in air quality standards for buildings like governments already require clean drinking water standards for these same buildings.32/ashrae.org/technical-reso…
It is important to have good indoor air quality, not just from viruses but also for cognitive function and from other air pollutants (like wildfire smoke) which have been linked to various health problems ( ). 33/
Aerosol and particulate matter (PM) particles can also be filtered and removed from the air using HVAC filters like MERV-13 or better, HEPA filters, build yourself CR-boxes with traditional fans or super quiet versions with PC fans. 34/
You can find guides and useful information on my website ( ). 35/covid.gilchrist.ca
Since you don't have control over the air quality in most public spaces you can also use personal filters (aka masks) with a good seal designed to protect from airborne pathogens like N95 respirators. 36/
To find out how well your mask seals, you can see my thread on fit testing ( ) and some of the test results I got comparing masks ( ). 37/
Some people misunderstand and think filters such as HEPA and mask material work like a sieve or chain link fence which allow smaller objects like flies to pass through. 38/
This thread explains how the laws of physics are used to allow the filtering material to stop such tiny smoke and aerosol particles ( ). 39/
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More from @jeffgilchrist

Jan 6
#Ottawa, #Ontario, #Canada Virus Update:

Ottawa updated its #respiratory #virus data again after a break for the holidays, respiratory related ED visits are up especially in kids 0-3, then 4-11 and age 80+. 🧵1/ A line graph showing the number of respiratory-related emergency department (ED) visits per 100,000 population by week, from September 1, 2023, to November 1, 2024, across different age groups. Six lines represent the age groups: Age 0-3 (purple), Age 4-11 (blue), Age 12-17 (green), Age 18-54 (yellow), Age 55-79 (red), and Age 80+ (orange). The Age 0-3 group shows the highest number of visits, peaking around 1000 visits per 100,000 population, while other age groups generally have rates below 250 visits per 100,000 population. The graph exhibits seasonal fluctuations, with peaks in the wint...
Quite a mixture of different viruses testing positive in the lab right now so people can pick up a variety of bugs in the air. 2/ A stacked area chart displaying the percentage of positive tests for various viruses over time, from October 1, 2022, to December 22, 2024. The x-axis represents weeks within this period, while the y-axis represents the percentage, cumulatively stacked to 100%. The chart features the following viruses, each depicted in a distinct color: COVID-19 (red), Entero/Rhinovirus (yellow), Seasonal human coronavirus (blue), RSV (green), Parainfluenza (purple), Influenza B (light blue), Influenza A (light green), Human metapneumovirus (pink), and Adenovirus (dark blue). COVID-19 maintains a high posit...
New hospitalizations also jumped a lot in the last two reporting weeks, not just due to #RSV but a big spike in #COVID as well.

Follow the latest updates here ( ). 3/ covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.htmlThe bar chart shows the number of new hospitalizations per week in Ottawa from August 27, 2023, to December 22, 2024. The y-axis represents the number of patients, ranging from 0 to 100. The x-axis represents the weeks. The bars are color-coded: blue for COVID-19, purple for Influenza, and teal for RSV. The chart shows fluctuations in hospitalizations, with peaks around late 2023 and early 2024, and another peak towards the end of 2024.
A line graph displaying the percentage of patients hospitalized due to COVID-19, Influenza, or RSV over time, from September 1, 2023, to December 22, 2024. The x-axis represents weeks within this period, and the y-axis shows percentages from 0% to 100%. The graph has three colored lines: blue for COVID-19, purple for Influenza, and teal for RSV. COVID-19 consistently shows the highest percentage of hospitalizations, with fluctuations throughout the period.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
#Variant update for #Ontario, #Canada (to Dec 10, 2024)

The KP.3.1.1 #DeFLuQE variant has finally been surpassed with XEC now in top place above 20% while the other 5 (MC.* and XEC.* descendants) remain < 7%. Graph tools by @Mike_Honey_ 🧵1/ A line graph showing the lineage frequency of the top 7 COVID-19 genomes in Ontario, Canada, up to December 10, 2024. The graph includes data from 4,928 sequenced genomes. The x-axis represents dates from October 27 to December 08, while the y-axis represents lineage frequency percentages from 0% to 35%. Different colored lines represent different genome lineages: KP.3.1.1 (blue), MC.1 (green), MC.13 (purple), MC.16 (pink), MC.24 (orange), XEC (brown), and XEC.8 (yellow). Below the main graph, there is a bar chart showing the number of samples (n) collected each day, ranging from 0 to 200 s...
XEC is a combination of KP.3.3 and KS.1.1 that recombined together. MC.1 is a direct descendant of KP.3.1.1 with one spike mutation at T571I. To learn more about how variant naming works, you can read this article I wrote with @paulseaman31 ( ). 2/docs.google.com/document/d/1q0…
This Sankey graph shows the proportion of variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario since October 27, 2024. You can follow the lineage backwards to see where a variant is a descendant from. 3/ The Sankey diagram visually displays the evolution and distribution of sequenced genomes in Ontario, Canada, up to December 10, 2024. The diagram uses colored bars and curved lines to show the flow and relationships between different genome variants over time. Each variant is labeled, such as "XEC," "BA.2," "BA.2.86," "JN.1," "KP.3," and various sub-variants. These bars and lines illustrate the transitions and derivations from one variant to another. The total number of sequenced genomes depicted is 4,928. This visualization helps to underst...
Read 16 tweets
Dec 22, 2024
Population rate vs raw numbers

