The UK government recently published their 2023 edition of the National Risk Register (NRR).

This document is a summary of the most serious risks facing our country.

The risks identified are then grouped into 9 core risk themes.

Can you guess what the #1 top risk is?

🧵 Image
So here’s the Risk Matrix for the UK. It plots the likelihood vs impact for each key risk.

There’s one that stands out from the crowd…

Number 54.

Its impact is great enough to be considered ‘catastrophic’ & its likelihood is considerably higher than other catastrophic risks. Image
Here’s the key 👇🏻

Let’s see how long it takes you to find that ‘riskiest of all risks’, number 54. Image
Ah look, there it is…

Number 54.

The riskiest of all risks.

‘PANDEMIC’

Surprise, surprise. Image
To summarise:

The National Risk Register (NRR) documents the most serious risks facing our country.

It has identified ‘Pandemics’ as being the number 1 risk facing the UK. Image
So what’s the point of this Risk Register?

This is explained in the foreword:

“We are giving businesses & other organisations as much information as possible about the risks they face, so that they can use this knowledge to support their own planning, preparation and response.” Image
So if the whole point of the risk register is to help the UK with its preparedness to tackle the key risks identified…

…and the number one key risk identified is ‘pandemics’…

…why the hell aren’t we doing more to prepare for it?
The current pandemic is far from over & the government are already doing a pretty poor job of handling that one.

They’ve installed enhanced air filtration systems in Parliament, MoD & DfE HQ…

…but refused to install air filters in schools, hospitals & other public spaces.
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They’ve systematically dismantled & obfuscated the entire Covid data surveillance system to the point where no one can be quite clear on what’s going on…

Thread 🧵👇🏻
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They’ve massively reduced the eligibility criteria for the Covid vaccine and are using up older outdated vaccines rather than investing in the new updated XBB vaccine used in the US, Canada and many other countries.
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They’re encouraging children with symptoms of Covid to come to school anyway and spread it to all of their classmates & teachers, starting countless new chains of transmission.

Last Autumn term (2022/23), 12.4% of all pupils missed 10% or more sessions due to illness alone.
Image
They’ve removed all masking, self-isolation & routine Covid testing mandates for both staff & patients in hospitals.

Even before this guidance, 30% of patients in hospital with Covid had caught it there.

It will almost certainly be worse now but is no longer tracked.
Image
The National Risk Register includes a section specifically addressing the Covid pandemic.

It reiterates that:

“The most significant risk to materialise in the UK has been the COVID-19 pandemic. This has impacted all aspects of society & will have consequences into the future.” Image
It goes on to say:

“The risk of a pandemic has long been identified as one of the most serious risks facing the UK.”

…and…

“The lessons from COVID-19 have been incorporated into the government's risk assessment methodology.”

Uh oh. 😳 Image
Seriously though, if pandemics really are the number one risk facing the UK, why on earth aren’t we investing in clear air technologies, like improved ventilation & air filtration, NOW?

…particularly in places like schools and hospitals?
Image
Improving ventilation & air filtration doesn’t just reduce transmission of Covid, it works for ALL airborne diseases.

It will future proof us against future pandemics, as well as reducing the spread of the current one.

We need a clean air revolution!

northwestbylines.co.uk/environment/po…
If you’re interested in reading the full 2023 U.K. National Risk Register document, you can find the link below 👇🏻

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
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More from @_CatintheHat

Mar 22
MENINGITIS B TRANSMISSION

There’s been a lot of discussion online and in the media about how exactly Meningitis B spreads.

A lot of it is conflicting & confusing.

So let’s put opinions & hearsay aside and take a proper look at what the latest science actually tells us…

🧵 Image
The UK National Institute for Health & Care Excellence (NICE) states that bacterial meningitis and meningococcal disease is transmitted by the following 3 modes:

▪️ aerosol
▪️droplets
▪️direct contact

cks.nice.org.uk/topics/meningi…Image
The first of these modes of transmission, AEROSOL, has been the subject of heated debate.

