1/ Systemic discrimination against people from Russia's regions – affecting not just ethnic minorities, but ethnic Russians as well – is to blame for the disproportionate numbers of war casualties among the country's minority groups, according to the author of a study. ⬇️
2/ Maria Vyushkova, the co-author (with Yevgeny Sherkhonov) of a study on Russian ethnic minority casualty rates in the Ukraine war, has explained their findings in an interview with Azatliq, Radio Liberty's Tatar service. brill.com/view/journals/…
3/ Vyushkova and Sherkhonov were able to confirm widespread reports that ethnic minorities have experienced a disproportionate percentage of casualties compared with the percentage of their population in Russia.
4/ For example, Cossacks comprise only 17.6% of the Astrakhan region's population, but comprise around 50% of the region's war dead. They account for around 3.1-4.0% of all those killed fighting in Ukraine, but are only 0.47% of Russia's population.
5/ A similar situation affects Buryats living in the Trans-Baikal Krai: they comprise only 6% of the regional population, but account for 25% of deaths from this region. Overall, ethnic Russians account for 80.85% of the country's population but only 70% of the war dead.
6/ However, the reasons for such disproportionate losses are more complex than simply overt discrimination. Vyushkova attributes it to "systemic discrimination", whereby people from such regions face a lack of economic opportunities and social mobility.
7/ Notably, Vyushkova attributes this to regional discrimination, not just ethnic discrimination, though she says that is certainly a factor too: "Russians living in the ethnic region are also looked down upon just because they are from the ethnic region.
8/ For example, Russians born in the North Caucasus republics also say this, they say that [other Russians] look down on them."
9/ They therefore have few options other than a military career, causing those from poor regions to be over-represented in the army. Buryats comprised around 40% of the members of the 5th Tank Army, which was devastated in the battles around Kyiv in early 2022.
10/ Mobilisation has changed the demographics of Russian casualties substantially. Vyushkova says that since 2022, "the majority of the dead moved from the east of Russia to the west. Especially to the Volga and Ural regions. Now the Volga region has the highest number of deaths.
11/ "Among the regions, Bashkortostan is severely affected."
In addition to Bashkortostan, the republics of Buryatia, Tuva and Sakha have also had severe casualties among the mobilised.
12/ As Vyushkova notes, this reflects a greater focus on recruitment in the regions, and especially in rural areas, than in the urban Russian heartland.
13/ In Buryatia in particular, large numbers of people were taken from villages across the region. This is likely to have a long-lasting demographic impact: 1 in every 18 mobilised people killed in the war is a Buryat. /end
1/ One of Russia's richest women is allegedly rueing Yevgeny Prigozhin's demise: she will no longer be able to join wealthy convicts and organised crime bosses in paying a large bribe to 'enlist' with the Wagner Group, stay somewhere safe and get a pardon after six months. ⬇️
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that Prigozhin's death has "buried the market for buying parole from prison under the guise of criminals' participation in the war." They were kept safe in Wagner-run hospitals before returning to freedom with a pardon from Putin.
3/ According to the VChK-OGPU's sources, Prigozhin's plane crash came at a particularly bad time for Olga Mirimskaya, who was allegedly negotiating a $5 million fee to become – notionally at least – Wagner's first female mercenary.
1/ A Russian nationalist symbol has become the latest target of paranoia about anything that looks even slightly like the flag of Ukraine. The police were called after a wreath in blue, yellow and red was left at a Moscow memorial. ⬇️
2/ The wreath was in the colours of the flag of the Rostov region and the short-lived Don Cossack Republic rather than the blue and yellow of the Ukrainian flag, but a local resident reportedly overlooked the red colour and thought it was a pro-Ukrainian wreath.
3/ It had been laid at the equestrian statue to Cossack ataman (leader) Matvei Platov in Moscow's Lefortovo Park. The wreath was presumably left to mark the anniversary of Platov's birth on 19 August 1753. He commanded the Don Cossacks in the Napoleonic wars.
1/ A senior Russian officer has been arrested and charged with embezzlement and taking bribes for the demilitarisation of old tanks and infantry fighting vehicles. Colonel Ilya Timofeev is accused of taking bribes worth millions of rubles and plundering military funds. ⬇️
2/ The Russian newspaper Kommersant reports on the arrest of Colonel Timofeev, the head of the Recycling Service of the Main Armored Directorate (GABTU) of the Russian Ministry of Defence. He has been placed in a pre-trial detention centre to prevent him fleeing Russia.
3/ The colonel was investigated by the FSB's Military Counterintelligence Department (DVKR) and the military investigation branch of the Investigative Committee, roughly Russia's equivalent of the FBI. He was arrested at the end of August 2023.
1/ A study shows that there are large differences in pay and mortality rates for Russian soldiers from different parts of the country. Men from Moscow and St Petersburg are paid far more and have a lower chance of dying than those from poor regions like Chuvashia or Buryatia. ⬇️
2/ The independent Russian news outlet Govorit NeMoskva has reviewed military pay, benefits and mortality rates across Russia. It has found that St Petersburg – Vladimir Putin's home town – is by far the most generous, paying six times more than the lowest-paying regions.
3/ At the same time, soldiers from Moscow and St Petersburg have significantly lower mortality rates that those from Buryatia, Tuva and North Ossetia – all three of which are among Russia's poorest regions.
1/ Will the real Vakhtin stand up? SOTA highlights an absurd situation in Russia's regional elections – a ballot paper on which six candidates of the same surname are listed, in an apparent effort to bury the real challenger to the United Russia candidate. ⬇️
2/ The ballot paper above is from the elections to the Council of People's Deputies of the Semiluksky District in the Voronezh region. It lists Alexey Viktorovich, Anatoly Anatolyevich, Anton Valentinovich, Viktor Anatolievich, Vladimir Ivanovich and Evgeniy Anatolyevich Vakhtin.
3/ The real Vakhtin – the candidate for the Rodina party – is Vladimir Ivanovich. Notably, the Vakhtins' names are not listed alphabetically, burying him in the middle of a swarm of fake Vakhtins. The other five Vakhtins are all self-nominated candidates.
1/ Chechen dictator Ramzan Kadyrov is reported to have had his Deputy Prime Minister and former Minister of Health Elkham Elkhan Suleymanov buried alive on suspicion of poisoning him. Suleymanov has neither been seen nor heard from since October 2022. ⬇️
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that several sources say that Kadyrov's entourage became suspicious of Suleymanov after Kadyrov's health deteriorated sharply. The channel says that Kadyrov's cronies "began to assure him that he was the victim of poisoning."
3/ "Kadyrov himself held the same view, and he vented his anger on Suleymanov. According to the source, Suleymanov personally administered certain injections to Kadyrov, and the latter decided that the deterioration of his health was connected with them."