Thomas C. Theiner Profile picture
Oct 1, 2023 14 tweets 5 min read Read on X
I am in Warsaw and was quite busy the last two weeks with the preparation for and then networking at the Heart of Europe International TV Festival... so I only found the time to work through two #Pentagon Ukraine Realignment papers.

So many new weapons for 🇺🇦 Ukraine 😃😃
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So let's begin with the coolest stuff - there is a classified Army emergency missile procurement for $187.4m... which it seems isn't GMLRS, as that is under another classified section: $71.3m of GMLRS are being acquired. So: if it isn't GMLRS... what could it be 😉
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Let's stay with missiles: $389.9m for Javelins - $148.5m for Javelins for Ukraine, and the rest to replace USMC TOW 2A/2B missiles delivered with the Bradleys.

Speaking of Bradleys: $681.6m for new M2A4 Bradleys, to free up additional M2A2 ODS and M113 for Ukraine, and also
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$61.9m Bradley ERA tiles to improve the armor of Ukraine's Bradleys and $9.8m spare parts. Also $215.7m for 25 × 137mm ammo for the Bradley's gun. This order doubles US 25mm ammo production for 2023.

Let's stay with ammo, as there is one amazing round on the way to Ukraine:
4/n
Ammo:

• $146.3m small arms ammo (5.56mm, 7.62mm, 0.50)
• $28.5m 40mm M433 high-explosive dual-purpose grenades
• $29.2m M67 fragmentation, M18 colored smoke & M106 obscurant grenades
• $12.9m for a variety of USMC grenades
• $12.7m M112 and other demolition munitions,
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incl. 40 pound cratering demolition charges.

But the most amazing ammo on the way to Ukraine are a whoping $134.5m in M1147 rounds for Abrams tanks!

The M1147 is the US Army's most modern (!) round and specifically designed to ruthlessly butcher enemy infantry in trenches!
6/n
Ukraine is also receiving M4A1 carbines, M240B machine guns, M2HB machine guns, M2A1 machine guns, 40mm Mk19 machine gun grenade launchers and M249 machine guns for $30.2m.

And $35.1m in night vision viewers and weapon night sights, as well as $16.5m thermal sights.
7/n
Before I come to a huge air defense surprise, a look at artillery ammo:

• $72.2m charges, fuzes, primers
• $357.4m M795 155mm rounds
• $59.5m M982A1 Excalibur rounds
• $19.2m 60mm, 81mm, 120mm mortar rounds
• $13.4m for M326A1 to replace M25A1 mortars sent to Ukraine
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This is a Patriot battery's AN/MPQ-65 radar. It covers +/- 120 degrees; which is ok if you have a Patriot belt to protect your forces.
But Ukraine needs to cover 360 degrees around its cities and - surprise- the US delivered a whole bunch of extra AN/MPQ-65 radars to Ukraine,
9/n Image
tripling the number of radars per battery! Now the Army is spending $130.4m to buy AN/MPQ-65A radars as replacement.

This explains why all russians attacks on Kyiv failed. Also the US sent Ukraine an extra $53m in AN/MPQ-64F1 Sentinel air defense radars for the NASAMS 2.
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The Pentagon also buys:

• $41.3 M88A2 Hercules ARVs
• $9.9m Special Operations Riverine Craft and $12.2 Light Tactical All-Terrain Vehicles (L-ATV), which were sent to Ukraine's Special Forces
• $10m M1132 Stryker mine rollers
• $16.7m M978A4 HEMTT fuel tankers
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• $0.5m M261 Hydra rocket pods
• $14.2m Hydra rockets
• $34.3m Mk 153 Shoulder-Launched Multipurpose Assault Weapon
• $14.8m AT-4 launchers and ammo
• $14.1m Mk 13 sniper rifles
• $104.9m JLTVs are being acquired to replace the armored Humvees sent to Ukraine
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And last but not least one more classified section: the US Navy has provided Ukraine with $80m worth of RIM-7 Sea Sparrow missiles for Ukraine's Buk air-defense missile launchers.

The legendary FrankenSAM is alive!!

I have seen it and it works :-)

In the next days I will
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try to find the time to work through the other three Pentagon Realignment files, with the weapons the Pentagon acquired in September.

So: stay tuned and Slava Ukraini!

14/end

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More from @noclador

Mar 2
Yesterday I posted a thread about American weapons and components in fighter aircraft and how Europe has to wean itself off them.

