Jeff Gilchrist Profile picture
Sep 10, 2023 40 tweets 10 min read Read on X
#Novavax vs mRNA vaccine

This thread explains how @Novavax is different from the #Moderna and #Pfizer #mRNA #vaccines and describes some of the benefits such as broadened #variant recognition, more durable #immunity, and fewer side effects. 🧵1/ Image of COVID-19 virus, mRNA strand, Novavax vaccine spike nanoparticles and a syringe. Image made from content at : https://www.genomicseducation.hee.nhs.uk/blog/why-mrna-vaccines-arent-gene-therapies/ and https://www.novavax.com/science-technology/recombinant-protein-based-nanoparticle-vaccine-technology
An unrolled one-page web view for this long thread that may be easier to read or share can be found here ( ). 2/
Novavax is a protein based vaccine (similar designs have also been used for many years for tetanus, diphtheria and hepatitis B). Novavax presents the full COVID-19 Spike protein in nanoparticles designed to mimic the structure of the virus itself ( ). 3/ novavax.com/science-techno…
Image showing COVID-19 virus with spike protein and Novavax Spike protein trimer attached to a nanoparticle core to mimic the structure of the virus. Image from: https://novavax.com/science-technology/recombinant-protein-based-nanoparticle-vaccine-technology
mRNA vaccines on the other hand get your immune cells to produce copies of the full Spike protein as single Spikes on their own which may interact differently with the immune system than Novavax's multi-Spike arrangement around a core. 4/ Image showing COVID-19 spike protein created from mRNA inside an immune dendritic cell, on its own. Image from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nD6Q9X0SFw
This video shows you how the mRNA Spikes are produced in your body ( ). 5/
Another big difference between Novavax and the mRNA vaccines is that Novavax uses an adjuvant called Matrix-M made from the soapbark tree to enhance the immune response to the vaccine. 6/
This adjuvant induces early activation of innate immune cells at the injection site and in the draining lymph nodes ( ). H/T: @paulseaman31 7/ tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
Diagram showing what happens to the vaccine and adjuvant molecules after being injected into the muscle and after being taken up by antigen presenting cells. Image from: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/21645515.2023.2189885
You can read the study to to get much more details about the mechanisms of action with Matrix-M, including interesting facts such as within 24 hours both the Spike antigens and adjuvant are undetectable at the injection site... 8/
...since they have already been processed and transported to the draining lymph nodes by immune cells. I wonder if that is one of the reasons why many people feel much less pain in their arms after injection compared to mRNA shots? 9/
Using Matrix-M translates into an improved magnitude and quality of the antibody response to the Spike protein (antigen) and importantly broadened recognition of locations on the Spike (epitopes). 10/
This improvement was actually seen in the real world with the BA.1 and BA.5 variants and the original Novavax vaccine formula. 11/
Both Pfizer and Moderna released bivalent BA.1/BA.5 vaccines in fall 2022 since the antibodies generated from their original mRNA vaccines could no longer neutralize these newer Omicron variants. 12/
Novavax however did not release a bivalent vaccine because their original vaccine formula with Matrix-M still worked with the BA.1 and BA.5 variants. 13/
The Matrix-M adjuvant elicited antibodies from a broader set of locations on the Spike protein (epitopes) so even when some of the locations mutated with BA.1 and BA.5, the conserved locations could still be recognized by the immune system. ( ). 14/ medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Graphs showing Immunogenicity of NVX-CoV2373 against ancestral and variant strains of SARS-CoV-2, by dose (n=34). (A) Anti-rS IgG titers by dose for the ancestral (n=34) and BA.1 variant (n=31). Data were not available for the BA.1 variant for 3 of 34 participants. Dotted line represents approximate correlates of protection titers as derived for the ancestral strain.22 (B) Neutralizing (ID50) antibody titers by dose for the ancestral, BA.1, and BA.4/BA.5 variants. Dotted line represents approximate correlates of protection titers as derived for the ancestral strain.22 (C) Antigenic cartogra...
There have also been suggestions to improve mRNA vaccine potency, durability, safety and T-cell response by using adjuvants ( ). 15/nature.com/articles/s4155…
In mice they found the adjuvant in mRNA vaccines increased antibody levels 10x and produced Fc-binding antibodies which showed better control over viral replication and help predict resolution of severed COVID-19 ( ). 16/
Many people have anecdotally discovered and reported that Novavax doses had much lower side effects than when they received an mRNA shot. 17/
Multiple studies have now shown this to be the case as well. One preprint study (supported by Novavax) that compares the reactogenicity (frequency of side effects) of Novavax and mRNA vaccines ( ). H/T: @michaelzlin 18/medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
They found a notable difference in the percentage of reported side effect symptoms with Novavax being lower in each category:
* 30.8% lower muscle pain
* 30.4% lower injection site pain
* 25.7% lower fatigue
* 25.4% lower injection site tenderness
* 24.9% lower malaise

