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COVID HOSPITALISATIONS, a threadπ§΅
In case anyone still believes that changing the Covid testing policy in hospitals back in April hasnβt really affected the hospitalisation data, this chart is just for you.
Please take a good look at it.
It tells a very interesting storyβ¦
In case anyone still believes that changing the Covid testing policy in hospitals back in April hasnβt really affected the hospitalisation data, this chart is just for you.
Please take a good look at it.
It tells a very interesting storyβ¦
You can quite clearly see the point where Covid hospitalisations decouple from the PCR positivity rateβ¦
β¦and itβs no coincidence that it falls on EXACTLY 1 April 2023.
β¦and itβs no coincidence that it falls on EXACTLY 1 April 2023.
1 April is the date that Covid testing policy in hospitals changed.
Since that date, there has been no routine Covid testing in hospitals, even for those with Covid symptoms.
Since that date, there has been no routine Covid testing in hospitals, even for those with Covid symptoms.
Since 1 April, PCR tests have only been given to those where having a Covid diagnosis would change their prescribed clinical treatment plan.
Even clinically vulnerable patients eligible for anti-viral treatment are only given an LFT test.
gov.uk/guidance/covidβ¦
Even clinically vulnerable patients eligible for anti-viral treatment are only given an LFT test.
gov.uk/guidance/covidβ¦
And yet, despite there now being no routine Covid testing for hospital admissions, weβve still seen a rapid increase in Covid hospitalisations over the last 3 months.
Itβs not just increased a bit; itβs QUADRUPLED!
Itβs not just increased a bit; itβs QUADRUPLED!
When we look back a bit further, the data appears more reassuring as the recent hospitalisation figures are nowhere near the peaks we used to get.
But remember, prior to 1 April, every single hospital admission would be routinely tested for Covid.
Itβs like comparing π & π!
But remember, prior to 1 April, every single hospital admission would be routinely tested for Covid.
Itβs like comparing π & π!
If there hadnβt been the change in testing policy, perhaps that trough in July would be at the same baseline as other recent dips?
If you extrapolate a 4x increase on top of that, the numbers start to look extremely worrying.
But, of course,without testing, we canβt be sure. π€·π»ββοΈ
If you extrapolate a 4x increase on top of that, the numbers start to look extremely worrying.
But, of course,without testing, we canβt be sure. π€·π»ββοΈ
Either way, this 4-fold increase in Covid positive hospital admissions, despite there being *no* routine testing, is quite something.
But whatβs even *more* remarkable is that thereβs not even been any noticeable increase in PCR testing volumes (grey bars on chart below).
ππ»
But whatβs even *more* remarkable is that thereβs not even been any noticeable increase in PCR testing volumes (grey bars on chart below).
ππ»
The thing which has shot up massively is the % of PCR tests which give a positive result.
Itβs just peaked at 16.9%.
With the same number of tests but a big increase in positivity rate, that tells us weβre almost certainly missing a LOT of Covid hospital cases in those figures.
Itβs just peaked at 16.9%.
With the same number of tests but a big increase in positivity rate, that tells us weβre almost certainly missing a LOT of Covid hospital cases in those figures.
Rumour has it that some hospitals have even been told theyβre not *allowed* to test patients for Covid.
https://twitter.com/cullum3cullum/status/1709513278303424784
But even without much testing, doctors on the front line are confirming that theyβre definitely seeing a marked increase in Covid casesβ¦
https://twitter.com/danielgoyal/status/1709655257414865359
Thereβs two aspects to this story though:
1) the data and the fact that weβre not seeing the full picture here.
But more importantly:
2) the real-world impact of all those hospital patients who are infected with Covid but havenβt been tested for it.
1) the data and the fact that weβre not seeing the full picture here.
But more importantly:
2) the real-world impact of all those hospital patients who are infected with Covid but havenβt been tested for it.
The really tragic thing is that itβs no longer deemed necessary to test to identify Covid positive patients because there are not really any infection controls for Covid anymore.
There are no isolation wards for Covid patients.
They donβt test them. They donβt isolate them.
There are no isolation wards for Covid patients.
They donβt test them. They donβt isolate them.
If you have to be admitted to hospital, itβs quite possible there will be someone on your ward with Covid.
They may not even know it themselves as thereβs hardly any testing anymoreβ¦
They may not even know it themselves as thereβs hardly any testing anymoreβ¦
Even if thereβs not someone on your ward with Covid, maybe there is on the ward next door.
And then youβve got doctors and nurses who are busily doing their jobs, moving from ward to ward, patient to patient, seeing dozens of sick patients a dayβ¦ day in, day outβ¦
And then youβve got doctors and nurses who are busily doing their jobs, moving from ward to ward, patient to patient, seeing dozens of sick patients a dayβ¦ day in, day outβ¦
β¦but those doctors and nurses who have been attending to all those sick patients wonβt be wearing a face mask.
Masks are no longer required in the vast majority of hospitals.
Apparently itβs more important to see doctorβs smiles π than to prevent the spread of infection.
Masks are no longer required in the vast majority of hospitals.
Apparently itβs more important to see doctorβs smiles π than to prevent the spread of infection.
