Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 21 3 tweets 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
AFU have continued to advance east and west of Robotyne the last week. The main focus is still to widen the penetration of the Surovikin line. Image
Better view of the Verbove section. I think AFU will continue to clear follow the trenches in to the east and south slowly expanding their salient. Image
I forgot to mention AFU took control of about 20km2 during the last week in the Robotyne area.

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More from @DefMon3

Sep 10
An overview of the Ukrainian frontline changes for the last week. Image
Legend
Old UA line, is the estimated UA forward line on 2023-09-02
Interactive map can be found here:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Image
Kupyansk - Svatove
No noticeable changes, but it's clear RuAF are trying to advance west of Svatove, but without any major success.
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Image
Read 12 tweets
Sep 5
The AFU are slowly establishing positions on the opposite side of the "river" in Kam'yans'ke, Zaporizhzhia. It's worth mentioning the "river" is probably pretty dry at this point.
Image
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This is what it looked like on July 17th when they were first geolocated on that side of the "river". Image
Kam'yans'ke, Zaporizhzhia Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 5
This morning multiple RU channels reported a UA offensive around Novodonets'ke, Novomaiors'ke and yesterday there were reports about activity around Shevchenko. Image
Reports this morning by RU telegram channels.

t.me/milinfolive/10…
t.me/aleksandr_skif…

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A bit later Alexander Khodakovsky posted this update:

"As a result, the enemy was able to come close to our positions, almost without suffering losses, landed troops"

t.me/aleksandr_skif…
Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 1
My current take on what's going on in Robotyne.
Russian forces are defending the trench system south of the town and are counter attacking towards the town. This is most likely the reason they keep claiming Ukraine have not liberated the town. Image
Ukrainian forces seem to work a lot with small dismounted infantry groups a the moment, trying to expand the salient south and east.
A small UA recon team was spotted at the town limits of Verbove a few days ago. I think it's unlikely the managed to consolidate position
Until I see something proving the opposite, I will assume RuAF are holding their defensive line successfully west of Verbove.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 29
Fireworks in Pskov. This is the home of the 76th GAAD
Read 7 tweets
Aug 28
An overview of units currently involved in fighting in the Robotyne direction.

Unit locations are not exact, nor do they represent the location of the entire unit. Image
I think it's fair to say he general consensus has been the UA advance during this offensive have been slow. But most analysts also agree there is a big unknown factor and that is the attrition ratio of the two forces fighting.
Over the last few months, RuAF have gradually allocated reserves for the defense of the Robotyne axis. A few weeks ago (a month?), they moved 7th Guards Mountain Air Assault Division from Kherson oblast towards Robotyne .
Read 9 tweets

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