19/ Graph of Percentage of Booster Dose Participants Reporting Local and Systemic Adverse Events. Solicited local and systemic adverse events among participants receiving an mRNA booster (blue) or an NVX-CoV2373 booster (orange) which are plotted. Unadjusted results are based on participant diaries collected over 6 days post-vaccination. Image from: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.05.31.23290594v1.full
* 22.4% lower swelling
* 18.3% lower headache
* 17.5% lower joint pain
* 13% lower redness
* 12% lower fever
* 3.5% lower nausea/vomiting

20/
What about people who had mRNA doses previously but want to consider Novavax? There have been several studies now that found mixing the two, getting mRNA and then Novavax actually gave better results than just mRNA on its own. 21/
One study found that getting Novavax as a booster after mRNA "may enhance the persistence and durability of vaccine-mediated immunity compared to mRNA options"... 22/
...with slower decay rate compared to an mRNA booster dose and less side effects than mRNA boosters ( ). H/T: @Daniel_E_Park 23/tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
A randomized controlled trial found that getting a Novavax dose after Pfizer mRNA elicited the highest humoral and peak cellular immune responses ( ). H/T: @michaelzlin 24/journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-…
The mRNA + Novavax combination also had the lowest rate of breakthrough infections and the study also found fewer moderate and severe systemic adverse effects for Novavax than Pfizer mRNA. 25/ Graph of Kaplan–Meier curves for risk of self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infections during follow-up. B: seronegative participants randomised before 29th November 2021; Image from: https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(23)00330-4/fulltext
Neutralising antibodies against Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 were higher with Novavax after mRNA compared to two mRNA doses. 26/
Now you have more details as to how Novavax is different and some of the nice benefits including for people who had mRNA shots previously. 27/
I'm hoping that the Matrix-M adjuvant will again show its ability to broaden the immune system's ability to choose epitopes so that it might continue to work better for upcoming variants as it did when BA.1 and BA.5 emerged. 28/
FYI, I do not work for Novavax or have any investments or make any money from Novavax selling products. 29/
I am a little confused as to why @Novavax just recently filed their regulatory approval paperwork with Health Canada as many people are waiting for the fall boosters so it would be a shame if they were not available soon like the mRNA fall boosters are expected to be. 30/
While vaccines are important, they should be the last layer of protection to rely on in case all the other layers fail and you get exposed. Vaccines should not be the one and only layer governments all seem to be currently relying on. 31/ Click "Show replies" 👇 to continue.
ASHRAE Standard 241, Control of Infectious Aerosols ( ) was released in July 2023 so this should now be adopted and required in air quality standards for buildings like governments already require clean drinking water standards for these same buildings.32/ashrae.org/technical-reso…
It is important to have good indoor air quality, not just from viruses but also for cognitive function and from other air pollutants (like wildfire smoke) which have been linked to various health problems ( ). 33/
Aerosol and particulate matter (PM) particles can also be filtered and removed from the air using HVAC filters like MERV-13 or better, HEPA filters, build yourself CR-boxes with traditional fans or super quiet versions with PC fans. 34/
You can find guides and useful information on my website ( ). 35/covid.gilchrist.ca
Since you don't have control over the air quality in most public spaces you can also use personal filters (aka masks) with a good seal designed to protect from airborne pathogens like N95 respirators. 36/
To find out how well your mask seals, you can see my thread on fit testing ( ) and some of the test results I got comparing masks ( ). 37/
Some people misunderstand and think filters such as HEPA and mask material work like a sieve or chain link fence which allow smaller objects like flies to pass through. 38/
This thread explains how the laws of physics are used to allow the filtering material to stop such tiny smoke and aerosol particles ( ). 39/
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More from @jeffgilchrist

Nov 10
COVID-19: Stats, Guides, Articles, Calculators

COVID-19 guides, useful info, stats, calculators & 600+ scientific articles: covid.gilchrist.ca

Ottawa, Canada weekly stats: covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html

Ontario, Canada weekly stats: covid.gilchrist.ca/Ontario.html

🧵1/ Graph of COVID-19 wastewater levels in Ottawa, Ontario, measured from Sept. 1, 2021. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
Sankey graph (height of each bar is # of sequences for that variant) showing top variants and their lineages over the past 6 weeks from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D&pageName=ReportSection32240d6b62ba73667e98 )
A sample of some threads listed on the website ( covid.gilchrist.ca ):

How do variant designations work and relate to our immunity ( x.com/jeffgilchrist/… )? 2/
Why should we care about a virus with a "99.8% survival rate" ( )? 3/
Read 16 tweets
Nov 10
#Variant update for #Ontario, #Canada (to Oct 29, 2024)

