Are you a headteacher losing sleep over how to improve your pupil attendance rates?
If so, THIS 👇🏻 is the most important chart you need to see.
This chart holds the answer to your problem.
And, even better, it’s a fixable problem.
Read on… 🧵
Pupil absences due to illness alone have increased from a pre-pandemic average of 2.6% up to 3.9%.
That’s a 50% rise!
The pandemic has been going on so long, it seems we’ve forgotten what it was like before.
Children never used to be off school sick nearly as much as this.
Now let’s look specifically at this time last year: last Autumn term 2022/23.
This is when our kids were hit hardest.
By the end of that term, absences purely due to illness were even higher than they’d been the year before when the first Omicron wave had just hit full force.
If you’re wondering what impact this illness absence had on overall absence rates, here it is 👇🏻
The charts at the top show *overall* pupil absence rates week-by-week.
The charts at the bottom are the ones we were looking at before: absences *purely due to illness*.
In the last week of Autumn term 2022/23, absences soared to:
𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙖𝙧𝙮
📍overall absence rate: 9.6%
📍illness absence rate: 7.1%
➡️74% of absences due to illness
𝙎𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙧𝙮
📍overall absence rate: 13.1%
📍illness absence rate: 7.8%
➡️60% of absences due to illness
If we average it out over the *whole* of last Autumn term:
𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙖𝙧𝙮:
📍overall absence rate: 6.0%
📍illness absence rate: 3.8%
➡️63% of absences due to illness
𝙎𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙧𝙮:
📍overall absence rate: 8.6%
📍illness absence rate: 4.4%
➡️51% of absences due to illness
Of course, pupil attendance is a complex issue & there are many underlying contributors.
The following have all been cited as key drivers:
📍increased truancy
📍an increase in child mental health problems
📍cost of living crisis
📍loss of routine during school closures.
Yes, these do all play a part in the bigger picture. But this narrative completely fails to address the elephant in the room…
The primary driver of the high rates of pupil absence is ILLNESS.
It’s right there in black & white on the government website…
And if we look back at the UKHSA data, we can see exactly what was happening last Autumn Term…
That’s when the UK was hit hard by the triple whammy of Covid, flu & RSV all circulating at very high levels simultaneously.
Scarlet fever, norovirus & measles also took their toll.
But there was such an obsession with improving absence rates at all costs that the basics of infection control were just abandoned.
Children were told that they need to ‘show resilience & drag themselves into school’ even if they were unwell.
And so the illnesses spread.
This year, it looks like we’re set to make the same mistakes all over again.
There’s a huge push towards a totally unrealistic 100% attendance target.
But forcing sick kids to come to school is totally counter-intuitive.
It only makes things WORSE by spreading the germs.
To make matters worse, we’re starting this Autumn term with Covid rates even HIGHER than they were this time last year…
…and the year before…
…and the year before that!
In fact, it’s currently worse than it was during any of the 3 national lockdowns.
The latest government guidance doesn’t exactly help either.
If your child has symptoms of Covid (a runny nose, sore throat or cough), feel free to send them in to school anyway!
There’s no recognition of the fact that this will just start countless new chains of transmission.
Instead of just one child being ill at home, you end up with the entire class being off sick… and probably the teacher too!
In the US, schools went back a few weeks ago and already multiple schools have had to close down due to Covid. There are no teachers left to teach!
Talking of teachers…
Last Autumn term (2022/23), staff sickness absence MORE THAN DOUBLED across the UK compared to the pre-pandemic Autumn term 2019.
Absences specifically due to colds, flu & other (unnamed!) viruses were 7 TIMES HIGHER in Autumn 2022 vs Autumn 2019.
At my kids’ school, term only started a few days ago but I already know of 3 teachers who are in teaching with a sore throat & hoarse voice… despite the fact they can barely speak!
These are two of the top 10 symptoms of Covid, but I doubt they’ve taken a Covid test.
I just hope they don’t end up developing Long Covid…
Teaching already has one of the highest rates of Long Covid of any profession.
DfE research also shows that a third of secondary schools & a quarter of primary schools have reported workforce challenges due to Long Covid.
