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Sep 15 17 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
While global attention is primarily on the counter-offensive in the South, there has been noteworthy yet often unnoticed progress in the southernmost part of Bakhmut's defenses. In this thread, I will provide the latest information about Kurdyumivka and its significance.🧵Thread: Image
2/ Kurdyumivka, a small town situated to the south of Bakhmut, holds a tactical advantage due to its elevated position. It offers crucial control over vital roadways connecting Horlivka and Bakhmut, encompassing both highways and railway lines. Image
3/ As illustrated in this image, maintaining control over Kurdyumivka and the eastern heights affords the ability to establish effective fire control and disrupt the enemy's logistical route from Horlivka and Svitlodarsk to Bakhmut, which passes in close proximity to Kurdyumivka Image
4/ Kurdyumivka presents a formidable challenge as a target due to its elevated position in relation to advancing Ukrainian forces, as well as its separation by bodies of water, including this channel, with a restricted number of bridges available for crossing Image
5/ During June and July 2023, the 28th brigade exerted substantial pressure, forcing russian retreat across the channel and setting the stage for further advances towards Kurdyumivka. This time-lapse video documents the progress
6/ In a successful June operation, the 28th brigade's mechanized battalion destroyed the enemy battalion and captured fortified positions, bolstering security for the advancing northern sector forces. Image
7/ Upon seizing fortified positions, navigating minefields, and crossing a water channel, the 28th brigade faced formidable resistance from the 1428th Rgt, the 57th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Bde, and elements of the Akhmat-North Rgt and St. George Reconnaissance Assault Bde Image
8/ The area north of Kurdyumivka has transformed into a fierce battleground, with the russians heavily fortifying their defenses to halt any northern advances. The vivid imagery highlights the intense combat that unfolded, with every meter of land fiercely contested. Image
9/ The stark comparison between August and September reveals the extent of destruction in the area, which was liberated from the russians despite their numerical advantage and the support of Lancets, FPV drones, artillery, and Ka-52 helicopters providing cover. Image
10/ This brief video offers a general overview of the 28th's summer campaign, starting with the clearance of defensive lines along the eastern side of the channel, which forced elements from multiple brigades and regiments to retreat. It then secured a land route into Kurdyumivka
11/ The second phase involved a northern push, with support from neighboring brigades. This enabled the 28th to engage the enemy from both the northern and eastern flanks simultaneously, forcing the enemy to abandon their positions and retreat beyond the railroad to higher ground
12/ Lancets, as well as the Ka-52 helicopters, located around 105km from Kurdyumivka, pose a significant threat due to the absence of good AD cover. With a substantial supply of Vikhr AT-missiles at their disposal, these Ka-52s compel our units to heavily rely on infantry on foot Image
13/ Despite adversity and against all odds, the 28th Brigade forced the 1428th Rgt and units from the 51st, 31st, and 7th (assault-recon) brigades to retreat across the railroad, abandoning their positions north of Kurdyumivka. The brigade still controls the dam in Kurdyumivka. Image
14/ Naturally, the 28th brigade does not operate in isolation; it receives support from other units. These forward advances often come with losses. However, in comparison, russian forces bear an even heavier burden of losses and continue to retreat
15/ While artillery remains crucial, drones are vital for fire correction, reconnaissance, assaults, defense, and maneuvers. Given the high drone casualty rate in this war, brigades rely on a constant supply from civilian organizations
16/ This is an excellent example fundraiser currently raising money to assist the 32nd and 28th brigades with drones. Feel free to check and contribute to support them:

17/ Thank you for reading. If you found this thread interesting, please assist by liking and sharing the first message of the thread, as it greatly contributes to improving the post's visibility via the algorithm.

