Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Oct 1 13 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1) I’m not sure this is a serious question, but I’ll try to answer it seriously (thread).
2) First of all, they don’t. The US has spent $333 billion on border security since 2003, and Biden is proposing to spend a record $25 billion in 2024. Agencies enforcing border and immigration security employ over 84,000 people.
3) The US has given Ukraine aid worth $113 billion, with a significant portion of those funds going to replace outdated U.S. military equipment with upgraded, more capable hardware - something we would do anyway, though probably at a slower pace.
4) In August, Biden called for a new round of $24 billion aid to Ukraine. Even if you think that’s too much, it’s not “100x more” than the $25 billion he requested for border security, up $800 million from last year.
5) Whether it’s drug smuggling or migrants, the issues facing the US on its southern border are complicated and defy simple solutions. They are further complicated by our massive economic relationship with Mexico (our largest trading partner besides Canada) …
6) and by something we don’t like to talk about: vibrant US demand for recreation drugs and for illegal workers for many jobs Americans won’t do. It’s far from clear, to me, that the solutions to these problems lie solely or even mainly at the border.
7) In contrast, Putin’s invasion of Ukraine - along with Ukrainians’ determined resistance - offers a discrete and defined challenge to which we and our allies have, so far, responded surprisingly effectively.
8) Western resolve has not only denied Putin what he imagined would be an easy victory, it has given China pause to reconsider how the West (which it considered divided and decadent) might respond to a similar attack on Taiwan.
9) It should be noted that while the US has spent treasure, it hasn’t spent blood. Nor has it crossed any “red lines” that would provoke a wider war or a nuclear exchange, as critics like Musk have constantly predicted.
10) Finding an end-game in Ukraine is a genuine challenge. No one thinks we can pour endless amounts of money into the conflict. But if we are to negotiate a lasting peace, we need to do so from a position of strength, not a position of surrender.
11) Elon Musk runs several companies: electric cars, batteries, space rockets, and social media. Surely he should be able to appreciate that countries need to be able to tackle more than one challenge at a time.
12) Saying “we can’t deal with this challenge until this other one is solved” simply isn’t a luxury that history affords us.
@EricEEngineer But I appreciate your interest in my flying book nonetheless!

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More from @prchovanec

Sep 23
He’s not wrong. In fact, it’s a pretty accurate analogy - the US view of India (like NATO-member Turkey), is one of distrust and utility. But I’m less sympathetic to the view that it’s entirely unfair. (I’d love to see India become a closer, more trusted partner).
One problem is that India and the US share little common history, only mutual incomprehension. Ironically, China and the US actually share much more history - they have long been fascinated with and connected to each other, and this drives the relationship, for better or worse.
Similarly, Britain and India share much common history. This drives animosity, on the surface, but also much mutual understanding - the complex personality of Nehru being a prime example. But no such relationship exists between the US and India. They are enigmas to each other.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 19
1) I spent a lot of time traveling very widely around India in my youth. The thing you have to understand is that people in India see it as the center of the universe, around which everything else - and I mean everything - has always revolved.
2) This is true of most countries, to some extent. But it strikes people outside of India as particularly baffling because they see most things that happen in India, past and present, as of only tangential relevance to them, at best. It is FAR from the center of their universe.
3) But once you understand that this is how Indians in India (as opposed to Indians who have emigrated) see things, a lot of other things start to make sense.
Read 13 tweets
Sep 9
This is true. It is also why we just take care not to define natural rights so broadly (and blockheadedly) as to eviscerate what even the natural rights tradition has long recognized as core functions of government.
I’m not sure what right she’s talking about here - responses indicate it’s 2A (which is more of a constitutional right that advocates would argue derives from a natural right, but is not one per se). My response was more about rights in general, and has many applications.
At first glance, I actually thought she was talking about things like vaccination requirements and quarantines.
Read 16 tweets
Sep 3
I can answer Tyler Cowen’s question very simply: China’s chronic trade surplus reflect the fact that its economy is geared to produce more than it consumes. 1/ marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
This had the benefit of turbocharging investment and development. But it requires the rest of the world to consume more than it produces 2/
By 2008, it became unsustainable for China’s customers to go into deeper and deeper debt to pay for this. The result was a deep shock to China’s export economy 3/
Read 24 tweets
Jul 27
US real GDP (output) grew at an annualized q/q rate of +2.4% in Q2, after inflation, which was higher than the +2.0% expected. This is up from +2.0% in Q1. Image
I'm going to break down the numbers here, but if you'd rather read them in blog form, you can do it here. patrickchovanec.com/economy/gdp/u-…
There's also a lot of other U.S. economic data which you can review via my regularly updated "dashboard" here: patrickchovanec.com/economy/
Read 19 tweets
Jun 27
There’s a certain kind of authoritarian mindset that looks at a problem or controversy, and immediately responds with “ban it”. That’s Josh Hawley. He’d be burning books if it became socially acceptable.
And, you know, some books ARE awful, and spread a lot of harm. But I’m not one of those guys whose instinct is to “ban them”.
My solution to TikTok? Congress should pass a well-thought-out law laying out objective standards for data privacy. If TikTok (or anyone else) can meet them, good, if not, too bad. As for propaganda, I believe in raising awareness, but not banning ideas or platforms.
Read 4 tweets

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