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Shashank Joshi Profile picture
@shashj
Oct 3 • 4 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
"Fifty-five Chinese sailors are feared dead after their nuclear submarine apparently got caught in a trap intended to ensnare British sub-surface vessels in the Yellow Sea...According to a secret UK report the seamen died following a catastrophic failure of the oxygen systems"
'The UK report into the fatal mission reads: 'Intelligence reports that on 21st of August there was an onboard accident whilst carrying out a mission in the Yellow Sea...Incident happened at 08.12 local resulting in the death of 55 crew members' dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
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Rumours of a missing Chinese sub had floated around around the date of the supposed incident described in the Mail story.
taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4978551
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More from @shashj

Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Sep 23
🧵 Whenever a Western government makes a contentious intelligence-based claim there is always a chorus of “WMD in Iraq!” Its worth taking a moment to reflect on how meaningless this usually is.
All intelligence is imperfect. That’s why intelligence assessments use probabilistic language. Uncertainty is unavoidable. Claims that are reflect this should generally be seen as more reliable than those than don’t (“slam dunk”).
There were a series of specific pathologies around Iraq intel. Some of them were addressed in things like the Butler review () & led to changes in assessment methods. That said, political leaders can always misrepresent intelligence claims if they want to.assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Read 7 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Sep 23
Pretty standard reply these days when discussing anything India related. No point reporting it as it never violates this site's rules.
Maybe I'll collect them in this thread. x.com/aloknayak_/sta…
"Brown sepoys" x.com/sujoy_sikdar/s…
Read 12 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Sep 19
"Post-Soviet Russia has never spent this much on the military...war expenditure has reached 37.3% of all budget spending, 2.5 times the pre-war average...By the end of 2023, army’s share of the total budget will not fall below 30%...twice pre-war level" wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/russ…
"Based on the government’s GDP forecast for 2023, an anticipated value of 150 trillion rubles, military spending will be no less than 6.4 percent of GDP. This is three times more than the average amount countries allocate to defense (2.1 percent of GDP)." wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/russ…
"The proportion of classified expenditures in the Russian budget was approximately 10 percent during the 2000s...Classified spending accounted for 19.2 percent of the budget in 2022 and reached 22.3 percent in the 2023 budget plan" wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/russ…
Read 6 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Sep 18
Wow. Looks like Canada will accuse India of an assassination on its soil. "Trudeau is accusing the gov't of India of being behind a fatal shooting on Canadian soil. Canadian citizen Hardeep Singh Nijjar was shot dead outside of a Sikh temple...on June 18" cbc.ca/news/politics/…
"Canadian national-security authorities have what they consider credible intelligence that India was behind the mid-June fatal shooting of Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a prominent Sikh leader in British Columbia designated a terrorist by New Delhi" theglobeandmail.com/politics/artic…
No wonder the Canada-India vibes at the G20 were so cold. Trudeau "calls on Indian government to cooperate with investigation. He says he raised these concerns directly with Indian PM Modi at the G20 last week."
x.com/aballinga/stat…
Read 9 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Sep 14
Every line of this obituary is better than the next. "His father, Lewis, a former army officer discharged during the First World War for insisting on fighting with a bow and arrow, left his mother when his son was five and became an artist in Paris" thetimes.co.uk/article/major-…
"He and his younger sister Eila went to live with their aristocratic uncle, Denis Wigan...His father allegedly lost the custody battle when the judge was told that he had no real job or permanent address, and that Wigan had scored a century for Eton." thetimes.co.uk/article/major-…
"Grahame learnt fluent Swahili and passable Lwo during his seven years with the King’s African Rifles. He played polo, climbed Mount Kilimanjaro and made a study of a genus of butterfly known as Charaxes." thetimes.co.uk/article/major-…
Read 4 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Sep 5
I'm late to the newest RUSI opus on Ukraine, but it's insightful as always. "Much of the data supporting the tactics that Ukraine’s international partners sought to train Ukrainian forces to adopt was based on operational analysis from the 20th century" static.rusi.org/Stormbreak-Spe…
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"Ukrainians also worked to degrade Russian tactical reserves using UAVs. Reconnaissance by day would locate Russian positions, which would be attacked at night using converted agricultural UAVs dropping RPGs" static.rusi.org/Stormbreak-Spe…
"These tactics were fairly binary in their viability. If Russian electronic warfare (EW) was active, the UAVs could not get in and usually were not committed. If there was a relaxation in electronic protection, the effects could be dramatic" static.rusi.org/Stormbreak-Spe…
Read 18 tweets

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