The KP.3.1.1 #DeFLuQE variant is having some competition from XEC and MC.1 now. Graph tools by @Mike_Honey_ 🧵1/ Graph of top 7 COVID variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D )
XEC is a combination of KP.3.3 and KS.1.1 that recombined together. MC.1 is a direct descendant of KP.3.1.1 with one spike mutation at T571I. To learn more about how variant naming works, you can read this article I wrote with @paulseaman31 ( ). 2/docs.google.com/document/d/1q0…
This Sankey graph shows the proportion of variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario since September 15, 2024. You can follow the lineage backwards to see where a variant is a descendant from. 3/ Sankey graph (height of each bar is # of sequences for that variant) showing top variants and their lineages over the past 6 weeks from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D&pageName=ReportSection32240d6b62ba73667e98 )
Read 9 tweets
Sep 22
Ceilings fans can reduce short-range viral concentrations close to the infected (54%-77%) while increasing long-range levels (5%-14%). Only recommended when # people in room is less than decision tool for various ventilation rates with not highly contagious pathogens (e.g. cold).

Decision tool for using or not using fans to mix the air in the room. Decision tool for using or not using fans under various ventilation rates (200, 400, and 800 m³/h) on reducing overall airborne transmission risk, considering occupants with and without the use of masks. The logarithmic scale on the left vertical axis shows the contagiousness of the pathogen, which indicates the quanta emission rate. The horizontal axis measures the number of people at long-range distances in relation to per person ventilation rates. The range of conditions that using fans is beneficial is filled in turqu...
The number concentration of lumped tracer particles between 0.3 and 5.0 μm for both short-range and long-range routes, respectively.
Link to full study here ( ).sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
There are some important caveats in this research. "Fans are beneficial in well-ventilated rooms with not highly contagious pathogens." 3/
Read 4 tweets
Sep 19
Variants: JN.1 vs KP.2 vs KP.3.1.1

What do the variant designations like KP.3.1.1 mean and how does it compare to JN.1? How important is just 1 mutation? Can 1 mutation potentially affect our immunity and how vaccines are designed? Read on to find out more. @paulseaman31 🧵1/ Structural alignment of the AF2-predicted RBD conformational ensembles in the complexes with ACE2 for JN.1 (A), KP.2 (B) and KP.3 variants (C). Structural alignment of the AF2-predicted conformations with high pLDDT values > 80.0 and the cryo-EM structure of the BA.2.86 RBD-ACE2 complex (pdb id 8QSQ). The RBD conformations are shown in ribbons. The sites of unique BA.2.86 mutations D339H, K356T, R403K, V445H, G446S, N450D, L452W, N460K, N481K, A484K, F486P, R493Q are shown in blue spheres on panels (A-C). Mutation L455S in JN.1 is shown in red spheres on panel A. The positions of KP.2 mutat...
The web version of this article with nice table of contents and is easy to share with others can be found here ( ) or ( ). 2/ tinyurl.com/VariantsSummer…
docs.google.com/document/d/1q0…
Table of Contents Variant Designations (e.g. KP.3.1.1) - Parent & Child Lineages - KP.3 vs KP.3.1 vs KP.3.1.1 - Variants that Start with X How does this relate to our immunity? How important is 1 mutation? What variants are circulating now? - Canada - USA - United Kingdom - Europe - Asia - South America -Oceania
Variant Designations (e.g. KP.3.1.1)

You have probably seen people refer to COVID-19 variants with specific codes containing both letters and numbers like JN.1 or XBB.1.5, but what does that mean? 3/
Read 89 tweets
Aug 28
Virus update for Ottawa, Canada (Aug 28, 2024)

COVID-19 #Wastewater levels in #Ottawa are up again with the circulation of a new KP.3.1.1 DeFLuQE variant ( ). Wastewater is still being updated but on a weekly basis now. 🧵1/3 covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html
Image
New hospitalizations in Ottawa *due* to COVID-19, Flu or RSV are unfortunately increasing again. There were two big spikes over the past month ( ). 2/3 ottawapublichealth.ca/en/reports-res…
Graph of New Hospitalizations in Ottawa *due to* COVID-19, Influenza or RSV. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
One virus is causing a lot more hospitalizations than the other two over the past year. Even at the lowest point at the end of March 2024, COVID-19 still accounted for more than 40% of hospitalizations between the three viruses and more than 80% for almost half the year. 3/3 Graph of % of New Hospitalizations in Ottawa *due to* COVID-19, Influenza or RSV. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
Read 4 tweets
Aug 23
#Variant update for #Ontario, #Canada (to Aug 13, 2024)

Today's variant show is brought to you by the letters KP... Looks like KP.3.1.1 has really taken off and separated from the pack at 40% prevalence in Ontario. Graph tools by @Mike_Honey_ 🧵1/ Graph of top 7 COVID variants from PCR test genomic sequencing in Ontario, Canada. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D )
KP.3.1.1 has the #FLuQE mutations and also a key point in the spike protein deleted which gives it much more immune evasion than other variants. 2/
Testing with a recently released monoclonal antibody treatment (pemivibart) found that while it neutralized JN.1 and KP.2 with similar performance... ( ). 3/biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
Read 14 tweets

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