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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Sep 16
While many experts have provided valuable assessments on the potential submarine damage in Sevastopol, I'd like to add some additional context. After further analyzing and comparing the latest images, I've identified a few noteworthy details. 🧵Thread Image
2/When comparing @BlackSky_Inc 's imagery from September 13th with Planet's from September 15th, I've noticed a green tarp on the submarine's rear section. While its exact purpose is unclear, its presence is unusual, hinting at alleged efforts to conceal something. Image
3/ A quite interesting detail is the appearance of objects resembling water cannons spraying water. Due to image quality limitations, I'll avoid speculations, as image quality prevents me from definitive conclusions, but it's worth noting as another unusual element in the imagery Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 14
Preliminary BDA assessment thread on successful Yevpatoria attack: tonight, videos surfaced, showing explosions in close vicinity to Yevpatoria. Satellite imagery confirms S-400 battery engagement, destroying at least one S-400 TEL near Zaozerne.
🧵Thread: Image
2/ Based on scorch marks and debris, it appears that at least one S-400 Transporter Erector Launcher (TEL) was destroyed. Typically, the S-400 complex includes a command and control center (a truck), two radar units for engagement and acquisition, and multiple TEL's Image
3/ It appears that other vehicles are in motion, having left their revetments, indicating an attempt to relocate. Notably, the absence of the all-altitude detector 96L6-1 suggests that it either wasn't originally present or was the first vehicle removed from the site Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 14
Preliminary BDA assessment thread on successful Yevpatoria attack: tonight, videos surfaced, showing explosions in close vicinity to Yevpatoria. Satellite imagery confirms S-400 battery engagement, destroying at least one S-400 TEL near Zaozerne. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ Based on scorch marks and debris, it appears that at least one S-400 Transporter Erector Launcher (TEL) was destroyed. Typically, the S-400 complex includes a command and control center (a truck), two radar units for engagement and acquisition, and multiple TEL's Image
3/ It appears that other vehicles are in motion, having left their revetments, indicating an attempt to relocate. Notably, the absence of the all-altitude detector 96L6E suggests that it either wasn't originally present or was the first vehicle removed from the site Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 7
1/ As of September 7, 2023, based on satellite imagery from September 6th shared in this thread and comparative analysis, it is clear that Ukrainian forces are inflicting significant damage on russian fortified defenses in the vicinity of Verbove and Novoprokopivka.

🧵Thread: Image
2/ While I cannot definitively confirm troop control from imagery alone, it's clear that the russian forces are encountering intense artillery fire. The obliterated positions behind the 'Surovikin line' near Verbove suggest they may be struggling to defend the area. Image
3/ This image, captured a week ago, can serve as a valuable point of comparison, indicating that the pressure on russian defenses has been consistently maintained. Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 5
To delve deeper into the topic of Russia's ability to refurbish and modernize their stored tanks, I would like to introduce further updates, images, data, and ultimately, share my conclusions on the subject.

But first, let's examine the Kamensk-Shakhtinsky facility. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ I'd like to emphasize that the scope of the conversation is not centered on tank storage bases but rather on refurbishing and modernization capabilities. I intend to provide an estimate of their capacities and track recent developments in the Kamensk-Shakhtinsky area
3/ It's probable that the 72nd factory operates or will operate within the confines of the 91st Central Reserve Base for Motor Vehicles or its immediate vicinity. In September 2022, Russian Prime Minister Mishustin announced: Image
Read 16 tweets
Aug 31
Recently, the Russians released a manual outlining tactics to counter Ukrainian assaults. This guide draws from recent encounters with the 23rd Mechanized Brigade in June and July 2023, particularly during their liberation of Novodarivka and Levadne. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ It's crucial to note that the Russians are presenting their perspective on Ukrainian units and their actions, based on their experience with a single Ukrainian mechanized brigade. This viewpoint should be carefully weighed before extrapolating it to the whole frontline.
3/ Russians describe the following configuration used by Ukrainian units:

Assault teams comprise 20 members, divided into four subgroups of five. Two groups are assault subgroups. The third serves as a consolidation subgroup. The fourth functions as a reserve subgroup. Image
Read 14 tweets

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