The UK government recently published their 2023 edition of the National Risk Register (NRR).

This document is a summary of the most serious risks facing our country.

The risks identified are then grouped into 9 core risk themes.

Can you guess what the #1 top risk is?

🧵 Image
So here’s the Risk Matrix for the UK. It plots the likelihood vs impact for each key risk.

There’s one that stands out from the crowd…

Number 54.

Its impact is great enough to be considered ‘catastrophic’ & its likelihood is considerably higher than other catastrophic risks. Image
Here’s the key 👇🏻

Let’s see how long it takes you to find that ‘riskiest of all risks’, number 54. Image
Ah look, there it is…

Number 54.

The riskiest of all risks.

‘PANDEMIC’

Surprise, surprise. Image
To summarise:

The National Risk Register (NRR) documents the most serious risks facing our country.

It has identified ‘Pandemics’ as being the number 1 risk facing the UK. Image
So what’s the point of this Risk Register?

This is explained in the foreword:

“We are giving businesses & other organisations as much information as possible about the risks they face, so that they can use this knowledge to support their own planning, preparation and response.” Image
So if the whole point of the risk register is to help the UK with its preparedness to tackle the key risks identified…

…and the number one key risk identified is ‘pandemics’…

…why the hell aren’t we doing more to prepare for it?
The current pandemic is far from over & the government are already doing a pretty poor job of handling that one.

They’ve installed enhanced air filtration systems in Parliament, MoD & DfE HQ…

…but refused to install air filters in schools, hospitals & other public spaces.
Image
They’ve systematically dismantled & obfuscated the entire Covid data surveillance system to the point where no one can be quite clear on what’s going on…

Thread 🧵👇🏻
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They’ve massively reduced the eligibility criteria for the Covid vaccine and are using up older outdated vaccines rather than investing in the new updated XBB vaccine used in the US, Canada and many other countries.
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They’re encouraging children with symptoms of Covid to come to school anyway and spread it to all of their classmates & teachers, starting countless new chains of transmission.

Last Autumn term (2022/23), 12.4% of all pupils missed 10% or more sessions due to illness alone.
Image
They’ve removed all masking, self-isolation & routine Covid testing mandates for both staff & patients in hospitals.

Even before this guidance, 30% of patients in hospital with Covid had caught it there.

It will almost certainly be worse now but is no longer tracked.
Image
The National Risk Register includes a section specifically addressing the Covid pandemic.

It reiterates that:

“The most significant risk to materialise in the UK has been the COVID-19 pandemic. This has impacted all aspects of society & will have consequences into the future.” Image
It goes on to say:

“The risk of a pandemic has long been identified as one of the most serious risks facing the UK.”

…and…

“The lessons from COVID-19 have been incorporated into the government's risk assessment methodology.”

Uh oh. 😳 Image
Seriously though, if pandemics really are the number one risk facing the UK, why on earth aren’t we investing in clear air technologies, like improved ventilation & air filtration, NOW?

…particularly in places like schools and hospitals?
Image
Improving ventilation & air filtration doesn’t just reduce transmission of Covid, it works for ALL airborne diseases.

It will future proof us against future pandemics, as well as reducing the spread of the current one.

We need a clean air revolution!

northwestbylines.co.uk/environment/po…
If you’re interested in reading the full 2023 U.K. National Risk Register document, you can find the link below 👇🏻

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
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More from @_CatintheHat

Sep 10
SCHOOL ATTENDANCE 🧵

Are you a headteacher losing sleep over how to improve your pupil attendance rates?

If so, THIS 👇🏻 is the most important chart you need to see.

This chart holds the answer to your problem.

And, even better, it’s a fixable problem.

Read on… 🧵 Image
Pupil absences due to illness alone have increased from a pre-pandemic average of 2.6% up to 3.9%.

That’s a 50% rise!

The pandemic has been going on so long, it seems we’ve forgotten what it was like before.

Children never used to be off school sick nearly as much as this. Image
Now let’s look specifically at this time last year: last Autumn term 2022/23.

This is when our kids were hit hardest.

By the end of that term, absences purely due to illness were even higher than they’d been the year before when the first Omicron wave had just hit full force. Image
Read 30 tweets
Sep 9
𝙐𝙆 𝙃𝙎𝘼: “𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝘾𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨!”

In this thread, I’ll share the Top 5 things that @UKHSA are doing to prioritise protecting us from Covid-19…

🧵
1/

“𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝘾𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨…”

…so we’ve removed all masking, self-isolation & routine Covid testing mandates for both staff & patients in hospitals.
2/

“𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝘾𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨…”

…so we’re encouraging children with symptoms of Covid to come to school anyway and spread it to all of their classmates & teachers.
Read 6 tweets
Sep 8
“𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝘾𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨!”

In this thread, I’ll unpack all the wonderful things that @UKHSA are doing to prioritise protecting us from Covid-19…

🧵


“𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝘾𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨!”

…so we’ve removed all masking, self-isolation & Covid testing mandates in hospitals.

👇🏻
“𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝘾𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨!”

…so we’re encouraging children with symptoms of Covid to come to school anyway and spread it to all of their classmates & teachers.

👇🏻
Read 6 tweets
Sep 7
👀 Scotland have updated their Covid wastewater signal today.

It’s now DOUBLE the previous high from the whole of the last 12 months.

This isn’t just a little ‘blip’, we’re looking at some serious exponential growth here.

@UKHSA @SRileyIDD, are you paying attention?

🧵 Image
Many people don’t truly understand the implications of exponential growth.

The problem is that, if something is doubling at a constant rate, the first few doublings don’t make a lot of difference…

But then… whoosh! 

1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, 1024, 2048… Image
It’s extremely disappointing that we don’t have any Covid wastewater surveillance for the rest of U.K. anymore…

📍England: funding axed in March 2022

📍Northern Ireland: funding axed in March 2023

📍Wales: funding axed in August 2023

We’re flying blind.

Image
Image
Image
Read 8 tweets
Sep 6
😁 If your child has Covid, feel free to send them in to school anyway!

😁 Don’t worry that they’ll then spread it around to all of their classmates, starting dozens of new chains of transmission.

😁 Don’t worry that nearly a QUARTER of those kids will end up with Long Covid.
Image
Link to full guidance here:

nhs.uk/live-well/is-m…
Oh, and by the way, it’s the same guidance in hospitals…

If you have symptoms of Covid but feel well enough to work, feel free to spread your germs to all your sick patients.

No need to take an LFT test.

Just slap on a baggy blue mask (if you can be bothered) and crack on! Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 4
CHILDREN & SCHOOLS, a thread 🧵

Rachel de Souza (@ChildrensComm) was on TV yesterday talking about the attendance crisis in schools.

The narrative she gave was extremely misleading and it’s disappointing that none of the journalists around that table challenged her on it…
For starters, we are NOT post-pandemic.

Right now, the number of daily new symptomatic Covid cases in the UK is HIGHER than at the same time in any other year of the pandemic.

In fact, it’s currently even higher than it was during any of the 3 national lockdowns! Image
Over 1.1 MILLION people are currently estimated to be symptomatic with Covid across the U.K., with over 90,000 daily new cases.

And this is BEFORE kids have returned to school, which we know will inevitably make things a whole lot worse. Image
Read 47 tweets

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