The UK government recently published their 2023 edition of the National Risk Register (NRR).
This document is a summary of the most serious risks facing our country.
The risks identified are then grouped into 9 core risk themes.
Can you guess what the #1 top risk is?
🧵
So here’s the Risk Matrix for the UK. It plots the likelihood vs impact for each key risk.
There’s one that stands out from the crowd…
Number 54.
Its impact is great enough to be considered ‘catastrophic’ & its likelihood is considerably higher than other catastrophic risks.
Here’s the key 👇🏻
Let’s see how long it takes you to find that ‘riskiest of all risks’, number 54.
Ah look, there it is…
Number 54.
The riskiest of all risks.
‘PANDEMIC’
Surprise, surprise.
To summarise:
The National Risk Register (NRR) documents the most serious risks facing our country.
It has identified ‘Pandemics’ as being the number 1 risk facing the UK.
So what’s the point of this Risk Register?
This is explained in the foreword:
“We are giving businesses & other organisations as much information as possible about the risks they face, so that they can use this knowledge to support their own planning, preparation and response.”
So if the whole point of the risk register is to help the UK with its preparedness to tackle the key risks identified…
…and the number one key risk identified is ‘pandemics’…
…why the hell aren’t we doing more to prepare for it?
The current pandemic is far from over & the government are already doing a pretty poor job of handling that one.
They’ve installed enhanced air filtration systems in Parliament, MoD & DfE HQ…
…but refused to install air filters in schools, hospitals & other public spaces.
They’ve systematically dismantled & obfuscated the entire Covid data surveillance system to the point where no one can be quite clear on what’s going on…
They’ve massively reduced the eligibility criteria for the Covid vaccine and are using up older outdated vaccines rather than investing in the new updated XBB vaccine used in the US, Canada and many other countries.
They’re encouraging children with symptoms of Covid to come to school anyway and spread it to all of their classmates & teachers, starting countless new chains of transmission.
Last Autumn term (2022/23), 12.4% of all pupils missed 10% or more sessions due to illness alone.
The National Risk Register includes a section specifically addressing the Covid pandemic.
It reiterates that:
“The most significant risk to materialise in the UK has been the COVID-19 pandemic. This has impacted all aspects of society & will have consequences into the future.”
It goes on to say:
“The risk of a pandemic has long been identified as one of the most serious risks facing the UK.”
…and…
“The lessons from COVID-19 have been incorporated into the government's risk assessment methodology.”
Uh oh. 😳
Seriously though, if pandemics really are the number one risk facing the UK, why on earth aren’t we investing in clear air technologies, like improved ventilation & air filtration, NOW?
…particularly in places like schools and hospitals?
Are you a headteacher losing sleep over how to improve your pupil attendance rates?
If so, THIS 👇🏻 is the most important chart you need to see.
This chart holds the answer to your problem.
And, even better, it’s a fixable problem.
Read on… 🧵
Pupil absences due to illness alone have increased from a pre-pandemic average of 2.6% up to 3.9%.
That’s a 50% rise!
The pandemic has been going on so long, it seems we’ve forgotten what it was like before.
Children never used to be off school sick nearly as much as this.
Now let’s look specifically at this time last year: last Autumn term 2022/23.
This is when our kids were hit hardest.
By the end of that term, absences purely due to illness were even higher than they’d been the year before when the first Omicron wave had just hit full force.