But it isn’t always possible or practical to keep windows fully open…
📍some may be sealed shut;
📍outdoor air may be heavily polluted if near a busy road;
📍in Winter, it may be too cold;
📍and in Summer, it can aggravate hayfever symptoms.
Luckily we have another tool in our toolkit:
💨 HEPA air filters! 💨
HEPA filters don’t replace the air in a room with ‘new’ air. Instead, they clean the air already in the room, filtering out viruses & other harmful contaminants.
Now just imagine how much we’d reduce the spread of illness (and, in turn, reduce the number of pupil absences) if there was an air filter in every classroom.
If the DfE were serious about wanting to reduce pupil (and staff) absence rates, the very FIRST thing they should be doing is tackling the spread of illness…
…by installing air filters and telling sick kids to stay at home.
In the meantime, it’s each school for themselves.
Yes, there’s an upfront capital cost…
But, in the long run, you could actually SAVE money.
3.2m teaching days were missed in 2021/22 due to staff illness.
That led to a £622m bill on supply teacher costs, equivalent to £171 per pupil.
That could buy a LOT of air filters.
Are you convinced that air filters are worth investing in yet?
If so, a final word of warning…
Please DON’T buy one of the filter models on the DfE air cleaner marketplace.
These are not fit for purpose for classrooms and there are plenty of better options on the market.
If you’re not yet convinced, then please listen to this short video by UK Cardiologist @Sunny_Rae1 where she articulates all the reasons you *should* be convinced from a medical perspective…
And if you’re *still* not convinced, I give up…
@Sunny_Rae1 PS. I won’t actually give up…
Our children need us to fight for them since they can’t do it for themselves.
There’s been a lot of discussion online and in the media about how exactly Meningitis B spreads.
A lot of it is conflicting & confusing.
So let’s put opinions & hearsay aside and take a proper look at what the latest science actually tells us…
🧵
The UK National Institute for Health & Care Excellence (NICE) states that bacterial meningitis and meningococcal disease is transmitted by the following 3 modes:
“Fundamental flaws in the UK’s approach to IPC [infection prevention & control] guidance, for example in relation to the use of PPE, put patients and healthcare workers at risk.”
“Initial guidance on preventing the spread of infection was flawed. It assumed the virus was spread by contact transmission, failing properly to consider the extent to which it was also spread by AIRBORNE transmission.”
But it wasn’t just the “initial guidance” that was flawed!
To this very day, the IPC guidance STILL does not reflect the latest science on AIRBORNE transmission.
Last week, CATA released two explosive reports which revealed a scandal of monumental proportions.
Flawed decisions were made at the start of the Covid pandemic - and then covered up for years to come.
In this series of videos, @SafeDavid3 talks us through the key findings…
The CATA Executive team have worked tirelessly in their pursuit of the truth, forensically analysing over 17,000 Covid Inquiry documents & submitting countless FOI requests.
Concerningly, they discovered around 100 key emails which have not been disclosed to the Covid Inquiry…
Their report explores 7 separate occasions when the IPC Cell was challenged re: the adequacy of its guidance on respiratory protection for healthcare workers.
This included challenges from PHE/UKHSA, Chief Nursing Officers & even the CMO.
And it took 17 MONTHS to elicit a set of draft minutes from IPC Cell meetings which took place in Dec 2020 - and only following a direct order by the ICO.
This doc is one of the most damning pieces of evidence in the report as it reveals how minutes were fundamentally altered.
In 2023, the British Council for Offices (BCO) updated the ventilation guidance for offices:
💨 The *minimum* recommended ventilation rate was increased from 12 to 14 litres of outdoor air per sec per person.
Now guess what the ventilation rate is in a typical UK classroom…❓
Since 2022, the Schools Air quality Monitoring for Health & Education (SAMHE) project has monitored indoor air quality in hundreds of schools across the UK.
Shockingly, their data revealed that the ventilation rate in a typical UK classroom is just 5.3 litres per sec per person.
Worse still, the data shows the average ventilation rate plummets to just 3.8 litres per sec per person in colder weather.
Now compare this to the MINIMUM recommended ventilation rate for offices of 14 litres per sec per person.