This is a good example of why it is useful to understand the importance of population *rate* and not just look at raw numbers. The first graph shows raw numbers and the second graph population rate. 🧵1/ #ED #Respiratory #Virus #Population #Ottawa Chart of Respiratory Related ED Visits by Week and Age (Ottawa, ON, Canada) with raw numbers
Chart of Respiratory Related ED Visits by Week and Age (Ottawa, ON, Canada) with population rate per 100K
Ottawa Public Health makes only the raw data available for All causes and respiratory-related emergency department visits to Ottawa hospitals by age group and week ( ). 2/open.ottawa.ca/datasets/ottaw…
If I take the data and plot all the ages together, you can at least see all of the age groups at the same time but it is just the raw numbers. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Dec 17, 2024
This is amazing, not only a lower cost CPC for measuring mask fit and ultrafine particles in a room, but also a new probe to measure fit of a respirator without destroying it, check out the video from @OpenAeros and @masknerd to see how it works ( ). 🧵1/ Woman wearing N95 head band respirator inserting new probe design in side of respirator so you don't have to puncture the front, the new OpenAeros OpenCPC machine operating on the table showing the ultrafine particle levels and Aaron Collins (@masknerd) holding the new blue probe against his face to show what it looks like.
@masknerd also demonstrates how you can use OpenCPC to measure how well an air cleaner is filtering particles when you insert the probe into the output vent where particles dropped to 6.4/cm^3 from the regular 700-800/cm^3 for the room. 2/ Aaron Collins (@masknerd) holding the OpenCPC probe inside the fins of a portable air cleaner to measure particle concentration showing it has dropped significantly.
When Aaron Collins moves the probe to a couple of feet in front of the portable air cleaner, levels go back up to 785/cm^3 which is the same as the room concentration indicating this type is filtering the air but doesn't create a "clean bubble" in front of it. 3/ Aaron Collins (@masknerd) holding the OpenCPC probe a couple of feet in front of a portable air cleaner to measure particle concentration, showing it has gone back up to room concentrations.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 10, 2024
COVID-19: Stats, Guides, Articles, Calculators

COVID-19 guides, useful info, stats, calculators & 600+ scientific articles: covid.gilchrist.ca

Ottawa, Canada weekly stats: covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html

Ontario, Canada weekly stats: covid.gilchrist.ca/Ontario.html

🧵1/ Graph of COVID-19 wastewater levels in Ottawa, Ontario, measured from Sept. 1, 2021. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
Sankey graph (height of each bar is # of sequences for that variant) showing top variants and their lineages over the past 6 weeks from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D&pageName=ReportSection32240d6b62ba73667e98 )
A sample of some threads listed on the website ( covid.gilchrist.ca ):

How do variant designations work and relate to our immunity ( x.com/jeffgilchrist/… )? 2/
Why should we care about a virus with a "99.8% survival rate" ( )? 3/
Read 16 tweets
Nov 10, 2024
#Variant update for #Ontario, #Canada (to Oct 29, 2024)

The KP.3.1.1 #DeFLuQE variant is having some competition from XEC and MC.1 now. Graph tools by @Mike_Honey_ 🧵1/ Graph of top 7 COVID variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D )
XEC is a combination of KP.3.3 and KS.1.1 that recombined together. MC.1 is a direct descendant of KP.3.1.1 with one spike mutation at T571I. To learn more about how variant naming works, you can read this article I wrote with @paulseaman31 ( ). 2/docs.google.com/document/d/1q0…
This Sankey graph shows the proportion of variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario since September 15, 2024. You can follow the lineage backwards to see where a variant is a descendant from. 3/ Sankey graph (height of each bar is # of sequences for that variant) showing top variants and their lineages over the past 6 weeks from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D&pageName=ReportSection32240d6b62ba73667e98 )
Read 9 tweets

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