Let’s look at why…

Notice the second line:

“Transmission usually requires either frequent or prolonged close contact.”

At first, this may seem contradictory with aerosol transmission… Image
Read 22 tweets
Mar 19
COVID INQUIRY: MODULE 3 REPORT

“Fundamental flaws in the UK’s approach to IPC [infection prevention & control] guidance, for example in relation to the use of PPE, put patients and healthcare workers at risk.”

— Baroness Hallett, Chair of the Covid Inquiry

Read more here… ⬇️
These are the words we were all hoping to hear:

“Initial guidance on preventing the spread of infection was flawed. It assumed the virus was spread by contact transmission, failing properly to consider the extent to which it was also spread by AIRBORNE transmission.” Image
But it wasn’t just the “initial guidance” that was flawed!

To this very day, the IPC guidance STILL does not reflect the latest science on AIRBORNE transmission.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Last week, CATA released two explosive reports which revealed a scandal of monumental proportions.

Flawed decisions were made at the start of the Covid pandemic - and then covered up for years to come.

In this series of videos, @SafeDavid3 talks us through the key findings…
The CATA Executive team have worked tirelessly in their pursuit of the truth, forensically analysing over 17,000 Covid Inquiry documents & submitting countless FOI requests.

Concerningly, they discovered around 100 key emails which have not been disclosed to the Covid Inquiry…
Their report explores 7 separate occasions when the IPC Cell was challenged re: the adequacy of its guidance on respiratory protection for healthcare workers.

This included challenges from PHE/UKHSA, Chief Nursing Officers & even the CMO.

Each time, concerns were brushed aside.
Read 17 tweets
Mar 16
In honour of #LongCOVIDAwarenessDay, I’d like to present some important data from the latest GP-Patient survey.

This is a HUGE survey with a sample size of ~700K people in England (5x bigger than ONS’s Covid survey).

In this thread, I’ll walk you through some key findings…

/1 Image
According to the GP-Patient survey:

🚨4.2% of people say they DO have Long Covid. That equates to around 2.3M people in England.

🚨A further 9.5% (~5.3M) say they ‘don’t know’.

So potentially as many as 7.6M people in England either have Long Covid or suspect they might.

/2 Image
The fact that 9.5% of people said they “don’t know” if they have long Covid is actually not surprising.

It’s a HUGE number of people who suspect something isn’t right but don’t have clarity…

…and once you think about how Covid is diagnosed, it makes perfect sense.

/3
Read 23 tweets
Mar 14
CATA's reports are a truly remarkable piece of forensic investigation & took literally YEARS to put together.

The fact it’s taken so long is a fundamental part of the story.

For example: it took a whopping 27 MONTHS to extricate one document from the DHSC via an Fol request... Image
And it took 17 MONTHS to elicit a set of draft minutes from IPC Cell meetings which took place in Dec 2020 - and only following a direct order by the ICO.

This doc is one of the most damning pieces of evidence in the report as it reveals how minutes were fundamentally altered. Image
PHE & UKHSA have been similarly obstructive in providing information in a timely fashion.

The statutory requirement of FoIs is to provide the info requested within 20 working days…

…but it took over 300 WORKING DAYS (roughly 14 MONTHS) to finally extricate one key document. Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 10
In 2023, the British Council for Offices (BCO) updated the ventilation guidance for offices:

💨 The *minimum* recommended ventilation rate was increased from 12 to 14 litres of outdoor air per sec per person.

Now guess what the ventilation rate is in a typical UK classroom…❓ Image
Since 2022, the Schools Air quality Monitoring for Health & Education (SAMHE) project has monitored indoor air quality in hundreds of schools across the UK.

Shockingly, their data revealed that the ventilation rate in a typical UK classroom is just 5.3 litres per sec per person. Image
Worse still, the data shows the average ventilation rate plummets to just 3.8 litres per sec per person in colder weather.

Now compare this to the MINIMUM recommended ventilation rate for offices of 14 litres per sec per person.

Schools are achieving just a fraction of this! Image
Read 18 tweets

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