Thread by @CoinGurruu

The Ultimate Memecoin Trading Guide

Put together a massive thread that covers all the tricks/tips I've learned to become profitable trading low caps

I've hit countless 100-1000x's using some of these strategies

Let's take a look:

1) Buying dips using 40%/60%/80-90% strategy:

The 40% strat:
- Coins with high volume/narrative/constant ATH retests don't often reach the 60% pullback
- Dips become shallower when the coin begins to go parabolic (25-35%)
- When dips get to less than 20%, blow off the top soon

2) Buying dips 40% strat P2:
- Holders usually go parabolic during this phase
- Check Twitter Cashtags, few posts a minute gives you a good idea
- Once the blow off happens, thats when you get your first 60% pullback
- That first 60% pullback should be bought (2-3x+ follows)

3) Buying dips 60% strat:
- 60% pullback is the pattern you will see the most
- Aligns with the .618 Fib retrace + the Golden Pocket (.618-.65)
- Works on nearly every coin
- Volume must follow to back up the retrace
- You buy the first 60%, 2/3rd are a lot more risky

4) Buying dips 60% strat P2:
- Works on fresh launches, if it isn't doing the 40%- that first 60% pullback likely sends it to ATH's and beyond
- Can go as deep as 65%, if the 60% fails you'll be looking at a 80-90% retrace
- Highest strike rate when it has confluence w/prev ath

5) Buying dips 80-90% strat:
- First demand area forms after launch (OB) - Price gravitates towards it
- Usually get ample time to buy/retests as token is deemed "dead"
- Buy volume has to stay consistent
- Distribution gets better
- Higher risk- betting on the team + community

6) Buying dips 80-90% strat P2:
- Stick to LTFs when drawing the demand area (1s/1m/5m)
- Rounded bottoms form- invalidation is easier (below OB/bottom of the range)
- Usually comes from a heavily sniped launch + some type of FUD
- Betting on the team to deliver

7) Buying dips 80-90% strat P3: Understanding it:
- Insiders/Snipers/Twitter runs it up first
- Large holders dump + FUD
- Community stays strong, holders increase
- Snipers out - Less holders with 2%+ of supply (needed)
- Devs ship
- People who TP'd on initial run chase again

8) How to play launches:

Types of launches:
1) Presale launch
2) Fair launch

Let's break down the price action + how to trade them below

9) Trading presale launches:
- Never ape the first candle unless you're sniping
- Small window to exit (1-2hrs)
- Don't knife catch - wait until it forms a range below listing price
- Track presale wallets
- Entry: Buy range lows/ Buy breakout retest
- Exit: TP Post listing high

10) Trading fair launches:
- Fresh narrative + volume - latter price action
- Extremely shallow pullbacks until parabola/trendline breaks
- Once trend breaks- first 60% pullback happens
- Chasing really only works under 300k mcap
- Buying first 60% pullback is a safer bet

11) Trading fair launches P2:
Two different types of price action
1) Latter price action (Volume + Hype + Narrative)
2) Consolidation/Sideways before expansion (Low holders + No cashtags + No tweets + Small community)

Latter PA is easier to trade - Sideways is a gamble

12) Trading fair launches P3:
Consolidation price action:
- If token launch doesn't go well (latter) teams dip
- Better to bet on sideways tokens that aren't a fork/late narrative token
- Between 20-50k mcap
- New narratives: Longer holdtime
- Recycled: Dump after an hour or 2

13) Using marketcaps as SR levels / TPs

Mcap Resistence:
- 100k
- 250-300k
- 850-1m
- 2.2-3m
- 7-12m
- 25-30m
- 100-200m

If your token is going up, flipping each mcap is a good sign it will move to the next target

If your token can't hold previous mcap resis, take profits

14) Marketcap support/resis P2:
- 1m is the main hurdle to get over
- 2-3m (depends on conditions) is where more hyped coins temp top
- 10m is usually the blow off area
- Clean 10m flip -> 20-30 follows
- Clean 30m flip -> Narrative leader and 100-200m+

15) Marketcap support/resis P3:
- If your coin fails to gain previous mcap support, take profits/dump bag
- The 3m-1m mcap dip is around a 60% pullback- good place to buy if you're targeting 10m
- Coins generally touch 12m-> flipping 10m hard easy road to 30m
- Use resis for TPs

16) Marketcap support/resis P4:
- Narrative leaders can pretty easily go to 20-30m
- Forks/Beta plays trade about 10% to the mcap of the leader (30m leader-> 3m mcap beta play)
- Any beta that runs above the 10% mark is rare
- Use the 10% idea to find TPs for beta plays

17) Sizing your trades:

- 0-50k: $50-$250
- 50-150k: $250-$500
- 150-500k: $500-$1000
- 500-1m: $1000-$2000
- 1m-3m: $2000-$5000
- 10m+ up to you

0-50k is incredibly risky- .1-.2 gets you 1-3% of the supply
1m+ is a bit "safer" as in- Proof of concept+ Community + Liquidity

18) Sizing your trades P2:
- Sizing also comes down to liq/mcap ratio. Coins launch with a 10-20% liq/mcap ratio (100k liq/1m mcap)
- Sizing at 20-50k: Clip in, dont 1 buy it. Attention on wallet + people will use you for exit liq
- Use large sells to enter / Large buys to exit

19) Trading the blowoff (above 100m)
- You'll usually get a blow off above 150-200m
- 100m then acts as support
- If 100m holds, expect the blow off high to be taken above
- Clear 200m+ -> 500m- 1b next target
- Can't clear 200m-> 100m hits again
- Lose 500m-> back to 200m

20) Tax vs no tax tokens:
- Memes with 1/1 or 2/2 tax don't nearly go as high with 0/0
- Memes with tax die around 2-3m
- Memes with no tax + narrative sky is the limit (Currently 20-30m is top)
- Coins w/product + taxes is ok, as long as user metrics are healthy

21) What type of shitcoin trader are u?
- Sniper
- Pullback trader
- Consolidation->Expansion trader

- Sniping is competitive + expensive for someone w/ a low bankroll
- Pullback trading w/ the 40/60/90 strat is easier, invalidation + targets set
- Consolidation- Buys sideways

22) Putting everything together

The ultimate strategy is the 40-60% pullback method, combine it with:
- Prev ATH support/resis
- Mcap support/resis
- Trendlines
- Fibs
- Narrative
- Leader or beta play?
- Cashtag research
- Holders increasing
- Volume
- Sizing
+ more

23) Here are some additional threads ive written that you may find helpful:

Finding coins early:
General writeup on memecoins:
Quick way to find a coin on a new chain: x.com/CoinGurruu/sta…
x.com/CoinGurruu/sta…
x.com/CoinGurruu/sta…

Spent 4+ hours on this and couldn't get to 30. Also spent $150 to be able to post this thread

I hope you found this informative and learned a thing or 2

RT's would be appreciated

Cheers