Today let's look at transport, tanker, maritime patrol, and airborne early warning aircraft.
(Tomorrow then trainer aircraft and drones)
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Transport aircraft come in two sizes: for strategic airlift or tactical airlift.
Simplified: strategic airlift transports materiel between continents and tactical airlift within a theater of operations.
For strategic airlift the choice for Europe is easy: A400M Atlas, because
2/n Image
it is the only strategic airlifter in production (C-17 Globemaster production ceased in 2015) and because the French were involved in its design the A400M Atlas comes with all key parts "Made in Europe".
Yes, it carries only half the payload of the C-17 Globemaster, but for
3/n Image
Read 25 tweets
Mar 1
Let's talk about American weapons and how Europe has to wean itself off them.
Part 1 of a long thread; this one looking at fighter jets.

First and foremost: Europe has to get all American made components out of all weapon systems produced in Europe. If Trump can shut down a
1/24 Image
European production line by withholding a component, then that component has to replaced... and if that is impossible, then that weapon system has no future and production has to end.
As for the F-35... Europe has nothing even close in combat capability. Best course will be
2/n Image
to see the existing deals through and then focus on acquiring Eurofighters and Rafales, both of which are way more capable than whatever junk russia sends up in the air.

The main issue will be that the Rafale's production line is running already at full capacity, while the
3/n Image
Read 24 tweets
Feb 25
The Gripen was designed by Sweden for Sweden's Bas 90 air base system and - truly - Sweden built the perfect fighter for Sweden's Bas 90 system... which resulted in a fighter no one but Sweden needs.

Bear with me as I explain a few things @Saab doesn't want you to know.
1/29 Image
Bas 90 was developed in the 1970s, when the Swedish Air Force was flying the Viggen (and some upgraded Draken). Bas 90 consisted of some 30+ reserve air bases with a 2,000+ metres (6,600+ ft) long main runway and 2-3 short runways of 800 metres (2,600 ft).
2/n Image
Here are the airbases of Kubbe (63°37'59.81"N 17°56'10.79"E) and Jokkmokk (66°29'48.43"N 20° 8'45.17") with the short runways highlighted in red.

Some of the short runways used public roads, but most were built specifically for the Bas 90 system in the 1980s.
3/n Image
Image
Read 29 tweets
Feb 22
I set out to create a table showing the reduction in British Infantry units between 1989 and 2025...

After doing Scotland, Wales and Yorkshire - I gave up.

For three reason:
a) the sheer size of it! The British Army had 100 infantry battalions in 1989 (not counting the
1/8 Image
nine battalions of the Ulster Defence Regiment).
b) the British Army's habit of reroling battalions every four years.
c) the disbanding of volunteer regiments in the early 1990s, then the merging of volunteer battalions into new volunteer regiments in the mid 1990s, and then
2/8
the disbanding of these new volunteer regiments some 5-6 years later, followed by the de-merging of some of the volunteer battalions.

In short: it was all very haphazard and chaotic!

So, instead here come the numbers about the British Army's infantry decline between 1989
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Feb 17
I spent my evening creating this graphic to show how much the 🇬🇧 British Army's armoured forces have atrophied since 1989:

• overall from 19 cavalry regiments to 9
• and from 14 armoured (tank) regiments to 2

This is no longer a credible force for peer-to-peer conflict.
1/4 Image
The picture is equally bad for other NATO armies, which however did not amalgamate their cavalry/armoured forces, but simply disbanded tank units.
These numbers of disbanded tank battalions for the main NATO nations are (1989 -> 2025):

🇺🇸 123 -> 31
🇩🇪 81 -> 5
🇫🇷 21 -> 4
2/4
🇮🇹 19 -> 3
🇳🇱 12 -> 0
🇪🇸 11 -> 4
🇩🇰 8 -> 1
🇧🇪 8 -> 0

On the other hand 🇵🇱 Poland has 18 tanks battalions (1 more than the 7 European nations listed above combined).
The war in Ukraine has shown that armies need massive numbers of tanks WITH an active protection system (APS)
3/4 Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 17
To give you an idea how irresponsible German politicians gutted the German Army, here is a list of its brigades in 1990 and when they were disbanded:

• Panzergrenadierbrigade 1 ❌ 2007
• Panzerbrigade 2 ❌ 1993
• Panzerbrigade 3 ❌ 1994
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 4 ❌ 1993
1/8
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 5 ❌ 1996
• Panzerbrigade 6 ❌ 1993
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 7 ❌ 2004
• Panzerbrigade 8 ❌ 1993
• 🇩🇪 Panzerlehrbrigade 9
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 10 ❌ 1993
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 11 ❌ 1993
• 🇩🇪 Panzerbrigade 12
2/n
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 13 ❌ 1994
• Panzerbrigade 14 ❌ 2008
• Panzerbrigade 15 ❌ 1993
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 16 ❌ 1994
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 17 ❌ 1993
• Panzerbrigade 18 ❌ 2008
• Panzergrenadierbrigade 19 ❌ 2002
• Panzerbrigade 20 ❌ 1992
3/n
Read 8 tweets

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