Itβs little wonder that Covid is spreading like wildfire through hospitals.
Part of the reason it spreads so easily is that people are highly contagious just before the onset of any symptoms.
In fact, nearly 60% of all Covid infections are from people with NO symptoms (yet).
Part of the reason it spreads so easily is that people are highly contagious just before the onset of any symptoms.
In fact, nearly 60% of all Covid infections are from people with NO symptoms (yet).
https://twitter.com/_catinthehat/status/1686359949910196226
Without routine testing, these asymptomatic cases will of course go undetected.
But itβs even worse than that.
Theyβre not even protecting against SYMPTOMATIC transmission!
Healthcare workers who have Covid symptoms and/or test positive are told they should still come to work.
But itβs even worse than that.
Theyβre not even protecting against SYMPTOMATIC transmission!
Healthcare workers who have Covid symptoms and/or test positive are told they should still come to work.
Surely the one place that people should be afforded a higher level of infection control is in hospitalsβ¦
β¦a place where people go when they are sicker, weaker and more vulnerable than they would usually be.
Isnβt that the very essence of the Hippocratic Oath?
β¦a place where people go when they are sicker, weaker and more vulnerable than they would usually be.
Isnβt that the very essence of the Hippocratic Oath?
Numerous studies tell us that clinical outcomes from hospital-acquired Covid infections are pretty dire, far worse than those who remained infection free.
β1 in 5 people who caught Covid in hospital, died with it.β
mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/wβ¦
β1 in 5 people who caught Covid in hospital, died with it.β
mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/wβ¦
https://twitter.com/_catinthehat/status/1642595070384717824
This isnβt just impacting patients, itβs impacting doctors too.
@TheBMA recently released a report outlining the devastating effect which Long Covid is having on many doctorsβ lives.
It ended with a powerful quote from @fearnley_k ππ»
bma.org.uk/bma-media-centβ¦
@TheBMA recently released a report outlining the devastating effect which Long Covid is having on many doctorsβ lives.
It ended with a powerful quote from @fearnley_k ππ»
bma.org.uk/bma-media-centβ¦
This week, the Covid Inquiry has been hearing evidence from doctors saying they didnβt feel adequately protected during the early stages of the pandemic.
But Covid is not over.
This is still happening in hospitals TODAY.
And there are even LESS mitigations now than back then.
But Covid is not over.
This is still happening in hospitals TODAY.
And there are even LESS mitigations now than back then.
https://twitter.com/thebma/status/1709554271526559807
In Scotland, doctors formally wrote to the Government in July opposing the withdrawal of face-masks in healthcare.
They state that they consider this decision to be βflawed and dangerousβ.
You can download a pdf copy of the letter from here:
covidactionscotland.org/2023/07/17/scoβ¦
They state that they consider this decision to be βflawed and dangerousβ.
You can download a pdf copy of the letter from here:
covidactionscotland.org/2023/07/17/scoβ¦
https://twitter.com/_catinthehat/status/1680955836271583232
If youβve read this far, hopefully you understand why we need to do more to prevent the spread of Covid in hospitals.
Please help us by signing & sharing this petition to bring back #MasksInHealthcare:
βπ»
We need to hit 10,000 signatures by 12 October! petition.parliament.uk/petitions/6363β¦
Please help us by signing & sharing this petition to bring back #MasksInHealthcare:
βπ»
We need to hit 10,000 signatures by 12 October! petition.parliament.uk/petitions/6363β¦
We also need to filter the air on wards to remove viruses and other airborne pathogensβ¦
β¦just like they are doing in the East Suffolk & North Essex NHS Foundation Trust.
This should be rolled out across ALL healthcare settings.
οΏΌ
β¦just like they are doing in the East Suffolk & North Essex NHS Foundation Trust.
This should be rolled out across ALL healthcare settings.
οΏΌ
https://twitter.com/esneft/status/1641769799687585795
Everyone should have the right to access safe healthcare.
Hospitals must be made safe again.
Below is a Open Letter written by the distinguished team of experts at the John Snow Project which you can use to help advocate for better infection controls in your local hospital ππ»
Hospitals must be made safe again.
Below is a Open Letter written by the distinguished team of experts at the John Snow Project which you can use to help advocate for better infection controls in your local hospital ππ»
https://twitter.com/johnsnowproject/status/1696173929272938678
@kallmemeg Actually, I should say trends are still βreliableβ, rather than βgoodββ¦
β¦because the trends actually donβt look too βgoodβ at all, do they?
Itβs been a while since weβve seen hospitalisations quadruple in the space of just 3 months.
β¦because the trends actually donβt look too βgoodβ at all, do they?
Itβs been a while since weβve seen hospitalisations quadruple in the space of just 3 months.
@kallmemeg By the way, Iβm not sure if you saw my reply to your kind offer to take me through your data sources on another thread. ππ»
Please could you let me know if Iβve missed any data that allows us to estimate the current prevalence of Covid.
Iβd really like to learn more.
Please could you let me know if Iβve missed any data that allows us to estimate the current prevalence of Covid.
Iβd really like to learn more.
https://twitter.com/_catinthehat/status/1708753924344209641
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